$1 Trillion of AI Spending Is Not the Bull Case. The Return on It Is.
@Isleigh：
This may be the most important mega-cap earnings week of the quarter. Microsoft. Alphabet. Amazon. Intel. Together, they sit at the centre of an extraordinary AI capital cycle. But after the market's recent reaction to Meta, I think the question has changed. It is no longer: “Who is spending the most on AI?” It is: “Who is getting paid back fastest?” That distinction could decide not only which mega-cap wins earnings week, but whether the broader AI trade gets its next leg higher. 🔵 AI HAS ENTERED PHASE 2 Phase 1 was about building. Buy GPUs. Build data centres. Secure power. Train bigger models. Spend aggressively. For a while, announcing larger AI capex was itself bullish because it signalled confidence in future demand. But eventually every capex cycle faces the same test: Where is the
