Macro Trend

Monetary policy, various types of price indices... Here is everything about the macro economy!

.SPX: What's Going on Next After Announcement?

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some techncial analysis with you!1.Liberation Day Trading: $S&P 500(.SPX)$(1) SPX future is mildly red now, but the previous two session's gaps were all filled;(2) if my roadmap is right, then trmw's small gap-down SHOULD NOT BE FILLED, hence kicked off 2nd leg of w-3/c.(3) over 5650, I will be cautious; pass 5670, I am out.Image2.4pm EST Liberation Time:(1) well, the stock market-savvy president has moved the announcement time from 3:00pm, which released earlier, to 4:00pm, after market closes.(2) so, tmrw would be another yo-yo day with various rumors and leaks. The real show will be on Thur & Fri.šŸ˜µā€šŸ’«Image3.April Fool's Moves: $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$
.SPX: What's Going on Next After Announcement?
avatarKYHBKO
03-31 02:53

Q1/2025 earnings starts - Preview of the week starting 31 Mar 2025

Public Holidays The USA have no public holidays in the coming week. Singapore is closed on 31 Mar 2025 as we celebrate Hari Raya Aidilfitri with our fellow Muslim citizens. Hari Raya Aidilfitri, also known as Eid, is a joyous festival in Singapore marking the end of Ramadan. Muslims engage in acts of compassion, fast from dawn to dusk, and worship during this holy month. On the day of Hari Raya, families don new clothes, visit the mosque for prayers, seek forgiveness from elders, and indulge in home-cooked feasts Hong Kong and China will be closed on 4 April 2025 for the Ching Ming Festival The history of the Ching Ming Festival, Hong Kong's tomb-sweeping holiday - Young Post | South China Morning Post The Ching Ming Festival, also known as Tomb Sweeping Day or Pure Brightness Festival, is
Q1/2025 earnings starts - Preview of the week starting 31 Mar 2025
avatarMasterWU
03-31 05:01

.SPX: What's Going on Next?

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading analysis with you!1.WHY "RADIO SILENT"? $S&P 500(.SPX)$ (1) Many asked me why I went "off-line" last Fri, totally turning off the market. (2) because I want to guard against the trigger-happy MPW to "take profits earlier." (3) ask yourself: with a 130K profit last Fri of your put position, would you hold? I did!2."Buy the dips"--many bag-holder bulls are screaming for help. Who? With WHAT? [All those who are eager to buy the dips already fired out their bullets last time around; now, it is up for the previous dip-buyers to get desperate and become sellers. That would be a good bottom]3.No Capitulation, No Bottom: (1) one reliable indicator of a sustainable bottom [at least for a few weeks] req
.SPX: What's Going on Next?

GOLD: Still Stronger Now!

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1.First of all, have a great weekend! Technical surface: whether it is D1 or H4 trend indicators are strong, the overall trend of bias upward development. Comprehensive point of view, gold in the continuous upward trend, the price is climbing, the lows continue to move up, the highs continue to refresh, at present, the price of gold is still rising space, for the lower support first pay attention to the 3060 near, above continue to continue to test the 3090-3100 area or higher prices! If gold successfully fell below 3060, then the real adjustment may come. Next Monday's trading range in the support 3065-resistance 3110! Trading to maintain the main buy trading! Meanwhile, you need to keep an eye on the market news over the
GOLD: Still Stronger Now!

.SPX: Bottom or Not?

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading analysis with you!1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ The number of FinX wiped out or severely damaged by an 8-10% decline in the broader market speaks to one thingā€” risk management matters.It is certainly not the most engaging form of content on this platform versus the rockets and doom narrativesā€” but itā€™s what actually protects your portfolio.2.Every Sunday I write a longer format note sharing my market thoughts and charts. The first note for April goes out this Sunday ~8AM MSTIt is a high level overview of the current risk environment, along with context on navigating the near term. šŸšØOn Feb 23 the note signaled the risk-off alarm, the S&P 500 has declined as much as 8.5% since, and Nasdaq over 11% The
.SPX: Bottom or Not?

.SPX: What's Going on Next?

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading analysis with you!1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ The PANDA HAMMER dropped at 5732--check the time stamp of the tweet. Look at the damage now--wait a moment, if you think this is ugly, you ain't seen nothing yet. Like I noted, see you bulls at 5353, if you still hold your bags--let's see if SPX would close at LOW OF DAY.Image2.Three Predictions for 3/28: (1) SPX will gap down below 5666--and never fill the gap intra-day. In fact, not until mid-May. (2) at the peak decline, SPX will drop over 100+ pts. (3) it will close at the low of day--bonus point: SPX will gap down 3/31 too. Radio Silent tmrw.Image3.PANDA HAMMER: (1) For those who have followed me long enough, you know what I meant and how I positioned.
.SPX: What's Going on Next?

.SPX: Will it Go Back to 5500?

1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Will it go Back to 5500? šŸ¤”Read below šŸ‘‡We saw a low of 5500 get pinned back on 3/13 and have been forming higher lows since. As it stands the market is still holding higher lows as long as 5670 holds. If 5670 gets taken out the story changes and we can see a flush back to 5500. As traders we want to keep an open mind and be able to react when different circumstances arise.Here are 3 Possible Scenarios BelowScenario #1: Bullish Market holds 5670 and starts basing above there. We then see a move back to 5800 to break to the 5820-5850 region. IF the market can consolidate between 5800-5850 (form higher lows) then we will likely see a move back to 6000.Scenario #2: NeutralMarket gets to 5670 and fails we see a test to 5600. We li
.SPX: Will it Go Back to 5500?

QQQ: MY BIGGEST TAKEAWAY FROM THIS MARKET & WHAT COMES NEXT

I wasnā€™t getting overly bullish after last weekā€™s $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ rally, and I laid out my reasons in detail for subscribers. But I wanted to share some high-level takeaways on where I think the market stands right now.The rally felt more like positioning and short-covering than a true shift in fundamentals. Weā€™ve seen this pattern before -- markets ripping higher on momentum, but without the structural support that signals sustained upside. The bigger issue for me is that uncertainty is still the dominant force, and April 2 is shaping up to be a critical moment that could dictate the next major move.The impact is already visible in earnings calls across multiple sectors. Executives in manufacturing, consumer goods, retail, and even tech have fl
QQQ: MY BIGGEST TAKEAWAY FROM THIS MARKET & WHAT COMES NEXT

.SPX: What's Going on Next?

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading analysis with you!1.MPW Mid-Week Update Posted: $S&P 500(.SPX)$ (1) catch a falling knife or piss toward a tornado, it is your choice to make. (2) in this update, I provide some of the most timely and important roadmap for the upcoming fallout. Image2.If you position right, then in a RED DAY, you still can see GREEN in your account [almost fully invested for my Schwab account; not the others, though, still have dry powder for the 3rd of 3rd wave, when the HAMMER WILL FALL, for real--almost there].Image3.Truncated before reaching the target zone of (5820-30)--mainly due to the external factor on the tariff front. The tape is super-weak; if not mistaken, this ongoing drop will take no prisoners
.SPX: What's Going on Next?
avatarKYHBKO
03-09

Is it time to seek the Oracle?-Preview of the week starting 10 Mar 2025

Public Holidays Singapore, Hong Kong, China & the USA have no public holidays in the coming week. Economic Calendar (10 Mar 2025) Economic Calendar Notable Highlights JOLTs Job openings (Jan) will be shared. The previous number was 7.6 million. This coming update will help us understand the job market outlook and serve as a data reference for the Federal Reserve when making its next interest rate decision.  The Core CPI and CPI should be the most watched economic data. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is one of the references used for Inflation. The last CPI (YoY) was 3.0%. If inflation remains stubborn, it could affect the Federal Reserveā€™s upcoming interest rate decisions, likely causing some volatility in the market. The PPI data will also be released in the coming
Is it time to seek the Oracle?-Preview of the week starting 10 Mar 2025
avatarKYHBKO
03-22

Layoffs, Southeast Asia's financial duress & investors' exit - my investing muse (24Mar2025)

My Investing Muse (24 Mar 2025) Layoffs & Closure news Financial distress in the trucking and logistics sector over the last three years has forced thousands of shipping companies to cease operations in the Great Freight Recession. About 88,000 trucking companies and 8,000 freight brokerage firms went out of business in 2023, data from Freight Caviar revealed. The trucking sector reported a net loss of about 10,000 carriers in the first half of 2024. - The Street Home-grown electronics firm Creative Technology has retrenched about 40 staff, or 14 per cent of its workforce, as the tech layoff wave continues its rampage, The Straits Times has learnt. - Straits Times Volkswagen's Audi to cut 7,500 jobs in administration, development by 2029 - Reuters Amazon is set to cut around 14,000 man
Layoffs, Southeast Asia's financial duress & investors' exit - my investing muse (24Mar2025)

GOLD: What's The Impact on the Whole Market?

1. $Gold - main 2504(GCmain)$ TECHNICAL: The gold trend remains upward, however, the gold price action formed a doji on Thursday, which could lead to a pullback before resuming the rebound trend.Gold ended Thursday's session slightly down nearly 0.1 % at $3044.64. Gold prices touched a record high of $3,057.57 during the session.The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is overbought but is set to fall to 70 as bulls hedge their bets, meaning shorts aren't out of the woods but may take some profits on the decline in gold prices.The first support level for gold prices will be the $3,000 mark. Once it falls below this level, the next target will be the 20 February high of $2954 and then $2900.Should gold prices rise above $3,050, this would pave the way
GOLD: What's The Impact on the Whole Market?
avatarKYHBKO
03-16

Is it market relief or should we play defensive like Buffett & Dalio - My investing Muse (17Mar2025)

My Investing Muse (17 Mar 2025) Layoffs & Closure news Indonesiaā€™s layoff crisis deepens as factories shut; growth hangs in the balance Rising costs and cheap imports hit manufacturing sector hard; other industries are also bleeding jobs, though for different reasons - Business Times SG Alibaba's Tsai discusses AI's potential: 'Research analysts can be completely replaced' - CNBC Employees at PwC, Deloitte, EY, and KPMG are bracing for layoffs as the consulting sector deals with economic volatility, decreased demand, and client prioritization of core expenses. - Techgig These are just several of the many F&B establishments which have pulled the plug recently. Five of seven F&B tenants in the National Gallery Singapore will be ceasing operations. October last year also saw one-M
Is it market relief or should we play defensive like Buffett & Dalio - My investing Muse (17Mar2025)
avatarKYHBKO
03-10

Gold, China, Buffett's bubble? - News and my thoughts from last week (10 Mar 2025)

News and my thoughts from last week (10 Mar 2025) History of gold - from Bloomberg China continues DUMPING US Treasuries: China's holdings fell by $77 billion in 2024 to $759 billion, the lowest in 15 YEARS. China is the world's second-largest foreign holder of US public debt after Japan. Are Treasuries losing safe haven status?! - X user Global Markets Investor Bloomberg - falling behind on car payments Car Buyers: The % of borrowers at least 2 months late on their car payments jumps to an all-time high - BarChart Trump says tariffs on Mexico and Canada could go higher than a 25% rate imposed earlier this week, per Bloomberg. The top 10% of earners in the U.S. now account for 49.7% of all spending in the US, per WSJ. Chinaā€™s exports in the January to February period rose 2.3% in U.S. doll
Gold, China, Buffett's bubble? - News and my thoughts from last week (10 Mar 2025)

BABA& .SPX: What's Going on Next?

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you!1.Lots of are starting to point towards $Alibaba(BABA)$ breaking out towards 175. Over a year ago this exact target was marked with wonderful entry opportunity. 175 and 75 for Alibaba and $TENCENT(00700)$ will be the time to conclude the tradeā€” ā€¦. just when everyone is looking at them.2.Iā€™ve caught the Longevity bugā€” courtesy of people like Bryan Johnson, Dr. Huberman & Gary Brecka. James Clearā€™s Atomic Habits helped stitch it all together. Feeling my absolute best in 2025. Mental clarity is incredible when the foundation is set in consistency.ImageImageImageImage
BABA& .SPX: What's Going on Next?

.SPX: What's Going on Next?

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you!1.ā€œMoney is made by sitting, not trading.ā€ā€” Jesse L. LivermoreImage2.Tested & Held So Far: $S&P 500(.SPX)$ (1) as noted earlier, the test of support of 5750 level has been under-way for the last few hours. (2) so far, the support is held fairly firmly, indicating an unfinished upward move. (3) for a day like this, the main actions were completed in the 1st hour.Image3.Back-test 5750: (1) an upward blast has conquered the 5752 key resistance zone; Now, it is the back-test; (2) if held--which I believe so--then this zone will become a strong support for the next leg higher; (3) if fails, then a few days of digestion before more squeeze higher.Image4.WHEN & WHERE: (1) "Up u
.SPX: What's Going on Next?

GOLD: New Highs will Continue to be Created

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2504(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Gold is near the new high of 3004.9, and then falls back! In the New York market, the technical correction is maintained, which is in line with the expected trend. Remember: However, a short-term correction cannot stop the momentum of gold's rise, and new highs will continue to be created! Short-term selling of gold also made a good profit! ImageFollow me to learn more about analysis!!
GOLD: New Highs will Continue to be Created

GOLD: Gold Maintained its Intraday Uptrend

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2504(GCmain)$ Technical: Gold prices continue to rise and face a resistance level near $3050, which must be broken to confirm further medium-term bullishness towards $3100-3200. Otherwise, if the resistance level remains intact, gold prices could fall towards $3000, or even $2950! Technical data on the daily chart suggests that the bullish trend will continue. Despite the Relative Strength Index (RSI) being at overbought levels, the technical indicators remain firmly to the upside with no signs of the upside drying up. Meanwhile, the gold price is well above all of its moving averages, with the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) resuming its upward move and curr
GOLD: Gold Maintained its Intraday Uptrend

GOLD: Safe-haven to Stay

$Gold - main 2504(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Monday (March 24) Asian morning trading, spot gold narrow oscillation, currently trading at 3025.54 U.S. dollars near. Gold prices fell 0.7% on Friday, due to a stronger U.S. dollar and profit-taking, the plate once touched the 3000 round number mark, but the lingering geopolitical and economic uncertainty, coupled with the Federal Reserve's expected interest rate cuts, the price of gold is still subject to the low buyers and safe-haven buyers to support, on Friday, the price of gold closed at $ 3023.04 near the weekly rise of 1.17% for the third consecutive weekly rise.Survey shows that most analysts and retail investors still tend to bullish
GOLD: Safe-haven to Stay

.SPX: What's the Next Direction?

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading analysis with you!1.MPW Bamboo Scroll #164 Posted: (1) yes, it is cooking--up until the bears have doubts of their short position--sometime next week. (2) I reviewed BTC & Mag-7 for its short- to long-term chart, and they confirm my take of broader market. Image2. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 5638--the mark for a Green or Red weekly candle. Now, it is a few points above this line, let's see how bulls and bears settle for this week. No position, 100% cash.Image3. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Quarantined by multiple POWERFUL trendlines--no breakthrough whatsoever, just chopping inside a tiny zone, like a trapped animal trying to find a way out. That breakout looks postpo
.SPX: What's the Next Direction?
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