SMCI Roller Coaster: Are Risks Mounting?

Despite hitting a record $7.22B in quarterly revenue, Supermicro faces mounting risks—nearly 60% of its revenue comes from just two clients, 73% of receivables are under pressure, and a $150M financial gap needs fixing. Goldman Sachs’ latest report highlights valuation concerns. ----------------- As a shadow stock of Nvidia, which do you think is a better "buy the dip" opportunity—SMCI or Nvidia? Is SMCI's valuation reasonable? What is your target price for SMCI?

avatarJimmyHua
04-22 06:22
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ Let’s be real—SMCI’s recent chart looks like a theme park ride. Up 300%, down 25% in days, back up again… now what?Here’s why I’m worried the risks are starting to pile up:Valuation’s in the stratosphereEven after the dip, it’s still trading like AI demand will go vertical forever. Any slowdown? Boom—P/E collapse.Supply chain strainSMCI isn’t Nvidia—it still relies heavily on server component vendors. Any hiccup in delivery = earnings risk.Retail crowd dominanceLet’s be honest, a lot of this run was fueled by FOMO. That can vanish fast when sentiment flips.My take?I’m not shorting it (too dangerous), but I’m not jumping in here either. The air’s getting thin up here, and gravity’s real.
avatarWendyOneP
04-22 06:23
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ Yes, SMCI has been wild. That’s what hyper-growth looks like. If you can’t handle the volatility, you might miss the bigger story.Here’s why I’m still bullish:Core business is boomingThey’re not some hype shell—they’re shipping real AI server racks, and demand is outpacing capacity.Massive tailwinds from Nvidia & enterprise AIEvery time Nvidia wins, SMCI wins too. They’re symbiotic—and SMCI is cheaper by comparison.Founder-led, agile modelLean ops + quick response to demand = exactly what hyperscalers want right now.My play?Using dips to scale in with tight stops. Yes, it’s risky. But so was Nvidia at $150. This is the kind of name that rewards guts.
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ SHORTS COVERED WHICH CAN EXPLAIN TODAY 10% PRICE UP! Short Covering: The most plausible explanation is that a significant number of short sellers have covered their positions. This means they bought back the shares they borrowed and sold, closing out their short positions. If the short interest dropped from, say, 5.5 million to 1.5 million, that’s 4 million shares bought back. This buying activity can put upward pressure on the stock price, as short sellers are effectively adding demand to the market by purchasing shares to return to lenders.
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ we’re hittin $40 by Friday. No ifs no maybes it’s happenin. the stock just ran 13% in a day that ain’t retail that’s big money steppin in and shorts gettin absolutley fked. High volume slammed the close still runnin after hours. buckle up boys girls and everyone in
avatarjethro
03-01
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$  Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) has experienced a rollercoaster ride in recent months, with its stock price fluctuating dramatically. Since its earnings report on February 25, 2025, the outlook for SMCI remains mixed, with potential for growth but also significant investment risks. Potential for Growth - Booming AI Server Market: SMCI is a major player in the rapidly growing AI server market, driven by the increasing adoption of AI and data centers. The company's direct-liquid cooling (DLC) technology is expected to see widespread adoption, further enhancing its market share and revenue potential. - Strong Revenue Projections: SMCI has projected revenue of $40 billion for fiscal yea
avatarBarcode
02-18
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$  📈 🅑 🅤 🅛 🅛 🅘 🅢 🅗 📈   📈💹🚀 $SMCI - Momentum about to tick up 💪🚀📈 Super Micro Computer, Inc. (NASDAQ: SMCI) is riding the AI wave, surging 57.19% YTD, with AI server demand soaring as it cements its dominance in enterprise, cloud, AI, and 5G markets. Institutions are paying attention; 33 hedge funds now hold positions, reflecting strong confidence in SMCI’s long-term trajectory. 🐳 Options Whale Activity, Institutions Making Big Bets Big money is moving into SMCI, and the options tape tells the story. A $48,400 call sweep involving 77,700 contracts signals institutional traders positioning for more upside 📈💹📈 Overnight trading has already pushed SMCI to $50.01, suggesting momentum is building. 🔑 Fibonacci Lev

Super Micro's Earnings Mirage: A Delayed Reality Check or a Savvy Rebound Strategy?

Super Micro Computer, Inc. ( $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ ) recently “announced” its earnings report, but in reality, what it released was a preliminary estimate rather than an official filing. Given its history of reporting delays, this move raises serious concerns about whether SMCI is playing for time again. At the same time, the company attempted to bolster investor confidence by unveiling an ambitious vision for 2026 revenue, which, given current industry dynamics, appears increasingly unrealistic. Let’s analyze whether this narrative can sustain the recent rally—or if it’s just a mirage. The "Earnings Report" That Wasn’t Really an Earnings Report On February 12, 2025, SMCI provided preliminary financial results for its fiscal second quar
Super Micro's Earnings Mirage: A Delayed Reality Check or a Savvy Rebound Strategy?

Are Some Investors Bullish on Supermicro Possibly Delisting?

Server and storage solution manufacturer Super Micro Computer, Inc. (NASDAQ: $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$) – better known as "Supermicro" – has been having a rough time of late. In October last year, their long-time auditor Ernst & Young ended their association, stating that it no longer had confidence in management’s statements and no longer wanted to be associated with the financial reports prepared. The company reported a month later that it has now retained BDO USA as its auditor to stay compliant with listing requirements at Nasdaq. Ernst & Young's decision was preceded by the U.S. Department of Justice (DoJ) opening an investigation into the company following an exposé alleging "accounting manipulation" by now-defunct s
Are Some Investors Bullish on Supermicro Possibly Delisting?

🚨🚨Market Analysis for February 19, 2025

Global Equity Markets 1. **US Markets**:      - The **S&P 500** rose 0.24% to a fresh closing high of 6,148.8, driven by tech resilience and optimism ahead of the FOMC meeting minutes. The **Nasdaq** gained 0.07%, while the **Dow** edged up 0.02% to 44,657.0, reflecting a cautious but positive sentiment .      - **Tech Sector**: NVIDIA (+3.4%) and Tesla (+5%) led gains, supported by AI-driven demand and strong earnings. However, Intel (INTC) and HP Inc. (HPQ) are showing bullish technical signals, with Intel’s 5dEMA crossing the 200dEMA and HP’s MACD turning positive .   2. **Asia-Pacific**:      - **Hang Seng**: Jumped 2.24%, driven by Alibaba (+8.6%) and Xiaomi (+4.8%) on AI optimism. The **Shanghai Composite** ros
🚨🚨Market Analysis for February 19, 2025

Super Micro Computer (SMCI) Expenses And Inventory Management To Watch

$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ will be reporting its fiscal Q2 2025 results on 11 Feb after market close. We saw SMCI shares surged last Friday (07 Feb) which extend gains ahead of its earnings update. It was up more than 5% in late Friday session, this helped it to become one of the best-performing stocks in S&P 50 despite all eleven S&P 500 sectors are in the red. SMCI comment on 05 Feb (Wednesday) that it is ramping to “full production availability” of its artificial intelligence data center solutions platform, which is “accelerated by the $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Blackwell platform. But we will need to see more details. The consensus EPS forecast is estimated to come in at $0.61 higher than the same p
Super Micro Computer (SMCI) Expenses And Inventory Management To Watch
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ Waiting for triple digits.. Won’t be long now

Weekly | DeepSeek Breaks US Computing Power Blockade, China's Assets Surge!

The first week of the Year of the Snake saw a stellar performance in Hong Kong stocks, with the $HSI(HSI)$ rising 4.49% weekly, hitting its highest level since mid-October last year!"Sputnik Moment" for AIThe buzz around DeepSeek continues to grow. Marc Andreessen, the godfather of Wall Street venture capital, called it a "Sputnik Moment" for AI!For context, the "Sputnik Moment" refers to 1957 when the Soviet Union launched the first artificial satellite, Sputnik 1, shocking the U.S. and igniting a tech race.DeepSeek's emergence has shattered the U.S. blockade on compute power, making it possible for Chinese AI to surpass the U.S. This has stirred up the capital markets. Deutsche Bank released a report predicting that 2025 will be the year China ov
Weekly | DeepSeek Breaks US Computing Power Blockade, China's Assets Surge!

Super Micro Earnings & Guidance, The Stock Roller Coaster On News!

$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ Super Micro has just released its latest quarterly figures, and the after-hours market reaction has been quite dramatic. At the time of article, the stock is up around 8% to 9%. However, earlier in after-hours trading, the stock had dropped by as much as 15%—possibly even lower—before rebounding. That’s a massive swing within just a few hours. Let’s dive into the good and the bad from this earnings report. Also, if you're wondering whether their 10-K filing has been submitted—no, it has not. Earning Overview This isn’t a finalized earnings report, but the company has provided preliminary figures. For the current quarter, net sales came in at approximately $5.6 to $5.7 billion, reflecting a 54% year-over-year growth
Super Micro Earnings & Guidance, The Stock Roller Coaster On News!

【Weekly wealth trends】Gold prices hit a record high, Powell in the spotlight this week

Hello, Tigers!On Monday night, U.S. stock index futures declined, while the dollar and gold rose, signaling that investors were pulling away from risk after President Donald Trump announced a 25% tariff on all U.S. imports of steel and aluminum. The demand for safe-haven assets briefly pushed gold prices above $2,921 for the first time on Tuesday. Meanwhile, Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech at this week’s Federal Reserve meeting has become a key focus for global investors.Currently, global market sentiment is highly sensitive, and many investors are feeling uncertain—concerned about the impact of tariffs but also hesitant to miss out on the ongoing tech boom.So, how should investment strategies be adjusted this week? Let's first analyze the key events:1.Trump Plans to Impose a 25% Tariff o
【Weekly wealth trends】Gold prices hit a record high, Powell in the spotlight this week
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ $SMCI don’t worry about whatever bullshit this is. Her is the big picture of where we are going.

SaaS Gold Rush 2025: Monday.com Is Riding the AI Wave!

The SaaS sector may be the sector that benefits most from AI right nowThe first signs of strong performance in 2025 are already emerging, as the $WisdomTree Cloud Computing Fund(WCLD)$ , an ETF tracking the SaaS sector, is up 9.65% year-to-date, significantly outperforming $S&P 500(.SPX)$ which is up 9.65% year-to-date, significantly outperforming the $S&P 500 (.SPX)$ by +3.1% and the $ndxby 3.18%.This trend confirms the market's previous expectation of "AI penetration from hardware to software" - AI is shifting from underlying arithmetic support to actual business scenarios on a large scale, becoming an important driver of SaaS enterprise growth.
SaaS Gold Rush 2025: Monday.com Is Riding the AI Wave!
🚨🚨Global Equity Markets 11 Feb  US Markets   - **S&P 500**: Flat near 6,000 amid mixed sentiment. Tech stocks (Nvidia +3%, AMD +2%) rebounded on AI optimism, offsetting tariff jitters. Resistance at 6,123.30; support at 5,923.40 .     - **Nasdaq**: Gained 0.8%, lifted by semiconductor stocks. **Boeing** (-2%) lagged on FAA safety concerns, while **Apple** (+1.5%) rose on iPhone 16 demand .     - **Dow Jones**: Fell 0.3% as industrials (Caterpillar -4%) slumped on weak global machinery demand .   Asia/Europe     - **Hang Seng**: Jumped 1.8% on Alibaba (+5%) and Tencent (+3%) gains, shrugging off US-China trade tensions. Key resistance at 22,000 .     - **Nikkei 225**: Dropped 0.6% as yen strength (USD/JPY 15
is it still above trend lines now after the 9 percent drop yesterday?
avatarKKLEE
02-10
The semiconductor sector has shown signs of recovery, with ON Semiconductor (ON), Super Micro Computer (SMCI), and Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC) recently reporting earnings. As demand for chips stabilizes and new growth drivers emerge, traders are asking: Can the semiconductor industry sustain its rebound? Let’s break down the earnings highlights and factors shaping the outlook for this critical tech sector. Earnings Highlights ON Semiconductor (ON) Strong demand for automotive and industrial applications supported revenue growth. The company's focus on silicon carbide (SiC) technology for EVs positions it well for future growth. Management provided optimistic guidance for upcoming quarters despite supply chain challenges. Super Micro Computer (SMCI) Benefiti
avatarJoeH123
03-26
Scary
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