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PeterDiCarlo
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2025-12-30

Why Losing $93K on $JD Wasn’t a Mistake

Lost $93,000 on $JD.com(JD)$ this year following an A+ setup. ❌Monthly BX had just triggered a new bull cycle (55% win rate, 12–15 month rallies on average) and a whale bought 300k worth of Jan 2026 40C. I took the same calls, sized correctly… and they went basically to zero.If I had traded shares, I would’ve only lost ~15% when our exit criteria hit in December. The options amplified the loss, but here’s the key point:I lost $93K and I did not do anything wrong.-The setup met my rules.-Position sizing was correct.-I sold when the system said sell.-A+ setups fail. Whales are wrong. That’s part of trading any real system.-You’re only “wrong” when you:-Oversize-Ignore your exit criteria-Double down out of ego-Bag hold and pray-The moral:Losing money ≠
Why Losing $93K on $JD Wasn’t a Mistake
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1.75K
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PeterDiCarlo
·
2025-12-30

Why I’m Passing on PLTR After a 20× Run

$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ Is Up 2300%… And That’s Exactly Why I’m Not Buying Here Everyone loves PLTRIt’s up over 2,300% since my Monthly BX system flipped it into a bull cycle back in February 2023.Every dip has felt like “the last chance.” Most people on the timeline want to buy more here.I don’t.Not because I hate PLTR. Not because I think the company is done.But because I care more about cycles and risk/reward than narratives.Let me walk you through how I’m thinking about it.1. PLTR’s Bull Cycle Is Old, Not NewIn my system, Monthly BX is the macro filter:Dark red → no interestIncreasing / green → macro bull cycle, allowed to be longPLTR triggered a bull cycle signal in Feb 2023. Since then it’s run over 2,300%.That matters.Across a w
Why I’m Passing on PLTR After a 20× Run
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2.08K
Selection
Daily_Discussion
·
2025-12-30

🚨Precious metals plunge: How do you hedge against the risk?

Hey Tigers! 🐅Spark the next wave of ideas. 💥Share your unique perspective and inspire a chain reaction of brilliance.Let’s break it down. These stories drove the markets.More NewsTiger Community TOP10 Tickers🎯 S&P500 Most Active Today 👉@TigerObserverWeekly Five Key Areas: Earnings, Macro, Singapore Stocks, Options, Futures✨Tuesday — Singapore StocksSingapore stocks opened higher on Tuesday, with the Straits Times Index rising 0.4%. Nio surged 3%, ST Engineering gained 1%, while ThaiBev fell 1%. In corporate news, Keppel's real estate subsidiary terminated an US$800 million multicurrency term note programme established in 2002. An indirect subsidiary of Manulife US Re
🚨Precious metals plunge: How do you hedge against the risk?
TOPShyon: My focus today will be on silver $FUT:Silver - main 2603(SImain)$ , especially after this sharp pullback. The recent move feels more like a liquidity-driven shakeout than a breakdown in fundamentals, but that doesn’t mean prices can’t stay volatile in the near term. After such a crowded trade unwinds, the market needs time to rebuild confidence & depth. At this stage, I’m firmly in the “steady first, act later” camp. The long-term logic for precious metals remains intact, yet short-term liquidity is clearly thin and sentiment fragile. I’d rather anchor my portfolio with gold ETFs as a core holding, while watching silver patiently for signs that selling pressure is easing. Only when emotions cool and the gold–silver ratio stops spiking would I consider adding silver gradually. This is not a moment to test courage or timing skills; it’s about discipline and survival. Missing the first rebound is acceptable—being caught in another forced sell-off is not. @TigerStars @Tiger_comments
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1.27K
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Barcode
·
2025-12-30
$Eightco Holdings Inc.(ORBS)$ $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$  $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$  🔥🧠💥 Eightco $ORBS: When Capital Returns Collide With a Vanishing Float 💥🧠🔥 🧠 This buyback is not symbolic, it is strategic firepower I’m focused on the $125M share buyback authorised by the board on 28Dec25 and disclosed 29Dec25 because, relative to Eightco’s current market size, this is a material deployment of capital. Management is explicitly signalling valuation dislocation. Dan Ives calling the stock “increasingly attractive” based on valuation and partnership pipeline matters, because he rarely highlights buybacks unless he sees asymmetry forming. This is
$Eightco Holdings Inc.(ORBS)$ $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ 🔥🧠💥 Eightco $ORBS: When Capital Returns Collide With a Vanishing F...
TOPPetS: I’m watching the mechanics more than headlines. Shrinking borrow plus elevated off-exchange flow usually precedes disorderly moves. $GameStop(GME)$ taught me how quickly regime shifts once liquidity pockets disappear.
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1.30K
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Barcode
·
2025-12-30

🌍🛢️ Crude firms on geopolitics. Volatility diverges in $DVN and $APA 📊⚖️

$Devon(DVN)$  $Exxon Mobil(XOM)$  $apache(APA)$  Crude is firming, flows are stabilising, and energy equities are starting to diverge in ways that usually matter. Two stocks I’m watching today 30Dec25 🇺🇸 | 31Dec25 🇳🇿 Energy is rotating back into focus quietly. Not on breakout euphoria, but on the clear deceleration of downside pressure. After months of oversupply-driven weakness, crude is stabilising into a geopolitically fragile backdrop, and volatility across energy equities is no longer being priced consistently. When price respects structure while volatility di
🌍🛢️ Crude firms on geopolitics. Volatility diverges in $DVN and $APA 📊⚖️
TOPPetS: Really clean breakdown. $apache(APA)$ caught my eye too, compression, elevated vol, and structure tightening. The way you tied flow and macro together explains why momentum hasn’t faded despite resistance overhead.
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2.46K
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Optionspuppy
·
2025-12-30

📉💰 Why I Sold an NVDA 192.5 Put: Getting Paid to Buy NVIDIA Cheaper l: Turning Volatility Into Opportunity 🚀

NVIDIA (NVDA) is one of the most talked-about stocks in the market. Some people chase it higher. Some are afraid to touch it because it looks “expensive.” I take a different approach. I let the market pay me while I wait. Instead of buying NVDA outright at market price, I sold a cash-secured put at the 192.5 strike and collected $8.09 in premium. This strategy allows me to either: 1. Keep the premium if NVDA stays above the strike, or 2. Buy 100 shares of NVDA at an effective price of about $184, which I consider a very attractive retracement level. This article explains why I did this trade, how the math works, why 192.5 is a good level, and 10 strong reasons why NVIDIA is a great long-term stock 📊✨. ⸻ What Trade Did I Do? 🧾 I sold: • NVDA Put • Strike price: 192.5 • Premium received: $8.
📉💰 Why I Sold an NVDA 192.5 Put: Getting Paid to Buy NVIDIA Cheaper l: Turning Volatility Into Opportunity 🚀
TOPCornellRudolph: Solid strategy! Getting paid to buy NVDA cheap is genius. Well played![财迷]
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1.87K
General
PeterDiCarlo
·
2025-12-30

Great Stocks, Late Entries: Risk/Reward Check on $PLTR, $MU, $SOFI

1. $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ PLTR is up 2300% since Monthly BX signaled a bull rally in Feb 2023.The average bull cycle lasts 12–24 months. PLTR is in the late stages now.Every dip so far has been great to buy, but I would not start a new position here. R/R isn’t ideal this late. I’d rather be patient and stalk fresher cycles. 2. $Micron Technology(MU)$ MU is up 200%+ in 7 months, almost 2x what my model expected.I still think we see $400+ in Q3 2027, but short term this is clearly overpriced.Monthly BX is still strong, but if I were still in, I’d be trimming into Q1 and hoping for a reload sub‑200 rather than chasing here.Congrats if you followed our call out in June 🤝 3.
Great Stocks, Late Entries: Risk/Reward Check on $PLTR, $MU, $SOFI
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1.23K
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PeterDiCarlo
·
2025-12-30

Hold, Base, Breakout: Reading $AAPL, $SBUX, $OKE Into 2026

1. $Apple(AAPL)$ AAPL is up 20%+ since Monthly BX triggered a new bull cycle in September. Our model targeted 270 by Jan 2026 and we’re right on track, still pricing in a move toward 325 by July 2026. If I were in, I’d hold. But this is not where I’d start a new position. Short term it’s a bit overpriced. 2. $Starbucks(SBUX)$ SBUX has been compressing for almost 5 years and finally looks ready to release.My model is pricing in roughly a 15% move by June 2026 and about +40% by the end of 2026 if this breakout holds.Long, boring bases often turn into the best trends. 3. $ONEOK Inc(OKE)$ Big year setting up for $OKE in 2026 🚨Monthly BX just confirmed a new bull cycle
Hold, Base, Breakout: Reading $AAPL, $SBUX, $OKE Into 2026
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1.20K
General
Long_Equity
·
2025-12-30

Badger Meter - A lesson in how to understand a compounding machine

$Badger Meter(BMI)$ is a company that I've been aware of for a while, but prior to writing this report, it was also a business that I knew very little about. I first became aware of BMI as part of my linearity analysis of the S&P 600, which is the US small cap index. Since their IPO in 1985, their share price has grown more than 25,000%, often with low volatility.Presented here is a breakdown of how I would analyse a company for the first time. Let's assume that we've never heard of this company, which for many, may have been the case. Here's a step-by-step process we could take in understanding the business further. The steps are categorised in to determining whether a company has predictable growth, pricing power and capital efficiency. At th
Badger Meter - A lesson in how to understand a compounding machine
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2.45K
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koolgal
·
2025-12-30

Why SLV ETF is My Superhero Trade: The Geopolitical Squeeze & the Path to USD 100

🌟🌟🌟This year the Silver market didn't just rally.  It exploded leaving Gold in its dust.  The price surged over 120% in 2025, hitting record highs above USD 70 to USD 80 an ounce.  I am invested in $iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$  because this is more than just a fleeting moment of glory.  It is a fundamental emotional reset of a market that has been ignored for too long. Understanding SLV ETF The$iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$  is the largest and most liquid way for investors to gain exposure to the price of Silver without dealing with the logistics of physical storage and insurance. Tracks Spot Price : SLV aims to mirror the daily performance of th
Why SLV ETF is My Superhero Trade: The Geopolitical Squeeze & the Path to USD 100
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4.21K
General
OptionsDelta
·
2025-12-30

Divergent Views

$SPY$Theoretically, the market should consolidate sideways this week, then correct after positive news from the CES conference is digested.However, a large bearish spread order was opened on SPY: buying the 684 put and selling the 672 put $SPY 20260102 684.0 PUT$  $SPY 20260102 672.0 PUT$ . This implies a potential pullback to around 680 this week.Currently, the source disrupting market rhythm could potentially be precious metals.$SLV$Options activity on the Silver ETF suggests a clear short squeeze scenario. Front-month call options are being closed continuously, while front-month put options are seeing significant additions. However, a squeeze-driven ral
Divergent Views
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5.75K
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Shernice軒嬣 2000
·
2025-12-29

Banks Feeling the Heat as Silver Market Frenzy Hits

The rumor says a major bank collapsed on a silver margin call at 2:47 AM December 28. I cannot verify that. $iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$   $UBS Group AG(UBS)$   What I can verify is more interesting. JPMorgan filed an 8K on December 27 disclosing 4.875 billion dollars in unrealized silver losses. They flipped from 200 million ounces short to 750 million ounces long physical. The largest position reversal in the history of the silver market happened in the last 30 days and nobody on financial television said a word. The rumor claims 34 billion in emergency Fed repos. Official data shows rou
Banks Feeling the Heat as Silver Market Frenzy Hits
TOPOptionspuppy: Where hear so many gossip haha 😛 Later become aunty sister Great article! And entertainment
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1.38K
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Noobnewbie
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2025-12-29
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3.98K
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Hao1
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2025-12-29
$Pony AI Inc(PONY)$   ⭐ Stock Review: Pony AI Inc (PONY) Pony AI is increasingly standing out as one of the most advanced and commercially focused players in the autonomous driving space. What differentiates Pony AI from many “concept-stage” AI companies is its clear transition from R&D to real-world monetisation. The company’s 7th-generation robotaxi fleet in Guangzhou has reportedly achieved positive unit economics, a key milestone that very few autonomous driving companies globally can claim today. From a business perspective, Pony AI is demonstrating: Strong revenue momentum, with meaningful year-on-year growth Improving gross margins, reflecting better cost control and operational efficiency A clear scaling roadmap, targeting thousan
$Pony AI Inc(PONY)$ ⭐ Stock Review: Pony AI Inc (PONY) Pony AI is increasingly standing out as one of the most advanced and commercially focused pl...
TOPMatthewWalter: Solid analysis! PONY's growth looks unstoppable.[看涨]
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3.02K
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koolgal
·
2025-12-26
🌟🌟🌟Will markets be calm in 2026 or is it the calm before the storm?  No one really knows for sure, not even the analysts nor the economists.  Everyone is basically squinting at the same foggy crystal ball & pretending they see different things. But here is one thing that history keeps whispering to us: The market always goes up in the long run. Not in a straight line. Not without drama. Not without the occasional  "Why did I buy this?" moment. But UP! Because markets are powered by human progress - innovation, productivity, reinvention & the unstoppable desire to make things better.  Even when we trip, we get up.  Even when we panic , we rebuild.  Even when we blow up bubbles, we eventually learn and then blow up new ones. Short term? Chaos. Long ter
🌟🌟🌟Will markets be calm in 2026 or is it the calm before the storm? No one really knows for sure, not even the analysts nor the economists. Everyon...
TOPBlack83black: All in on consumer stock
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1.81K
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Shyon
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2025-12-26
For me, 2025 is best defined by the AI-driven shift in capital allocation, highlighted by Nvidia surpassing $5 trillion. It wasn’t just about one stock, but about markets recognizing compute power as core infrastructure. Even with tariffs, geopolitics, and policy noise, money consistently flowed toward AI enablers. The most valuable lesson came from managing volatility rather than chasing returns. With constant headline shocks — from Trump tariffs to China’s AI breakthroughs and crypto swings — reacting emotionally often hurt performance. Focusing on market structure, liquidity, and defined risk mattered far more than predicting news. Ultimately, 2025 showed that markets now price narratives as much as fundamentals. AI, geopolitics, and digital assets blended into a powerful expectation e
For me, 2025 is best defined by the AI-driven shift in capital allocation, highlighted by Nvidia surpassing $5 trillion. It wasn’t just about one s...
TOPJanetFast: Spot on! Ignoring noise and fousing on structure saved my portfolio loads.[强]
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2.28K
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Shyon
·
2025-12-26
When I look at Rocket Lab, I do see a credible and increasingly important player in the space launch ecosystem, especially as global demand for launch capacity continues to grow. The company has executed well in smallsat launches with Electron and has built a meaningful space systems business, which gives it more diversified revenue than many pure-launch startups. The Neutron rocket, if delivered on time and within budget, could materially expand Rocket Lab's addressable market and justify some of the recent bullish analyst targets. That said, I'm more cautious about the $90 price target in the near term. Neutron remains the key swing factor, and until we see clear technical milestones and commercial contracts translating into recurring cash flow, expectations may be running ahead of funda
When I look at Rocket Lab, I do see a credible and increasingly important player in the space launch ecosystem, especially as global demand for lau...
TOPwubbix: Good insights! Space sector holds promise, execution matters.[强]
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1.81K
General
EliteOptionsTrader
·
2025-12-29

Option Strategies: TSLA, HOOD& .SPX

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading strategies with you!1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ TRADE PLAN 📈 📉 SPX bullish plan: SPX above 6921 | SPX Dec 31 6960C 📈T: 6962, 7000 SL 6900 SPX bearish plan: SPX under 6900 | SPX Dec 31 6850P 📉 T: 6870, 6849 SL 6921 SPX printed a new all time high at 6945 on Friday. SPX to 7000 in play this week if can hold the 6900 support level. Calls can work above 6921. I’d avoid calls under 6900. If SPX gives up 6900, I’d watch to see if it can hold 6870 before considering calls.Image2. $Robinhood(HOOD)$ Trade Idea: Jan 2 115P Trigger: 117 ✅Targets: 112, 110 🎯Stop: 120 🛑 HOOD struggled to hold up on Friday. If HOOD gives up 117 it can dip to 110 again. Puts can work under 1
Option Strategies: TSLA, HOOD& .SPX
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1.24K
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Shyon
·
2025-12-26
Seeing the S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$  $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$   notch its 39th record high around 6,927 reinforces how powerful year-end seasonality can be, especially when liquidity improves and positioning turns more supportive. Historically, the Santa rally isn't just a festive myth — it reflects tax-loss selling ending, performance chasing by funds, and generally lighter risk aversion into year-end. That backdrop helps explain why markets can keep grinding higher even when valuations already look stretched. Whether the Santa rally extends into January, in my view, depends less on sentiment and more on posi
Seeing the S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ notch its 39th record high around 6,927 reinforces how powerful year-end seasonali...
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1.62K
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BTS
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2025-12-26
Analysts at JPMorgan (JPM) anticipate that 2026 will serve as a significant inflection point for Singaporean stocks, driven by a rotation of massive local cash reserves back into the equity market as global interest rates decline JPM is confident in DBS (D05) due to its robust wealth management growth, leading to expectations of continued share buybacks or special dividends in 2026 The selection by JPM focuses on a mix of defensive income, with DBS (D05) for growth, Keppel (BN4) for sustainability, CityDev (C09) for real estate, CapLand IntCom T (C38U) for REITs, ST Engineering (S63) for diversification, SEA Ltd (SE) for e-commerce, Singtel (Z74) for telecom, while UOB (U11) and YZJ Shipbldg SGD (BS6) are placed on the less-favored list due to competition and volatility, respectively。。。 Th

DBS Hits New Highs! JPMorgan Releases 2026 SG Top Picks: Do You Agree?

@Tiger_SG
$DBS(D05.SI)$ has recently continued to set new highs, with its share price up 36% year to date. As both DBS and OCBC delivered exceptional performance in 2025, can investors continue to hold these names into 2026?Some institutions expect the financial sector to remain a key beneficiary under Trump-era policies. During Trump’s previous presidency, deregulation in the financial sector helped drive a sharp rally in major bank stocks.JPMorgan believes there is significant upside potential for Singapore equities in 2026. According to JPMorgan analysts, ASEAN equity markets are approaching a turning point in 2026. After years of underperformance, corporate earnings and valuations are expected to recover simultaneously.The Monetary Authority of Singap
DBS Hits New Highs! JPMorgan Releases 2026 SG Top Picks: Do You Agree?
Analysts at JPMorgan (JPM) anticipate that 2026 will serve as a significant inflection point for Singaporean stocks, driven by a rotation of massiv...
TOPAaronJe: Spot on picks! DBS and CapLand set for solid gains.[看涨]
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