Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1.In early Asian trading on Friday (January 24), gold kept oscillating higher and is currently trading near $2766.29 USD. $Gold - main 2502(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Gold bottomed out on Thursday and fell to $2,735.83 earlier in the session, but after the change in U.S. initial jobless claims performed worse than market expectations and the dollar weakened after President Donald Trump's call for lower interest rates, gold recovered all of its losses to close at $2,754.59. Market attention remains focused on the broader implications of Trump's policies.Follow me to learn more about analysis!!

【Voting Post】The first article in my series on investing in 2025 I am a veteran, and I have made 8% cumulative gains since opening an account in early 2021. I'm also new to global brokerage, having just started a few years ago. Like I didn't know about the 3700, 3400, CSI 300 and the CSI 300, I had little idea about the Nasdaq, Dow and Australian indexes, and I hadn't studied the Hang Seng specifics. For beginners to invest, start with the macro. China is deflationary and the United States is divided after inflation; China and the United States focus on resolving the economic structure of their own issues. Looking at the economic cycle, we may still be in the old cycle, as shown in Figure 1. Looking at the political cycle, there are many elections in 2024. As we can see in Figure 2, important economies

Public Holidays There will be no public holidays in China, Hong Kong, and Singapore next week. Martin Luther King Holiday - Monday, January 17, 2022 - No ... On 20 Jan 2025 (Monday), the USA celebrates Martin Luther King, Jr. Day. Economic Calendar (20Jan2025) Notable Highlights S&P Global Manufacturing PMI reveals the contraction or growth of global manufacturing - which reveals anticipated demand. S&P Global Services PMI will also be released. A figure above 50 reveals growth and a figure lesser than that reveals contraction. Existing home sales let us in about the home real estate market. With the LA fire, we are expecting some increase in demand for homes in the coming weeks. Initial jobless claims will be announced. The Federal Reserve uses this as one of the key macro data re

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Short strategists here:Call TSLA to crash all day long and all week long, as it keeps climbing and climbingWait for TSLA to shed 20% from daily/weekly gainsClaim the day/week as a victoryDoes it get any bigger of a LOSER group than that?[Facepalm][Facepalm][Facepalm]

Public Holidays There will be no public holidays in China for the coming week. China America, Singapore and Hong Kong are closed on New Year’s Day (01 Jan 2025). Some countries operate half a day on New Year’s Day Eve (31 Dec 2024). Here is wishing all a Blessed New Year (2025). Economic Calendar (30Dec24) Notable Highlights Chicago PMI will be revealed with a forecast of 42.8. This implies a contraction of the sector in Chicago. China's manufacturing PMI will also be reviewed. A forecast of 50.3 implies a slight expansion in the sector. China is a global factory and this can also be seen as a barometer of global demand. S&P global US manufacturing PMI will also be announced. The forecast of 48.3 implies a contraction in the manufacturing sector. The ISM manufacturing PMI will be

News and my thoughts from last week (30Dec24) Is entitlement the curse of progress? Image BLACKROCK SAYS DIVERSIFY YOUR PORTFOLIO WITH GOLD AND BITCOIN TO HEDGE AGAINST EQUITY SELLOFFS Serbian President Vučić has stated that the Nord Stream pipeline may be restarted soon: "Germany urgently needs cheap Russian gas, so within a year, the remaining intact section of the Nord Stream pipeline could be sold to U.S. investors and put back into operation." - X user Russian Market HOMELESSNESS SURGES AS HOUSING COSTS SOAR 18% Homelessness in the U.S. jumped 18.1% this year, with over 770,000 people now living on the streets. Rising costs and a severe lack of affordable housing are driving the crisis. Major cities like NYC and Chicago are overwhelmed, with migrant surges adding to the strain. Meanwh

My Investing Muse (06Jan2025) Layoffs & Closure news "The Tech industry witnessed a 42% decline in layoffs compared to 2023, which saw the highest number of job cuts in the last four years. Over 260,000 employees were handed pink slips by over 1,200 companies this year. The spate of layoffs in 2023 was driven by factors such as economic downturn, considering rising inflation and interest rates. The eventual decrease in consumer spending hit the tech industry which relies heavily on their demand for its products and services. Some other key reasons that prompted companies to cut jobs were the stock market downturn, shifting market dynamics, and largely the over-hiring spree during the pandemic." Will the layoff trend continue into 2025? Is recovery in sight? - Source: India Express US h

Public Holidays There will be no public holidays in China for the coming week. America, Singapore and Hong Kong are closed on Christmas Day (25 Dec 2024). Some countries are operating half a day on Christmas Eve (24 Dec 2024). Here's wishing all a “Blessed Christmas.” May 2025 be an awesome year of good health and success. Economic Calendar (23Dec24) Notable Highlights CB consumer confidence data will be released this coming Monday. This is a reflection of how the consumer sees the market. On the other hand, Durable goods orders are expecting a decline of 0.4%. New home sales data will be released with a forecast of 650,000 new home sales. This data provides some insight into residential real estate. Initial jobless claims will be announced. The Federal Reserve uses this as one of the key

News and my thoughts from last week (23Dec24) Powell has said that "it's pretty clear we've avoided a recession." Do you agree? Image China is dominating the global auto market: China’s share of world car production is now at 39%, the highest on record. Since the 2008 Financial Crisis, this percentage has doubled. Its share is also ~11 percentage points larger than Europe, Japan, and the US combined. To put this into perspective, China’s share in global automotive production was just 1% in 2000. By comparison, the US, Japan and Europe accounted for 14%, 20% and 32% of production in 2000, respectively. China has taken over the global car market. X user The Kobeissi Letter Globalization brings access to bigger markets, costs savings and leads to better quality of life. When we limit access,

Public Holidays There will be no public holidays in Singapore, Hong Kong, The USA or China in the coming week. Economic Calendar (09Dec24) Notable Highlights The most watched macro data will be the Core CPI and CPI data. This is one of the references for inflation. This would be closely watched data as the Federal Reserve is likely to have this as part of the consideration for the coming interest rate decision in Dec 2024. The next important economic data will be PPI. This represents the inflation that hit producers/manufacturers - an amount that is likely to translate into inflation for the consumers when their products hit the shelves. This can be seen as a prelude to CPI (inflation). If there is an increase in PPI, the impact will also be seen in CPI. The 10-year Note auction will be a

Public Holidays There will be no public holidays in Singapore, Hong Kong, The USA or China in the coming week. Economic Calendar (16Dec24) Notable Highlights FOMC interest rate decision will be the most watched news in the coming week. The market expects an interest rate cut. A contrary decision is likely to cause some market volatility. The core PCE Price Index will be the next most watched indicator for inflation. This is the preferred reference that the Federal Reserve uses for inflation. Surprises in this can lead to market volatility. S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI reflects the growth or contraction of the manufacturing sector. The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index shows the development of the manufacturing sectors in Philadelphia. S&P Global US Services PMI reflects the g

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you!1.Gap Zone 5940-70: $.SPX(.SPX)$ (1) today's unfilled gap marked two key points, 5940: the 50 DMA; & 5970--50% of retrace; (2) the market has been very sensitive to 5940 level, jumping up or down over it many times in last two months. (3) would be PERFECT for bears if it is gapped over tmrwImage2.Right Shoulder = Left Shoulder at 6020. Higher than my revised target at 5995, but still fit for the H&S pattern, as well as a flat w-b/2. The rebound is most likely over at 6021. The selloff after hitting 6020 signals a new regime coming.Image3.HIGHER TARGET: (1) with SPX future jumped over 5960 zone comfortably, the upward target for this rebound has moved to 5996, the 61.8%

Public Holidays There will be no public holidays in Singapore, Hong Kong, The USA or China in the coming week. Economic Calendar (02Dec24) Notable Highlights S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI and ISM Manufacturing PMI will be shared in the coming week. A figure above 50 implies growth in this sector. Of late, there has been a contraction in the manufacturing sector. ISM Manufacturing prices reflect the price pressures faced by the manufacturing. S&P Global US Services PMI and ISM non-manufacturing PMI have been showing a growing services sector. The ISM on-manufacturing prices reflect any inflationary pressures faced by the service sector. There are a few important job data including JOLTs Job openings, ADP Nonfarm employment changes, Unemployment Rate, and Average Hourly Earnings. T

News and my thoughts from last week (09Dec24) Image Image 67 $SPX companies have issued negative EPS guidance for Q4 2024, which is above the 5-year average of 56 and above the 10-year average of 62 - X user FactSet Image FOMO (Fear of missing out) can be a crippling emotion that can drive us to buying too late & selling too early. Emotional management is key to long-term success. I have exited some of my positions as weakening fundamentals or overvaluation provide opportunities to take profits & stop losses. Let us take stock of our 2024 lessons, adding refinement and better controls to our investing strategy for 2025. Image The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the US declined by 0.4% in October 2024 to 99.5 (2016=100), following a 0.3% decline in September (revi

My Investing Muse (23Dec24) Layoffs & Closure news BREAKING: Party City is closing all of its stores, and corporate employees were told today is their last day of employment - X user Unusual Whale Aerospace company Boeing has announced another round of layoffs, this one impacting 396 workers in Washington state. - NWPB Google has once again reduced its workforce, targeting 10% of its management roles, including directors and vice presidents. CEO Sundar Pichai announced the changes during an all-hands meeting. - DNAIndia Thyssenkrupp faces massive job cuts and plant closures amid international competition and possible management lapses. - DW News The Mersen Manufacturing plant said it is set to furlough 80% of its workers in Columbia. The furloughs were announced just weeks before the C