To The Moon

Renowned Apple analyst Ming-Chi Kuo warned in early January that iPhone shipments in China would decrease because Apple Intelligence is not yet launching in the Chinese market.

In December 2024, smartphone shipments in China were roughly flat compared to the same period in 2023, but iPhone shipments declined by about 10–12%, indicating that Apple's market share in China continues to shrink.

Apple's stock has already fallen 11% year-to-date. Will it drop back to $200 this time?

At what price are you planning to buy the dip?

🎁Special Notes: Whoever showed up on the” What the Tigers Say” column will receive 100 Tiger Coins and an exclusive interview invitation to honor your contribution.

Click titles to read the full analysis:

1. @Tiger V :

Key Points:

Global markets have shown mixed performance recently, with heightened focus on Apple Inc.’s challenges. The tech giant, long a market leader, has suffered a significant blow after analysts downgraded its rating amid concerns over weaker-than-expected iPhone sales and underwhelming adoption of AI features. Apple shares dropped 4.3% on Tuesday, contributing to an 11% decline in January, marking its worst start to the year since December 2022.

Apple’s downgraded rating from Loop Capital (to “Hold”) and Jefferies (to “Underperform”) highlights growing skepticism. Analysts cited underwhelming iPhone sales globally, particularly a sharp 18.2% decline in China during Q4 2023, and weak demand for AI functionality among U.S. consumers. As Apple struggles, other large-cap tech stocks maintain stronger buy ratings, indicating a potential shift in investor preference within the tech sector. Notably, Morgan Stanley replaced Apple with Seagate Technology as its top IT hardware pick.

Monitor Earnings Reports: Apple’s upcoming Q1 2024 earnings report will be pivotal. Disappointing guidance could pressure the stock further, while any positive surprises might stabilize its valuation.

Shift Focus to AI Leaders: As Apple lags in leveraging AI, consider companies with stronger AI-driven growth narratives, such as Microsoft or NVIDIA, to align portfolios with the future of technology.

2. @Pinkspider:

Key Points:

Apple's iPhone sales in China declined by 18.2% year-over-year during the December quarter, dropping the company to third place in the market, according to Counterpoint Research. Huawei regained the top position with a 15.5% increase in sales, fueled by the success of its Mate 70 series and mid-range Nova 13 lineup. Apple’s new AI-enabled iPhones struggled to gain traction in China due to the unavailability of key features and the ongoing search for a local AI infrastructure partner. Globally, iPhone sales fell by 5% during the same period, while China's smartphone market experienced its first quarterly decline of 2024, following earlier growth in the year. $AAPL was down 3% today and is now down from a high of $260 in December 2024.

3. @SG GCR:

Key Points:

$AAPL 20250417 240.0 CALL$  I think Apple has gone down long enough from its highs. RSI is also low at the moment. Good time as any to get in. Will see how this plays out.

4. @GuoHao72:

Key Points:

$AAPL 20250124 215.0 PUT$  IV higher than HV, selling to earn premium.

Next 3 days not many data release and APPL has already been impacted by consecutive disappointments.

5. @Komorebinaai:

Key Points:

Sell AAPL PUT US20251219 140.0

New position into Apple. It went down about 2% with the bad news about low China sales. I look the opportunity to be "long" Apple at 138.4. Looking at Apple as temp correction price but also ok to buy strike price.

5. @ZEROHERO:

Key Points:

Shorted the fruit at open due to declining sales in China. This red apple is pulling down the market since last week. Next support at 219, 217, 214 before earnings on 30 Jan. Best to avoid for now.

Questions for you:

Apple's stock has already fallen 11% year-to-date. Will it drop back to $200 this time?

At what price are you planning to buy the dip?

🎁Prizes

🐯 All valid comments on the following post will receive 5 Tiger Coins.

We strongly recommend selecting the "Also repost" button when posting a comment to receive more rewards.

⏰Duration

• 29 Jan (24pm EDT)