To The Moon

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ I'm voting yes, it will pop after earnings. Because even if the quarterly numbers are soft, the underlying story is accelerating. Tesla is no longer just about vehicles; it’s executing across autonomy, robotics, energy, and AI infrastructure in parallel. Robotaxis are already being validated in Texas, and the Model Y L in China is testing autonomy-ready hardware. This is not theoretical, Tesla is operationalising the future of mobility. Optimus is now in public demonstrations, not concept drawings. It’s being introduced deliberately to condition mainstream adoption, and behind it is Dojo, Tesla’s vertically integrated AI training engine enabling real-time autonomy, inference, and scalability. Services revenue is expanding, reflecting a clear shift toward recurring margin from software and ecosystem integration. Tesla Energy continues to grow globally despite macro and tariff pressures, with long-term infrastructure bets in storage, load balancing, and grid intelligence. The company continues to attract top engineering talent in AI, robotics, and energy systems. Even with leadership changes, Tesla remains focused, fast, and mission-driven. Unlike competitors retreating or delaying plans, Tesla is still building, deploying, and iterating in public view. The roadmap is active, execution is visible, and conviction is rising. That’s why I’m voting yes. Because what Tesla is building across autonomy, energy, and AI is gaining altitude, and markets eventually move to reflect momentum that can’t be ignored.

📈🚗⚡ Tesla’s Fibonacci Reversal May Be the Market’s Hidden Code ⚡🚗📈

I’m extremely confident that what we’re seeing right now in Tesla isn’t just another technical rebound. It’s a rare Fibonacci convergence that, when combined with improving fundamentals and Q3-forward demand catalysts, could trigger a powerful multi-leg rally. Most traders are watching the headlines. I’m watching the structure.

The weekly chart is flashing a textbook ascending triangle just under the critical $345–350 breakout zone. Price is compressing into a multi-quarter coil, and the lower bound has been defended multiple times since April. We’ve now got overlapping bullish triggers across timeframes: a weekly triangle, a 4H trend continuation on the back of bullish earnings expectations, and a fresh higher low on the intraday algo-tracking chart at $317.17. That’s not just coincidence. That’s institutional choreography.

I’m unequivocally optimistic about the roadmap from here. On the 5-minute chart, we saw a clean reaction from the $312.76 zone last week, followed by a second confirmation buy off a higher low. That bounce aligns precisely with 0.618 Fib extension levels and completes a harmonic leg into $338.03, which has already seen rejection. The next retest is the make-or-break moment for bulls.

Zooming out, the weekly chart shows a structural triangle breakout underway, targeting $410 and $480 on multi-month timeframes. That implies a 20–40% upside if momentum sustains and the broader tech tape supports the move. These levels also correspond with high-volume nodes and previous liquidity vacuum zones from late 2021 and early 2022.

Now overlay the macro. Tesla’s Q2 earnings on 24Jul25 are expected to confirm 384,000 deliveries, a 14% quarter-over-quarter surge that blew past consensus expectations. Nearly half of those came in June alone, driven by an aggressive push ahead of the September 30 tax credit phaseout in the US. This isn’t just an earnings beat setup; it’s a demand pull-forward mechanism. I’m fully convinced Q3 will reflect that urgency as customers rush to lock in the rebate.

But I’m also aware of the potential catch. Borrowed demand in Q3 could soften Q4 unless the new low-cost vehicle launches on time. That’s the wildcard. If it does, and if Robotaxi fleet expansion begins hitting scale (target: 1,000+ vehicles by early 2026), we’ll be looking at an entirely new TAM narrative for Tesla. In that case, $480 may no longer be a stretch; it may be the new floor.

On the options front, the smart money is already moving. Premium flow shows heavy action in $TSLA 370C 25Jul25 contracts with a 91% historical win rate. Simultaneously, $295P is seeing defensive writing, suggesting firm conviction in the $310–$320 demand base. There’s no heavy bearish flow, and that aligns with a base-case scenario where Tesla gaps up on earnings, then possibly fades if guidance doesn’t blow the doors off.

For holders, I’d seriously consider generating yield by selling OTM calls at $370. For those looking to enter, put selling at $295 makes tactical sense, especially in a post-earnings vol crush.

Valuation-wise, Tesla’s current EV/EBITDA multiple sits in the mid-30s, which is elevated but arguably justified given its expanding verticals: energy storage, Dojo inference, Robotaxi fleet monetisation, and full-stack AI. The market still values it like an auto company, but Tesla’s execution cadence is pivoting toward services and software. That’s the asymmetry.

From a thematic angle, Tesla remains deeply embedded in AI and EV ETFs including $QQQ, $SMH, and $ARKK. As macro sentiment rotates toward high-beta tech and inflation cools, these funds could increase their Tesla weighting further—especially as Robotaxi monetisation begins generating real-world proof points.

I’m watching the $330–$338 range very closely and with great interest. A strong close above $338 with volume would confirm a breakout and initiate a long trade setup toward $350, then $410. If earnings underwhelm, I’ll reassess post-gap. But for now, the risk-reward favours the bulls.

This isn’t just a bounce; it’s the potential ignition of a multi-quarter trend shift. One that begins with technical compression, accelerates with AI-driven optionality, and solidifies with vehicle autonomy at scale. I'm really exciting for the earnings conference call and have a Tiger reminder set to watch the live broadcast and a chance to WIN stock vouchers! Are you joing me and are you voting yes like myself? @icycrystal @1PC 

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