To The Moon

Memory stocks got crushed today. The broader market sold off. And suddenly the same questions are everywhere: Is the AI trade over? Has the memory story peaked? Is this the beginning of the AI bubble bursting? Or is Wall Street finally waking up to reality? The funny thing about markets is that everyone feels like Warren Buffett during a bull run. Every gain gets attributed to skill. Every rally feels justified. But the moment volatility returns, conviction disappears. Investors who were comfortable buying after a 300%, 500%, or even 1,000% move suddenly become terrified after a 10% correction. Yet the reality is simple: A stock dropping does not automatically mean the thesis is broken. Price action and fundamentals are not the same thing. And when great companies become cheaper without a

$美光科技(MU)$ $闪迪(SNDK)$ $纳指100ETF(QQQ)$ Tomorrow's Micron earnings might be the single most important print in the entire AI supply chain this year. Most people think the market is just trading Micron. It isn't. What the market is really pricing in is how fast AI infrastructure spending will scale over the next two years. The AI Supply Chain Has Entered Phase Two Phase one was about GPUs. Phase two is about memory. For the past two years, the conversation was all about needing more compute. But as model sizes keep growing, inference demand has started to outpace training demand. The real bottleneck isn't just the GPU anymore — it's whether data can actually get to the

The Hang Seng Index remains a notable underperformer in Asian this month, declining 7.3% month-to-date, a stark contrast to the positive returns in the Nikkei225, Straits Times Index and TAIEX Index The market has been dragged lower by the H-shares which according to Bloomberg, entered into bear market territory yesterday after falling 20% from its October 2025 peak, weighed down by Tencent and Alibaba Chinese tech shares are also seeing renewed pressure on e-commerce names from the regulators The 6.18 shopping festival was reportedly the quietest in its history, with online sales slowing to just 4% (CNBC), compounding longstanding concerns about the muted consumer activity in China Macquarie Sales and Trading’s (S&T) released a note yesterday on 23 June 2026 addressing the question on

The ground has completely shifted under the market’s feet, and the short answer is: forget about an imminent pivot. The June 2026 FOMC meeting completely shattered the expectation of rate cuts. With newly appointed Fed Chair Kevin Warsh heavily prioritizing stubbornly sticky inflation over labor market performance, the Fed has officially flipped the script. The current macro landscape directly addresses your questions: Are We Going to See More Hikes, or an Imminent Pivot? Expect hikes, not a pivot. The Fed held rates steady at 3.50%–3.75% in June, but their "dot plot" revealed a stark hawkish shift: 9 out of 18 officials now anticipate at least one rate hike by the end of 2026. Major institutions are rapidly adjusting to this reality: The Fed's Outlook: Core PCE inflation forecasts for 202