To The Moon

Muthu boy is sharing a little update on the AI stocks. I’m adding to my position in Montage Technology. Will also share my analysts’ insights with you, okay[Happy]  [Miser]   Muthu boy is now chilling at Paradox Singapore Merchant Court 😌✨ since yesterday.  On February 9, Montage Technology debuted in Hong Kong and surged more than 60% on its first trading day. Priced at the top end (HK$106.89), it opened sharply higher and closed strong amid extreme oversubscription — retail demand reportedly exceeded 700x. That wasn’t just enthusiasm. That was conviction capital chasing AI bandwidth exposure. And that momentum didn’t fade. On the final trading day bef

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ riding the horse for me in 2026 will be about a lot of things. But in this article I will just focus on one concept, misconception.  So I call myself the emotional investor. Does that mean I get emotional about stocks? Quite the contrary. I watch the emotional decisions of others, and act, based on their misconceptions. Here's a few examples... Capital raises cause shareholder dilution, therefore it's a bad thing. Well it can be if it's because the company is bleeding money and their prospects going forward are poor. But more often than not companies raise new capital to buy new stuff that will ultimately add significant upside to revenue, margins, etc. so while the stock price tends to suffer negatively short term, long

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$  tsla was the only mag 7 stock to finish the day green last Friday, that shows relative strength.  The Spx has been grinding sideways for the past few weeks but the QQQ made a lower low and a lower high. The mag7 etf MAGS has broken down from a distribution pattern. The mag7 holds the highest weight in the Spx index, so them showing weakness is not a good sign. February is the second weakest month of the year, I believe the market will continue sideways, so I will continue to sell covered calls on tsla stock until the end of February. 

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$  

$Palo Alto Networks(PANW)$ is scheduled to report its fiscal Q2 2026 earnings on Tuesday, February 17, 2026, after the market closes. Following a strong Q1, the market is looking for evidence that the company’s "platformization" strategy is effectively converting free-trial users into long-term, high-value contracts. Below is an analysis of what to expect and the technical levels to watch. Financial Estimates (Q2 2026) Palo Alto Networks (PANW) reported its fiscal Q1 2026 earnings on November 19, 2025. While the numbers were objectively strong, the market’s reaction—a roughly 3-4% dip in post-market trading—highlighted a shift in how investors are valuing the company. Q1 2026 Financial Summary Palo Alto beat expectations across all major metrics,

US January CPI data just dropped a bombshell, coming in cooler than expected with headline inflation rising a mere 0.2% month-over-month against 0.3% forecasts and 2.4% year-over-year – the lowest print since last May. Core inflation followed suit with softer-than-anticipated gains, igniting fresh bets on Fed easing and pushing market pricing for a rate cut before June to a whopping 80%. Treasury yields slipped sharply as traders yanked forward those easing expectations, while equities popped initially on the disinflation cheer, lifting S&P futures 0.5% pre-market. This softer read reflects easing pressures from labor cools and consumer crunch, raising the odds for dovish Fed dots unlocking 100bps+ cuts in 2026 – but does it seal a higher probability of near-term relief, or just tease

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1. $Exxon Mobil(XOM)$ Weekly shooting star. Capitulation Finder firing. Highest RSI since 2011. If you’ve been riding XOM, proceed with caution. Image 2. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ The multi-year channel resistance lines up perfectly with SPX 7,000. Because, of course it does. Image 3. $Novo-Nordisk A/S(NVO)$ Earnings: 📈 Stock Price: 📉 Close the gap ASAP. Image 4. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ stock goes vertical while valuations compress. The real bull market is built on moves like this. Image 5. $Nike(NKE)$ insiders stepping in ar

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1. $Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ Weekly MACD downside crosses have been a pretty good signal for bigger downside moves over the last couple years. Google has been definitely responsible for partially holding up the market. Image 2. $Spotify Technology S.A.(SPOT)$ Finally found potential support at the December 2022 pivot VWAP zone after almost a 50% drawdown. Image 3. $Opendoor Technologies Inc(OPEN)$ Interesting setup here. Image 4. $Ondas Holdings Inc.(ONDS)$ Coiled up MACD curls + volume shelf/volum

I'm leaning the tops are now all in for $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ SPX, DJI, and IWM all sent SELL SIGNALS this week while NDX rejected at resistance. SPX topped Jan 28 NDX topped Oct 29 DJI topped Feb 10 IWM topped Jan 21 Expecting a multi-month correction in 2026 with 20–25% drawdown across the board. Bookmark this. You'll want the receipts later. The roll out for Elliott Wave 2.0 is coming VERY soon. It will be open access to ALL. Stay tuned. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited t

Volatility is picking up as downside momentum builds across major indices. With the VIX back above 20 and key leaders breaking short-term support, the current bearish move may not be over yet. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : Indecision at the lower Bollinger band, the 20 daily moving average curling down shows the shift in momentum. The bearish move doesn't seem complete considering the widening band and the $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ above 20. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Losing the 20DMA with high-conviction suggests bearish continuation. Lately, bearish stochastic crossovers have preceded declines until prices become oversold, which isn't the case yet. Potential target: the lower ed

This has been a volatile week for the market. Between seasonality, a high $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ (which, as I mentioned last weekend, it suggested a new spike, and weakness in Bitcoin (acting as a risk-off thermometer), we finally saw a bearish resolution. My notes last week regarding the VIX and $S&P 500(.SPX)$ were clear for paid subscribers: “The current price action doesn’t typically reflect a final ‘top’ in volatility. The current level of 17.7 for the VIX is not the cleanest condition for a sustained bull run; a new spike in volatility remains a viable risk.” Additionally, I cited: “For the SPX, a breach of the CWL of 6,901.8 (-0.4%) points to 6,810.6 (-1.8%).” The actual low of the week wa

Another week and software continues to grind lower. However, despite all of the carnage, there was another big winner this week! Fastly is up ~100% over the last week. The week prior, 8x8 had the big week (they were up ~70% in a week). Always an opportunity somewhere… I thought I was done talking about “is software dead” after the last couple weeks Clouded Judgement posts, but I just had more thoughts I wanted to share… I think two things are true. I think people are simultaneously under and over estimating the impact AI will have on the existing software complex. The difference is the timing. Overestimating in the short term, and underestimating in the long term. I see a lot of arguments claiming software is dead because everyone will just vibe code their own software. I don’t buy this at

After sending the SELL SIGNAL, $S&P 500(.SPX)$ back-tested the sell zone Today's rally was a confirmed bearish WXY, favoring Wave 3 progression targeting 6,720 → 6,700 with downside scope to 6,500. The bearish Daily FVG at 6,880–6,812 is added resistance if we see one last bounce before falling off a cliff. When this plays out, don't say I didn't warn you. $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2603(ESmain)$ Called for the 5th wave FLUSH AND the upside REVERSAL. That's PRECISION. Only Elliott Wave 2.0. 4 for 4 on ES today. Every call timestamped. ✅ 8:54 AM: 5th wave lower to 6820 — bottomed at 6808 ✅ 10:00 AM: Downside target hit, watch for a bounce — rallied immediately ✅ 11:10 AM: Rally to H4 FVG (6898-6962

1. Fundamentals vs Market Reaction AppLovin • AppLovin reported excellent Q4 results: revenue ~US$1.66 billion (+66 % year-on-year) and net income +84 % to ~US$1.10 billion, with adjusted EBITDA up ~82 %. These outcomes beat expectations and point to strong earnings quality and profit margin expansion.  • Management also guided for continued sequential revenue growth in Q1.  • Despite this, the shares fell sharply on earnings day. The decline reflects investor concern rather than lack of operational performance. Palantir • Recent price weakness in PLTR is part of a broader pullback in software and technology stocks. Reuters and market sources have noted Palantir among software names with significant drawdowns as sentiment deteriorated.  Implication: The divergence between st

This feels less like a random pullback and more like positioning stress surfacing. A few signals stand out: 1. Defensive leadership is broadening Staples hitting record highs while Utilities rally suggests investors are actively paying up for earnings stability. When capital rotates into Walmart and Coca-Cola on down days, it reflects preference for predictable cash flows over duration-sensitive growth. 2. AI risk unwind is accelerating A 510 bps drop in Goldman’s AI Risk Basket signals forced de-risking rather than selective trimming. When thematic baskets break repeatedly, it often indicates positioning was crowded. 3. Cyclical selectivity, not collapse Industrials, REITs and Energy seeing inflows suggests this is not a recession panic. It is more a quality and cash-flow rotation than a