Market Down 3 Days! Valuations Too High: Would You Hedge?

U.S. stocks have fallen for three consecutive days, with all three major indexes giving back their post-Fed September meeting gains. Strong economic data has added uncertainty to the future rate-cut path, while tech giants continue to show weakness. 1. Do you think this is a healthy pullback? 2. Do you agree with Powell that U.S. equities are overvalued? 3. Can upcoming earnings season justify the current lofty valuations? 4. Would you choose to take some profits or fully hedge your portfolio?

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avatarECLC
09-27
Welcome the pullbacks as the valuations seem high. Waiting to buy on further corrections.
I had seld sell call options and most of them being exercised. However, I still got hold on to those losing shares that I never cut loss. I still think there is miracle like $Sea Ltd(SE)$ $Intel(INTC)$ $Alibaba(BABA)$
avatarSpiders
09-27

The Quiet Power of Dividends: Why I Invest in TLT and TLH

One of the things I love most about investing is the steady rhythm of dividend income. For me, this is why I gravitate toward TLT and TLH. Unlike growth stocks, which can soar or crash without warning, these treasury bond ETFs provide a monthly dividend. And there’s something surprisingly comforting about that. Every month, there’s a small but reliable payoff that I can actually look forward to. iShares 10-20 Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLH) iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) It’s not just the money, it’s the psychology. Dividend income gives me a sense of progress, a tangible reward for staying invested and patient. Even when the market moves unpredictably, those dividends feel like a gentle reminder that my money is still working for me. I also appreciate the relative safety of these E
The Quiet Power of Dividends: Why I Invest in TLT and TLH
avatarChowk
09-26
Yes I think valuations are too high! Pullback is normal as investors take profit. Will this be a long pull or just a breather ? That is the million dollar question. S&P is just off at all time high.  I believe it's buoyed by the AI run from Nvidia to Oracle to Palantir. How long will the AI run go on? Tesla is coming off a big bear run and buoyed by renewed good news on the car delivery front. Or did the make up with Trump have anything to do with it ? Perhaps new products from Tesla will push it higher. How what about the rest? Has AI run its course like the Internet boom that crashed spectacularly in 2000/01? Looking at big tech it's more software driven now than the hardware run in 2000. Once the prized possession like Gpu/cpu become mainstream or easily attainable that wi
avatarHussyn
09-26
Three red days don’t change the long-term trend. Corrections are healthy, especially after big rallies. For long-term investors, dips are opportunities — not signals to panic. Hedging only makes sense if you’re trading short-term.

🤔Bubble Carnival or "Baby Bubble"? Indexes & MAG7 Valuation Amid the AI Boom

[Heart]Hello Tigers,Is the US market curently a Carnival Before the Bubble Bursts or a "Baby Bubble"?[Allin]On September 25, the three major U.S. stock indices closed lower for the third consecutive day: the $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ fell 0.38%, erasing all gains since the Federal Reserve signaled a "50bp rate cut" on September 18; the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ dropped another 0.5%, with a cumulative 1.8% decline over three days; and the $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ also fell 0.5%, showing obvious short-term pressure.Latest Valuation Check-Up: Big-3 Indexes & Mag-7 at a Glance:TickerLatest Price($)YTD 2025TTW P/EForward P/EAverage P/E in 10 yrsForward P/E VS. Average P/E in 10 yrs
🤔Bubble Carnival or "Baby Bubble"? Indexes & MAG7 Valuation Amid the AI Boom
🚨🚨A summary of the global market analysis for today, September 26, 2025, highlights mixed sentiment driven by central bank policy, economic data, and geopolitical trade tensions. Global Market Summary  1. US Markets (As of September 25 Close/September 26 Futures):  * Positive Weekly Trend: Despite a modest midweek pullback, major US indices (NASDAQ, S&P 500, Dow) finished the prior week strongly, with the NASDAQ up over 2% and the S&P 500 and Dow up over 1%.  * Federal Reserve: The Fed delivered a quarter-point interest rate cut—the first since late 2024. However, stronger-than-expected US economic data has caused traders to pare back expectations for aggressive future rate cuts, with bets shifting from four to six cuts by the end of 2026 to potentially four at most.

U.S. Market Morning Recap | September 26

1. Macro Drivers Tariff Overhang – Trump announced new tariffs, set to take effect in October, covering drugs, heavy trucks and furniture. Healthcare and biotech names were hit hardest. Cooling Rate-Cut Hopes – Stronger-than-expected durable goods and labor data trimmed expectations for a year-end Fed cut. Key Data Ahead – Core PCE inflation prints later today; markets are bracing for a directional catalyst. 2. Market Performance Indices – S&P 500 opened down about 0.5%, Nasdaq lower by 0.4%, both trading in a choppy, risk-off tone. Sector Moves – Healthcare/Biotech: leading laggards on tariff headlines Tech/Semiconductors: valuation pressure rising as yields stay firm Utilities/Energy/Infrastructure: relative resilience, attracting defensive flows 3. Stock Highlights NVIDIA (NVDA) – R
U.S. Market Morning Recap | September 26
Tech is down but momentum shifted to nuclear energy and critical minerals stocks. Also keeping a look out for those oil stocks.

Big-Tech Weekly | AMZN at Low PE, AI Catalysts Ahead?​ Intel's Rebound Just Begin!

Big-Tech’s PerformanceMacro Headlines This Week:The market is reassessing rate cut expectations. Due to slightly stronger economic data (particularly employment-related indicators), the market has been forced to adjust its expectations for further rate cuts. Some participants are questioning whether the labor market is more resilient than anticipated, leading to a resurgence in the U.S. dollar's strength. The three major indices all hit weekly lows as investors worry that the Federal Reserve might slow the pace of rate cuts. Meanwhile, technical corrections and profit-taking emerged in the market, with U.S. Treasury yields (long-end) rising, putting pressure on high-valuation tech and growth stocks.Political pressures on central bank independence, potential U.S. government shutdown, and co
Big-Tech Weekly | AMZN at Low PE, AI Catalysts Ahead?​ Intel's Rebound Just Begin!
avatarAh Wong
09-26
Seems like energy and utilities have more aggressive moment then tech sector. Anyone monitoring this sector ?

Why Diversifiers To Manage U.S. Stocks Valuation Concerns and Macro Risks.

When U.S. equities are expensive, investors often look for diversifiers to manage valuation and macro risks. In this article, I would like to share how we are breaking them down into three parts: U.S. stock valuations, Precious metals, Cryptocurrencies With this approach, we will pull them together in portfolio terms. U.S. Stock Valuations Current backdrop: U.S. equities (S&P 500, Nasdaq) trade at forward P/E ~20–22x, above long-term averages (~15–16x). This leaves limited margin of safety. Macro risks: Rate cuts may support valuations, but sticky inflation, slowing earnings growth, or geopolitical shocks could expose downside. Implication: Overvaluation suggests future returns (next 5–7 years) may be below average. S&P 500 Forward P/E ratio as of 25 Sep 2025 is at 23.45, in late A
Why Diversifiers To Manage U.S. Stocks Valuation Concerns and Macro Risks.
Powell’s remark highlights a growing concern—valuations are stretched, especially with the S&P 500 trading well above historical averages. Elevated multiples leave less margin for error, making the market more sensitive to macro shocks or earnings disappointments. A correction, even if brief, would not be surprising as investors reassess risk premiums. That said, seasonality still matters. Historically, U.S. equities often climb into year-end, supported by window-dressing, holiday spending, and year-end liquidity flows. Unless economic data sharply weakens or policy guidance turns more hawkish, the recent pullback may remain shallow rather than a full reversal. In short: Powell’s warning could spark choppiness, but without a major catalyst, it may play out as consolidation rather than
avatarxc__
09-26

Powell's Valuation Bombshell: Brace for a Stealth Correction or Santa's Early Exit?

The Fed's top voice dropping truth bombs on frothy equities isn't just chatter—it's a market mood-killer that's already shaved points off the bulls' parade. With the benchmark index flirting with nosebleed multiples and tech titans stumbling, the big question boils down to survival tactics: Lock in gains, dial up defense, or ride the seasonal wave? Digging into the data, sentiment, and street-smart moves reveals a landscape primed for volatility, but not total Armageddon. Here's the unvarnished playbook to navigate this tightrope without face-planting. Valuation Reality Check: Premium Pricing or Bubble Territory? Eye-popping metrics paint a picture of exuberance on steroids. The trailing P/E has surged to 30.58, a full 50% above the long-term norm of around 20, while forward estimates hove
Powell's Valuation Bombshell: Brace for a Stealth Correction or Santa's Early Exit?

US Comps Slow: Is Costco Hitting The Stagflation?

$Costco(COST)$ performance in fiscal Q4 2025 (ended August 31) came in as neutral overall, showing resilience with positive undertones despite some pressures. The company achieved double-digit growth in both revenue and net income, with EPS beating expectations and membership fees remaining a core profit driver. However, underlying concerns include slightly underwhelming U.S. comparable sales growth, a sequential slowdown in comp sales, and emerging signs of pressure on membership renewal rates.In the short term, valuations are under strain as the market holds high growth expectations, leading to a cautious after-hours stock reaction. If Costco can deliver on membership upgrades, site expansions, and e-commerce transformations, its
US Comps Slow: Is Costco Hitting The Stagflation?

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avatarAN88
09-26
Buy gold and Bitcoin 

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avatarvc888
09-25
AI-driven market momentum remains incredibly strong, with no clear signs of a bearish reversal despite elevated valuations and bubble concerns. Nvidia continues to fuel AI enthusiasm with major deals, supporting ongoing bullish sentiment in tech and growth stocks. Breadth indicators and growth/value overlays show some yellow flags, but no decisive bearish triggers have occurred yet. Stay firmly invested and ride the rally confidently, as robust earnings outlook and price action suggest the bull market is primed for a further