🎁$SPX Performances Under Democrats vs Republicans
On January 15, 2024, the US presidential election kicked off, and Donald Trump took the lead in winning the Iowa primary.
Who's running to be the next US president? What important points that US equity investors should consider in election years?
1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ performances under Democrats vs Republicans
From 2021 to 2024, during the Biden’s Democratic administration, as of January 15, $S&P 500(.SPX)$ had a 3-year growth of 26.7%.
Chatgpt helped me calculate that the average annual growth rate is approximately 8.7%.
This is lower than the average annual growth rate of 11.3% under Obama and the Democratic administration (2009-2017).
It is also lower than Trump’s 13.6% during the Republican administration (2017-2021).
Conventional wisdom holds that liberal Democrats are generally bad for the economy and the stock market because of their leanings toward big government, while conservative Republicans are good for them.
This widely held view is actually false if you look at data dating back to the end of World War II.
"The stock market does perform better under Democrats than under Republicans," said Jeremy Siegel, Russell E. Palmer Professor of Finance at the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania. "That's a well-known fact, but it's not It means cause and effect."
From 1952 to June 2020, real stock market returns under Democrats were 10.6% annualized, compared with 4.8% for Republicans.
2. Who's running to be the next US president?
Who's running to be the next US president? The 2024 election candidates so far - including Oprah's 'spiritual adviser' | US News | Sky News
Infographic: Who Is Running For President in 2024? | Statista
3. 4 important points that US equity investors should consider in election years
Political Uncertainty: Election years bring heightened political uncertainty, especially during the campaign. Market volatility can rise due to uncertainty about candidates' policy preferences and their potential impact on the economy.
Policy Changes: General election results may bring about policy changes, including tax and regulatory policies. Investors often adjust their portfolios based on the expected impact of these changes on various industries.
Market Expectations: Election year markets are influenced by voter and investor expectations. Market behavior may differ in anticipation of victory for different candidates, leading to increased market volatility.
Economic Fundamentals: The stock market's performance in an election year is also influenced by economic fundamentals. Factors such as the overall economic health, employment data, corporate earnings, and more play a role in shaping market dynamics.
4. Reply to Win Tiger Coins
Do you have any forward-looking statements?
Who will be elected as the U.S. President in 2025? Are you anticipating a victory for a particular political party?
Which industries are more favorable for investment before the election?
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唐纳德·特朗普会回来吗？他是一个可怕的总统，引起了许多贸易战和市场的过山车！没门，请呆在家里川普。
嗯，我们看到，2024年初选开始时，唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）在关键的受欢迎程度指标上远远领先于他的共和党对手，而乔·拜登（Joe Biden）的工作支持率已降至过去15年来任何一位总统的低点。
随着周一爱荷华州党团会议的举行，全国调查发现，共和党人和倾向于共和党的无党派人士在三个指标上对特朗普的评价尤其高：在11月获胜的最佳机会，作为一名强有力的领导人，以及作为该党最合格的候选人。
希望民主党能在2025年的下一次选举中继续获胜。我们需要一个看涨的市场gogogogo！$特斯拉(TSLA)$
你怎么想的？你希望谁能赢得选举？[意见][意见][意见][意见][意见]
@TigerStars @CaptainTiger @MillionaireTiger @TigerClub @TigerPicks @TigerSG @Tiger_comments @TigerObserver
come comment and win coins [smile] [smile] [smile]
Do you have any forward-looking statements?
Who will be elected as the U.S. President in 2025? Are you anticipating a victory for a particular political party?
Which industries are more favorable for investment before the election?
🌟🌟🌟2024 is a watershed year for the US with 2 key names the front runners for the hot seat of the President of the United States (POTUS). It looks like it will be Donald Trump versus Joe Biden.
Donald Trump has scored a convincing win in the latest Iowa election with 20 of the 40 seats, leaving his 2 rivals Ron De Santis and Nikki Haley in the dust.
Traditionally Presidential election years have always been good for the markets. In election years, the returns have been an encouraging 9.9%.
Investors are also banking on multiple interest rate cuts in 2024 with cooling inflation amid sturdy economic growth.
I believe growth stocks with the AI theme are going to do well in 2024. My Tactical bets will be $Microsoft(MSFT)$
$Alphabet(GOOG)$
These are stocks very much into AI and with the continuous development and new technologies, they will continue to experience compound growth in 2024.
No matter who wins the election, whether it is Donald Trump or Joe Biden, there will be big initiatives in government spending to boost projects, infrastructure and stimulate growth in the economy.
Donald Trump's slogan "Make America Great Again" or MAGA will be his battle cry in his fight to win back the White House.
Joe Biden's slogan is "Let's finish the job".
Both presidential contenders will emphasize on how they will revitalise the US economy and how they will make a difference in the American lives from jobs to health and foreign policies.
It is going to be a closely contested Presidential Election and an exciting one to watch. May the best man win!
@Tiger_story @TigerStars @Tiger_comments @MillionaireTiger @TigerClub @TigerPicks @Tiger_SG @CaptainTiger
having a stable government is important as it means the survival of a country and the ability to build a good relationship with other countries is equally important as well...
I think if trump was to come into "power" once more, it's going to be quite a scene...
time to eat popcorn...
Great ariticle, would you like to share it?
嗨