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Bluez

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- BluezBluez
  ·2021-08-13
  Yes
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- BluezBluez
  ·2021-08-05
  Yes
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- BluezBluez
  ·2021-08-01
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- BluezBluez
  ·2021-07-31
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  Behind "buying a house by ticket", is the big change in the property market really coming?
  2021年春节过后，原本平静的武汉楼市突然躁动起来。短短两个月的时间里，武汉光谷关山大道的中建大公馆、金地格林东郡、泛悦城等楼盘，从2万元/平方米左右的价格，涨到了3、4万元/平方米。而房价飞涨的
  Behind "buying a house by ticket", is the big change in the property market really coming?
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- BluezBluez
  ·2021-06-17
  ?
  Fed dot plot: Median expectations for two Fed rate hike by the end of 2023
  虽然依然保持近零利率和QE购债规模不变，但本周美联储会议释放了两年后、即2023年较有可能加息不止一次的明显信号。美东时间6月16日周三，美联储会后公布，联储货币政策委员会FOMC的委员一致同意，将
  Fed dot plot: Median expectations for two Fed rate hike by the end of 2023
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- BluezBluez
  ·2021-06-10
  Oh
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- BluezBluez
  ·2021-06-08
  Good job g7
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- BluezBluez
  ·2021-06-08
  Good job g7
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23:26","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"Behind \"buying a house by ticket\", is the big change in the property market really coming?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198370900","media":"凤凰网港股","summary":"2021年春节过后，原本平静的武汉楼市突然躁动起来。\n短短两个月的时间里，武汉光谷关山大道的中建大公馆、金地格林东郡、泛悦城等楼盘，从2万元/平方米左右的价格，涨到了3、4万元/平方米。\n而房价飞涨的","content":"<p><b>After the Spring Festival in 2021, the originally calm Wuhan property market suddenly became restless.</b></p><p>In just two months, the price of China Construction Mansion, Gemdale Green East County, Fanyue City and other real estate projects on Guanshan Avenue, Guanggu, Wuhan has risen from about 20,000 yuan/square meter to 30,000 to 40,000 yuan/square meter.</p><p>Behind the soaring house prices, investors from Shenzhen, Xuzhou, Zaozhuang and other places are crazy about \"real estate speculation\" by taking advantage of Wuhan's relatively loose settlement policy and purchase restriction policy.</p><p>At that time, the locals in Wuhan who suffered greatly told the media: \"I hate these foreign real estate speculators. When can the government strictly restrict purchases?\"</p><p>The people of Wuhan didn't wait long. Three months later, on July 28th, Wuhan Housing Authority issued a draft for comments on strengthening the management of house purchase qualifications. After the release of the opinion draft, the topic of \"Wuhan will implement buying a house by house ticket\" quickly caused heated discussion on the Internet.</p><p>Is Wuhan going to enter the era of \"buying a house with a house ticket\"? Some people support this news, some question it, and others worry that \"real estate speculation\" will become \"real estate speculation tickets\".</p><p>However, no matter how you interpret it, the signal of \"tightening\" of the property market released by Wuhan is clear. In fact, Wuhan is not the only city that is \"tightening\" the property market policy.</p><p>Ifeng.com's \"Eye of the Storm\" found that since 2021, local governments including Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Shenzhen, Hangzhou, etc. have issued stricter regulatory policies for the real estate market.</p><p>With the off-campus education and training industry ushering in subversive changes, many people can't help but ask:<b>Is the great change of China's property market coming?</b></p><p>Bai Wenxi, vice chairman of China Enterprise Capital Alliance and chief economist of IPG China, told Phoenix.com's Eye of the Storm: \"These policies will increase and enhance the difficulty and cost of buying houses for investment demand in the short term, thus curbing the overheating of the property market to a certain extent. However, in the long run, if the actual market supply and demand relationship does not change, and the population, land and financial policies that affect housing prices do not change greatly, it will be difficult to have a substantial impact on housing prices.\"</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93c9284d07634672a560d0f50a2e3314\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"443\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>01. What exactly is \"buying a house by ticket\" in Wuhan?</b></p><p>What are the stipulations of Wuhan's policy of \"buying a house with a house ticket\", which has caused heated discussion on the Internet?</p><p>On July 28th, in order to adhere to the positioning of \"housing for living, not speculation\" and further strengthen the management of housing purchase qualifications in Wuhan, Wuhan Housing Authority issued the Notice of the Municipal Housing Security Housing Authority on Strengthening the Management of Housing Purchase Qualifications (Draft for Comment), and publicly solicited opinions.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8db8d8c23e8cca1ee4ca8d5d15731bf9\" tg-width=\"1007\" tg-height=\"537\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>According to the opinion draft, in the application for house purchase qualification, intended buyers who meet the purchase restriction area can apply for house purchase qualification through the official platform or through developers and intermediaries.</p><p>The housing management departments of each district shall complete the purchase qualification accreditation within 48 hours from the time of application, and feed back the accreditation results to the applicant. The purchase qualification accreditation results will be valid within 60 days from the date of issuance.</p><p>The \"Draft for Comment\" also requires that after the house purchase registration is completed, the result of the house purchase qualification certification will be locked immediately, and the house purchase registration shall not be carried out again during the lock-up period. After the opening of the sale, the qualification result of house purchase will be automatically unlocked.</p><p>Bai Wenxi told Phoenix.com's \"Eye of the Storm\": \"The related idea of 'buying a house by ticket' in Wuhan is still in the stage of soliciting opinions. This is a proposed system design to strengthen the control of the property market and based on the qualification access of buyers.\"</p><p>Then, what impact will the policy of \"buying a house with a house ticket\" have on the property market in Wuhan?</p><p>Zhuge Housing Data Research Center told Phoenix.com's \"Eye of the Storm\": \"The policy of buying a house by ticket is a new patch policy of the previous policy, and it is also a supplement and improvement to the purchase restriction policy. To a certain extent, it can curb market chaos, play a positive role in regulating real estate market transactions, effectively crack down on some developers who create false hot sales scenes, and to a certain extent, it can curb real estate speculation.\"</p><p>Zhu Xiaohong, president of China Luxury Housing Research Institute, told Phoenix.com's Eye of the Storm: \"Buying a house by ticket is similar to housing intervention in Hong Kong and South Korea. It is good to crack down on real estate speculation and control excessive consumption of housing products, but to prevent'personal gain with room tickets'and'buying and selling room tickets', we must ensure that room tickets are given to the right person.\"</p><p>Bai Wenxi also expressed similar concerns. He said: \"On the surface, room tickets will control demand and crack down on real estate speculation, but in fact they are done by suppressing demand and not increasing supply. If they are not used properly, they may aggravate the contradiction between supply and demand, lead to power corruption, and aggravate all kinds of disguised real estate speculation and underground real estate speculation.\"</p><p><b>02. Local governments have intensively introduced policies, and the signal of \"tightening\" is obvious</b></p><p>In fact, Wuhan's policy adjustment on house purchase qualifications may have started as early as 2020.</p><p>In January last year, Wuhan implemented the whole process of commercial housing qualification verification online. Intended buyers can apply for qualification through official website of Wuhan Housing Authority and inquire about the results. If they pass the examination, they can get the examination information such as number and QR code. This information is valid for purchasing a house within 60 days, and they need to re-apply after expiration.</p><p>It can be seen that as early as 2020, Wuhan City has set up the prototype of the mechanism of \"buying a house with a house ticket\". The draft for comments this time is also a supplement and improvement to the first customs policy.</p><p>In addition to Wuhan, first-tier cities such as Beishangguangshen and Shenzhen, second-and third-tier cities such as Jiaxing, Foshan and Wuxi, and central departments such as the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development have also successively issued a series of policies to strengthen supervision of the real estate market.</p><p>On January 5, in an interview with the media, Wang Menghui, Minister of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, reiterated the policy principles of adhering to housing for living, not speculation, and implementing the long-term mechanism of real estate, saying that housing for living, not speculation, will remain the main tone of the policy in 2021. At the same time, the long-term mechanism continues to implement and improve signals.</p><p>For example, Shanghai also explicitly continued to implement the pilot project of property tax in January. At the same time, Shanghai also aims at the phenomenon of \"fake divorce, real house purchase\", stipulating that if a husband and wife divorce, if either party purchases commercial housing within 3 years from the date of divorce, the number of housing units owned by the husband and wife shall be calculated according to the total number of households before divorce. Adjust the value-added tax collection and exemption period. Increase the value-added tax exemption period for personal sales of housing from 2 years to 5 years.</p><p>In March, Xi'an also issued a new purchase restriction policy, stipulating that if a house buyer defrauds or evades the purchase restriction policy through \"holding on behalf of others\", he/she and the \"holding on behalf of others\" will be included in the list of untrustworthy buyers in our city, and will not be allowed to buy a house within 5 years</p><p>In June, the Ministry of Finance, the Ministry of Natural Resources, the State Administration of Taxation, and the People's Bank of China jointly issued a notice that four government non-tax revenues, including the income from the transfer of state-owned land use rights, would be transferred to the tax authorities for collection, which once caused heated discussion.</p><p>On July 23rd, eight departments, including the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, the National Development and Reform Commission and the Ministry of Public Security, jointly issued a notice on continuously rectifying and standardizing the order of the real estate market, which comprehensively regulated the order of the real estate market from four aspects: real estate development, housing sales, housing leasing and property services.</p><p>On July 30, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission held a system-wide 2021 mid-year work symposium and discipline inspection and supervision work (video and telephone) symposium. The meeting stressed that it is necessary to strictly implement the requirements of \"three lines and four grades\" and the concentration of real estate loans, so as to prevent bancassurance funds from bypassing and illegally flowing into the real estate market.</p><p>According to the incomplete statistics of Phoenix.com's Eye of the Storm, since January this year, local governments and relevant central departments have issued more than 40 regulatory and regulatory policies for the real estate market and its derivative services. The number and density are relatively rare in recent years.</p><p>Bai Wenxi told Phoenix.com's \"Eye of the Storm\": \"At present, there are three reasons for the adjustment of real estate policies: the first is to prevent financial risks caused by real estate; Second, it is necessary to reduce the total cost of economic operation represented by real estate under the internal circulation mode; Third, it is necessary to reduce the pressure of living costs to increase fertility willingness and maintain sustainable population development.\"</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a08ad922ffa471f7aea8f0400a29bb4\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1230\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>03. Real estate companies \"no longer in the limelight\" and their stock prices sharply pullback/retracement</b></p><p>Policy changes have also directly affected listed companies in the real estate industry.</p><p>Benefiting from the rapid development of China's real estate market in recent years, a large number of giant real estate listed companies have been born in China, and real estate companies were once regarded as a symbol of \"not short of money\".</p><p>Wanda Chairman Wang Jianlin, who has passed away<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BEKE\">Shells</a>Chairman Zuo Hui and other real estate tycoons have all ascended to the throne of \"the richest man\".</p><p>However, with the state beginning to regulate the \"overheated\" real estate market and the introduction of a series of strict regulatory policies, these listed real estate companies have also encountered the problem of \"turning around in a catastrophe\", and problems such as capital chain breakage, income decline, stock price decline and high debt also followed.</p><p>In August last year, the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development and the People's Bank of China held a symposium on key real estate enterprises in Beijing, which clarified the fund monitoring and financing management rules of key real estate enterprises, which is the \"three red lines\" that have been rumored many times in the industry before.</p><p>According to incomplete statistics from Phoenix.com's \"Eye of the Storm\", among the 40 leading real estate companies listed on Hong Kong stocks and A-shares, more than half of the companies' stock prices are more than 30% away from the highest pullback/retracement within 52 weeks.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/face4ce6faa97c257718c9108ee3c3b8\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1003\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>In fact, during the collective \"big dive\" of A-shares on Monday and Tuesday this week, due to concerns about the policy supervision of the real estate market, A-share real estate stocks also collectively fell sharply.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000718\">Suning Global</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600773\">Tibet City Investment</a>It once fell more than 10%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0dfca5e8a01f143057cf5d1f41a95b53\" tg-width=\"324\" tg-height=\"459\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><b>04. Is the big change in the property market coming?</b></p><p>Wuhan's policy of \"buying a house with a house ticket\" also reminds many people of \"food stamps\" and \"meat stamps\" in the planned economy era. So, does \"buying a house with a house ticket\" really mean returning to the era of planned economy? Will it trigger other cities to follow up?</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb31adddcc3e0bf4814fad90b355b71b\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"219\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Bai Wenxi said that it has been nearly 30 years since China bid farewell to the ticket era, and the launch of Wuhan's \"room ticket\" has touched and evoked people's memories of the era of insufficient supply and tickets everywhere in the planned economy era. As one of the industries with the highest public attention, the \"room ticket\" incident in Wuhan, which is still brewing, will most likely be pushed to the \"hot search\".</p><p>Bai Wenxi believes that the room ticket itself is based on the system design of compressing demand by access control, and then changing the relationship between supply and demand in the property market to prevent the property market from overheating. However, the logical regulation of the property market needs to start from both ends of supply and demand. While limiting and suppressing demand with quantitative tools and price tools, it is also necessary to balance the relationship between supply and demand by increasing market supply.</p><p>\"Therefore, if we really want to stabilize the supply and demand relationship in the property market, we should try our best to reduce and eliminate all kinds of control measures at both ends of supply and demand, guide the allocation of resources and factors and reconstruct the supply and demand relationship with the price mechanism, let alone restore the tickets of the planned economy era.\" Bai Wenxi told Phoenix.com's \"Eye of the Storm\".</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5109cefd2de75f41c0a1a0f3da6acbb\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"434\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Whether it's the policy of \"buying a house with a house ticket\" introduced by Wuhan this time, a series of regulatory policies on the real estate market introduced by local governments this year, or the rumored \"real estate tax\" to be introduced soon, do these mean that China's property market will usher in a big change?</p><p>Zhuge Housing Search Data Research Center told Phoenix.com's Eye of the Storm: \"The introduction of real estate tax may usher in another reshuffle of the real estate market.\"</p><p>\"From the current real estate policy adjustment, it is the main tone of China's real estate market to insist on living in housing without speculation. Under this principle, first of all, it is necessary to curb the excessive rise of house prices through policy regulation and promote the market to gradually return to the rational stage; Secondly, constantly improve and standardize the real estate market system, crack down on some behaviors of speculating on house prices and exploiting policy loopholes in time, and promote the healthy development of the real estate market; Third, tilt limited resources to groups in just-needed needs to provide home buyers with a more stable real estate environment. \"</p><p>Zhuge Housing Data Research Center believes that with the introduction of these policies, the interests of the real just-needed groups have been guaranteed, and the mentality of buying houses has gradually become rational, which has played a certain role in inhibiting the excessive rise of house prices. In the long run, after strict policy regulation, housing prices in first-tier cities will tend to run smoothly.</p><p>Bai Wenxi believes that if the property tax is really introduced soon, it does mean that the real estate market will usher in a major change, but in fact, the real estate tax has not been submitted for deliberation according to the legislative procedure, and it will not be introduced soon, and there is no timetable.</p><p>Bai Wenxi said that if these policies do not start with expanding the supply side, but only take measures such as quantitative tools to control demand-side access, such as room tickets, and price tools to control demand-side, such as mortgage ratio and interest rate, the result may just raise the soup and stop boiling, or even rise more and more.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Behind \"buying a house by ticket\", is the big change in the property market really coming?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBehind \"buying a house by ticket\", is the big change in the property market really coming?\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/56\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/63f98f2e899d607a12011e4ecf9c0ac7);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">凤凰网港股 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-30 23:26</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>After the Spring Festival in 2021, the originally calm Wuhan property market suddenly became restless.</b></p><p>In just two months, the price of China Construction Mansion, Gemdale Green East County, Fanyue City and other real estate projects on Guanshan Avenue, Guanggu, Wuhan has risen from about 20,000 yuan/square meter to 30,000 to 40,000 yuan/square meter.</p><p>Behind the soaring house prices, investors from Shenzhen, Xuzhou, Zaozhuang and other places are crazy about \"real estate speculation\" by taking advantage of Wuhan's relatively loose settlement policy and purchase restriction policy.</p><p>At that time, the locals in Wuhan who suffered greatly told the media: \"I hate these foreign real estate speculators. When can the government strictly restrict purchases?\"</p><p>The people of Wuhan didn't wait long. Three months later, on July 28th, Wuhan Housing Authority issued a draft for comments on strengthening the management of house purchase qualifications. After the release of the opinion draft, the topic of \"Wuhan will implement buying a house by house ticket\" quickly caused heated discussion on the Internet.</p><p>Is Wuhan going to enter the era of \"buying a house with a house ticket\"? Some people support this news, some question it, and others worry that \"real estate speculation\" will become \"real estate speculation tickets\".</p><p>However, no matter how you interpret it, the signal of \"tightening\" of the property market released by Wuhan is clear. In fact, Wuhan is not the only city that is \"tightening\" the property market policy.</p><p>Ifeng.com's \"Eye of the Storm\" found that since 2021, local governments including Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Shenzhen, Hangzhou, etc. have issued stricter regulatory policies for the real estate market.</p><p>With the off-campus education and training industry ushering in subversive changes, many people can't help but ask:<b>Is the great change of China's property market coming?</b></p><p>Bai Wenxi, vice chairman of China Enterprise Capital Alliance and chief economist of IPG China, told Phoenix.com's Eye of the Storm: \"These policies will increase and enhance the difficulty and cost of buying houses for investment demand in the short term, thus curbing the overheating of the property market to a certain extent. However, in the long run, if the actual market supply and demand relationship does not change, and the population, land and financial policies that affect housing prices do not change greatly, it will be difficult to have a substantial impact on housing prices.\"</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93c9284d07634672a560d0f50a2e3314\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"443\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>01. What exactly is \"buying a house by ticket\" in Wuhan?</b></p><p>What are the stipulations of Wuhan's policy of \"buying a house with a house ticket\", which has caused heated discussion on the Internet?</p><p>On July 28th, in order to adhere to the positioning of \"housing for living, not speculation\" and further strengthen the management of housing purchase qualifications in Wuhan, Wuhan Housing Authority issued the Notice of the Municipal Housing Security Housing Authority on Strengthening the Management of Housing Purchase Qualifications (Draft for Comment), and publicly solicited opinions.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8db8d8c23e8cca1ee4ca8d5d15731bf9\" tg-width=\"1007\" tg-height=\"537\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>According to the opinion draft, in the application for house purchase qualification, intended buyers who meet the purchase restriction area can apply for house purchase qualification through the official platform or through developers and intermediaries.</p><p>The housing management departments of each district shall complete the purchase qualification accreditation within 48 hours from the time of application, and feed back the accreditation results to the applicant. The purchase qualification accreditation results will be valid within 60 days from the date of issuance.</p><p>The \"Draft for Comment\" also requires that after the house purchase registration is completed, the result of the house purchase qualification certification will be locked immediately, and the house purchase registration shall not be carried out again during the lock-up period. After the opening of the sale, the qualification result of house purchase will be automatically unlocked.</p><p>Bai Wenxi told Phoenix.com's \"Eye of the Storm\": \"The related idea of 'buying a house by ticket' in Wuhan is still in the stage of soliciting opinions. This is a proposed system design to strengthen the control of the property market and based on the qualification access of buyers.\"</p><p>Then, what impact will the policy of \"buying a house with a house ticket\" have on the property market in Wuhan?</p><p>Zhuge Housing Data Research Center told Phoenix.com's \"Eye of the Storm\": \"The policy of buying a house by ticket is a new patch policy of the previous policy, and it is also a supplement and improvement to the purchase restriction policy. To a certain extent, it can curb market chaos, play a positive role in regulating real estate market transactions, effectively crack down on some developers who create false hot sales scenes, and to a certain extent, it can curb real estate speculation.\"</p><p>Zhu Xiaohong, president of China Luxury Housing Research Institute, told Phoenix.com's Eye of the Storm: \"Buying a house by ticket is similar to housing intervention in Hong Kong and South Korea. It is good to crack down on real estate speculation and control excessive consumption of housing products, but to prevent'personal gain with room tickets'and'buying and selling room tickets', we must ensure that room tickets are given to the right person.\"</p><p>Bai Wenxi also expressed similar concerns. He said: \"On the surface, room tickets will control demand and crack down on real estate speculation, but in fact they are done by suppressing demand and not increasing supply. If they are not used properly, they may aggravate the contradiction between supply and demand, lead to power corruption, and aggravate all kinds of disguised real estate speculation and underground real estate speculation.\"</p><p><b>02. Local governments have intensively introduced policies, and the signal of \"tightening\" is obvious</b></p><p>In fact, Wuhan's policy adjustment on house purchase qualifications may have started as early as 2020.</p><p>In January last year, Wuhan implemented the whole process of commercial housing qualification verification online. Intended buyers can apply for qualification through official website of Wuhan Housing Authority and inquire about the results. If they pass the examination, they can get the examination information such as number and QR code. This information is valid for purchasing a house within 60 days, and they need to re-apply after expiration.</p><p>It can be seen that as early as 2020, Wuhan City has set up the prototype of the mechanism of \"buying a house with a house ticket\". The draft for comments this time is also a supplement and improvement to the first customs policy.</p><p>In addition to Wuhan, first-tier cities such as Beishangguangshen and Shenzhen, second-and third-tier cities such as Jiaxing, Foshan and Wuxi, and central departments such as the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development have also successively issued a series of policies to strengthen supervision of the real estate market.</p><p>On January 5, in an interview with the media, Wang Menghui, Minister of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, reiterated the policy principles of adhering to housing for living, not speculation, and implementing the long-term mechanism of real estate, saying that housing for living, not speculation, will remain the main tone of the policy in 2021. At the same time, the long-term mechanism continues to implement and improve signals.</p><p>For example, Shanghai also explicitly continued to implement the pilot project of property tax in January. At the same time, Shanghai also aims at the phenomenon of \"fake divorce, real house purchase\", stipulating that if a husband and wife divorce, if either party purchases commercial housing within 3 years from the date of divorce, the number of housing units owned by the husband and wife shall be calculated according to the total number of households before divorce. Adjust the value-added tax collection and exemption period. Increase the value-added tax exemption period for personal sales of housing from 2 years to 5 years.</p><p>In March, Xi'an also issued a new purchase restriction policy, stipulating that if a house buyer defrauds or evades the purchase restriction policy through \"holding on behalf of others\", he/she and the \"holding on behalf of others\" will be included in the list of untrustworthy buyers in our city, and will not be allowed to buy a house within 5 years</p><p>In June, the Ministry of Finance, the Ministry of Natural Resources, the State Administration of Taxation, and the People's Bank of China jointly issued a notice that four government non-tax revenues, including the income from the transfer of state-owned land use rights, would be transferred to the tax authorities for collection, which once caused heated discussion.</p><p>On July 23rd, eight departments, including the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, the National Development and Reform Commission and the Ministry of Public Security, jointly issued a notice on continuously rectifying and standardizing the order of the real estate market, which comprehensively regulated the order of the real estate market from four aspects: real estate development, housing sales, housing leasing and property services.</p><p>On July 30, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission held a system-wide 2021 mid-year work symposium and discipline inspection and supervision work (video and telephone) symposium. The meeting stressed that it is necessary to strictly implement the requirements of \"three lines and four grades\" and the concentration of real estate loans, so as to prevent bancassurance funds from bypassing and illegally flowing into the real estate market.</p><p>According to the incomplete statistics of Phoenix.com's Eye of the Storm, since January this year, local governments and relevant central departments have issued more than 40 regulatory and regulatory policies for the real estate market and its derivative services. The number and density are relatively rare in recent years.</p><p>Bai Wenxi told Phoenix.com's \"Eye of the Storm\": \"At present, there are three reasons for the adjustment of real estate policies: the first is to prevent financial risks caused by real estate; Second, it is necessary to reduce the total cost of economic operation represented by real estate under the internal circulation mode; Third, it is necessary to reduce the pressure of living costs to increase fertility willingness and maintain sustainable population development.\"</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a08ad922ffa471f7aea8f0400a29bb4\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1230\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>03. Real estate companies \"no longer in the limelight\" and their stock prices sharply pullback/retracement</b></p><p>Policy changes have also directly affected listed companies in the real estate industry.</p><p>Benefiting from the rapid development of China's real estate market in recent years, a large number of giant real estate listed companies have been born in China, and real estate companies were once regarded as a symbol of \"not short of money\".</p><p>Wanda Chairman Wang Jianlin, who has passed away<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BEKE\">Shells</a>Chairman Zuo Hui and other real estate tycoons have all ascended to the throne of \"the richest man\".</p><p>However, with the state beginning to regulate the \"overheated\" real estate market and the introduction of a series of strict regulatory policies, these listed real estate companies have also encountered the problem of \"turning around in a catastrophe\", and problems such as capital chain breakage, income decline, stock price decline and high debt also followed.</p><p>In August last year, the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development and the People's Bank of China held a symposium on key real estate enterprises in Beijing, which clarified the fund monitoring and financing management rules of key real estate enterprises, which is the \"three red lines\" that have been rumored many times in the industry before.</p><p>According to incomplete statistics from Phoenix.com's \"Eye of the Storm\", among the 40 leading real estate companies listed on Hong Kong stocks and A-shares, more than half of the companies' stock prices are more than 30% away from the highest pullback/retracement within 52 weeks.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/face4ce6faa97c257718c9108ee3c3b8\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1003\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>In fact, during the collective \"big dive\" of A-shares on Monday and Tuesday this week, due to concerns about the policy supervision of the real estate market, A-share real estate stocks also collectively fell sharply.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000718\">Suning Global</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600773\">Tibet City Investment</a>It once fell more than 10%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0dfca5e8a01f143057cf5d1f41a95b53\" tg-width=\"324\" tg-height=\"459\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><b>04. Is the big change in the property market coming?</b></p><p>Wuhan's policy of \"buying a house with a house ticket\" also reminds many people of \"food stamps\" and \"meat stamps\" in the planned economy era. So, does \"buying a house with a house ticket\" really mean returning to the era of planned economy? Will it trigger other cities to follow up?</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb31adddcc3e0bf4814fad90b355b71b\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"219\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Bai Wenxi said that it has been nearly 30 years since China bid farewell to the ticket era, and the launch of Wuhan's \"room ticket\" has touched and evoked people's memories of the era of insufficient supply and tickets everywhere in the planned economy era. As one of the industries with the highest public attention, the \"room ticket\" incident in Wuhan, which is still brewing, will most likely be pushed to the \"hot search\".</p><p>Bai Wenxi believes that the room ticket itself is based on the system design of compressing demand by access control, and then changing the relationship between supply and demand in the property market to prevent the property market from overheating. However, the logical regulation of the property market needs to start from both ends of supply and demand. While limiting and suppressing demand with quantitative tools and price tools, it is also necessary to balance the relationship between supply and demand by increasing market supply.</p><p>\"Therefore, if we really want to stabilize the supply and demand relationship in the property market, we should try our best to reduce and eliminate all kinds of control measures at both ends of supply and demand, guide the allocation of resources and factors and reconstruct the supply and demand relationship with the price mechanism, let alone restore the tickets of the planned economy era.\" Bai Wenxi told Phoenix.com's \"Eye of the Storm\".</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5109cefd2de75f41c0a1a0f3da6acbb\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"434\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Whether it's the policy of \"buying a house with a house ticket\" introduced by Wuhan this time, a series of regulatory policies on the real estate market introduced by local governments this year, or the rumored \"real estate tax\" to be introduced soon, do these mean that China's property market will usher in a big change?</p><p>Zhuge Housing Search Data Research Center told Phoenix.com's Eye of the Storm: \"The introduction of real estate tax may usher in another reshuffle of the real estate market.\"</p><p>\"From the current real estate policy adjustment, it is the main tone of China's real estate market to insist on living in housing without speculation. Under this principle, first of all, it is necessary to curb the excessive rise of house prices through policy regulation and promote the market to gradually return to the rational stage; Secondly, constantly improve and standardize the real estate market system, crack down on some behaviors of speculating on house prices and exploiting policy loopholes in time, and promote the healthy development of the real estate market; Third, tilt limited resources to groups in just-needed needs to provide home buyers with a more stable real estate environment. \"</p><p>Zhuge Housing Data Research Center believes that with the introduction of these policies, the interests of the real just-needed groups have been guaranteed, and the mentality of buying houses has gradually become rational, which has played a certain role in inhibiting the excessive rise of house prices. In the long run, after strict policy regulation, housing prices in first-tier cities will tend to run smoothly.</p><p>Bai Wenxi believes that if the property tax is really introduced soon, it does mean that the real estate market will usher in a major change, but in fact, the real estate tax has not been submitted for deliberation according to the legislative procedure, and it will not be introduced soon, and there is no timetable.</p><p>Bai Wenxi said that if these policies do not start with expanding the supply side, but only take measures such as quantitative tools to control demand-side access, such as room tickets, and price tools to control demand-side, such as mortgage ratio and interest rate, the result may just raise the soup and stop boiling, or even rise more and more.</p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3c5822c22b6cfd1d0ae2625b7bc085e","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198370900","content_text":"2021年春节过后，原本平静的武汉楼市突然躁动起来。\n短短两个月的时间里，武汉光谷关山大道的中建大公馆、金地格林东郡、泛悦城等楼盘，从2万元/平方米左右的价格，涨到了3、4万元/平方米。\n而房价飞涨的背后，是来自深圳、徐州、枣庄等地的投资客们，利用武汉市相对宽松的落户政策和限购政策，疯狂“炒房”。\n当时，深受其害的武汉当地人对媒体表示：“恨死了这些外地炒房客，政府啥时候能严格限购啊？”\n武汉人民并未等太久。3个月后，7月28日，武汉市房管局发布了关于加强购房资格管理的征求意见稿。意见稿发布后，“武汉将实施凭房票买房”的话题也迅速在网络上引起热议。\n武汉要进入“凭房票买房”时代了？对这个消息，有人支持，有人质疑，还有人担心“炒房”会变成“炒房票”。\n不过，无论如何解读，武汉释放出的楼市“收紧”的信号则是明确的。实际上，正在“收紧”楼市政策的不止武汉一个城市。\n凤凰网《风暴眼》发现，进入2021年以来，包括北京、上海、广州、深圳、杭州等在内的地方政府，都发布了针对房地产市场的更为严格的监管政策。\n随着校外教培行业迎来颠覆式的大变革，很多人也不禁发问：中国楼市的大变革，也要来了吗？\n中国企业资本联盟副理事长、IPG中国首席经济学家柏文喜对凤凰网《风暴眼》表示：“这些政策在短期内会加大和提升投资性需求的购房难度与成本，从而从一定程度上抑制楼市过热问题。但长期来看，如果实际的市场供求关系不改变，影响房价的人口、土地、金融政策不作大的改变，则很难对房价产生实质性影响。”\n\n01、武汉的“凭票买房”，到底是什么？\n在网上引起热议的武汉“凭房票买房”的政策，到底规定了哪些内容呢？\n7月28日，为坚持“房住不炒”定位，进一步加强武汉市购房资格管理工作，武汉市房管局发布《市住房保障房管局关于加强购房资格管理工作的通知（征求意见稿）》，并公开征求意见。\n\n根据意见稿，在购房资格申请上，符合限购区域购买住房的意向购房人可通过官方平台或者通过开发商和中介机构申请购房资格。\n各区房管部门在申请之时起48个小时内完成购房资格认定，并将认定结果反馈给申请人，购房资格认定结果自出具之日起60日内有效。\n《征求意见稿》还要求，购房登记完成后，购房资格认定结果即时锁定，锁定期间不得再次进行购房登记。开盘销售后，购房资格认定结果自动解除锁定。\n柏文喜对凤凰网《风暴眼》表示：“武汉‘凭票买房’的相关设想目前尚处于征求意见阶段，这是为加强楼市管控、立足于购房者资格准入提出的拟意中的制度设计。”\n那么，“凭房票购房”的政策出台后，会对武汉的楼市造成哪些影响呢？\n诸葛找房数据研究中心对凤凰网《风暴眼》表示：“凭票买房政策，是前期政策的一个打补丁新政，也是对限购政策的补充完善，一定程度上可以遏制市场乱象，对规范房地产市场交易有着积极作用，较有力地打击了部分制造虚假热售场面的开发商，一定程度上可以抑制炒房现象。”\n中国豪宅研究院院长朱晓红对凤凰网《风暴眼》表示：“凭票买房与香港、韩国的住房干预有异曲同工之处。对打击炒房，控制过度消费住房产品有好处，但要防止‘以房票谋私’和‘房票买卖’，一定要确保房票给对人。”\n柏文喜也表达了类似的担忧，他表示：“房票表面上会控制需求和打击炒房，但实际上是通过压抑需求和不增加供给进行的，如果运用不当，可能反而会加剧供求矛盾，引发权力腐败、加剧各类变相炒房和地下炒房等行为。”\n02、地方政府密集出台政策，“收紧”信号明显\n实际上，武汉市对于购房资格的政策调整，可能早在2020年就已经开始了。\n去年1月，武汉实行了商品房资格核查全程网办，意向购房者可通过武汉市房管局官网申请资格并查询结果，如果通过审核，即可获取编号和二维码等审核资料信息，该资料60日内购房有效，过期需重新申请。\n可以看出，早在2020年武汉市就已搭建出“凭房票买房”的机制雏形。而此次的征求意见稿，也是对先关政策的补充和完善。\n而除了武汉外，北上广深等一线城市，嘉兴、佛山、无锡等二三线城市，以及住建部等中央部门，也都陆续发布了一系列政策来对房地产市场加强监管。\n1月5日，住建部部长王蒙徽在接受媒体采访时，重申了坚持房住不炒，落实房地产长效机制等政策原则，表示2021年房住不炒仍然作为政策主基调不改变，同时长效机制不断落实完善的信号。\n例如，上海市也在1月份明确继续实施房产税试点。同时，上海市还针对“假离婚，真购房”现象，规定：夫妻离异的，任何一方自夫妻离异之日起3年内购买商品住房的，其拥有住房套数按离异前家庭总套数计算。调整增值税征免年限。将个人对外销售住房增值税征免年限从2年提高至5年。\n3月，西安也发布限购新政，规定购房人骗取或通过“代持”方式规避限购政策的，其本人及“代持人”将列入我市购房失信人员名册，5年内不得购房\n6月，财政部、自然资源部、税务总局、人民银行联合发布通知，国有土地使用权出让收入等四项政府非税收入将划转税务部门征收，一度引起热议。\n7月23日，住建部、发改委、公安部等八部门共同发布关于持续整治规范房地产市场秩序的通知，从房地产开发、房屋买卖、住房租赁以及物业服务四个方面切入，对房地产市场秩序进行全面规范。\n7月30日，银保监会召开全系统2021年年中工作座谈会暨纪检监察工作（电视电话）座谈会。会议强调，要严格执行“三线四档”和房地产贷款集中度要求，防止银行保险资金绕道违规流入房地产市场。\n据凤凰网《风暴眼》不完全统计，从今年1月至今，各地政府和中央相关部门共发布了超过40项针对房地产市场以及其衍生服务的监管和调控政策。数量之多，密度之大，在近年来都是比较罕见的。\n柏文喜对凤凰网《风暴眼》表示：“目前针对房地产政策的调整的原因有三个：第一是防范房地产引发的金融风险问题；第二是内循环模式下需要降低以房地产为代表的经济运行总成本；第三是提升生育意愿和保持人口可持续发展需要降低居住成本压力。”\n\n03、地产公司“风头不再” 股价大幅回撤\n政策的变化，也直接影响到了地产行业的上市公司身上。\n受益于中国房地产市场近年来的快速发展，中国也诞生了一大批巨无霸类的地产上市公司，地产企业也一度被视为“不差钱”的象征。\n万达董事长王健林、已经去世的贝壳董事长左晖等地产大亨们，都曾登上过“首富”的宝座。\n然而随着国家开始对“过热”的房地产市场进行调控，以及一系列严格的监管政策的出台，这些地产上市公司也纷纷遭遇了“船大难掉头”的难题，资金链断裂、收入下滑、股价下跌、高额负债等问题也随之而来。\n去年8月，住房城乡建设部、人民银行在北京召开重点房地产企业座谈会，明确了重点房地产企业资金监测和融资管理规则，也就是此前业内多次传闻的“三条红线”。\n据凤凰网《风暴眼》不完全统计，在港股和A股上市的40家头部地产公司中，有一半以上的公司股价在52周内距最高点回撤超过30%。\n\n事实上，就在本周一、周二的A股集体“大跳水”中，出于对房地产市场政策监管的担忧情绪，A股地产股也集体大跌，苏宁环球、西藏城投一度跌超10%。\n\n04、楼市的大变革，要来了吗\n武汉“凭房票买房”政策，也让很多人联想到了计划经济时代的“粮票”、“肉票”。那么，“凭房票购房”，是否真的意味着回到计划经济时代？是否又会引发其他城市跟进？\n\n柏文喜表示，中国告别票证时代已近三十年了，而武汉“房票”的推出触碰和勾起了了人们对计划经济年代供给不足、处处票证的时代记忆，房地产作为公众关注度最高的行业之一，尚在酝酿之中的武汉“房票”事件大概率会被推上“热搜”。\n柏文喜认为，房票本身是立足于以准入管制来压缩需求，进而改变楼市供求关系以防止楼市过热的制度设计。但是楼市调控逻辑上需要从供求两端着手，在以数量工具与价格工具限制与压抑需求的同时，还要通过增加市场供给来平衡供求关系。\n“因此，真正要平抑楼市供求关系的话，则要尽量减少和消除供求两端的各类管制措施，以价格机制引导资源和要素配置并重构供求关系，更不能恢复计划经济时代的票证。”柏文喜对凤凰网《风暴眼》表示。\n\n无论是武汉市此次出台的“凭房票买房”的政策，还是今年以来各地政府出台的一系列对房地产市场的监管政策，抑或是传闻中即将出台的“房地产税”，这些是否意味着中国楼市将迎来一次大变革呢？\n诸葛找房数据研究中心对凤凰网《风暴眼》表示：“房地产税的出台，或将迎来房地产市场的又一次洗牌。”\n“从目前房地产政策调整来看，坚持房住不炒是我国房地产市场的主基调。在此原则之下，首先需通过政策调控抑制房价上涨过快，促进市场逐渐回归理性阶段；其次，不断完善和规范房地产市场体系，对一些炒作房价、钻政策空子的行为及时进行打击，促进房地产市场健康发展；第三，将有限的资源向刚需群体倾斜，为购房者提供一个更为稳定的房地产环境。”\n诸葛找房数据研究中心认为，随着这些政策出台，真正的刚需群体利益得到保障，购房心态也逐渐理性，对房价过快上涨起到一定的抑制作用。长期来看，一线城市房价在经过严格的政策调控后，房价将趋于平稳运行。\n柏文喜认为，如果房产税真的很快出台，确实意味着房地产市场将迎来一次大变革，但是事实上房地产税按照立法程序尚未提交审议，是不会很快出台，也没有时间表的。\n柏文喜表示，这些政策如果不是从扩大供给端入手，而是仅仅采取控制需求端准入的数量工具如房票、控制需求端的价格工具如按揭成数与利率等措施，结果可能只是扬汤止沸，甚至越调越涨。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3039,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":163664076,"gmtCreate":1623883600395,"gmtModify":1703822214254,"author":{"id":"3585481693131980","authorId":"3585481693131980","name":"Bluez","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e319262691b62ffc43be5e2d506ecdc7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585481693131980","idStr":"3585481693131980"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/163664076","repostId":"1109204514","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1109204514","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1623866545,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1109204514?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-17 02:02","market":"other","language":"zh","title":"Fed dot plot: Median expectations for two Fed rate hike by the end of 2023","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1109204514","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"虽然依然保持近零利率和QE购债规模不变，但本周美联储会议释放了两年后、即2023年较有可能加息不止一次的明显信号。\n美东时间6月16日周三，美联储会后公布，联储货币政策委员会FOMC的委员一致同意，将","content":"<p>Although near-zero interest rates and the scale of QE bond purchases remain unchanged, this week's Fed meeting released a clear signal that more than one rate hike is more likely in two years, that is, in 2023.</p><p>On Wednesday, June 16, Eastern Time, the Federal Reserve announced after the meeting that members of the Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Committee FOMC unanimously agreed to keep the target level of the policy interest rate Federal Funds rate unchanged at 0-0.25%, in line with market expectations, while reducing the excess reserve interest rate (IOER) and discount rate remain at 0.10% and 0.25% respectively.</p><p>As in the previous eight post-meeting statements, the Fed continues to promise to use its \"all-range\" policy tools to support the U.S. economy.</p><p>The dot plot released after the meeting showed that, like the last dot plot released in March this year, all Fed officials expect interest rates to remain unchanged this year, and for longer after 2023, most Fed officials expect interest rates to rise to 2.5%, higher than the Fed's long-term target of 2%. Different from the last bitmap is:</p><p><ul><li>Of the 18 officials who issued expectations,<b>This time, 7 people expect to go to rate hike in 2022</b>, 3 more people than expected last time,<b>The number of people accounts for nearly 40%.</b></li><li>Among the 18 people this time,<b>13 people expect to meet rate hike in 2023, accounting for more than 72%</b>, 6 more people than the last expected 2023 rate hike<b>。</b></li><li><b>Of the 13 people who expect rate hike in 2023, 11 expect interest rates to exceed 0.5% by then,</b>Number of<b>Accounting for more than 61%</b>, 5 more people than expected last time,<b>Five people expect the interest rate to exceed 1% by then</b>, 3 more people than expected last time, the number of<b>Accounting for nearly 30%</b>。</li></ul>This means that,<b>If a rate hike is 25 basis points</b>, then,<b>More than 60% of officials this time expect the Fed to conduct at least two rate hike by the end of 2023 on the current basis</b>。</p><p>After the announcement of the FOMC decision at 2 p.m. in the eastern United States, the 10-year U.S. bond yield rose above the 1.50% and 1.51% marks, turning up and rising nearly 2 basis points during the day. The decline in U.S. stocks expanded, with the Dow falling nearly 370 points or more than 1%, the S&P 500 falling nearly 1%, and the Nasdaq falling 0.7%. Five minutes later, the Dow's decline narrowed slightly to 285 points, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq both fell 0.7%. Gold and silver dived, spot gold fell again by 0.5% during the day and fell below $1,850, falling more than $10 in the short term. Bitcoin's decline narrowed and returned to above $39,000, while the US Dollar Index rose above the two barriers of 90.70 and 90.80, setting a new one-month high.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed dot plot: Median expectations for two Fed rate hike by the end of 2023</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed dot plot: Median expectations for two Fed rate hike by the end of 2023\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-17 02:02</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Although near-zero interest rates and the scale of QE bond purchases remain unchanged, this week's Fed meeting released a clear signal that more than one rate hike is more likely in two years, that is, in 2023.</p><p>On Wednesday, June 16, Eastern Time, the Federal Reserve announced after the meeting that members of the Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Committee FOMC unanimously agreed to keep the target level of the policy interest rate Federal Funds rate unchanged at 0-0.25%, in line with market expectations, while reducing the excess reserve interest rate (IOER) and discount rate remain at 0.10% and 0.25% respectively.</p><p>As in the previous eight post-meeting statements, the Fed continues to promise to use its \"all-range\" policy tools to support the U.S. economy.</p><p>The dot plot released after the meeting showed that, like the last dot plot released in March this year, all Fed officials expect interest rates to remain unchanged this year, and for longer after 2023, most Fed officials expect interest rates to rise to 2.5%, higher than the Fed's long-term target of 2%. Different from the last bitmap is:</p><p><ul><li>Of the 18 officials who issued expectations,<b>This time, 7 people expect to go to rate hike in 2022</b>, 3 more people than expected last time,<b>The number of people accounts for nearly 40%.</b></li><li>Among the 18 people this time,<b>13 people expect to meet rate hike in 2023, accounting for more than 72%</b>, 6 more people than the last expected 2023 rate hike<b>。</b></li><li><b>Of the 13 people who expect rate hike in 2023, 11 expect interest rates to exceed 0.5% by then,</b>Number of<b>Accounting for more than 61%</b>, 5 more people than expected last time,<b>Five people expect the interest rate to exceed 1% by then</b>, 3 more people than expected last time, the number of<b>Accounting for nearly 30%</b>。</li></ul>This means that,<b>If a rate hike is 25 basis points</b>, then,<b>More than 60% of officials this time expect the Fed to conduct at least two rate hike by the end of 2023 on the current basis</b>。</p><p>After the announcement of the FOMC decision at 2 p.m. in the eastern United States, the 10-year U.S. bond yield rose above the 1.50% and 1.51% marks, turning up and rising nearly 2 basis points during the day. The decline in U.S. stocks expanded, with the Dow falling nearly 370 points or more than 1%, the S&P 500 falling nearly 1%, and the Nasdaq falling 0.7%. Five minutes later, the Dow's decline narrowed slightly to 285 points, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq both fell 0.7%. Gold and silver dived, spot gold fell again by 0.5% during the day and fell below $1,850, falling more than $10 in the short term. Bitcoin's decline narrowed and returned to above $39,000, while the US Dollar Index rose above the two barriers of 90.70 and 90.80, setting a new one-month high.</p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a1de7aced7748879f251930783a3cb1","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1109204514","content_text":"虽然依然保持近零利率和QE购债规模不变，但本周美联储会议释放了两年后、即2023年较有可能加息不止一次的明显信号。\n美东时间6月16日周三，美联储会后公布，联储货币政策委员会FOMC的委员一致同意，将政策利率联邦基金利率的目标水平保持在0-0.25%不变，符合市场预期，同时将超额准备金利率（IOER）和贴现利率仍分别维持在0.10%和0.25%。\n和前八次会后声明一样，美联储继续承诺，将为了支持美国经济而运用联储“所有范围”的政策工具。\n会后公布的点阵图显示，和今年3月上次发布的点阵图一样，所有美联储官员均预计今年利率保持不变，在2023年之后的更长时间内，多数联储官员预计利率会升至2.5%，高于联储长期目标2%。不同于上次点阵图的是：\n\n在18名发布预期的官员中，本次有7人预计2022年将加息，比上次这样预期的人数多3人，人数占比将近40%。\n本次18人中有13人预计2023年会加息，人数占比超过72%，比上次预期2023年加息者多6人。\n在预计2023年加息的这13人中，有11人预计届时利率将超过0.5%，人数占比超过61%，比上次这样预期者多5人，预计届时利率超过1%的有5人，比上次这样预期者多3人，人数占比将近30%。\n\n这意味着，若一次加息25个基点，那么，本次有六成以上的多数官员都预计，到2023年末，美联储将在当前基础上至少两次加息。\n在美东下午2点FOMC决策公布后，10年期美债收益率升破1.50%和1.51%两道关口，日内转涨并升近2个基点。美股跌幅扩大，道指跌近370点或超1%，标普500指数跌近1%，纳指跌0.7%。5分钟后，道指跌幅小幅收窄至285点，标普500指数和纳指均跌0.7%。金银跳水，现货黄金日内重新下跌0.5%并失守1850美元，短线跌超10美元。比特币跌幅收窄，重回3.9万美元上方，美元指数升破90.70和90.80两道关口，刷新一个月高位。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2891,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189506898,"gmtCreate":1623280598514,"gmtModify":1704199806595,"author":{"id":"3585481693131980","authorId":"3585481693131980","name":"Bluez","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e319262691b62ffc43be5e2d506ecdc7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585481693131980","idStr":"3585481693131980"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oh","listText":"Oh","text":"Oh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/189506898","repostId":"2142824851","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2947,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":117972063,"gmtCreate":1623115310252,"gmtModify":1704196344259,"author":{"id":"3585481693131980","authorId":"3585481693131980","name":"Bluez","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e319262691b62ffc43be5e2d506ecdc7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585481693131980","idStr":"3585481693131980"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good job g7","listText":"Good job g7","text":"Good job g7","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/117972063","repostId":"2141259172","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2477,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":117976651,"gmtCreate":1623115277973,"gmtModify":1704196343767,"author":{"id":"3585481693131980","authorId":"3585481693131980","name":"Bluez","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e319262691b62ffc43be5e2d506ecdc7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585481693131980","idStr":"3585481693131980"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good job g7","listText":"Good job g7","text":"Good job g7","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/117976651","repostId":"2141259172","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2279,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"followers","isTTM":true}