To The Moon

Campaign Period: Aug 7--Aug 16 [Heart]Hi Tigers! Over the past month, global stock markets have suffered a significant decline. South Korea’s KOSPI Index fell 43.9%, while the $ChiNext(399006)$dropped more than 27.9%. Although the U.S. $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ plunged by only 10.2%, tech stocks suffered sharp declines: $Micron Technology(MU)$ plummeted 41.2%, $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ dropped 57.6%, and $SpaceX(SPCX)$ fell 52.6%. The AI rally has hit a roadblock, triggering a heated debate in the market over the

Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. $INTC P(INTC 20260904 85.0 P B 1|INTC 20260904 86.0 P S 1)$   I am definitely bullish on INTC. But with AI focus shifting from hardware to software, I am taking a more cautious approach from here on. What is your take on this badly beaten stock Just a year ago? Leave your thoughts in the comment section, thank you! @koolgal @Option Witch @VernaFred

  Tech fund inflows remain extremely strong. At the current pace, 2026 inflows could reach roughly $216 billion, a new record.   But recent market action shows one thing clearly:   Money is not leaving AI. It is rotating within the trade.   Mag 7: CapEx Is Still the Foundation    $Microsoft(MSFT)$, $Amazon.com(AMZN)$, $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ and $Alphabet(GOOG)$ are still spending aggressively on AI infrastructure.   J.P. Morgan has also highlighted improving cloud growth and stronger backlog v

Tencent Music Entertainment (TME) fell 11.92% yesterday to close at $8.72, after touching an intraday low of $8.21. At first glance, the company’s earnings did not appear weak enough to justify such a sharp sell-off. So why did the stock tumble nearly 12% following the results? In the second quarter, TME generated RMB 8.93 billion in revenue, up 5.8% year over year and above market expectations. Revenue from music-related services increased 11% to RMB 7.61 billion, while membership revenue rose 8.1% to RMB 4.79 billion. Non-IFRS net profit increased 4.4% to RMB 2.69 billion. The problem is that markets do not simply price whether a company is growing. They price whether that growth is strong enough to justify its valuation. 1. Ximalaya contributed significantly to headline growth Ximalaya

NVIDIA enters this earnings report with unusually high expectations, and that matters as much as the company’s absolute growth rate. Based on current-quarter forecasts for Q2 2026, revenue is expected at $91.80 billion, up 99.31% year over year, while EBIT is forecast at $60.64 billion, up 109.77% year over year, and EPS is projected at $2.087, up 107.01% year over year. Those numbers imply that the market is still looking for near-doubling growth even after an already extraordinary prior quarter. The practical issue for investors is not whether NVIDIA is growing fast, because the data already shows that it is, but whether the company can sustain this pace without giving back margins or requiring a level of spending that pressures future cash generation. In other words, the stock reaction

🌟🌟🌟The AI revolution has officially graduated from software hype to physical engineering warfare.  Fund manager Roundhill Investments has 2 of the hottest thematic ETFs - $Roundhill Memory ETF(DRAM)$ and $Photonics & Optics ETF(LYTE)$ .  These  ETFs allow investors to target the 2 most critical physical bottlenecks in modern data centres. With sudden regulatory fears and earnings volatility triggering sharp pullbacks across the sector, investors are facing a critical crossroad: Is it time to buy the dip on these fundamental hardware pillars or run for the exit? DRAM & LYTE: The Expense Ratio, Yield & AUM Both DRAM and LYTE are engineered by the same asset manager and

Memory stocks are sending two very different signals today:   Brokers are starting to price in a cycle peak, while industry ties are getting even tighter.   📉 Why Are Korean Brokers Turning Bearish?   Kiwoom cut its SK hynix target price from KRW 2.2M to KRW 2.1M, while Samsung Electronics was cut from KRW 390K to KRW 350K.   The concern is not 2026 earnings. It is what happens after 2027.   The market is starting to ask:   If memory prices stay this high and new capacity comes online, are we approaching another peak-out?   NAND margins have already recovered sharply for several quarters. That is exactly why investors are now questioning how long these elevated profits can last.   🤝 But SK and Kioxia Are Gettin

$CECO Environmental(CECO)$ Environmental reported extraordinary order and backlog growth as industrial customers invested in pollution control, power, water and process infrastructure. The first quarter including Thermon, however, also produced a GAAP loss and negative reported free cash flow, illustrating the accounting and integration risk behind the expansion. CECO reported before the August 10 market open for the quarter ended June 30. Orders increased 191% to $798.5 million, backlog rose 164% to $1.82 billion and revenue grew 54% to $285 million. Adjusted EBITDA advanced 73% to $40.2 million. CECO’s official second-quarter release provides the reported and adjusted figures. The bullish thesis is that CECO supplies specialised equipment needed

$Intel(INTC)$’s decision to issue $15 billion of common stock captures the central tension in its recovery: demand for computing infrastructure is improving, but building a competitive semiconductor foundry requires enormous investment before the resulting factories and process technologies produce dependable returns. Intel announced the proposed offering on August 10. The underwriters also received a 30-day option to purchase as much as another $2.25 billion of shares. Intel said the proceeds would support general corporate purposes, including capital spending and working capital. The company’s official offering announcement and August 10 SEC filing establish the structure and intended uses. The bullish interpretation is that Intel is raising cap

$Intel(INTC)$ is expanding its common stock offering to $20 billion at an anticipated $95 per share offering price. While massive $100 billion institutional demand underscores long-term backing, near-term equity dilution keeps shares trading near $97.52. The $95 institutional price acts as a critical valuation anchor that directly dictates option strike selection. IF YOU ALREADY OWN THE SHARES If you hold 100 or more shares, selling a covered call (selling the right for someone else to buy your shares at a set price to collect immediate cash income) monetizes high implied volatility while buffering against dilution. Strike Selection: Choose strikes cleanly above the $95 offering price and current spot level, such as the 32-day $102 Call (bidding a

WATCH FOR ABOBE !! IT IS GETTING BULLISH

Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. New trades: $WDC VERTICAL 260828 PUT 402.5/PUT 405.0$  $IBM VERTICAL 260828 PUT 222.5/PUT 225.0$  $META VERTICAL 260828 PUT 570.0/PUT 572.5$  $AVGO VERTICAL 260828 PUT 400.0/PUT 402.5$ 

$Micron Technology(MU)$   Why the Recent $MU Pullback is a Prime Bargain Hunting Opportunity When macro sell-offs trigger sharp retracements across tech stocks, high-beta memory providers like Micron Technology ($MU) are often hit the hardest. With $MU pulling back over 40% from recent highs alongside broader global index swings, the market is debating whether this represents a bubble bursting or a generational entry point. This sell-off presents a classic bargain hunting opportunity. Here is the core thesis on why $MU is a strong buy at current levels: 1. Structural AI Demand vs. Legacy Cyclical Fear Historically, memory chips were treated purely as a commoditized, highly cyclical boom-and-bust industry. However,

The first week of each month is usually the most important, as the latest non-farm payrolls data are released during this period. These figures often set the tone for the market throughout the rest of the month. This is particularly true when the market is highly sensitive to interest-rate expectations, as the release can quickly shift investor preferences. For this reason, I usually adopt a relatively cautious stance during the first week of the month. The non-farm payrolls report released this month significantly exceeded market expectations. While the market had expected an increase of 80,000 jobs, the actual figure showed a decline of 23,000 jobs. This dealt a blow to expectations of a stronger US economy. Meanwhile, the probability of a rate hike in September fell directly from 60% to

Neither binary extreme—indiscriminate bargain hunting nor panic-selling ("running for your life")—is optimal during macro-driven tech volatility. The sharp swing in technology and semiconductor stocks reflects a market caught between two forces: monetary policy uncertainty heading into the Federal Reserve's September rate decision and heightened scrutiny around AI capital expenditure ROI paired with dot-com era volatility levels. With the Fed split following its July rate hold (where 3 FOMC members dissented in favor of a 25 bps hike), incoming inflation and economic data will dictate whether interest rates stay restricted or rise further. High-growth tech stocks carry high duration, making them disproportionately sensitive to rate fluctuations and yield curve shifts. Portfolio Positioning

Tech Stocks: Buy the Dip or Run for the Exit? 📉🤖 The recent tech selloff has investors asking the same question: Is this a healthy correction — or the beginning of the end for the AI boom? With the campaign figures showing huge declines across major markets and tech names, including the Nasdaq, Micron and SanDisk, it’s tempting to assume the AI trade is broken. I don’t think it is. But I do think the easy-money phase of the AI rally may be over. My view: this is a valuation reset, not necessarily an AI collapse. And that distinction matters. 🧠 1. AI demand is real — but expectations became unrealistic The biggest mistake investors can make is treating every AI-related company as if it will automatically become the next NVIDIA. The AI infrastructure buildout is enormous. Data centers need G

Buy the Dip, or Get Off the Train? My Honest Take on the AI Selloff Let’s not pretend this pullback came out of nowhere. Chip and memory names got hit hard over the past few weeks — Micron ($MU) dropped double digits in a single session ahead of earnings, SanDisk shed similar ground, SK Hynix fell sharply in Seoul, and the Nasdaq had its roughest stretch since the AI rally began. Headlines are calling it “the AI bubble finally popping.” I don’t think that’s the right frame, and here’s why. Two different stories are getting mixed together Story one is valuation. Some AI-adjacent names ran up so far, so fast, that any pause in the narrative was going to trigger profit-taking. That’s normal market mechanics, not a verdict on AI itself. Story two is fundamentals, and this is where I think the

🌟🌟🌟As the National Day fireworks lit up the sky over the National Stadium on August 9, we celebrate more than just lines on a map.  We celebrate a truimph of improbable survival.  As a Singaporean, I am deeply proud of how far our homegrown enterprises have come.  $ST Engineering(S63.SI)$  and $AEM SGD(AWX.SI)$  embody that success. ST Engineering is Singapore's foundational grit, the unyielding fortress guarding our sovereign defence and soaring global aerospace hubs. AEM Holdings represents our relentless leap into the digital horizon.  It is a local champion driving our Smart Nation ambitions by testing the

Whether to buy the dip or run for the exit still hinges on your time horizon and risk tolerance, but a practical playbook this earnings season is to use dips to add to reliable companies with strong cash flows rather than averaging down across the sector. In the short term, earnings volatility and cautious guidance justify caution for traders/investors. However, for those with flexibility, companies that generate predictable free cash flow, maintain healthy balance sheets, and return capital through buybacks or dividends offer a margin of safety: they can fund R&D, weather cyclical slowdowns, and often re-rate faster when demand recovers. One such example is $IBM(IBM)$ .  Buying into cash‑generative leaders also reduces reli

I would not buy the dip blindly, but would be selective in the companies id invest in. Additionally, I would only touch those which I have knowledge on and not FOMO into narratives and news. E.g. I have added to my Microsoft position when SaaSpocalypse happened and confidently held it to this earnings which saw it's sharp reversal once the result proves the market wrong.

Gimme da gammin rewards plz

Tencent Music Entertainment (TME) fell 11.92% yesterday to close at $8.72, after touching an intraday low of $8.21. At first glance, the company’s earnings did not appear weak enough to justify such a sharp sell-off. So why did the stock tumble nearly 12% following the results? In the second quarter, TME generated RMB 8.93 billion in revenue, up 5.8% year over year and above market expectations. Revenue from music-related services increased 11% to RMB 7.61 billion, while membership revenue rose 8.1% to RMB 4.79 billion. Non-IFRS net profit increased 4.4% to RMB 2.69 billion. The problem is that markets do not simply price whether a company is growing. They price whether that growth is strong enough to justify its valuation. 1. Ximalaya contributed significantly to headline growth Ximalaya

NVIDIA enters this earnings report with unusually high expectations, and that matters as much as the company’s absolute growth rate. Based on current-quarter forecasts for Q2 2026, revenue is expected at $91.80 billion, up 99.31% year over year, while EBIT is forecast at $60.64 billion, up 109.77% year over year, and EPS is projected at $2.087, up 107.01% year over year. Those numbers imply that the market is still looking for near-doubling growth even after an already extraordinary prior quarter. The practical issue for investors is not whether NVIDIA is growing fast, because the data already shows that it is, but whether the company can sustain this pace without giving back margins or requiring a level of spending that pressures future cash generation. In other words, the stock reaction

🌟🌟🌟The AI revolution has officially graduated from software hype to physical engineering warfare.  Fund manager Roundhill Investments has 2 of the hottest thematic ETFs - $Roundhill Memory ETF(DRAM)$ and $Photonics & Optics ETF(LYTE)$ .  These  ETFs allow investors to target the 2 most critical physical bottlenecks in modern data centres. With sudden regulatory fears and earnings volatility triggering sharp pullbacks across the sector, investors are facing a critical crossroad: Is it time to buy the dip on these fundamental hardware pillars or run for the exit? DRAM & LYTE: The Expense Ratio, Yield & AUM Both DRAM and LYTE are engineered by the same asset manager and

  Tech fund inflows remain extremely strong. At the current pace, 2026 inflows could reach roughly $216 billion, a new record.   But recent market action shows one thing clearly:   Money is not leaving AI. It is rotating within the trade.   Mag 7: CapEx Is Still the Foundation    $Microsoft(MSFT)$, $Amazon.com(AMZN)$, $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ and $Alphabet(GOOG)$ are still spending aggressively on AI infrastructure.   J.P. Morgan has also highlighted improving cloud growth and stronger backlog v

Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. $INTC P(INTC 20260904 85.0 P B 1|INTC 20260904 86.0 P S 1)$   I am definitely bullish on INTC. But with AI focus shifting from hardware to software, I am taking a more cautious approach from here on. What is your take on this badly beaten stock Just a year ago? Leave your thoughts in the comment section, thank you! @koolgal @Option Witch @VernaFred

$CECO Environmental(CECO)$ Environmental reported extraordinary order and backlog growth as industrial customers invested in pollution control, power, water and process infrastructure. The first quarter including Thermon, however, also produced a GAAP loss and negative reported free cash flow, illustrating the accounting and integration risk behind the expansion. CECO reported before the August 10 market open for the quarter ended June 30. Orders increased 191% to $798.5 million, backlog rose 164% to $1.82 billion and revenue grew 54% to $285 million. Adjusted EBITDA advanced 73% to $40.2 million. CECO’s official second-quarter release provides the reported and adjusted figures. The bullish thesis is that CECO supplies specialised equipment needed

$Intel(INTC)$’s decision to issue $15 billion of common stock captures the central tension in its recovery: demand for computing infrastructure is improving, but building a competitive semiconductor foundry requires enormous investment before the resulting factories and process technologies produce dependable returns. Intel announced the proposed offering on August 10. The underwriters also received a 30-day option to purchase as much as another $2.25 billion of shares. Intel said the proceeds would support general corporate purposes, including capital spending and working capital. The company’s official offering announcement and August 10 SEC filing establish the structure and intended uses. The bullish interpretation is that Intel is raising cap

Memory stocks are sending two very different signals today:   Brokers are starting to price in a cycle peak, while industry ties are getting even tighter.   📉 Why Are Korean Brokers Turning Bearish?   Kiwoom cut its SK hynix target price from KRW 2.2M to KRW 2.1M, while Samsung Electronics was cut from KRW 390K to KRW 350K.   The concern is not 2026 earnings. It is what happens after 2027.   The market is starting to ask:   If memory prices stay this high and new capacity comes online, are we approaching another peak-out?   NAND margins have already recovered sharply for several quarters. That is exactly why investors are now questioning how long these elevated profits can last.   🤝 But SK and Kioxia Are Gettin

$Intel(INTC)$ is expanding its common stock offering to $20 billion at an anticipated $95 per share offering price. While massive $100 billion institutional demand underscores long-term backing, near-term equity dilution keeps shares trading near $97.52. The $95 institutional price acts as a critical valuation anchor that directly dictates option strike selection. IF YOU ALREADY OWN THE SHARES If you hold 100 or more shares, selling a covered call (selling the right for someone else to buy your shares at a set price to collect immediate cash income) monetizes high implied volatility while buffering against dilution. Strike Selection: Choose strikes cleanly above the $95 offering price and current spot level, such as the 32-day $102 Call (bidding a

The first week of each month is usually the most important, as the latest non-farm payrolls data are released during this period. These figures often set the tone for the market throughout the rest of the month. This is particularly true when the market is highly sensitive to interest-rate expectations, as the release can quickly shift investor preferences. For this reason, I usually adopt a relatively cautious stance during the first week of the month. The non-farm payrolls report released this month significantly exceeded market expectations. While the market had expected an increase of 80,000 jobs, the actual figure showed a decline of 23,000 jobs. This dealt a blow to expectations of a stronger US economy. Meanwhile, the probability of a rate hike in September fell directly from 60% to

Neither binary extreme—indiscriminate bargain hunting nor panic-selling ("running for your life")—is optimal during macro-driven tech volatility. The sharp swing in technology and semiconductor stocks reflects a market caught between two forces: monetary policy uncertainty heading into the Federal Reserve's September rate decision and heightened scrutiny around AI capital expenditure ROI paired with dot-com era volatility levels. With the Fed split following its July rate hold (where 3 FOMC members dissented in favor of a 25 bps hike), incoming inflation and economic data will dictate whether interest rates stay restricted or rise further. High-growth tech stocks carry high duration, making them disproportionately sensitive to rate fluctuations and yield curve shifts. Portfolio Positioning

Tech Stocks: Buy the Dip or Run for the Exit? 📉🤖 The recent tech selloff has investors asking the same question: Is this a healthy correction — or the beginning of the end for the AI boom? With the campaign figures showing huge declines across major markets and tech names, including the Nasdaq, Micron and SanDisk, it’s tempting to assume the AI trade is broken. I don’t think it is. But I do think the easy-money phase of the AI rally may be over. My view: this is a valuation reset, not necessarily an AI collapse. And that distinction matters. 🧠 1. AI demand is real — but expectations became unrealistic The biggest mistake investors can make is treating every AI-related company as if it will automatically become the next NVIDIA. The AI infrastructure buildout is enormous. Data centers need G

Buy the Dip or Run for the Exit? Navigating the Great Tech Recalibration: Structural Shift or Market Bubble? The past month has delivered a brutal reality check across global equity markets. Investors who spent the early part of the year riding the artificial intelligence narrative are now staring at a sea of red. Macro headwinds, shifting capital allocations, and valuation fatigue have triggered a steep sell-off across key indices. South Korea’s KOSPI Index fell 43.9%, the ChiNext(399006) dropped 27.9%, and while the NASDAQ(.IXIC) declined by a comparatively modest 10.2%, individual semiconductor and high-growth technology tickers suffered disproportionate losses. Semiconductor giants like Micron Technology$美光科技(MU)$   plummeted 41.2%, Sa

🌟🌟🌟As the National Day fireworks lit up the sky over the National Stadium on August 9, we celebrate more than just lines on a map.  We celebrate a truimph of improbable survival.  As a Singaporean, I am deeply proud of how far our homegrown enterprises have come.  $ST Engineering(S63.SI)$  and $AEM SGD(AWX.SI)$  embody that success. ST Engineering is Singapore's foundational grit, the unyielding fortress guarding our sovereign defence and soaring global aerospace hubs. AEM Holdings represents our relentless leap into the digital horizon.  It is a local champion driving our Smart Nation ambitions by testing the

Buy the Dip, or Get Off the Train? My Honest Take on the AI Selloff Let’s not pretend this pullback came out of nowhere. Chip and memory names got hit hard over the past few weeks — Micron ($MU) dropped double digits in a single session ahead of earnings, SanDisk shed similar ground, SK Hynix fell sharply in Seoul, and the Nasdaq had its roughest stretch since the AI rally began. Headlines are calling it “the AI bubble finally popping.” I don’t think that’s the right frame, and here’s why. Two different stories are getting mixed together Story one is valuation. Some AI-adjacent names ran up so far, so fast, that any pause in the narrative was going to trigger profit-taking. That’s normal market mechanics, not a verdict on AI itself. Story two is fundamentals, and this is where I think the

$Micron Technology(MU)$   Why the Recent $MU Pullback is a Prime Bargain Hunting Opportunity When macro sell-offs trigger sharp retracements across tech stocks, high-beta memory providers like Micron Technology ($MU) are often hit the hardest. With $MU pulling back over 40% from recent highs alongside broader global index swings, the market is debating whether this represents a bubble bursting or a generational entry point. This sell-off presents a classic bargain hunting opportunity. Here is the core thesis on why $MU is a strong buy at current levels: 1. Structural AI Demand vs. Legacy Cyclical Fear Historically, memory chips were treated purely as a commoditized, highly cyclical boom-and-bust industry. However,

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ 📋 Executive Summary 🔑 At a Glance Field Status Trend Zone 🟥 Bearish — Rebound Trend Beginning (Strong Downward Direction) Risk Level 🟠 Level-3 (−61%) Bullish Zone Entry Probability 🔔 0% within 10 weeks Cumulative Return −18.0% Downside Risk Avoided (Sell Entry $400.50 / Jun 15, 2026) Prediction Volatility ➡️ Low 🎯 Trading Plan Action Price Target Timing 🔴 Sell $330.20 Aug 03 – Aug 10 🟢 Buy $281.80 Aug 24 – Aug 31 🔵 Sell Target To Be Determined Pending [Adaptive Long]: Downtrend with Very High Risk (Downside Appears Substantial/Sustained) - Very Low Reward Potential (Upside Appears Limited/Transitory) => Avoid new positions — stay in cash [Inverse Allocation]: Aggressive tactical entry review on favorable setups ⚡ Key Takeaw

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ Within the broader monthly trend structure of the U.S. equity market, June ultimately closed in line with the general outlook presented in our May Monthly Investment Report, characterized by limited upward momentum alongside continued alternating fluctuations between advances and pullbacks. However, the magnitude and intensity of the downside movement during June developed more aggressively than origin

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ closed Thursday at $218.99, essentially flat on the session, and yet the average Wall Street price target sitting above it hasn't budged from the low $300s. That's a roughly 38% gap between where the stock trades today and where 61 analysts think it's headed over the next twelve months. Before SPR's technical coverage on NVDA updates next week, here's the fundamental picture worth understanding first: where the analysts stand, what earnings could bring, whether the valuation still makes sense after this year's run, and the China policy questions still hanging over the stock. The News Behind the Move Picture a company that spent most of 2025 absorbing one export-control headline after another — a $5.5 billion inventory charge here, a

The reaction to $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ ’s earnings continues to be completely disconnected between what the reality is and what the market perceives it to be. · 43% Revenue Growth · 44% ADJ EBITDA Growth · 50% EPS Growth Yet the stock was down 9%! This is especially insane, considering the stock was already down 31% YTD and traded at a FWD P/E of 25 before the earnings. Find me another stock that is delivering such strong top and bottom-line growth at such a valuation, with such a strong TAM and incredible innovation in the last 3 years. So why would the market react in such a way to these earnings? There are a few issues behind this reaction. 1. Deceleration in the Loan Platform Business. 2. Higher effective tax rate. 3. Didn’t increase