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10-09
Market Structure Watch：Gold Holds 4,130; Crude Oil Eyes 94 Breakout💰📈
English version： U.S. Dollar: 102.1–101.6 Is the Key Range On October 8, the U.S. Dollar Index rallied but failed to break above its previous high before pulling back, closing the day with a bearish candle featuring a long upper wick. In my view, near-term upward momentum has weakened somewhat. For October 9, my initial focus is on the 102.1–101.6 range. If the index continues to struggle to break decisively above resistance, a pullback in the dollar could provide support for gold.$美元指数(USDindex.FOREX)$ Gold: The Intraday Bias Remains Bullish as Long as 4,130 Holds Gold traded within a roughly $40 range on October 8, with repeated intraday swings as buyers and sellers battled for control. Nevertheless, the daily candle cl
TOPyansuji: 4130 holding is solid, but if the dollar really loses 101.6 I think gold accelerates faster than this post suggests and probably retests the high quick
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10-09
The Dow Closed Higher While the Nasdaq Lost 1.25 Per Cent. What Split Them?
The indices: the selling stayed inside technology, so the Nasdaq fell while the Dow closed higher The three indices split on Thursday: the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ fell 1.25 per cent to 27,193.34, the steepest of them; the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ fell 0.47 per cent to 7,765.36; and the $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ rose 0.10 per cent to 51,231.60. The 10-year Treasury yield came back from 5.28 per cent to 5.23 per cent on the same day. Rates fell and equities fell with them, which is not the chain of cause and effect of recent days: what was repriced was the assumption about demand along the AI chain, and the discount rate had nothing to d
TOPConservative Views on AI Stock Pullback In my personal opinion, the 5.34% drop in Intel's stock price illustrates that during market panic, a single piece of positive news may not be enough to support the stock price. Investors are more concerned about the prospects of the entire semiconductor industry, company profitability, and market sentiment. The long-term development trend of AI still deserves attention, but OpenAI's revenue expectations, chip demand, and AI debt issues all remind us that we cannot only look at orders, but also at whether customers have the ability to continue paying. If it were me, I wouldn't rush to buy at the bottom just because the stock price is falling, nor would I sell immediately just because there are no positive news. Instead, I would first look at the financial statements, cash flow, debt, and valuation. My view is that short-term stock prices may be influenced by emotions, but long-term stock prices ultimately depend on performance. Investing requires patience and, more importantly, risk control. Avoid blindly chasing high prices or easily gambling on a rebound.
847
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10-09
$DFIRG USD(D01.SI)$ • DFI will assume Maxim’s interest in the operation of Starbucks across seven Asian markets with a network of over 1,100 Starbucks coffeehouses • The reorganisation will mark the final milestone of the Group’s pivot from a portfolio company to a focused operating company • The Starbucks licensed business will be immediately revenue and operating margin accretive to the Group’s core retail business with ongoing benefits from operating synergies • Receipt of cash consideration (approximately US$340 million before adjustments) will further strengthen DFI’s balance sheet • Raises 2027 dividend payout ratio to 80%, supporting continued growth in dividend per share • Maintains 2028 underlying profit guidance of US$310-
TOPThe bigger rerating piece is losing the holding-company discount. Directly running 1100 plus Starbucks stores should make margin quality and earnings visibility much cleaner
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10-09
SG Morning Call | STI Opens 0.72% Higher. OCBC Bank, UOB, Bumitama Agri, OUEREIT, YZJ Shipbldg Jump Around 1%
Market Snapshot Singapore stocks opened higher on Friday. STI rose 0.72%; OCBC Bank, UOB, Bumitama Agri, OUEREIT, YZJ Shipbldg jumped around 1%. Stocks in Focus $Frasers Property(TQ5.SI)$: The CEO of Frasers Hospitality Eu Chin Fen will be stepping down, effective Jan 1, 2027. This follows the privatisation of Frasers Hospitality Trust and its portfolio optimisation. Frasers Hospitality’s leadership structure “will be strategically segmented, aligning with group resources, and reporting into senior group leadership”. Its chief operating officer Chew Hang Song will report to the group CEO. The counter closed at S$0.955 on Thursday, down S$0.01 or 1 per cent. $StarHub(CC3.SI)$: The telco said it will ac
TOPSTI opening pop looks fine, but elevated valuations and bond yields are real pressure. Feels more like a choppy stretch than a clean trend up
2.65K
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10-09
$OCBC Bank(O39.SI)$ Lots of retail traders talking about the banks and giving their "views". It's better to understand this from an institutional trader's POV. if you had a position in this at the start of the year, and your OCBC position is up 50% YTD, and it is now October, this analyst's report is just the excuse for you to exit or trim your position. Why? Because your bonus at the end of year - that $2m bonus - yes you heard it - depends on it. That Brand new v12 Ferrari depends on it. So yes, those are all institutions trimming or exiting. Because also, long term yields are now slated to taper off. So yes, don't focus on that track record or whatever mention of the analyst being from a foreign bank. Those just goons making comme
TOPI care more about the dividend path than the October trimming narrative. If yields cool gradually, OCBC still looks like a hold to me.
560
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10-09
👟 Nike Down 80% — Bargain or Value Trap?
Nike ($NKE) has fallen from its 2021 peak of $179 to around $34, wiping out more than $210 billion in market value. Now, Goldman Sachs’ reported purchase of 4.9 million shares has investors asking whether the sell-off has gone too far. 📉 Why consider buying? ✅ A globally recognised brand with strong sports and lifestyle appeal. ✅ Potential upside if management successfully turns the business around. ✅ A lower share price could offer an opportunity if earnings recover. ⚠️ Why be cautious? ❌ Nike expects revenue to decline by a high-single-digit percentage in FY2027. ❌ Competition and weaker demand are putting pressure on sales. ❌ A falling share price doesn’t automatically mean a stock is cheap. Goldman’s buying is interesting, but institutional purchases don’t guarantee a rebound. My view:
TOPI’d lean bargain here. Brand equity still matters, and at around 34 the market looks like it’s pricing in a way uglier earnings path than a normal turnaround.
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10-08
The Fed Minutes Point to Another Increase. Why Did Long Yields Not Wait?
The indices: all three fell back from record closes, and the Dow lost 0.66 per cent The three indices moved back from the previous day's record closes on Wednesday: the $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ Average fell 0.66 per cent to 51,179.90, the largest decline; the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ fell 0.22 per cent to 7,801.77; and the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ Composite fell 0.22 per cent to 27,538.69. The pressure came from the bond market: the 10-year Treasury yield reached 5.36 per cent at its intraday peak and closed at 5.28 per cent, while the 30-year touched 5.73 per cent and closed at 5.66 per cent. Minutes from the Federal Reserve's Septemb
TOPPersonally, I pay more attention to long-term US Treasury yields, rather than just whether the Federal Reserve will continue its rate hike this year. In the short term, interest rate cuts/rate hike expectations will affect the market; However, if the 10-year and 30-year yields remain high, I think it is more likely due to the fiscal deficit, bond issuance supply, and market demands for long-term inflation. This will directly put pressure on valuations, especially highly valued AI and technology stocks. Furthermore, Samsung's recent surge in profits indicates that the demand for memory is indeed very strong, but I will not immediately chase after MU, SNDK, and SKHY just because of the surge in profits. What matters now is whether price increases can continue, whether shipments have kept up, and whether high profits will stimulate more production capacity. Therefore, my approach is still: not to chase high prices, to buy in batches, and to focus on whether the 10-year yield can return below 5.2% and whether the company's profits can truly keep up with the valuation.
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10-07
The SGX 10 Lot Revolution: Spotlight on Venture Corporation
🌟🌟🌟The barrier to entry for $Venture(V03.SI)$
TOP10-lot access helps sentiment, but for Venture I doubt it changes the buyer base much. Liquidity stories get overstretched fast when the earnings cycle is still doing the heavy lifting
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10-09
Dollar Cycle Shift: How to Prepare for Strength Before Chasing Gold？📈📉
Last night, I hosted a livestream on Tiger’s futures channel to discuss shifts in the U.S. dollar cycle. We explored whether it was time to buy the dip in gold, along with trading approaches for currencies, crude oil, and U.S. equities. If you missed the livestream, you can watch the replay here >> 假期中美長債利率先升後降，黃金抄底的時機到了嗎？ - To The Moon Below, I have organized the key takeaways from the session and my main trading views by topic. I hope this will give those who did not have time to attend a quick overview of my perspective on the current market. First, a brief introduction to my background: My Main Takeaways from This Session
TOP20 EMA plus an ATR band makes more sense here than a naked breakout. In a firmer dollar tape, gold needs a daily close confirmation or the whipsaw is brutal
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10-09
The Dividend Snowball: SPDR STI vs Amova STI ETF: How To Own Singapore's Banks Without The Heartache
🌟🌟🌟There is a quiet, almost invisible magic built into the concrete foundations of Singapore. It doesn't scream for attention like a volatile tech stock on Wall Street, nor does it keep you awake at 3am in a cold sweat. It is the steady unyielding power of financial compounding. Compounding is the financial equivalent of rolling a tiny snowball down Bukit Timah Hill. At first it looks insignificant. But as it rolls, the snow picks up more snow. In the investing world, your money makes babies and then those babies have babies, until you are suddenly sitting on a generational empire. In Singapore, the kings of this compounding kingdom are our local banking trio: $DBS(D05.SI)$
TOPNice Sharing & Congratulations 🎉👏 @JC888 @Aqa @DiAngel @Barcode @Shyon @Shernice軒嬣 2000
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10-09
OpenAI’s Annualized Revenue Is Closer to $50B — Not the $70B Many Investors Thought
A new OpenAI investor disclosure is forcing the market to take a closer look at one of the most important numbers in the AI boom. According to the latest investor materials, OpenAI’s annualized revenue was approaching $50 billion at the end of September. That is still an extraordinary growth rate, but it is roughly $20 billion lower than the nearly $70 billion figure that had been circulating in the market just days earlier. The important point is that OpenAI did not suddenly lose $20 billion of revenue. The gap appears to come largely from different accounting and comparison methodologies. Some earlier estimates adjusted OpenAI’s revenue to make it more comparable with Anthropic, including revenue generated through cloud partners or distribution arrangements. OpenAI’s own reported run-rat
TOP④ The real AI bubble test isn't whether revenue reaches $50 billion or $70 billion. It's whether revenue can eventually justify the enormous infrastructure bill. A $50 billion annualized run rate is still impressive, but annualized revenue isn't realized annual revenue, and neither guarantees positive cash flow. Investors must distinguish genuine customer demand from growth supported by cloud credits, strategic partnerships, or financing arrangements. Here's the uncomfortable question: What happens if AI revenue keeps growing, but infrastructure spending grows even faster? GPU makers like NVIDIA and memory suppliers like Micron could face valuation pressure if hyperscalers slow spending. The danger isn't that AI suddenly becomes useless; it's that the market has priced in monetization arriving faster than reality. AI may be a revolutionary technology, but even revolutions have to pay their bills. @Tiger_comments [龇牙]
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10-09
EWZ is Far More Than An "Anti-AI Market" like JP Morgan are Calling it
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 Brazil $iShares MSCI Brazil ETF(EWZ)$ is far more than an "anti-AI market" like JP Morgan are calling it. It wins in an AI bull market and as a hedge against an AI bull market. People are massively underestimating how physical the AI buildout is. And people are also massively underestimating how much renewable energy, graphite, and rare earths Brazil has for this AI buildout. Bullish AI -> Bullish Brazil. Renewables: $EBR Rare Earths: $USA Rare Earth Inc.(USAR)$ Broader: $Vale SA(VALE)$ / $Pet
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10-09
AI Competition: Who is the Last Winner?
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 $T1 ENERGY INC(TE)$ completed its Austin solar cell factory shell, moving closer to a fully domestic solar supply chain. First cells are targeted for Q4 with the real upside coming from 2027 production and tax credits across cells and modules. 2 Elon Musk says $SpaceX(SPCX)$ could eventually be worth “orders of magnitude more than the current Earth economy.” Hes basically betting SpaceX becomes the infrastructure layer for an economy that extends far beyond Earth. Elon Musk declares $SpaceX(SPCX)$ has acquired “the last critical piece of the spectrum
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10-09
UBER, SOFI, INTC, DELL& MRNA Face the Crossroad Now
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 $Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$ This thing actually may be ready to rip higher. 2 $Dell Technologies Inc.(DELL)$ Nice volume shelf setup on the weekly candle chart. 3 $Intel(INTC)$ Back down to the S/R flip zone. 4 $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ Back down to the bottom of this 8-month range... 5 $Uber(UBER)$ MACD upside cross today. However, still below the 8/26 pivot VWAP zone, so no status quo change yet. Follow me to learn more about
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10-09
TRADE PLAN for LOTTO Friday
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading strategies with you! $S&P 500(.SPX)$ dropped 78 pts from ydays highs. The price action today was more bearish after 2 consecutive gap down days. IF SPX fails to reclaim 7800 tomorrow, It's risk off for the upside. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ also gave up the 748 support level as well. QQQ dropped from 757 to 743 intraday. If QQQ fails to reclaim 748 avoid calls for now. $Micron Technology(MU)$ and $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ both had no follow through day after yesterdays run. MU needs 1100+ and
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10-09
$MUU Plunged -9.56%: 2x Long MU ETF Sinks to $34.26, Support at $36.03 Broken
📊 Market Recap As of October 9, 2026, the Direxion Daily MU Bull 2X Shares closed at $34.26, tumbling -9.56% with a daily range of $34.02 to $37.91. The leveraged ETF now trades nearly 45% below its 52-week high of $62.64, and the breakdown below the $36.03 support level signals intensifying downside pressure. 🚀 Key Drivers Leveraged Decay Risk: As a 2x leveraged product, MUU amplified the underlying Micron weakness, with a -9.56% single-day drop reflecting heightened volatility in semiconductor names. Micron Sentiment Shift: Despite strong earnings, market participants are questioning whether the memory supercycle can sustain its momentum, adding pressure to MU-linked instruments. Technical Breakdown: The decisive close below the $36.03 primary support confirmed a bearish trend reversal,
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10-09
$Coherent (COHR) Plunged -9.63%: AI Optics Leader Tests $298 Support, Rebound Hinges on $315 Pivot
📊 Market Recap As of October 9, 2026 (ET), 'COHR' closed at $302.35, down a sharp -9.63% from the prior close of $334.56. The stock opened at $320.44 and spiked to a high of $328.87 early in the session before capitulating to an intraday low of $298.88, finishing just above the critical $300 psychological zone. The close leaves the shares roughly 31.3% below the 52-week high of $440.00, while still sitting well above the 52-week low of $108.19. This distribution-day style decline, accompanied by volume of 9.23 million shares and a volume ratio of 1.23, indicates aggressive institutional selling absorbed by dip buyers near the lows. 🚀 Key Drivers Sector-Wide AI Optics Rotation: High-multiple AI infrastructure names experienced a violent de-risking as profit-taking accelerated across the sem
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10-09
$Bloom Energy (BE) Slid -6.34%: Fuel Cell Leader Retreats from Resistance, $254 Support Under Scr...
📊 Market Recap As of the close on October 9, 2026 (ET), 'Bloom Energy Corp' (BE) settled at $272.82, dropping -6.34% (-$18.47). The stock is now approximately 22.3% below its 52-week high of $351.28, signaling a sharp cooling of momentum after recently testing resistance near $296.75. The session saw high volatility with an amplitude of 7.71% and turnover of 5.23%, reflecting intense profit-taking pressure. 🚀 Key Drivers S&P 500 Inclusion Effect: The stock was officially added to the S&P 500 index on September 21, triggering passive fund inflows. However, the post-inclusion period often brings a 'sell the news' effect, contributing to the current pullback. AI Power Demand Narrative: The core long-term catalyst remains surging electricity demand from AI data centers, where Bloom's s
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10-09
$SNXX (2x Long SNDK ETF) Drops -9.66% to $14.22: High-Volatility Pullback Tests $13.74 Support, R...
📊 Market Recap As of the U.S. Eastern close on October 9, 2026, 'SNXX' (2x Long SNDK ETF-Tradr) settled at $14.22, down -9.66% (-$1.52) from the prior close of $15.74. The leveraged ETF remains roughly 71% below its 52-week high of $49.34, but still more than 4x above its 52-week low of $3.14, underscoring the extreme volatility embedded in this product. The session saw a wide 10.72% amplitude, with an intraday high of $15.43 and low of $13.74, on trading volume of 51.37 million shares and a turnover rate of 42.32%. 🚀 Key Drivers Leveraged Product Mechanics: As a 2x long SNDK ETF, 'SNXX' amplifies the underlying move in SNDK, meaning a roughly 5% drop in the underlying can translate into a nearly 10% daily decline in 'SNXX'. Capital Outflow Pressure: One-day capital flow data shows total i
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10-09
$Palantir (PLTR) Surges +2.40% to $198.78: AI Data Titan Nears 52-Week High, $207 Breakout Looms
📊 Market Recap As of the October 9, 2026 close, 'PLTR' finished at $198.78, up +2.40% (+$4.66). The stock is now within roughly 4.2% of its 52-week high of $207.52, with intraday action ranging from $195.65 to $204.44. A volume ratio of 2.40 confirms aggressive accumulation as momentum builds toward a potential breakout. 🚀 Key Drivers AI Data Momentum: Palantir's core AI-driven data analytics narrative continues to dominate, with enterprise demand pushing the stock toward its yearly peak. Capital Inflow Surge: Five-day capital flow data shows consistent net inflows, including +$32.87 million on October 5 and +$23.68 million on October 7, signaling institutional confidence. Short Covering Pressure: Short volume has declined from 5.63 million shares on September 23 to 2.91 million on October