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10-09
The Dow Is Down 6% Since August. Goldman Sachs Alone Is A Third Of It.
$SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust(DIA)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ Mathematical Money | October 9, 2026 Two things are true at the same time right now and they shouldn't be. $SPY$ and $QQQ$ both set record closes on Tuesday and sit within one percent of them tonight. $DIA$ peaked on 5 August and has fallen about 6% since, with no bounce worth the name in between. Most of the commentary I've read explains this as old economy versus new, or value versus growth. I went and did the arithmetic instead, and the answer turns out to be much more specific than that. A third of the Dow's entire decline i
TOPIrisJack: Price weighting gets nastier in options too. Gamma impact can snowball in a high-price index, so hedging costs stop scaling linearly.
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10-09
Behind the Bank Rout: Catalyst or Correction in Singapore’s Financials
Singapore’s stock market experienced a major sell-off on October 8, 2026, driven by a sharp decline in its heavyweight banking stocks. This has also rattled retail and institutional investors alike. In this article, we would like to provide a breakdown of whether the sell-off is a mere reaction to analyst notes or a necessary fundamental re-pricing, while offering a strategic framework for evaluating entry points. 1. Unpacking the Trigger: The Citibank Downgrade On October 7, 2026, Singapore's financial markets experienced a sharp shock when $OCBC Bank(O39.SI)$ OCBC shares tumbled nearly 6% following a downgrade from Citibank. Citi revised its rating on OCBC from "neutral" to "sell," citing softer-than-expected third-quarter earnings expectation
TOPI would not assume these banks are still great long term holds. NIM pressure looks structural now, so this dip can be a reset rather than a bargain
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10-09
I think the bigger force at the long end is the term premium rather than just expectations for another Fed hike. Persistent fiscal deficits and heavy Treasury issuance mean investors need to absorb more duration, while inflation uncertainty makes them demand higher compensation for holding 10Y and 30Y bonds. That can push long yields higher even if the Fed eventually pauses. So I am watching Treasury supply, auction demand and the term premium closely. If those pressures persist, a Fed pause may bring limited relief to long yields, keeping valuation pressure on equities, especially long-duration growth stocks.
TOPLong yields staying sticky probably keep pressure on rich growth multiples into next Q1. I care more about earnings guides now because that downgrade risk still feels underpriced
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10-09
$Marvell Technology(MRVL)$ Maybe Matt Murphy should just not say anything. After the last quarterly results conference, MRVL tanks. Now after the Investor Day ra-ra speech, MRVL tanks. And this were even after he had positive things to say. Imagine what happens if there is a slowdown as eventually there must be one. Now the market is waiting for the two big elephants to IPO. Anthropic and OpenAI. What if like SpaceX the IPO does not deliver, or maintain super high stock prices?
TOPMurphy talking is not the problem lol. Data center and AI demand are still doing the heavy lifting, short-term dumps don't kill that
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10-09
$OCBC Bank(O39.SI)$ quite a big pullback these few days. continue hold and add maybe.
820
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10-09
Tesla: 3 Key Investor Takeaways 1. Demand Momentum Is Improving: Q3 deliveries exceeded production by 22,141 vehicles, signaling inventory reduction and potentially healthier end-market demand. The key question is whether this reflects sustainable consumer demand or temporary delivery timing. 2. A Positive Quarter Doesn't Guarantee a Valuation Recovery: Despite the 4.65% share-price gain, Tesla remains down 17.6% YTD versus the S&P 500's 12.81% gain. The market needs evidence of sustained growth, resilient margins, and stronger earnings expectations to justify multiple expansion. 3. Watch Execution, Not Just Deliveries: The next leg of the rally depends on whether Tesla can convert delivery growth into profitable growth. Monitor automotive gross margins, pricing trends, free cash flow,
TOPFair points to both. I’d look beyond delivery numbers and inventory movements to see whether Tesla can translate volume growth into sustainable margins and stronger cash flow. The real catalyst for a rerating will be evidence that demand, pricing power, and profitability are improving together. Until then, the upside case needs execution, not just a better delivery headline. Cheers [Cool]
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10-09
$WDC 20261023 350.0 PUT$ decided to cut loss...will re-enter when clearer ....
591
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10-09
$CIFR DIAGONAL 261120/261009 PUT 13.0/PUT 18.0$ $CIFR DIAGONAL 261120/261009 PUT 13.0/PUT 18.0$ Red across the screens, living on prayers and coffee beans! [Bless] 1️⃣ Why am I making this trade now? Lowering Assignment Basis Without Excess Capital Outlay: Similar to rolling the 19 strike, I am unwilling to take assignment at $18.00 when CIFR is trading near $13.50. By paying a $3.11 debit to roll the short put down to the $13.00 strike (expiry 20 Nov), I reduce my potential assigned cost basis to $16.11 ($13.00 strike + $3.11 debit). Controlling Margi
CIFR Diagonal
10-08 22:51
US13.0/18.0
| Side | Price | Filled | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Debit Close | 3.11 10 | -- Closed |
TOPTheta decay should start showing up once vol stops expanding, but that Nov window still needs weekly checks into expiry. Below 11.72 this gets ugly fast
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10-09
$CIFR DIAGONAL 261120/261009 PUT 13.0/PUT 19.0$ Blood on the streets, almost peed in my sheets! [LOL] 1️⃣ Why am I making this trade now? Macro Deleveraging, Not Operational Breakdown: CIFR's drop from $19 down to ~$13.50 is driven by macro yield pressure (10Y yield spiking to ~5.35%) and sector-wide fears over debt costs for AI/HPC buildouts, alongside broader crypto weakness. Nothing fundamental has broken regarding their site buildouts or ERCOT pipeline. Managing Margin & Lowering Cost Basis: With $47k in negative cash balance and leverage at 1.43x, buying 1,000 shares outright at current market prices would over-extend margin debt. Rolling the 19 strike short p
CIFR Diagonal
10-08 23:25
US13.0/19.0
| Side | Price | Filled | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Debit Close | 4.14 10 | -- Closed |
TOP10Y at 5.35% is the bigger problem here. For a leveraged buildout name like CIFR, oversold can bounce, but debt cost keeps the ceiling low.
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10-09
Iggy's Journal: DBS, OCBC and UOB Each Fell More Than 4% in One Day. Who Is Giving You the Reason?
Iggy's Journal: DBS, OCBC and UOB Each Fell More Than 4% in One Day. Who Is Giving You the Reason? Fri 09 Oct 2026 | Midday The Numbers On 8 Oct, DBS closed down 4.7 percent, OCBC down 4.3 percent and UOB down 5.2 percent, per Singapore Business Review citing SGX. The reports I read give four different reasons, from profit-taking to Citi's cut of OCBC to Sell, and they show no announcement from any of the three banks in the two sessions. Most of what is quoted describes market mood or views about price, not facts about the companies. The new episode sorts the reasons by who is giving them. My Personal Take Two of the reasons are easy to place. Profit-taking describes what sellers did, not what a bank did. Citi's cut on OCBC is a forecast and a valuation from one broker, not a result from t
TOPA 4 to 5 percent drop with no bank-specific update is just mood, not damage. For long holders the dividend still does the heavy lifting
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10-09
Money Is Moving Beyond Chips. The Next Winners May Be Hiding in Plain Sight.
$CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ $Lumentum(LITE)$ $Bloom Energy Corp(BE)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ When semiconductor stocks sell off, it’s tempting to assume the AI trade is losing momentum. But look at Thursday’s movers. CoreWeave jumped 11.72%, Lumentum surged 11.04%, Bloom Energy gained 9.63%, and Nebius climbed 7.73%, even as chip stocks came under pressure. My question: Is the market abandoning AI, or shifting its attention to the infrastructure needed to make AI work? I see four very different investment stories emerging. 🔌 1. Lumentum ($LITE): The connections behind AI AI data centres need more
TOPValuation-wise I lean power here. Bloom’s fuel cell economics still feel underpriced, but grid upgrade capex probably takes longer than this market wants lol
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10-09
The First Post-Holiday Rebound Is Imminent, Here’s How I’m Positioning
Markets saw little meaningful volatility during the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day holiday, giving us a calm and enjoyable break. However, unusual moves emerged once trading resumed. The rebound in crude oil futures deserves the most attention. The continuous WTI crude oil contract opened at 90.40, reached a high of 93.68 and a low of 88.79, before closing at 92.91. The candle itself was not extraordinary. Its location was what mattered. My technical model provides a useful framework for tracking this market over time. Crude oil tends to respect key technical levels. This rebound began precisely at the long-term ascending trendline extending from the lows. Prices also held the previous consolidation range between 89.86 and 104.70 :
TOP93.68 getting tagged that fast says the bounce has real force. If WTI keeps holding 92.5, 95.8 is the next spot I’m watching
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10-09
Singapore Bank Stocks Extend Losses After JPMorgan Flags Pressure From Soaring Long Bond Yields on Q3 Profits
Singapore bank shares deepened their decline on Friday as JPMorgan Chase & Co. cautioned that sharply rising long bond yields will weigh on third-quarter earnings for lenders in Southeast Asia. $UOB(U11.SI)$ fell 1.91%; $DBS(D05.SI)$ fell 1.27%; $OCBC Bank(O39.SI)$ fell 0.45%. On Thursday, DBS Group Holdings Ltd. and Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp. each fell more than 4%, while United Overseas Bank Ltd. dropped 5.2%. These stocks were among the heaviest drags on the benchmark Straits Times Index, which plunged 3.5%, its biggest drop since April 2025. The index was the weakest performer in Asia. The slide follows a multiyear rally in Singapore lenders fuel
TOPThis looks more like a valuation reset than a broken thesis. Wealth fees and NIM resilience matter more here, especially for DBS.
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10-09
Samsung’s 782.5% Surge and the Global Memory Super-Cycle
$Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.(SSNLF)$ Samsung Electronics has posted an astonishing 782.5% surge in preliminary third-quarter operating profit, reaching 107.4 trillion won (US$80.1 billion). In this article, we would like to share an in-depth equity valuation & beneficiary analysis for institutional investors and what it means for retail investors like us. 1. Decoding Samsung's Record-Breaking Quarter In October 2026, Samsung Electronics altered the financial landscape of technology by projecting a preliminary third-quarter operating profit of 107.4 trillion won ($80.1 billion). This staggering 782.5% year-over-year leap represents the first time in technological history that a single corporate entity has posted a quarterly operating profit
TOPHBM is the driver, not just a plain DRAM rebound. Samsung's number looks like the first leg, and SK hynix plus Micron probably validate the cycle over the next few quarters.
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10-09
US Banks GS, JPM, MS - Profits alone won't save ?
If you think US banks are still winners in 2026, it needs an October update. For starters, $Goldman Sachs(GS)$ stock ticked down slightly early Thu, 08 Oct 2026, extending a painful sell-off that has almost zeroed out 2026 gains for the storied Wall Street bank - days ahead of its Q3 2026 earnings release. (see below) According to Yahoo Finance data: GS has fallen in 10 of the past 12 weeks. Dropping more than -20% since its July 2026 peak. (see below) For the year, shares were up less than 1% as of Thu, 08 Oct 2026 morning. Prior to 08 Oct 2026's trading, shares of the investment bank had lost -13.44% lagged the Finance sector's loss of -4.09% and the S&P 500's gain of +1.4%. The retreat comes as a dramatic reversal of investor appetite.
TOPGS probably gets hit harder from deal flow cooling than retail-heavy banks. Profits can stay decent while the multiple still compresses lol
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10-09
I think the long end can stay elevated, or even move higher, even if the Fed stands pat. The key issue is that the 10Y/30Y are increasingly being driven by more than the expected Fed path. Fiscal deficits, heavy Treasury issuance and a rising term premium can keep pushing long-term yields higher without another rate hike. A Fed pause may relieve some pressure at the front end, but it does not automatically solve the supply-demand imbalance further out the curve. If investors demand more compensation to hold duration, the curve could steepen through higher long-end yields. For equities, that matters because a 5%+ 10Y keeps the discount-rate hurdle high, particularly for expensive growth stocks. My base case: Fed pause ≠ long-end relief. I would watch Treasury auctions, term premium and infl
TOPDemand side matters too — foreign official buying and household appetite have both softened, and that can keep term premium sticky even on a Fed pause
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10-09
Futures Positioning: Risk Appetite Cools as Equity, Gold and Silver Longs Pull Back
CFTC Data: What It Is, Why It Matters and What to Watch The CFTC publishes its Commitments of Traders report each week. Known as the COT report, it is a key gauge of positioning across global futures markets. Its main value lies in showing which investor groups are driving price action. Market moves ultimately reflect competition among different types of capital. CFTC data makes these forces visible by breaking positions down by trader category. The CFTC divides market positions into three main categories: Non-commercial: Speculative traders, mainly hedge funds and CTAs, that seek to profit from price moves. They are the most responsive and directional market participants. Commercial: Companies that use futures to hedge business risks. Their positions primarily reflect risk
TOPFeels more like short covering than fresh longs in WTI. Front month can look firmer while the broader structure keeps weakening
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10-09
$OCBC Bank(O39.SI)$
TOPLong term maybe, but loan growth is soft and NIM tailwinds are fading. This dip may be more than just noise
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10-09
[Events] Which Stock Do You Search the Most? 🔍
What's in your stock search history? 👀 Maybe you're waiting for a better entry point, watching for the next big catalyst, or simply keeping tabs on a stock you already own. Share your most-searched stock and tell us why it's on your radar! How to Enter Open the Tiger Trade app and go to Community. Tap the search icon in the top-right corner to view your Search History. Take a screenshot and share it in the comments. And tell us: What keeps you interested in this stock? Do you already own it, or are you waiting to buy? What's your next move: buy, hold, or sell? Event Period: October 9–October 15 2026 Rewards 🎁 We'll random pick the most creative and relatable entries to win Tiger Coins! $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $N
TOP🌟🌟🌟 $OCBC Bank(O39.SI)$ is the stock I searched the most especially after Citi downgraded OCBC to a Sell. This wiped billions off its market value in a flash. It is painful but deep down in my heart I know that OCBC is the kind of quality stock that has stood the test of time. Through financial crises, global pandemics & shifting interest rate cycles, OCBC has stood immovable, compounding wealth for generations. But the good news is now I can buy OCBC shares in lots of 10, and put my warchest to work immediately. Warren Buffett likes to say: "Predicting rain doesn't count, building arks does". Instead of panicking when the rain will stop, I am slowly but surely accumulating OCBC, brick by brick, ensuring I emerge stronger when the sun comes back out. @TigerEvents @TigerStars @Tiger_SG @Tiger_comments