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Tariff War Escalates After The OBBBA!

The Market and Fiscal Impact of U.S. Economic Policy"Short-term and long-term effects of the "Bigger and Better BillShort-term impact: The passage of the bill will directly boost confidence in the U.S. market, enhance investor expectations through the release of policy dividends, and promote capital market activity.Long-term impact: alleviate the market's concern about U.S. fiscal sustainability.The bill may optimize the efficiency of fiscal spending through structural reforms and reduce expectations of debt default risk.Evolving trends in trade friction and corporate impactForecast of the pattern after the July 9 tariff war pause periodPolicy continuity: The three-month pause period is likely to be extended, but it is difficult to see substantial improvement in the tariff structure.The Un
Tariff War Escalates After The OBBBA!

BIG TECH WEEKLY | Apple Chases Innovation🔋, META Steals Brains🧠, and ADP & NFP Just Keep Arguing

Big-Tech’s PerformanceMacro Headlines This Week:“The Great and Beautiful” bill passes; conflicting employment data; U.S.-Vietnam tariff deal reached, but July 9 deadline looms?The "Great and Beautiful" Bill, championed by Trump, passed the Senate in a 50-50 tie (with Vance casting the decisive vote). The House also approved it on July 3, and it's expected to be signed into law on July 4. While markets fear it may worsen the fiscal deficit, it could provide a short-term economic boost — potentially just the beginning. In response, Elon Musk once again lashed out, threatening to form a new political force to oppose it.Employment Data Clash:June ADP report showed a drop of 33,000 jobs (vs. forecast of +98,000), pushing the probability of a July rate cut to over 27%.However, the next day, the
BIG TECH WEEKLY | Apple Chases Innovation🔋, META Steals Brains🧠, and ADP & NFP Just Keep Arguing

AI Winner Biggest Selling Since "Deepseek Moment", What Is Momentum Unwind?

On the first trading day of the second half of the year, an hour and a half after the opening bell (around 10:30), a number of leading U.S. stocks ( $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ , $Broadcom(AVGO)$ , $Netflix(NFLX)$ , $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ , etc.) collectively fell sharply, driving $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ back to trigger widespread market concern.The immediate cause was a momentum pullback (momentum unwind)Institutions focused on selling previously outperforming momentum stocks (e.g., AI, arithmetic related) at the beginning of the second half of the year, leading to short-term liquidity const
AI Winner Biggest Selling Since "Deepseek Moment", What Is Momentum Unwind?

📊HOOD at $92! How Tokenization Ignited 147% YTD Rally​

HOOD stock has soared to an all-time high, driven by the fintech trading app's launch of a series of new cryptocurrency-related products. $Robinhood(HOOD)$ a trading platform with a mission to popularize investing in the financial markets, recently announced a series of groundbreaking initiatives at the "Robinhood Presents: Capture the Token" event held in Cannes, France on June 30, 2025, includingLaunch of stock tokensDeveloped Layer 2 blockchainExpansion of the cryptocurrency service suite to cover features such as perpetual futures and pledging.These developments not only enhance Robin Hood's platform capabilities, but also position it as a pioneer in the convergence of traditional finance and blockchain technology.Stock tokens: opening the US
📊HOOD at $92! How Tokenization Ignited 147% YTD Rally​

​​Dark Horse Alert:​​ Oracle's Cloud Gamble Pays Off with AI Megadeals!

$Oracle(ORCL)$ led the tech sector higher on Monday, led by CEO Safra Catz, who hailed a "strong" start to fiscal 2026 and said in a filing with the SEC that "cloud database revenues continue to grow at more than 100%, with the signing of several large-scalecloud services agreements, one of which is expected to contribute more than $30 billion in annual revenue beginning in fiscal 2028."While higher capital expenditures will lead to further gross margin compression in the near term, the management team is extremely adept at managing expenses.This, coupled with an increased focus on new business through physical infrastructure rather than human labor, should allow revenues to grow significantly faster than operating expenses over the next few years
​​Dark Horse Alert:​​ Oracle's Cloud Gamble Pays Off with AI Megadeals!

Bank Stocks Explode: 15% Gains in 10 Days Before Fed Cuts!​

Bank Sector Trend Review: the Cycle Rises Again, Valuation Fixes Drive Collective UpsideSince June 2025, the U.S. banking sector has significantly outperformed the broader market, especially the shares of systemic banks (JPM, BAC, C, WFC) and investment banking duo (GS, MS) have recorded gains of 5%-15%, with $SPDR S&P Bank ETF(KBE)$ and the large bank ETF $Invesco KBW Bank ETF(KBWB)$ rising about 11% and 13% respectively, strongly reflecting the warming market sentiment and the sector's valuation repair. KBWBrose about 11% and 13%, respectively, strongly reflecting the rebound in market sentiment and sector valuation repair.Key driversStrengthened expectations of spread widening:Although the Federal R
Bank Stocks Explode: 15% Gains in 10 Days Before Fed Cuts!​

BIG TECH WEEKLY | NVDA To $6T? Tech FOMO Gets Louder; Robotaxi Faces Mixed Signals

Big-Tech’s PerformanceWeek Macro Highlights: Diverging Markets Amid Peace; Is the Fed Splitting Too?The Israel-Iran conflict appears to have reached a temporary conclusion this week. Although the U.S. launched strikes on three Iranian nuclear facilities, escalating tensions, a ceasefire was soon reached between Israel and Iran, easing market concerns. U.S. equities showed divergence: while the Nasdaq 100, driven by tech stocks, hit new highs, the Dow Jones, with its traditional energy sector heavyweights, remained below its peak.Fed Chair Jerome Powell is facing off directly with Trump. Regardless of Trump's accusations that he's acting “too late,” Powell remained unmoved on rate cuts. In his congressional testimony this week, he emphasized a reluctance to “take the blame” and expressed co
BIG TECH WEEKLY | NVDA To $6T? Tech FOMO Gets Louder; Robotaxi Faces Mixed Signals

39% Gross Margin Rebound! Micron Rewrites Storage Rules in AI Era—Who’s Next?

$Micron Technology(MU)$ Q3 FY2025 results for the quarter ended 5/2025 show that the company is benefiting significantly from AI-driven storage demand, with revenues and earnings exceeding expectations, and improvements in gross margin and operating income reflecting strong operational capabilities.Rapid growth in the data center business and sell-out of HBM underscore the company's competitive advantage in high-growth markets.Optimistic guidance for the fourth quarter further supports the potential for a valuation revaluation.Investors should keep an eye on Micron's continued expansion in the AI market, execution of its capex program, and potential industry cyclical risks.Overall, Micron's strategic positioning and financial performance make it a n
39% Gross Margin Rebound! Micron Rewrites Storage Rules in AI Era—Who’s Next?

2026 No Clue: FedEx’s Silent Warning on Global Trade​

$FedEx(FDX)$ reported Q4 FY2025 earnings after hours.While the market environment was complex during the quarter, the company's strategy execution was strong, with revenue and EPS exceeding expectations, cost savings from the DRIVE program paying off, and the planned spin-off of the freight division providing potential for future valuation repricing.However, the suspension of full-year guidance for FY2026 and headwinds in the international export business may have triggered short-term volatility in the market, making Q4 earnings mixed, and its global trade policies, demand trends, and the execution of the company's cost savings and spin-off programs have led to slightly more conservative guidance and revenue expectations that are slightly lower tha
2026 No Clue: FedEx’s Silent Warning on Global Trade​

Your Car = Money Machine? Tesla's 'Sleeping Fleet' Revolution

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Robotaxi is officially on the road in Austin, and while the early feedback has been a bit more optimistic than the market predicted, and represents a disruptive innovation in the transportation industry, the road to commercialization is still uncertain.The main concerns are1. actual FSD progress (moving away from hard indicators such as intervention mileage)2. regulatory environment evolution (legislative developments in key markets)3. Capital allocation strategy (balancing Robotaxi investment with traditional business needs)Overall Industry LandscapeCurrently, there are three main operating models in the Robotaxi sector:Pure technology providers (e.g., $Alphabet(GOOG)$ 's Waymo): foc
Your Car = Money Machine? Tesla's 'Sleeping Fleet' Revolution

How Will Meituan Survive From Dual "Delivery Wars"

$700 major shareholder, South African newspaper group $ Naspers (Tencent South Africa's major shareholder) (NPSNY) $, in its just released annual report, showed that it intends to reduce its holdings of $ $ 4 billion (71 billion South African rand) worth of $ Meituan-W (03690) $, which were distributed out by Tencent in the form of a "special dividend" that year . These shares were distributed by Tencent in the form of a "special dividend" that year.Core EventsMeituan has entered Brazil, where it plans to launch its overseas takeaway service brand "Keeta" and invest $1 billion (R17.78 billion) over the next five years to build and expand its business in the country.Thi
How Will Meituan Survive From Dual "Delivery Wars"

BIG TECH WEEKLY | What Challenges Does Big-Tech Face? Marvell Raises Guidance

Big-Tech’s PerformanceWeekly Macro Highlights: Escalation Between Iran and Israel, Powell vs. Trump War of Words, Stablecoin TurmoilThe escalation in the Middle East was one of the main drivers of market volatility this week. Israel’s strike on key Iranian facilities could lead to further increases in oil prices, fueling inflation expectations and exerting pressure on U.S. equities—particularly those in energy-sensitive sectors. While the upward trend in oil prices slightly eased this week, geopolitical uncertainty remains a key market risk for the foreseeable future.On the other hand, despite solid economic data, the Fed unsurprisingly refrained from cutting interest rates and reiterated concerns over tariffs and their potential inflationary effects. Trump again lambasted Powell as “stupi
BIG TECH WEEKLY | What Challenges Does Big-Tech Face? Marvell Raises Guidance

2025Q3 Commodity: Gold's Last Dance, Aluminum Boom

The following report from $Citigroup(C)$ 's Q3 Commodity Markets looks at the overall Q3 picture of short-term pressure and long-term improvement, with macroeconomics facing multiple challenges of high interest rates, tariffs, and geopolitics, but OBBBA and Trump policies could reverse the trend, with an optimistic outlook for growth in 2026.In commodity markets, gold may retreat after short-term consolidation and investors need to be cautious; energy markets are highly volatile and concerned about geopolitical risks; aluminum and copper are favored due to technology-driven structural demand; and agriculture is relatively minor.I. Core Conclusions and Convincing Trades (Executive Summary)Gold's 'Last Hurrah'Status: Gold price at record high ($3,415/o
2025Q3 Commodity: Gold's Last Dance, Aluminum Boom

Meta's AI Monetization? WhatsApp Ads Raises Financial Outlook

$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ has recently announced a pivotal shift in its WhatsApp strategy by introducing advertising to the platform, marking a departure from its long-standing "no ads" policy. This move aims to monetize WhatsApp’s massive user base of over 3 billion monthly active users, leveraging its Updates tab for ads, channel subscriptions, and promoted channels. This report analyzes Meta’s strategic pivot, recent financial performance, market expectations, and valuation implications, arguing that while the advertising initiative presents significant revenue potential, it must navigate user privacy concerns and market dynamics to ensure long-term success.WhastApp to start showing ads in messaging app launches news monetisation featuresStr
Meta's AI Monetization? WhatsApp Ads Raises Financial Outlook

Technology Macro: From Pseudo Bull To Structural Bull?

This week's tech market has hidden a lot of structural variability in the midst of overall moderation.From the macro to the plate, to the company's fundamentals, multiple dimensions intertwined the current complex and full of opportunities.First, the macro risk is rising: tariff game resurfacesWhile the military tension between Israel and Iran has not subsided, a new round of tariff negotiations between the US and Vietnam has become the focus of recent market attention.Bloomberg reported that the U.S. is proposing to impose 20-25% tariffs on Vietnam's exports, significantly higher than the 10% range previously expected by the market.Tariff risk has re-emerged as a major variable weighing on risk appetite as the July 9 deadline for negotiations approaches.Over the past few weeks, market cap
Technology Macro: From Pseudo Bull To Structural Bull?

BIG TECH WEEKLY | MSFT's All-time-high Makes Amazon Sweating? Nvidia’s Post-GTC Expectations Rising

Big-Tech’s PerformanceWeekly Macro Highlights: The showdown between the bigwigs With May’s CPI continuing to decline—core inflation easing even further—Trump launched a fierce attack on Powell at the White House this week, urging a rate cut and even specifying a "2 percentage point" reduction. Although his claim of saving $600 billion annually may not materialize, the reality is that with ballooning U.S. debt, government interest expenses are under significant pressure. On June 13, he went so far as to call Powell a “blockhead.” However, Powell remained committed to data-driven policy and resisting political interference, with no signs of easing tension. The market is closely watching the Fed's next moves.In macro markets, U.S. long-term bond yields fell by 6–8bps as expectations of Fed ra
BIG TECH WEEKLY | MSFT's All-time-high Makes Amazon Sweating? Nvidia’s Post-GTC Expectations Rising

Adobe's AI Cash Cow: $250M ARR Can't Stop Stock Slip

$Adobe(ADBE)$ Strong performance in revenue, profitability and AI innovation in the second quarter of fiscal 2025.Solid growth in the Digital Media and Digital Experience segments, combined with rapid advancement of the AI strategy, provide a clear growth path for the company going forward.Despite the small after-hours drop in share price, Adobe's long-term investment value remains solid, especially driven by the combination of AI and subscription model.Performance and market feedbackOn the revenue front, revenue of US$5.87 billion ($5.87B) grew 11% year-on-year, exceeding market expectations of US$5.8 billion, driven by the two core business segments of Digital Media and Digital Experience.EPS performance was strong, with non-GAAP earnings per sh
Adobe's AI Cash Cow: $250M ARR Can't Stop Stock Slip

Zero-Carbon Future? Nuclears Burning Cash But Worth Billions

Nuclear sector stocks $Oklo Inc.(OKLO)$ and $NuScale Power(SMR)$ have been very strong in recent weeks, largely driven by recent industry trends.OKLO (Oklo Inc.).OKLO is a company focused on developing advanced fission power plant and nuclear fuel recycling technologies, and its stock has been a notable recent performer.On June 11, OKLO closed at $68.03, up 29.48% from the previous trading session's price of $52.58, showing a strong one-day performance.However, the performance for the past week (ending June 11) was -6.18%, which may reflect short-term market volatility.OKLO is up 92.52% over the past month and 44.91% year-to-date (as of early January), indicating a strong long-term trend.Although the compa
Zero-Carbon Future? Nuclears Burning Cash But Worth Billions

52%→70%: Oracle CEO’s Bold Cloud Leap Defies Gravity

$Oracle(ORCL)$ announced its fiscal 2025 fourth quarter (ending May) results after the bell on June 11, a report card that was both explosive and controversial, with revenue up 11% year-over-year and adjusted EPS of $1.70, both of which exceeded expectations.But what attracted the most attention was not the current results, but management's aggressive guidance for cloud infrastructure (OCI) revenue growth of more than 70% in fiscal year 2026, a figure that far exceeds the current year-on-year growth rate of 52%, which directly drove the stock price to surge 8% at one point after the bellResults and Market FeedbackRevenue exceeds expectations, up 11% year-over-yearOracle's total revenue for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025 (ended May 31, 2025
52%→70%: Oracle CEO’s Bold Cloud Leap Defies Gravity

Chime’s IPO Is a ‘Money Printer’, But Not For All

This week, U.S. fintech company Chime Financial is set to log on to the Nasdaq, and further kicking off the resurgence of tech company IPOs.The company will go public on Nasdaq on June 12, with an offering price range of $24-$26. It plans to issue 32 million shares and raise a maximum of $832 million, with a valuation of about $10.5 billion after full dilution, but still a distance away relative to the valuation of $25 billion in 2021 when Sequoia and others entered the market.The IPO was underwritten by Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs and others, with returns of 67x for early investors such as Crosslink Capital.Company Description. $Chime Financial, Inc.(CHYM)$ is a financial technology company founded in 2012 and headquartered in San Francisco, Ca
Chime’s IPO Is a ‘Money Printer’, But Not For All

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