To The Moon

My Investing Muse (29Oct25)

Layoffs, Bankruptcy & Closure news

• Nearly 6% of Nestlé’s global workforce is disappearing. The world’s biggest food company is laying off 16,000 workers in the next 2 yrs... Here’s the breakdown: 12,000 white-collar jobs 4,000 roles cut in manufacturing + supply chain They say this is a shift to automation and shared services... it’s not quite what I am seeing being built up right now. - X user Amanda Goodall

• San Diego-based trucking company Epic Lightning Fast Service LLC plans to shut down all operations permanently on Oct. 31 and lay off all 116 of its workers, according to a WARN notice that the company filed with the State of California, FreightWaves reported.

• The Vero Beach, Florida-based airline Verijet had filed for bankruptcy after amassing over $38.7 million in liabilities and faced a slew of lawsuits. - The Street

CNA - Over 4100 Fed workers have been laid off

Layoffs news from Intellizence

Layoffs News from CNBC

The above are some of the news about debts, closures and bankruptcies.

My final thoughts

Leverage ... Taking a risk that you shouldn’t for something that you are not prepared for.

US Fiscal and Trade Policy Risks

A US government shutdown presents a significant domestic fiscal risk. According to analysis by The Atlantic, a prolonged shutdown scenario carries the potential to impact economic growth materially and could ultimately serve as a catalyst for a national recession.

Market Volatility and Geopolitical Tensions

Current actions by the US government are contributing to a re-escalation of global trade tensions. The administration’s renewed focus on trade disputes is effectively attempting to exert pressure on the international community. This approach is anticipated to generate unreasonable demands from the US, resulting in heightened volatility and uncertainty across global financial markets.

The Future Trajectory and Economic Impact of Artificial Intelligence (AI)

AI remains an enduring, transformative technology and will form a crucial component of future economic activity. However, the current period of intense AI interest may evolve into a phase of disappointment as not all invested businesses realise their expected returns.

This dynamic is projected to drive sector consolidation, leading to a market structure where a few dominant firms flourish alongside successful niche players.

• Technological Disruption: Several traditional sectors face significant disruption. This includes core enterprise software segments like Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP), where AI innovations challenge the existing paradigm.

• Shifting Enterprise Architecture: The fundamental question for many organisations is whether a comprehensive, company-wide enterprise system remains necessary or if a shift to several smaller, AI-enabled modules is more efficient.

• Strategic Human Positioning: While traditional vendors will integrate AI into their offerings, the most critical long-term strategic factor for all businesses will be the correct positioning of human interactions within these new AI-driven solutions.

Portfolio Strategy

Given the confluence of geopolitical, economic, and sector-specific risks, it is strongly recommended that we immediately proceed with establishing hedging positions to diversify and mitigate the overall risk exposure within the existing portfolio.

Financial Strategy and Outlook

Let us spend within our means, invest only what we can afford to lose, and avoid leverage. Let us review our current holdings with the intention of divesting from businesses that are losing their competitive advantages. Additionally, I will consider adding both hedging strategies and defensive positions to our portfolio to mitigate risk.

As we move forward, it is essential to conduct thorough due diligence before taking on any new positions.

Wishing everyone a successful week ahead.

@TigerStars

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