Recently, global financial markets have faced a series of shocks. Phase-wise progress in China-US trade negotiations and the temporary suspension of tariffs have offered short-term relief. Simultaneously, international rating agency Moody’s downgraded the US sovereign credit rating from Aaa to Aa1, fueling risk-off sentiment in the market. As the world’s most important currency benchmark, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has become a central focus amid these events. I. Macroeconomic Background: Easing in China-US Trade and Geopolitical Risk ReleaseIn mid-May 2025, high-level economic and trade talks between China and the US were held in Geneva, resulting in significant interim consensus. Both parties announced the removal of 91% of tariffs and the suspension of 24% of remaining tariffs. This move

This week, gold or extended oscillatory game pattern, short-term mixed short and long factors, need to pay attention to the following key points: 1. Drivers Favourable downside: the U.S. trade war eases and the Fed postponed interest rate cuts are still expected, the dollar index if the 101 mark, will suppress the space of the gold price rebound; the technical surface of the 3250 U.S. dollars near the existence of a strong resistance, if you can not break through may trigger profit-taking. Favourable to rise: geopolitical risks (the situation in the Middle East, Russia-Ukraine peace talks stalemate) and weak U.S. economic data (retail sales, PPI fall) or stimulate safe-haven demand rebound; global central bank gold purchases (244 tonnes of additional holdings in the first quarter) to provi

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Perfect TP!!!Watch for support around 3202-05 next! Patiently waiting for the next opportunity to opportunistically enter the market! ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here：Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group t

In May, as progress was made in China-U.S. trade negotiations, international crude oil prices experienced a rebound. The rebound for NYMEX WTI crude and ICE Brent crude approached 5%, while INE’s RMB-denominated crude rose by nearly 4%. Since the beginning of the year, international crude oil prices have continued to decline, mainly due to a global pattern of “increasing supply and decreasing demand,” with persistent concerns about oversupply.The following chart shows the trend of NYMEX WTI crude oil futures prices.Looking ahead, the progress in China-U.S. trade talks, the substantial reduction of the high tariffs imposed on each other in April, a slight easing of global economic downside risks, and the upcoming peak driving season in the U.S. are expected to provide short-term momentum fo

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Yesterday I already said that the key support around 3270 will be broken, and has been successfully broken! Today, gold will continue to dip! 3100 will not be guaranteed! Continue to keep sell orders trading!Image2.Gold Trading Alert: Gold Price Plunges to New One-Month Low! Is it a good opportunity to bottom out or a precursor to a crisis? Concerned about the ‘horror data’Thursday (15 May) Asian morning trading, gold low hovering, currently trading at $3183.50 near. Gold prices fell more than 2% on Wednesday, the lowest $3,167.94, a new low since April 10, closed at $3,177.

1. $Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ The market is really unexpected. After falling by $70, the US market can actually make a V-shaped reversal and rise by $100! The main reason is that large Wall Street institutions and large global major buyers are harvesting the market! Now the dense resistance is around 3240. If it breaks through smoothly, it will fill the gap left by the previous decline! Continue to stand above 3300! ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here：Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of C

Originally, it was anticipated that the market would stabilize as progress was made in tariff negotiations and Russia-Ukraine talks, and the Federal Reserve clarified its interest rate cut trajectory following its latest meeting. However, just as the situation seemed to settle, a fresh wave of India-Pakistan conflict erupted, directly leading to sharp fluctuations in gold prices, signaling a renewed sense of uncertainty in the markets. Although later reports indicated a ceasefire between the two countries, sporadic clashes resumed within hours, making the news cycle highly unstable and necessitating an adjustment in price expectations.1. What Is the Impact on US Stock Indices?Currently, such small-scale regional conflicts have limited impact on the US stock market, and may even provide a m

Before the May Day holiday, we briefly highlighted some potential leading signals in the market. Among them, crude oil’s subsequent trend showed clear weakness, while several other assets experienced volatility or continued modest rallies. As the time cycle progresses, this week and the next are very likely to mark the rebound peaks for most asset classes. This implies that conservative traders could choose to lock in profits by closing long positions, whereas more aggressive traders might seek opportunities to initiate shorts.U.S. Stock Market OutlookStarting with U.S. stock indices, they have now entered what can be described as a rebound “danger zone.” Taking the S&P 500 as a reference, the market has retraced 61.8% of its prior decline, but it is already very close to the previous

Last week, our article mentioned the possibility of Ether experiencing a catch-up rally, which could serve as a supplementary signal for the current market rebound peaking. However, Ether’s actual performance was far beyond expectations. In just a few trading days, Ethereum rebounded more than 40% from its recent lows. This short squeeze indicates that the strength or weakness of this asset will impact not only the crypto sector but also confidence across all risk assets. In other words, the current rebound is unlikely to truly end until Ether’s upward momentum stalls.Given Ethereum’s inherently higher volatility compared to conventional market assets, a 40% single-week surge is rare and typically only seen during bull markets. While short squeezes can occur in bottoming phases as well, th

The S&P 500's nine-day rally - its longest winning streak in nearly 20 years - came to an abrupt end on Monday, marking a stark reversal after the index had nearly recovered losses triggered by early April's "reciprocal tariffs" rhetoric. This rally had been fueled by the Trump administration's decision to suspend additional tariffs and positive signals from trade negotiations.Tariff Policy Uncertainty ResurfacesWhile the S&P 500 closed May 2 with a 1.5% gain to secure its ninth consecutive daily advance, markets remained under the cloud of tariff policy risks. Morgan Stanley strategist Michael Wilson and his team emphasized that maintaining this upward trajectory would require concrete progress on trade agreements.The anticipated trade deal optimism evaporated abruptly on May 5 wh

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Continue to fall sharply! Partners have made a maximum profit of 200 points! The New York market is about to start, and gold will most likely fall below $3,200! 2.Gold's slide suddenly accelerated in the Asian market on Wednesday (14 May), with gold prices just dropping to $3228.66, hitting an intraday low ! In the short term, according to the 4-hour chart, the mildly bullish 200-period SMA is providing support around $3225.40, but at the same time, the 20-period SMA has accelerated to the downside after breaking below the flat 100-period SMA, in line with increased selling

Over the past two weeks, while Trump's erratic behavior has somewhat subsided, most assets have experienced varying degrees of rebounds and corrections as previously anticipated. Some faster-moving products have essentially reached their target levels, making it an appropriate time to consider securing profits. Other lagging assets shouldn't automatically be viewed as having catch-up potential, as when market leaders begin to weaken, followers typically face pressure to follow suit.Cryptocurrency Market AnalysisLet's first examine the cryptocurrency market, which showed resilience during the decline and led the rebound, with Bitcoin (BTC) as our primary benchmark. The price approached $97,000 over the weekend, representing approximately a $23,000 (30%) rebound from its low point. Although

$Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Gold is on the verge of something big! Watch out for the US CPI to blow up in a big surprise! If the U.S. CPI data is hotter than expected, it could push gold prices down towards the 50-day moving average at $3,145. Next good support levels are expected at $3,100 and the 10 April low of $3,072. If the US CPI data surprises to the downside, gold prices could regain the 21-day moving average (currently at $3,311). Once this level is breached, bulls aim to test the downtrend line resistance at $3430. A sustained break above this resistance would open the door to record highs of $3,500 for gold prices. Expect today's trading range to be at 3293-32

At the beginning of last week, Trump “threatened” to fire Powell, then later stated he did not plan to dismiss the current Federal Reserve Chairman and hinted at lowering tariffs on China. This caused gold prices to spike and then retreat-a rare volatile movement. These remarks signaled a softening of Trump’s previously hardline stance on tariffs and Fed policy, easing the market’s risk-aversion sentiment to some extent. Since much of gold’s price increase since Trump took office has been driven by safe-haven demand, a shift in Trump’s attitude could trigger a sharp “stampede-like” sell-off among bullish investors, commonly known as a “long liquidation” or “long-unwinding” style correction.1. What is a “Long Liquidation” Style Sell-Off?In a bull market, when negative news is scarce, most m

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1.Monday opened with a short climb in gold! It touched a high near 3272.5! Currently the technical side of the pullback adjustment! VIP group of Asian market signals sell orders successfully profit! Congratulations! Note: In the short term, gold still has the risk of retracement! Asian markets continue to keep sell orders trading mainly! $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ $Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ 2.Friday (May 2), the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released the much-anticipated April non-farm payrolls report, the data showed that the U.S. economy added 177,000 jobs, exceeding market expectations of 130,000, showing that the labou

$Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Technical: From the market structure, since 3200 points to start the rising market, gold did not appear obvious pivot finishing, accumulated a strong pullback energy. H1 trend, the current adjustment is more likely to fall zigzag or rectangular oscillation in the form of the unfolding, rather than a strong breakthrough. The reason is 1: the weekly pressure level has not been effectively digested; 2: the market has not yet appeared new good drive. The probability of a pullback in the short term is much greater than the continuation of the unilateral upward trend.It is expected that after the opening of next Monday, gold will continue to maintai