SmartReversals

I care about helping you navigate this market. Nowadays, it's all about permabears & permabulls, I use technical indicators with objectivity. God First.

    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·02-21 12:27

      MAGS ETF: A Critical Junction

      The weekly chart for the $Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF(MAGS)$ ETF (Magnificent Seven) suggests the worst of the bearish move may be behind us. The lower Bollinger Band was breached and oscillators reached oversold territory, conditions that mirrored the April 2025 bottom. As noted above, several securities have recently breached their Central Weekly Level (CWL) reversing from their (bearish) setups. This essential weekly price line is modeled every Friday for 44 core securities. Paid subscribers also have the exclusive benefit of suggesting five additional tickers from their personal watchlists each weekend. For the coming week, the MAGS ETF must hold above $61.8 to maintain its current bullish reversal setup. A successful hold targets $63.5 as
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      MAGS ETF: A Critical Junction
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·02-21 12:26

      SPX/NDX Composite: Tech Rebound Led by NVDA & Amazon

      U.S. equities finished the holiday-shortened week with solid gains, snapping multi-week losing streaks. The $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ surged 1.5% for the week to end a five-week slide, while the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ advanced 1.1% and the $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ secured a 0.3% weekly gain. Friday saw broad strength across the market. Market momentum shifted dramatically on Friday following a landmark legal decision that outweighed concerning economic data. Early reports revealed that fourth-quarter economic growth slowed to 1.4%, significantly missing the 3.0% consensus forecast. Inflation metrics also ran hot, with the Personal Consumption Expenditures price index rising 2.9% ye
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      SPX/NDX Composite: Tech Rebound Led by NVDA & Amazon
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·02-21 12:21

      S&P 500 & Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF: Oversold Bounce, $61.8 Key

      $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Weak price action, but the chart may be interesting for bulls, even for a potential short-term bounce, considering the Stochastic crossover (none invalidated for several months), and the recovery of the 5DMA. $Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF(MAGS)$ Most of the bearish move may be in considering the lower Bollinger breached and the oscillator getting oversold in the weekly timeframe. To keep momentum, this ETF must stay above $61.8 next week. 100 likes 30 reposts to continue tracking this ETF with price levels. $Apple(AAPL)$ $Alpha
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      S&P 500 & Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF: Oversold Bounce, $61.8 Key
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·02-20 16:19

      $XLE $XLB Lead, $XLK Lags as $SPX Faces February Seasonality Test

      The “Market Cycle” acts as a leading indicator for the broader “Economic Cycle.” Historically, sectors rotate in a sequence as the market moves from a bottom to a top: Market Bottom / Early Bull Market: Investors typically flock to Technology and Consumer Discretionary in anticipation of recovery. Expansion / Bull Market: Leadership broadens to include Industrials and Financials as lending and manufacturing activity accelerate. Market Top / Late Expansion: As the economy overheats and inflation rises, capital rotates into Energy and Basic Materials. Bear Market / Recession: Defensive sectors like Utilities, Consumer Staples, and Health Care tend to outperform as investors seek stability. The performance data for 2026 Year-To-Date (YTD) indicates a clear rotation toward late-cycle and defen
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      $XLE $XLB Lead, $XLK Lags as $SPX Faces February Seasonality Test
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·02-15

      Bearish Momentum Builds: SPX Weak at Lower Band, NVDA Targets Volume Support

      Volatility is picking up as downside momentum builds across major indices. With the VIX back above 20 and key leaders breaking short-term support, the current bearish move may not be over yet. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : Indecision at the lower Bollinger band, the 20 daily moving average curling down shows the shift in momentum. The bearish move doesn't seem complete considering the widening band and the $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ above 20. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Losing the 20DMA with high-conviction suggests bearish continuation. Lately, bearish stochastic crossovers have preceded declines until prices become oversold, which isn't the case yet. Potential target: the lower ed
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      Bearish Momentum Builds: SPX Weak at Lower Band, NVDA Targets Volume Support
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·02-15

      Volatility Returns: MSFT, AVGO & IWM Hit Targets, 75% Weekly Win Rate

      The U.S. stock market faced a stark reality check this week as the tech-heavy Nasdaq failed to recover. Despite strong top-line numbers from several sector leaders, the “billions in Capex” narrative has begun to sour, with investors questioning the immediate ROI on massive AI infrastructure spending. This skepticism has led to a decisive reversals for $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ $Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ which struggled under the weight of high expectations. As the tech engines stalled, the broad market was left without its primary
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      Volatility Returns: MSFT, AVGO & IWM Hit Targets, 75% Weekly Win Rate
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·02-14

      Market Cracks Deepen as SPX NDX DJI and QQQ Lose CML Support

      This has been a volatile week for the market. Between seasonality, a high $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ (which, as I mentioned last weekend, it suggested a new spike, and weakness in Bitcoin (acting as a risk-off thermometer), we finally saw a bearish resolution. My notes last week regarding the VIX and $S&P 500(.SPX)$ were clear for paid subscribers: “The current price action doesn’t typically reflect a final ‘top’ in volatility. The current level of 17.7 for the VIX is not the cleanest condition for a sustained bull run; a new spike in volatility remains a viable risk.” Additionally, I cited: “For the SPX, a breach of the CWL of 6,901.8 (-0.4%) points to 6,810.6 (-1.8%).” The actual low of the week wa
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      Market Cracks Deepen as SPX NDX DJI and QQQ Lose CML Support
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·02-12

      SPX is overbought while SPY shows caution and NDX remains weak

      $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : Once again, we've reached a moment of truth. The oscillator is overbought, and the 4-hour chart reflects indecision with pullback potential if the pattern repeats. Sooner or later, one of these reversal signals will give way. Bullish breakout? the $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ continues above 17. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ : The price continues above the 20DMA but today's bearish engulfing candle suggests extreme caution. The VIX is still high and $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ below the 20DMA. If the supports are breached, the lower Bollinger band could be tested again during the usually weak second half of
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      SPX is overbought while SPY shows caution and NDX remains weak
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·02-12

      AI Era Divergence: AMZN & GOOGL Betting Big, PLTR & LILLY Leading Growth

      Infrastructure Giants Spend Big While Application Winners Cash In - Fundamental Analysis for GOOG, PLTR, LLY, and AMZN. Amid the volatility of February 2026, a clear divergence has emerged between the architects of the AI era and its most potent beneficiaries. $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ and $Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ have escalated the infrastructure arms race to unprecedented levels, pledging a combined capital expenditure approaching $385 billion for 2026 alone. This historic bet is already paying off in the cloud, where both Google Cloud and AWS posted meaningful acceleration in growth rates. Yet the sheer scale of this spending forces investors to weigh the
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      AI Era Divergence: AMZN & GOOGL Betting Big, PLTR & LILLY Leading Growth
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·02-09

      Weekly Tech Watch: NDX, AVGO & AAPL at Critical Levels

      Tech heavyweights enter the week at pivotal technical junctions. As volatility persists, three key names—$NDX, $AVGO, $AAPL—demand close attention for signals of either continuation or reversal. Here’s how their setups are shaping up. 1. $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ The decline toward the lower Bollinger Band played out as anticipated. For the move to stay sustainable, the Nasdaq 100 must recover and hold $25,123.7. It sounds simple, but with the $VIX at 18.0, volatility remains high, caution is still the priority. 2. $Broadcom(AVGO)$ Most long-wick hammer candles have preceded bounces, just as we saw on Thursday, which led into Friday’s rally. The second hammer has presented more traction, if that's the case again,
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      Weekly Tech Watch: NDX, AVGO & AAPL at Critical Levels
     
     
     
     

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