I care about helping you navigate this market. Nowadays, it's all about permabears & permabulls, I use technical indicators with objectivity. God First.
The weekly support and resistance levels modeled for the week ahead frame price action with precision. Technical analysis provides the directional probabilities, while these modeled support and resistance levels validate the thesis that technical indicators suggest. For example, I anticipated a bullish reversal for $Alphabet(GOOG)$ based on technical indicators illustrated transparently to paid subscribers last Saturday, providing the central weekly level (CWL) of 341 as the trigger/confirmation. That move materialized on Monday, and the initial upside target was modeled at 349.4, the zone reached on Thursday and revisited today. The weekly move was +2.2% 🎯. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ was set as a high probabil
$GOOG $META $NVDA Pullback Watch 📉 All three are showing signs of cooling off after pushing into overbought territory. The key now is how deep the pullback goes — and where buyers step back in. 🔎 $Alphabet(GOOG)$ Rejected at the upper Bollinger Band. The last time this happened, price pulled back to the 20-DMA and bounced. Let’s be pessimistic and assume the gap at $330 gets filled, which would offer a better entry. But expecting that deep a pullback right now may be wishful thinking. 📉 $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ As flagged last week, the upper Bollinger Band breach and overbought oscillators pointed toward consolidation or a healthy pullback. Price could consolidate around the 20-DMA, potentially compl
During the last days, I have been highlighting the risk for the indices. Despite recent breakouts, this week’s story follows a familiar pattern: we see a bullish move on Monday that suddenly fades as the week progresses. This week we are observing the same sequence. A bullish push early in the week, largely led by the tech sector, quickly gave way to selling pressure, leaving the $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ down -0.27% on the week so far. Meanwhile, $S&P 500(.SPX)$ sits with a modest weekly gain of just +0.55%, a reversal from the gain observed earlier in the week. I have been documenting the structural cracks and volatility warning transparently to help subscribers navigate potential fear of missing out (FOMO)
Despite choppy price action across the broader indices, the individual setups posted on Saturday continue playing out: 🎯 $Broadcom(AVGO)$ pushes higher (+6% this week), holding above the 372 bullish target. 🎯 $Costco(COST)$ is up +2.4%, reaching its extended level of 945. 🎯 $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ advanced +3.3%, surpassing the modeled 258 milestone. 🎯 $SpaceX(SPCX)$ and $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ are currently undergoing healthy consolidations. 🎯 $Alphabet(GOOG)$ is brewing its anticipated move while holding the 341 line, the critical weekly
Three charts, three very different setups. The key now is knowing where momentum is running into resistance — and where buyers are still defending. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ ⚠️ $SPX is defying gravity with a +1.25% weekly move so far. But is this worth chasing? Be careful if you do. Price reversed at 7,835, a relevant weekly resistance level, while the candle is showing a lack of conviction near the upper Bollinger Band. Strong momentum, but not the cleanest place to chase. $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ 🔴 The rally ran straight into the confluence of 284 and the 20-DMA and faced a hard rejection. The red candle completely engulfed yesterday’s core price action, pointing toward bearish continuation. For bulls,
Momentum continues for the high-probability setups posted last Saturday in the Weekly Compass: 🎯 $Broadcom(AVGO)$ has rallied +5.8% this week, surpassing our modeled target of 372. 🎯 $SpaceX(SPCX)$ surged +8.15%, exceeding 169. 🎯 $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ jumped +2.7% this week, hitting my 381 modeled target. 🎯 $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ added +1.9% gain, also surpassing its pre-modeled level of 255.1. 🎯 $Costco(COST)$ and $Alphabet(GOOG)$ are continuing to shape up constructively. Every week, I highlight the strongest setups backed by precise price
1. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ ⚠️ If the market pulls back, watch for a green $S&P 500(.SPX)$ + green $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ combination — a potential reversal signal. $MSFT stands out as a strong reversal candidate, especially with a daily shooting star now appearing for the second time in the past few sessions. That setup is worth watching closely if broader market weakness develops. 2. $Broadcom(AVGO)$ 🚀 $AVGO has been on my breakout watchlist, and today's move is constructive — similar to Friday's action. After filling last week's bearish gaps, the stock has reclaimed the 20-DMA, improving the short-term structure.
1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 📈 Indecision plus the gap below led to a quick fill. If price keeps moving higher, the Bollinger Band could provide resistance and trigger another move down to fill the gap at 7,684. A constructive setup bulls want to see completed for healthy continuation. 2. $Costco(COST)$ 🟢 The post-earnings bounce remains constructive, with a potential bull flag developing. 3. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ ⚠️ Upper Bollinger Band breach + overbought RSI + overbought Money Flow Index = a trifecta pointing toward a pullback. The 20DMA and potentially lower remain in play. Will this time be different? Unlikely. Still, this looks more like a healthy pullb
October Rally or Trap? Unpacking the Market's Inner Structure
October Rally or Trap? Unpacking the Market's Inner Structure Seasonality is a small part of the equation. With price action leading the way and breadth indicators flashing caution, dive into this comprehensive technical review of indices, megacaps, and ETFs. Last week, I anticipated that there were cracks beneath the rally the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ had printed. During the prior week, the index closed with a +1.2% move that could be perceived as a bullish condition; however, I anticipated that the gap at 7,657 was going to be filled, quite an unpopular suggestion at the time. But that is exactly what happened. I post a daily note tracking the SPX and ES=F including their levels for the next session, also the main weekly movers from our watchlist. On