@KevinChenNYC Kevin Chen holds a PhD from the University of Lausanne, Switzerland, and launched his Wall Street career at Morgan Stanley, where he absorbed the analytical rigor of macroeconomic legends Byron Wien and Steven Roach. He maintains strong academic ties as a graduate-level instructor at New York University and marks 2026 as his tenth annual installment of top-10 global economic predictions. His 2025 forecast track record stands at 85% accuracy.2025 Forecast Track Record: 8 of 10 predictions correct (85% hit rate).Chen‘s standout call was forecasting a Q2 US stock correction—markets entered a bear market in April-May, with the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ plunging over 30%. Other accurate foreca

Options Market Statistics: Pfizer Falls 3.4% on Below-Consensus 2026 Guidance $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$   led overall volume with a neutral put/call ratio of 0.59 and a low IV rank of 9.05%, suggesting steady positioning as volume totaled 2.59 million contracts against 7.70 million in open interest. Shares climbed 3.1% to $489.88, surpassing its previous 2024 closing peak, fueled by positive coverage from Wedbush's Dan Ives and updates on Tesla's robotaxi service rollout in Austin, Texas. $Broadcom(AVGO)$   ranked sixth with a neutral put/call ratio of 0.51 and an IV rank of 14.03%, indicating balanced volatility expectations as

Market Movers & Stocks to Watch - 16Dec25 (Adding some research in this post too) 📉 Market Context — Risk, Rotation, and Macro Focus Today’s session is set up with caution and breadth, not broad risk-on euphoria: 🔹 U.S. futures are softer as traders brace for a delayed jobs report and key macro data (inflation, PMI) — data that could reaffirm or derail year-end sentiment.  🔹 Asian and Singapore markets are drifting lower, reflecting global technology pressure and anticipation of external catalysts.  🔹 Nasdaq futures point to weakness, while the S&P and Dow show relative resilience — hinting at rotation toward value and cyclicals.  Sentiment today is neutral-to-cautious, with macro data as the proximate trigger — not earnings. That changes trading behavior: range plays > break

Wall Street wrapped a wild Monday on a sour note, with the S&P 500 dipping 0.5% to 6,859 and Nasdaq sliding 0.8% to 19,340 as investors dumped tech heavyweights for safer shores. Tesla bucked the trend with a 4% surge to $446, flirting with a mind-blowing $3 trillion valuation on bold predictions of Optimus robot dominance and China sales rebounding 10% in November. 😎 Apple and Amazon weren't so lucky, both tumbling 2% to $250 and $208 amid broader AI jitters and consumer crunch fears. Oracle plunged 3% to $190.50 after capex bloat spooked the crowd, while Broadcom and Coinbase sank 6% to $155.83 and $320, hit by margin misses and crypto volatility. The rotation to defensives like utilities (up 1.2%) screams risk-off vibes, but QT's trillion-dollar liquidity wave keeps the bounce poten

Understanding SPYG: A Growth-Oriented ETF and a Covered Call Strategy Introduction The SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Growth ETF (SPYG) is a widely traded exchange-traded fund (ETF) that provides investors with exposure to high-growth U.S. large-cap stocks. Managed by State Street Global Advisors (SSGA), SPYG tracks the S&P 500 Growth Index , which includes companies with strong earnings growth, revenue expansion, and innovative business models. This article will: Explain what SPYG is and its investment strategy. Analyze a covered call trade executed 60 days ago (buying SPYG at $103 and selling a call option at $102 for a $5 premium). Discuss why SPYG is a compelling investment for growth-oriented portfolios. 1. What Is SPYG? Overview SPYG is an ETF designed to replicate the performance of

$ABM Industries Inc(ABM)$ is scheduled to release its fiscal Q4 2025 earnings before the market opens on Wednesday, December 17, 2025, followed by a conference call at 8:30 AM ET. Earnings Consensus and Forecast The general market sentiment is a "Hold" consensus rating from analysts, with the stock trading near the lower end of its 52-week range. The expectation is for a solid year-over-year improvement in earnings. A significant miss or beat on these consensus numbers, especially a deviation from the expected year-over-year EPS growth, is the primary driver for post-earnings price movement. ABM Industries reported its fiscal Q3 2025 earnings on September 5, 2025. The results presented a mixed picture that highlighted the company's strong top-line

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ is my stock in focus today after breaking to a new all-time high last night. The move reflects a clear shift in sentiment, with investors looking past short-term EV delivery concerns and refocusing on Tesla’s long-term growth story. Momentum remains strong as the market reassesses Tesla’s future potential. The key driver behind the rally is the robotaxi and full self-driving hype. Progress in driverless testing has renewed optimism that Tesla is moving closer to commercial autonomy. As a result, investors are increasingly valuing Tesla as an AI and autonomous mobility platform rather than just an EV maker. That said, expectations are rising and volatility could follow. Execution risks remain, but the breakout shows the mark

I have held $Micron Technology(MU)$ in the past but now I just have $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ and $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$. Bigger, better, faster, stronger. Not bothered about tomorrow. More focused on 1 to 5 years out. I just collect more on the dips. I buy something every week. Whatever is cheap this week comparative to my long term thesis. I do not subscribe to a chip or Ai or data center bubble in the next few weeks. Realistically the narrative will change tomorrow, or next week. I set a course, and follow that course. Obviously I keep an eye out for a massive storm, or a change in the direction of the wind. But the wind is changing direction daily ATM and its only b

Labor market signals flashed red today as the US unemployment rate climbed to 4.6% in November, surpassing the 4.4% forecast and marking the highest level since September 2021. 😩 This softer-than-expected print, coupled with just 64,000 jobs added versus 180,000 expected, paints a picture of cooling momentum in the economy, sparking fresh bets on Fed easing to keep growth afloat. With wage growth ticking up 4.4%, but overall hiring slowing, investors are eyeing higher odds for rate cuts in 2026 – a move that could supercharge risk assets like tech giants and cyclicals. 😎 This data dump, delayed by the record-long government shutdown, also included partial October figures showing nonfarm payrolls at 119,000 and unemployment at 4.4%. The broader underemployment rate swelled to 8.7%, highligh

$FedEx(FDX)$'s fiscal Q2 (which ended on November 28, 2025) covers the crucial holiday shipping season, making it a very important report for investors. FedEx (FDX) Q2 2026 Earnings Analysis The consensus expectation is generally positive, driven by strong seasonal demand and the company's significant cost-cutting initiatives. Consensus Estimates Positive Pre-Report Sentiment: The Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) suggests a potential earnings beat, with the most accurate estimate ($4.10) being slightly above the consensus ($4.05). Key Growth Drivers: Cost Reductions (DRIVE Program): The market is looking for evidence that the massive cost-reduction program (aiming for $1 billion in savings in FY2026) is substantially boosting margi

📉 Market Red After Rate Cuts? Why This Is a Gift, Not a Crash Is the "Fed Pivot Party" over before it began? Or is this the shakeout we needed? 🚨 The Context: Why Is the Market Down? If you looked at your screen yesterday, it was ugly. US markets faced pressure, and that sentiment is bleeding into global tech today. But let’s be real: this is a classic "Sell the News" event. The market priced in the rate cuts weeks ago, so the immediate reaction is a pull-back. However, the narrative hasn’t broken. We are shifting from a tightening cycle to a liquidity easing cycle. The mistake many retail traders make right now is confusing a short-term sentiment flush with a long-term trend reversal. Here is why I am staying bullish and using this volatility to accumulate. 1️⃣ The "Perfect Trade" is a My

Micron’s upcoming Q1 FY26 earnings on Dec 17 are set against a backdrop of surging AI-driven demand for DRAM and HBM chips, with consensus expecting EPS near $3.8 and revenue around $12.6B. The stock has rallied over 200% YTD, but remains volatile given memory’s cyclical nature. My view this week is to approach MU with defined-risk spreads rather than outright calls: a Jan $240/$260 call spread offers upside participation if earnings beat and guidance is strong, while capping exposure if supply-cycle risks resurface. For diversification, I also like pairing MU with AMD, which benefits from AI GPU demand, creating a balanced semiconductor basket that captures both memory and compute momentum.

$Micron Technology(MU)$ $Nike(NKE)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ This is one of those weeks where positioning matters more than opinion, and most traders are leaning the wrong way. I’m stepping into this week with full situational awareness because the compression building across macro data, earnings revisions, political catalysts, and extreme short interest is not accidental. This is the kind of setup where volatility doesn’t announce itself politely. It arrives becaus

$Oklo Inc.(OKLO)$ $NANO Nuclear Energy Inc(NNE)$ $IONQ Inc.(IONQ)$ 🚀⚛️📈 OKLO Clears the Gate, Now the Tape Decides 📈⚛️🚀 $OKLO has just stepped through a real fundamental milestone, one that materially reduces execution risk. The Department of Energy in Idaho has approved Oklo’s initial safety plan for its proposed Aurora nuclear fuel facility. Importantly, this is the first project approved under the DOE’s new Fuel Line Pilot Program, a framework specifically designed to accelerate domestic nuclear fuel production. That is not symbolic approval, it is regulatory prioritisation. That regulatory progress now has to be read directly through the price action. After a

$Reddit(RDDT)$   Thank you indicator. Expecting more upside! 

Global markets are braced for a whirlwind week packed with labor and inflation fireworks that could send yields soaring or risk assets rocketing. 😲 With the Fed's hawkish cut still echoing and QT unleashing trillions in liquidity, Tuesday's delayed November jobs report and October retail sales could paint a cooling picture, unlocking more easing vibes if soft. Thursday's November CPI and PCE prints are the real powder kegs – sticky numbers crank up pressure on bonds, while cool reads boost cut odds to 90%. Add BOJ's potential hike on Friday and Triple Witching's volatility vortex, and this convergence could amplify moves like never before. 🌪️ Thin holiday volumes mean swings hit harder, but defensive plays shine if risk-off kicks in. Here's the breakdown to navigate the noise and nab oppor

🐾 Options Puppy Style: A Tail-Wagging Trade Update 🐾 (And a Deep Dive into Import Tax Receipts Decline) 🐶 Woof! My IWM Put Adventure 🐶 Bark-tastic Trade Alert! 🎉 Last week, I sniffed out a juicy opportunity with IWM (Russell 2000 ETF). Instead of chasing the big bones 🦴 (like buying at $255), I decided to play it safe and sell 4-day put options at $250 for a $1 premium. That’s a 0.4% profit in just 4 days! 🐕💨 Why this was a paw-some move: Not Greedy, Just Smart: 🧠 I didn’t let FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) take over. A small, steady profit is better than a risky gamble. Time Decay on My Side: ⏳