To The Moon

On Monday, the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ fell 0.4%, breaching the central weekly level (CWL) of 7,493.7, as anticipated in Saturday’s Weekly Compass in the high probability setups. The SPX exhibited several underlying cracks in its price action, despite the 1.1% rally observed on June 18th before the long weekend. Once our modeled central weekly level was breached, validating my bearish thesis, Tuesday saw steeper declines as South Korea’s KOSPI crashed 9.9%. This marked its sharpest fall in over three months and sparked a global semiconductor selloff (consistent with overheated conditions we have studied). As a result, the $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ tumbled 3.2%, and the S&P 500 retreated 1.44%. By the end of the we

Markets remain at a critical technical inflection point. While the $SPX was rejected at key resistance, $QQQ is now testing major support, setting the stage for the market's next directional move. 1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ As posted last night in my daily note (subscribe, link in bio): 7,412 was a resistance zone to consider; the $MU euphoria could find rejection there. The top of the day was $7,419🎯 and the structure is still weak. 2. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $QQQ is sitting right on the edge. It found support at the 50DMA, while the 20DMA is curling down. If that 50DMA fails, the lack of volume at price could trigger a rapid trapdoor move straight toward the 682 gap. Every week, I publish high-probability setups.

In yesterday’s market update, I highlighted the confluence zone at 7,411.9 for the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ , a daily level I flagged to paid subscribers anticipating a potential bull trap following the after-hours rally sparked by $Micron Technology(MU)$ ’s earnings. SPX’s high today reached 7,419 🎯, validating the relevance of that resistance zone. For $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ , I flagged 724.9 as a critical level; today’s high of 726.8 🎯 confirmed the sentiment shift and showed resistance holding stronger than support lines. $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ presented a similar case, I noted 646.6 as crucial for momentum confirmation,

Over the weekend, the Weekly Compass anticipated a bearish reversal for the market. This anticipation came despite the rally the market printed on Friday because, as mentioned then, many elements remained bearish beneath the surface. The Setups Blueprint highlighted strong probabilities for a bearish reversal in the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ , targeting 7,409 for a 1.2% drop. The actual low for the week reached 7,336.8, representing a 2% decline from Friday’s close 🎯. Another high-probability setup was a bearish reversal for $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ . I indicated that 646.6 would be breached, triggering a confirmed target of 629.3 for a 4.6% decline. The actual low hit 607 🎯 for an 8% drop, closely approa

The market continues showing weakness, with the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ declining while the volatility index jumped 3%. The Magnificent Seven remain under pressure. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ , one of the high-probability setups posted in the latest Weekly Compass, reached its bearish target in a clean move since the stock revisited Friday’s closing price at the open before initiating a -3% selloff to 367.9, our bearish target 🎯; the stock stayed below the invalidation level for the bearish setup studied. $Apple(AAPL)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ is at all-time highs while the Fear and Greed Index shows fear. Should you use this index to time the market? No. Is the divergence worth considering as a risk warning? Absolutely, recent ATH at fear levels preceded pullbacks, caution is key. $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ : Semiconductors is the most crowded trade, and individual names as $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ and $Micron Technology(MU)$ are showing signs of consolidation with significant intra-week swings. Capital rotates, it's not surprising to see the Mag7 ( $NVIDIA(NVDA)$

U.S. equities closed the week with gains, as investors weighed a firm Federal Reserve stance against a landmark interim agreement between the United States and Iran. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ advanced 0.9% to 7,500.6. The Federal Open Market Committee, under new Chair Kevin Warsh, held benchmark rates in the 3.5% to 3.75% range and signaled no near-term intention to ease. The decision briefly rattled markets midweek before equities recovered and pushed higher. In the corporate arena, $SpaceX(SPCX)$ reversed from our $225 level on Tuesday, the stock closed the week in 185, securing a valuation of $2.4 trillion. Across asset classes, the U.S. Dollar Index held near a one-year high of 100.7 as currency markets

U.S. equities sold off hard on Wednesday as markets digested the Fed’s latest policy decision. The central bank held rates steady at 3.50% to 3.75%, but the forecast is what moved markets. Under new Chair Kevin Warsh, the FOMC projected a year-end fed funds rate of 3.8%, a 25 basis point hike from current levels. Warsh delivered a shorter policy statement, stripped out the usual forward guidance, and committed to a single mandate: price stability. No hints, no roadmap for the path ahead. The market’s reaction was immediate. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ dropped 1.2% to 7,420.1, the worst reaction to a new Fed chair’s first decision day since 1994. $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ fell 1.3% to 26,021.7.

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ closed at 7500.6, up 1.1% on the session reclaiming its central weekly and monthly levels in the same move. The session brought a bounce from yesterday's breakdown. The price action showed indecision rather than strong conviction closing the day without a clear directional candle. Worth noting: SPX is sitting very close to its central weekly level for next week (CWL, details below), meaning that line is being tested right now. The recovery of both the CWL and the CML today is a constructive short-term development, and holding them through the next session will be essential to keep momentum and break above the bearish diagonal. The Stochastic crossover suggests caution, most of them have been validated, losing next week’s CWL wo

As posted yesterday, a gap fill for the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ was highly probable given the overextended condition of the price action, making key price levels essential to watch for an early reversal. The Central Daily Level (CDL) shared for today was 7,549.0, and I noted that upward momentum would be endangered if that level was breached. A breakdown below that CDL exposed our downside target of 7,521.0, which was hit by 3:45 PM 🎯 and subsequently breached, suggesting bearish continuation for tomorrow. Because the initial rally was so rapid (and we have studied how suspicious a sharp, early-week jump can be) I also provided key daily levels for the Magnificent Seven to help you manage risk. $Meta Platforms, I