SMCI Roller Coaster: Are Risks Mounting?

Despite hitting a record $7.22B in quarterly revenue, Supermicro faces mounting risks—nearly 60% of its revenue comes from just two clients, 73% of receivables are under pressure, and a $150M financial gap needs fixing. Goldman Sachs’ latest report highlights valuation concerns. ----------------- As a shadow stock of Nvidia, which do you think is a better "buy the dip" opportunity—SMCI or Nvidia? Is SMCI's valuation reasonable? What is your target price for SMCI?

$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ Waiting for triple digits.. Won’t be long now
avatarToNi
02-18

Super Micro (SMCI): A Rising AI Server Star or Overhyped Bubble?

Stock Surge Amid Market Optimism Based on your provided stock chart, SMCI has seen an impressive rally, breaking above $48 with a 13% daily gain and continued strength in after-hours and overnight trading. This aligns with its ambitious $40 billion revenue target and the surging demand for AI servers. AI Server Boom: Opportunities and Risks Super Micro’s key advantage lies in its high-performance computing solutions, optimizing hardware for NVIDIA and AMD AI chips. With the rapid expansion of AI applications like ChatGPT, demand for AI servers has skyrocketed, driving SMCI’s sales growth. However, some analysts are skeptical about its “$40B” goal: • Intensifying Competition: Established players like Dell and HPE are doubling down on AI servers, and NVIDIA might adjust its supply chain stra
Super Micro (SMCI): A Rising AI Server Star or Overhyped Bubble?
avatarKKLEE
02-11
Super Micro Computer (SMCI) has delivered another impressive earnings report, fueled by strong demand for AI-driven infrastructure solutions. As the semiconductor sector rebounds, the question for investors is clear: Will chip giants like SMCI, Nvidia, and AMD continue their upward surge? Let's break down the factors driving this rally and assess the potential for sustained growth. Earnings Highlights SMCI reported solid revenue growth, beating market expectations, driven by surging demand for AI servers and cloud infrastructure solutions. The company’s strategic partnerships with industry leaders like Nvidia have positioned it as a key player in the AI hardware revolution. Management's bullish guidance suggests continued momentum in the upcoming quarters. Why Chip Giants Could Continue Su
SMCi post business update review. Breakdown of issues into either good and bad (no neutral). Good:  1. No restatement of accounts. Any restatement would have implications for the convertible bonds and evolve a great domino effect. 2. On track to file outstanding and upcoming Nasdaq returns on time. This is a very important development. Anything else would rock its financial standing again. 3. Project roughly 60%  growth next fiscal year. I'm rather puzzled with the large increase only to materialize next year. SMCI seems to be planning new plants with the new capital and projecting unfettered growth in the AI server industry. 4. DOJ and legal challenges update. Reinforced view that they are unmeritorious. I wouldn't worried about these
avatarMrzorro
02-26
Options Market Statistics: Super Micro Files Financial Reports Right Before Nasdaq's Deadline $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$   shares were down 11% on Tuesday while surging more than 20% in extended trading. The most traded puts are contracts of $30 strike price that expire on Feb 28 and the total volume reaching 39,159 with the open interest of 41,084. The traded calls are contracts of $50 strike price that expire on Feb 28. On Tuesday, the company filed its late financial reports to meet Nasdaq’s rules, easing worries that it might be removed from the stock exchange. The company released its 2024 fiscal year results in a filing with the SEC. It also submitted financial statements for the quarters ending
is it still above trend lines now after the 9 percent drop yesterday?
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$  Super Micro Computer (SMCI) is riding strong momentum ahead of its 10-K filing, and I believe the stock is primed for a breakout past $80 rather than a pullback to $50. Here's why:   1️⃣ Strong Fundamentals & AI Tailwinds – SMCI has been a key player in AI-driven server demand, benefiting from the explosive growth in high-performance computing. The company’s partnerships with Nvidia and AMD position it well to capitalize on the AI boom, driving strong revenue growth.   2️⃣ No Major Red Flags Expected in 10-K – Investors are watching closely for any surprises in the 10-K filing. If there are no material downward revisions or accounting concerns, confi
avatarJoeH123
03-26
Scary
avatarKKLEE
02-19
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$   Super Micro Computer (SMCI) has gained 16%, fueled by strong AI-driven demand. With the upcoming 10-K filing, investors are watching for potential catalysts—but will it reveal anything new, or is the stock’s trajectory already set? Why the 10-K May Be a Non-Event No Major Surprises Expected – SMCI has been transparent in earnings calls, and the 10-K is unlikely to contain game-changing updates. Momentum Already in Play – The rally is largely driven by AI sector strength and institutional accumulation, not regulatory filings. Fundamentals Remain Strong – The company’s growth trajectory is well-established, making the 10-K more of a routine disclosure than a market-moving event. What Could Still Matter? M

🚀 Growth Stock Earnings Week – Make Your Predictions & Win Rewards!

Last week, we saw $Skyworks Solutions(SWKS)$ plunge 23% after earnings, while $Pinterest, Inc.(PINS)$ soared 19%. Growth stocks tend to be highly volatile around earnings due to their high valuations and market expectations. This week, major growth stocks SMCI, COIN, PANW, ROKU, APP, RDDT, and UPST are set to report their earnings—what surprises will they bring? Which stock do you believe will deliver the biggest post-earnings surge? Share your predictions in the comments!📊 Earnings OutlookHow do you view this week’s earnings for growth stocks? Among SMCI, COIN, PANW, ROKU, APP, RDDT, and UPST, which one are you most bullish on? Which company do you think will see the biggest post-earnings rally?
🚀 Growth Stock Earnings Week – Make Your Predictions & Win Rewards!
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ SMCI’s wild ride reflects both its AI-driven potential and growing risks. Valuation is stretched, and supply chain pressures remain, but AI infrastructure demand is a strong tailwind. Short-term volatility is high, but long-term prospects still look promising.
SMCI is the 1 Big Win. AI Server Dominance: SMCI is a leader in AI-optimized servers, partnering with NVIDIA (Blackwell GPUs) and Microsoft to meet surging demand for AI infrastructure. FY2026 Revenue Guidance: $40 billion (70% growth from FY2025), deemed "conservative" by CEO Charles Liang. Historic Price Surge: 5-Year Return: +1,336% (driven by generative AI boom and cloud adoption). 52-Week High: $122.90 (March 2024), though shares corrected to $56.07 by February 2025. Market Sentiment & Catalysts: News Highlights: Strategic AI partnerships, bullish revenue cycles, and data center sector growth (9.29% CAGR projected through 2033). Options Activity: Elevated implied volatility and gamma spikes near key price levels amplified speculative interest. Financial Metrics: Valuation: P/E 27.
avatarAh_Meng
02-04
$SMIC(00981)$   A new high and an ATH coming... taking out $44 is a matter of hours, if not minutes... SMIC stands out as a Chinese based chips manufacturer. I have stated a year or two before that it stands to gain from US ban on advanced chips to China (Not sure how to link my old article- anyone can share?).  Why? Simple - 2 important reasons. 1) Chinese companies have no choice but to buy from SMIC due to the US advanced chips ban. Donald Trump will likely continue what his predecessor did in this aspect. 2) Chinese government's support [USD]  [Allin]  [Allin]  [USD]  No matter how badly the rest of the economy is doing, Chinese government is throwing its weight behind technology co
avatarToNi
02-07

Super Micro Computer (SMCI): A Strong Bet on the AI Boom?

SMCI surged 7.21% to close at $36.28, continuing its upward momentum in after-hours trading. This rally aligns with the company’s latest strategic advancements—full-scale production of AI data center solutions powered by NVIDIA’s Blackwell platform. Why SMCI Could Be a Strong Buy? 1️⃣ AI Infrastructure Leader: SMCI is expanding its AI server solutions, solidifying its position as a key player in the AI-driven data center revolution. As demand for high-performance computing (HPC) and AI workloads rises, SMCI stands to benefit. 2️⃣ Strong Market Momentum: The stock is up significantly in the past few weeks, with today’s rally reflecting investor confidence. The moving averages indicate a potential bullish breakout, with price action surpassing key technical levels. 3️⃣ Upcoming Business Upda
Super Micro Computer (SMCI): A Strong Bet on the AI Boom?
avatarjethro
02-11
Here are the latest developments and outlook for Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) this week: Current Stock Information - Current Price: $40.94 - Market Change: -4.01% - Volume: 46.522 million shares traded - 52-Week Range: $17.25 - $122.90 - Market Cap: $23.973 billion Recent Developments Earnings Report: SMCI's earnings report was released on February 11, 2025. This report is critical as it provides insights into the company's financial performance and future outlook. Market Response: The stock has seen a decline of 4.01% in the current trading session, indicating some negative market sentiment following the earnings announcement. Analyst Rating: The average analyst rating for SMCI is 2.8, which suggests a "Hold" position, indicating that analysts are cautious about the stock's short-ter
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ SMCI’s wild swings raise concerns, but are risks truly mounting? Valuation remains high, and supply chain pressures could weigh on margins. However, AI server demand keeps growth strong, and institutional interest provides support. A pullback is possible, but long-term tailwinds remain intact. Watch for key levels before making a move.
avatargib88
02-21
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$  Revenue Growth and Profit Margins: Investors will closely examine SMCI’s revenue growth, particularly in its AI and data center segments. Any signs of slowing growth or margin compression could weigh on the stock. Guidance and Outlook: The 10-K may provide insights into management’s expectations for the coming year. Strong guidance could fuel a breakout, while cautious commentary might trigger a pullback. Supply Chain and Inventory Levels: SMCI’s ability to manage supply chain challenges and inventory levels will be critical. Any indications of bottlenecks or excess inventory could spook investors. Competitive Positioning: With increasing competition in the AI hardware space, SMCIs a
I opened 2221.0 share(s) $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$  ,Buying in view of business update on 11 Feb and subsequent announcement - Supermicro Ramps Full Production of NVIDIA Blackwell Rack-Scale Solutions with NVIDIA HGX B200. Second batch of buying. First batch at ~$29 and sold at ~$33.  What to expect for the business update on 11 Feb? 1. SMCI to likely update on Nasdaq outstanding filing progress. Date is primed exactly 2 weeks before the deadline. Failure to provide any updates with time ticking down would mean collapse in share price. The announcement arrested the fall. If SMCI sought another extension, expect SMCI's share price to fall hard. Market would view accounting issues deeper than expected and dishono
avatarTGBboon
02-18
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ patience is key! finally sold at a positive price!
avatarHENG8
02-19
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$   Will 10-k be a turning point. Super micro scale-up Blackwell production. Q3 2025? bullish. "Combined with exceptional product quality, service, software, networking, and security with data center building blocks, Supermicro will expand our leadership as the premier US-based data center infrastructure solution provider. We anticipate this technology transition sets a strong foundation for us now, resulting in FY25 revenue in the range of $23.5 billion to $25 billion, paving the way for $40 billion revenue in FY26.” after filed 10-K definitely going be a turning point.
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