To The Moon

why down

After $Reddit(RDDT)$ released its earnings, the stock initially dropped by 13% in after-hours trading but recovered to about 6% drop after the market opened.Financial Highlights:DAU: 101.7 million, missing estimates of 103.1 million by 1.36%EPS: 36 cents vs. 25 cents expected, beating by 44%Revenue: $428 million vs. $405 million expected, beating by 5.68%Gross margin: 92.6% vs. net income margin: 16.61%.Financial Highlights:Reddit surpassed $1 billion in revenue for the year, achieving 71% year-over-year growth in Q4.Data from BloombergNet income: $71 million, maintaining GAAP profitability for the second consecutive quarter.Advertising business continued to grow: Ad revenue increased 60% year-over-year to $394.5 million.Investment Insights:Does t

We'll see a rise here just before earnings after..⭐

$Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$  good results just announced . One thing is that excites me the most is that it is going to be gaap positive profit for FY 2025 . After that the stock price should go up.  So the question right now is should we sell off the stock Or buy more . For me I will buy a little more as I think the stock has good growth trajectory. Hopefully the stock will eventually reach 400 dollars again !

$Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$  

$Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$ surged 25% after earnings, driven by strong revenue and EBITDA growth. Against the backdrop of an across-the-board beat in this earnings report, management provided an optimistic outlook, projecting 2025 revenue to reach $1 billion and aiming to break even.Financial Highlights:Revenue: $219M vs. $180M, beating by 20%EPS: $0.26 vs. -$0.03, beating by 870%Adjusted EBITDA: $38.78M vs. $6.16M, beating by 529%Loan origination volume grew 33%, and revenue increased 35%Data from Bloomberg and Upstart earningsInvestment Takeaways:AI Model Driving Higher Conversion and Loan Volume91% of loans fully automated, and 93% of instant approvals converted into funded loansRate Cuts in 2024 Boosted Borrower Demand, but 2025 Rate Cut E

I’ve analyzed countless earnings reports, but $Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$’s Q4 FY 2024 results stand out as a turning point. The company isn’t just growing—it’s proving that artificial intelligence can fundamentally reshape lending. Here’s why I believe Upstart deserves a closer look from investors. Upstart’s revenue surged 56% YoY to $219 million in Q4, capping a full-year revenue increase of 24% to $637 million. More importantly, the company is inching toward GAAP profitability. Its Q4 GAAP net loss narrowed to just ($2.8 million), a dramatic improvement from ($42.4 million) a year ago. Adjusted net income flipped to $29.9 million, signaling that operational efficiency is catching up to growth. The Adjusted EBITDA story is even brighter: $38.

Market FeedbackStrong Q4 Growth Beyond ExpectationsSubscription revenue up 24%, Confluent Cloud revenue up 38% to $138 million, Non-GAAP operating margin of 2.9%; 55% Confluent Cloud share, 13% adoption of DSP components in the cloud business; 26% international revenue growthAll guidance metrics exceeded expectations, reflecting the company's transition to a consumer-driven go-to-market model **Growth drivers:** Continued adoption of DSP products, new product launches (e.g., Tableflow), and strategic partnerships with Databricks and Jio PlatformsGuidanceQ1 2025.Subscription revenue expected to be between $253 million and $254 million, 22%-23% growthNon-GAAP net income per share expected to be $0.06-$0.07Overall fiscal year 2025Subscription revenue expected to be in the range of $1,117 mill

$Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$ jumped more than 25% after announcing Q4 results on Feb 11th after-hours.Earnings and Market FeedbackQ4 results were a "big beat": Rev 218M > 182M consensus, Surprise reached 20%, and EPS 0.26 > -0.03, not only an early turnaround, but also well ahead of market expectations;Raised guidance for CY25: est CY25 Rev 1B > 823M consensus, 25Q1 Rev 200M > 185M consensus; est CY25 EBITDA margin 18% > 13% consensus, Q1 EBITDA 27M >10.7consensus.The +25% start directly after the bell saw the stock pull up from around 70 to a former high of around 85, although the former high was tested twice and is now also an already important resistance/breakout level;Investment HighlightsNew model Payment Transition Model

$Reddit(RDDT)$ captured significant attention in the investment community, particularly after its impressive post-earnings surges exceeding 20%. As the company prepares to release its upcoming earnings, investors are keen to assess whether Reddit can replicate such remarkable performance. Recent Financial Performance In the third quarter of 2024, Reddit reported a 68% year-over-year increase in revenue, reaching $348.4 million. The company achieved a net income of $29.9 million, marking its first profitable quarter since going public. Daily active users grew by 47% to 97.2 million, underscoring the platform's expanding reach and engagement. Factors Contributing to Growth Advertising Revenue: Reddit's advertising revenue increased by 56% year-over-

$Shopify(SHOP)$ stock dropped because its first-quarter profit outlook fell short of expectations, with projected gross profit growth in the low 20% range, below analysts' 24.2% estimate. Additionally, rising operating expenses (41%-42% of revenue vs. 31.5% last quarter) raised concerns about profitability.

Last week, we saw $Skyworks Solutions(SWKS)$ plunge 23% after earnings, while $Pinterest, Inc.(PINS)$ soared 19%. Growth stocks tend to be highly volatile around earnings due to their high valuations and market expectations. This week, major growth stocks SMCI, COIN, PANW, ROKU, APP, RDDT, and UPST are set to report their earnings—what surprises will they bring? Which stock do you believe will deliver the biggest post-earnings surge? Share your predictions in the comments!📊 Earnings OutlookHow do you view this week’s earnings for growth stocks? Among SMCI, COIN, PANW, ROKU, APP, RDDT, and UPST, which one are you most bullish on? Which company do you think will see the biggest post-earnings rally?

The recent 20% surge in RDDT, UPST, and SHOP stocks has caught the market's attention, sparking the question: Can these momentum plays deliver another impressive rally? To answer that, let's break down the factors driving their gains and assess whether this bullish momentum can continue. RDDT: Riding the AI Wave Key Drivers: Recent AI-driven initiatives and a focus on platform enhancements have boosted investor confidence. Partnerships and increased user engagement are fueling revenue growth expectations. What to Watch: Sustained innovation in AI and user-generated content models. Monetization strategies for new platform features. Can It Do It Again? If RDDT continues to execute its AI strategy and deliver strong user growth, another surge is possible, though macroeconomic headwinds could

I’m long on $Reddit(RDDT)$ and really believe in the company’s potential, but I can’t ignore that the current valuation looks way too high.For context, I originally bought 100 shares at $116 and started selling gradually at $130, $135, and $178. I saw the company’s growth potential, so I bought back at $200, and now I hold 40 shares with a BEP of $159. I plan to buy more in the future because I believe in the long-term vision. My personal (and totally pulled-out-of-my-ass) prediction is that RDDT could reach $100B market cap in 1-3 years and possibly $200B or even $300B by 2030.That said, looking at the numbers, the current valuation seems excessive. Last quarter, they reported $29.9M in net income, and assuming they keep that up, that’s $119.6M p

As I have written before, autonomy is not only a way to potentially add supply to $Uber(UBER)$ ’s business, it’s a way to lower costs and expand the addressable market. Uber put the opportunity at over $1 trillion in the U.S. alone.Notice that this is a progression of market expansions Uber has been taking on for years. It’s just the biggest and most transformative we’ve ever seen.The key to Uber winning autonomy is not developing technology, but rather making sure no one supplier is too powerful. Uber wants autonomy to be a commodity with many winners, none of whom is able to build the scale to replace Uber’s network. Here are the leaders they pointed out in a presentation to investors. $Alphabet(GOOG)$

Right, let’s dive into Roku, a company that’s practically synonymous with streaming. The burning question (other than whether we’ll ever stop losing the remote) is: Is $Roku Inc(ROKU)$ the stock to watch in 2025? Grab your popcorn, because we’re about to dissect this digital powerhouse and see if it deserves a starring role in your portfolio. Streaming beyond the screen—Roku’s digital empire in motion A Flick Through the Financials: More Than Just a Pretty Interface The numbers paint an intriguing picture. Double-digit revenue growth? Check. Expanding streaming households? Check. A significant increase in trailing 12-month free cash flow, hitting $157 million by Q3 2024? That’s a big green flag. While Roku is still posting operating losses, this c

Earnings Calendar (10Feb2025) I am interested in the following earnings in the coming week: McDonald’s, Hertz, Shopify, Honda, Lyft and CVS Health. Let us look at Lyft in detail. Description of LYFT in QuickFS Lyft has a “Strong Buy” recommendation based on Technical Analysis. Analysts’ Sentiment is “Buy,” and the price target is $18.80. This implies an upside of 32.71% from the last closed price, which grew 8.7% from a year ago. Observations about LYFT: Revenue grew from $343 million in 2016 to $4.4 billion in 2023. Gross profit grew from $64 million in 2016 to $1.8 billion in 2023. The company has not been profitable since the year 2016. It ended the year 2023 with an operational loss of $476 million. However, its losses have been decreasing over recent months. Earnings per share (EPS) h

An overview on some companies on my watchlist that are announcing earnings on the coming week. Most of them are speculated to be beating earnings estimates. However, as we saw in GOOGL, beating estimates doesn't necessarily equate to a bullish move in the stock.  I used to trade pre/post earnings , betting a strong upside or downside move. But I have stopped since a year ago as I felt the risk/reward ratio does not make sense anymore. I prefer selling vertical option contracts as it is more sustainable and enable me to have a healthier mental space. But if you are an earnings trader, this will be useful information. 

$Reddit(RDDT)$  Lets go! 🚀

$Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$ surged 25% after earnings, driven by strong revenue and EBITDA growth. Against the backdrop of an across-the-board beat in this earnings report, management provided an optimistic outlook, projecting 2025 revenue to reach $1 billion and aiming to break even.Financial Highlights:Revenue: $219M vs. $180M, beating by 20%EPS: $0.26 vs. -$0.03, beating by 870%Adjusted EBITDA: $38.78M vs. $6.16M, beating by 529%Loan origination volume grew 33%, and revenue increased 35%Data from Bloomberg and Upstart earningsInvestment Takeaways:AI Model Driving Higher Conversion and Loan Volume91% of loans fully automated, and 93% of instant approvals converted into funded loansRate Cuts in 2024 Boosted Borrower Demand, but 2025 Rate Cut E

I’ve analyzed countless earnings reports, but $Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$’s Q4 FY 2024 results stand out as a turning point. The company isn’t just growing—it’s proving that artificial intelligence can fundamentally reshape lending. Here’s why I believe Upstart deserves a closer look from investors. Upstart’s revenue surged 56% YoY to $219 million in Q4, capping a full-year revenue increase of 24% to $637 million. More importantly, the company is inching toward GAAP profitability. Its Q4 GAAP net loss narrowed to just ($2.8 million), a dramatic improvement from ($42.4 million) a year ago. Adjusted net income flipped to $29.9 million, signaling that operational efficiency is catching up to growth. The Adjusted EBITDA story is even brighter: $38.

After $Reddit(RDDT)$ released its earnings, the stock initially dropped by 13% in after-hours trading but recovered to about 6% drop after the market opened.Financial Highlights:DAU: 101.7 million, missing estimates of 103.1 million by 1.36%EPS: 36 cents vs. 25 cents expected, beating by 44%Revenue: $428 million vs. $405 million expected, beating by 5.68%Gross margin: 92.6% vs. net income margin: 16.61%.Financial Highlights:Reddit surpassed $1 billion in revenue for the year, achieving 71% year-over-year growth in Q4.Data from BloombergNet income: $71 million, maintaining GAAP profitability for the second consecutive quarter.Advertising business continued to grow: Ad revenue increased 60% year-over-year to $394.5 million.Investment Insights:Does t

Market FeedbackStrong Q4 Growth Beyond ExpectationsSubscription revenue up 24%, Confluent Cloud revenue up 38% to $138 million, Non-GAAP operating margin of 2.9%; 55% Confluent Cloud share, 13% adoption of DSP components in the cloud business; 26% international revenue growthAll guidance metrics exceeded expectations, reflecting the company's transition to a consumer-driven go-to-market model **Growth drivers:** Continued adoption of DSP products, new product launches (e.g., Tableflow), and strategic partnerships with Databricks and Jio PlatformsGuidanceQ1 2025.Subscription revenue expected to be between $253 million and $254 million, 22%-23% growthNon-GAAP net income per share expected to be $0.06-$0.07Overall fiscal year 2025Subscription revenue expected to be in the range of $1,117 mill

Right, let’s dive into Roku, a company that’s practically synonymous with streaming. The burning question (other than whether we’ll ever stop losing the remote) is: Is $Roku Inc(ROKU)$ the stock to watch in 2025? Grab your popcorn, because we’re about to dissect this digital powerhouse and see if it deserves a starring role in your portfolio. Streaming beyond the screen—Roku’s digital empire in motion A Flick Through the Financials: More Than Just a Pretty Interface The numbers paint an intriguing picture. Double-digit revenue growth? Check. Expanding streaming households? Check. A significant increase in trailing 12-month free cash flow, hitting $157 million by Q3 2024? That’s a big green flag. While Roku is still posting operating losses, this c

$Reddit(RDDT)$ captured significant attention in the investment community, particularly after its impressive post-earnings surges exceeding 20%. As the company prepares to release its upcoming earnings, investors are keen to assess whether Reddit can replicate such remarkable performance. Recent Financial Performance In the third quarter of 2024, Reddit reported a 68% year-over-year increase in revenue, reaching $348.4 million. The company achieved a net income of $29.9 million, marking its first profitable quarter since going public. Daily active users grew by 47% to 97.2 million, underscoring the platform's expanding reach and engagement. Factors Contributing to Growth Advertising Revenue: Reddit's advertising revenue increased by 56% year-over-

$Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$ jumped more than 25% after announcing Q4 results on Feb 11th after-hours.Earnings and Market FeedbackQ4 results were a "big beat": Rev 218M > 182M consensus, Surprise reached 20%, and EPS 0.26 > -0.03, not only an early turnaround, but also well ahead of market expectations;Raised guidance for CY25: est CY25 Rev 1B > 823M consensus, 25Q1 Rev 200M > 185M consensus; est CY25 EBITDA margin 18% > 13% consensus, Q1 EBITDA 27M >10.7consensus.The +25% start directly after the bell saw the stock pull up from around 70 to a former high of around 85, although the former high was tested twice and is now also an already important resistance/breakout level;Investment HighlightsNew model Payment Transition Model

The recent 20% surge in RDDT, UPST, and SHOP stocks has caught the market's attention, sparking the question: Can these momentum plays deliver another impressive rally? To answer that, let's break down the factors driving their gains and assess whether this bullish momentum can continue. RDDT: Riding the AI Wave Key Drivers: Recent AI-driven initiatives and a focus on platform enhancements have boosted investor confidence. Partnerships and increased user engagement are fueling revenue growth expectations. What to Watch: Sustained innovation in AI and user-generated content models. Monetization strategies for new platform features. Can It Do It Again? If RDDT continues to execute its AI strategy and deliver strong user growth, another surge is possible, though macroeconomic headwinds could

As I have written before, autonomy is not only a way to potentially add supply to $Uber(UBER)$ ’s business, it’s a way to lower costs and expand the addressable market. Uber put the opportunity at over $1 trillion in the U.S. alone.Notice that this is a progression of market expansions Uber has been taking on for years. It’s just the biggest and most transformative we’ve ever seen.The key to Uber winning autonomy is not developing technology, but rather making sure no one supplier is too powerful. Uber wants autonomy to be a commodity with many winners, none of whom is able to build the scale to replace Uber’s network. Here are the leaders they pointed out in a presentation to investors. $Alphabet(GOOG)$

Last week, we saw $Skyworks Solutions(SWKS)$ plunge 23% after earnings, while $Pinterest, Inc.(PINS)$ soared 19%. Growth stocks tend to be highly volatile around earnings due to their high valuations and market expectations. This week, major growth stocks SMCI, COIN, PANW, ROKU, APP, RDDT, and UPST are set to report their earnings—what surprises will they bring? Which stock do you believe will deliver the biggest post-earnings surge? Share your predictions in the comments!📊 Earnings OutlookHow do you view this week’s earnings for growth stocks? Among SMCI, COIN, PANW, ROKU, APP, RDDT, and UPST, which one are you most bullish on? Which company do you think will see the biggest post-earnings rally?

Earnings Calendar (10Feb2025) I am interested in the following earnings in the coming week: McDonald’s, Hertz, Shopify, Honda, Lyft and CVS Health. Let us look at Lyft in detail. Description of LYFT in QuickFS Lyft has a “Strong Buy” recommendation based on Technical Analysis. Analysts’ Sentiment is “Buy,” and the price target is $18.80. This implies an upside of 32.71% from the last closed price, which grew 8.7% from a year ago. Observations about LYFT: Revenue grew from $343 million in 2016 to $4.4 billion in 2023. Gross profit grew from $64 million in 2016 to $1.8 billion in 2023. The company has not been profitable since the year 2016. It ended the year 2023 with an operational loss of $476 million. However, its losses have been decreasing over recent months. Earnings per share (EPS) h

I’m long on $Reddit(RDDT)$ and really believe in the company’s potential, but I can’t ignore that the current valuation looks way too high.For context, I originally bought 100 shares at $116 and started selling gradually at $130, $135, and $178. I saw the company’s growth potential, so I bought back at $200, and now I hold 40 shares with a BEP of $159. I plan to buy more in the future because I believe in the long-term vision. My personal (and totally pulled-out-of-my-ass) prediction is that RDDT could reach $100B market cap in 1-3 years and possibly $200B or even $300B by 2030.That said, looking at the numbers, the current valuation seems excessive. Last quarter, they reported $29.9M in net income, and assuming they keep that up, that’s $119.6M p

An overview on some companies on my watchlist that are announcing earnings on the coming week. Most of them are speculated to be beating earnings estimates. However, as we saw in GOOGL, beating estimates doesn't necessarily equate to a bullish move in the stock.  I used to trade pre/post earnings , betting a strong upside or downside move. But I have stopped since a year ago as I felt the risk/reward ratio does not make sense anymore. I prefer selling vertical option contracts as it is more sustainable and enable me to have a healthier mental space. But if you are an earnings trader, this will be useful information. 

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you!1. $Lyft, Inc.(LYFT)$ Volume shelf setup on the weekly candle chart.Image2. $Rivian Automotive, Inc.(RIVN)$ A wonky inverse head and shoulders on the daily candle chart.Image3. $Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$ Price is holding well at the November 15th pivot VWAP zone over the last two weeks.Image4. $Walt Disney(DIS)$ Inverse head & shoulders setup on the daily candle chart.ImageFollow me to learn more about analysis!!

$UBER reported strong earnings results today and I believe the company will benefit from introduction of autonomous driving from companies like $TSLA: ✅Revenue: $11.96B vs. $11.77B expected ✅EPS: $3.21 vs. $0.48 expected ✅Gross bookings: $44.2B vs. 43.5B expected ✅The largest ride-hailing platform globally, with strong brand recognition and a massive driver/passenger network that creates a powerful competitive moat. ✅Achieved profitability and is generating strong free cash flow, shifting away from years of losses by cutting costs and improving operational efficiency. ✅Uber Eats, Freight, and advertising provide multiple growth drivers, reducing reliance on ride-hailing and benefiting from expanding delivery & logistics demand. ❌Governments worldwide are tightening labor laws, pushing

$Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$  good results just announced . One thing is that excites me the most is that it is going to be gaap positive profit for FY 2025 . After that the stock price should go up.  So the question right now is should we sell off the stock Or buy more . For me I will buy a little more as I think the stock has good growth trajectory. Hopefully the stock will eventually reach 400 dollars again !

This week in enterprise software: Top 10 #SaaS #Cloud multiples as of today's market close $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ $Cloudflare, Inc.(NET)$ $CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.(CRWD)$ $Samsara, Inc.(IOT)$ $ServiceNow(NOW)$ $Datadog(DDOG)$ $Guidewire(GWRE)$ $Shopify(SHOP)$ $Snowflake(SNOW)$ $Atlassian Corporation PLC(TEAM)$ ImageThis week on Clouded Judgement: The year o

$Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$  added a little bit on Monday when price dipped due to tariff fears , I am still expecting the share to increase further after results are released . currently the stock is still showing loss at PAT level but I expect the stock to turn profitable soon. If$Spotify Technology S.A.(SPOT)$  takes 10 years to achieve profitability, I think Upst will take a much shorter time to achieve profits 

$Shopify(SHOP)$ stock dropped because its first-quarter profit outlook fell short of expectations, with projected gross profit growth in the low 20% range, below analysts' 24.2% estimate. Additionally, rising operating expenses (41%-42% of revenue vs. 31.5% last quarter) raised concerns about profitability.

$Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$