$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ Shorts seem quiet on green days. I was still here even when I was down well over 100k and it dropped to 650. Shorts keep telling bulls they made bad choices going long. How has that worked out so far this year? I'll be selling puts again on red days. I still have 100 shares left at 689. All the people who wanted longs to go broke are the ones going broke buying puts, selling naked calls, or shorting. September was supposed to be the worst month, and it turned out bullish. My 1200 shares got called away, and I'm currently up $44,000 since May on QQQ. Over the past 45 days, put buyers on Invesco QQQ Trust have lost 100% of their premium on contracts that expired out-of-the-money. The underlying index surged into record territo
Mid-term Q4 seasonality has been remarkably consistent. Since 1950: - The October closing low has typically arrived early, with the median on the 7th trading day - That low came before Election Day 19 of 19 times - Low to Election was positive 18 of 19, averaging +7.0% - Election to Q4 peak was positive 19 of 19, averaging +5.3% - The Q4 peak has most often come in December, typically around 32 trading days after the election One more interesting wrinkle: after the Q4 peak, the market finished the year lower 79% of the time. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$
Staying risk-on but keeping it selective here. Technology and semis still look like the areas with clear relative strength, and I'm letting winners run. Participation is uneven though, and rates moving sharply higher, so I'm not looking to aggressively expand exposure until broader sectors and longer-term breadth improve. Keeping some cash available and using weakness in leading areas for measured entries rather than chasing new highs. Watching $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ and semiconductor leadership, market breadth, and the bond/rate move for confirmation or deterioration. If improving internals broaden into more sectors, I'd add exposure. But if tech leadership breaks, breadth rolls back over, or rising rates start pressuring the major indexes more
$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $Micron Technology(MU)$ Plenty of investors were expecting Micron to wreck the market. Micron did the opposite, and it may have given the Nasdaq a reason to keep dreaming about new highs.