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Weekly Five Key Areas: Earnings, Macro, Singapore Stocks, Options, Futures
Covering five major market segments this week to help you stay ahead of market trends and plan your trades effectively!
🌍 Monday — Macro Economy
U.S. stocks ended 2025 with mixed results during the holiday-shortened trading week, as most major indexes achieved double-digit annual gains for the third consecutive year. While the Nasdaq Composite, Russell 2000, and S&P 500 declined for the week, the Dow Jones and S&P MidCap 400 showed relative resilience with smaller losses of 0.67% and 0.71% respectively. Energy stocks within the S&P 500 bucked the negative trend, posting gains as geopolitical tensions pushed oil prices higher.
The housing market showed encouraging signs as pending home sales surged 3.3% in November—the largest monthly increase since February 2023—driven by improving affordability from lower mortgage rates and wage growth outpacing home price increases. The Federal Housing Finance Agency reported a 0.4% monthly rebound in U.S. house prices for October, with prices up 1.7% year-over-year, led by growth in the Middle Atlantic and East North Central regions.
The Federal Reserve's December meeting minutes revealed divisions among policymakers, with most supporting potential future rate cuts if inflation continues declining, while others preferred maintaining current rates. Despite the Fed's dovish stance, markets showed muted reaction with only a 15% probability of a January rate cut. Meanwhile, labor market data remained robust, with initial jobless claims falling to 199,000—the third consecutive weekly decline and among the lowest readings of the year.
The week ahead: January 5-9
📌【Today’s Question】
New week ahead—any thoughts on where the U.S. stock market is headed?
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策略师预计,Al将遵循历史技术繁荣和萧条周期,市场可能会经历大幅抛售,然后在2026年之前快速反弹。
突出的是英伟达与AMD和英特尔的战略分歧。虽然他们仍然专注于边缘和PC人工智能,但英伟达正在扩展到机器人、工业自动化和人工智能定义的车辆。这使英伟达获得了超越传统硬件周期的更大、更长期的机会。
CES强化了我的观点,即英伟达的优势在于塑造人工智能的未来,而不仅仅是供应芯片。随着人工智能从屏幕进入物理世界,英伟达将自己定位为这一转变的核心基础设施提供商。
@Tiger_comments @TigerStars
Interesting to note that Trump did not try to install the opposition that likely won the elections, had Maduro not rigged the results.
Maduro's vice president, Rodriguez's tone does not seem to be friendly to Trump though and it is unlikely that the US president will take it quietly. She (or the powers that be) might have made a deal for the US to control the oil to allow her to stay in power as interim president for now.
It's potentially oversold & this sets up a tactical rebound opportunity. Near term sentiment could see incremental support following reports of Elon Musk’s dinner with President Trump, which reinforces expectations of a more favourable regulatory & policy backdrop.
Overall, risk-reward looks asymmetric at current levels, with downside largely priced in while optionality remains under-recognised.
The U.S. market is likely to stay range-bound with a mild upward bias, assuming no macro surprises. Recent pullbacks look more like consolidation after a strong 2025 close.
Key drivers • Macro data: Inflation and labour prints remain decisive. Softer data supports equities; sticky inflation limits upside.
• Rates and Fed tone: Stability in rate-cut expectations favours risk assets.
• Tech leadership: AI, semiconductors, and megacaps continue to anchor sentiment.
Market structure • Expect rotation over liquidation. Weakness may attract dip-buying in quality growth.
• Volatility could rise intraday, but sustained downside needs a clear catalyst.
Overall, this appears to be a consolidation week, not a trend reversal.
In Las Vegas CES 2026 isn't just a trade show. For companies like $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ and $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ this is their moment to showcase the latest gizmo in AI revolution.
While Vegas dreams, the global economy watches the aftermath of the Venezuela attack with a heavy heart.
Oil prices are currently caught in a tug of war. On one side , a massive global supply glut is trying to keep the price down. On the other, the terrifying spectre of escalation in South America may threaten to ignite a price spike.
Hold tight! It is going to be a wild ride!🙏🙏🙏🎢🎢🎢
@Daily_Discussion @TigerStars @Tiger_comments @TigerClub @CaptainTiger