5.73K
·
10-15
$CIFR DIAGONAL 261016/261120 PUT 16.0/PUT 14.0$ 1️⃣ Why am I making this trade now? With CIFR dumping over the past three weeks alongside a sector-wide AI infrastructure drawdown, I am adjusting my capital allocation to stay in the game without taking on unnecessary downside exposure. Opening/rolling into this $16.0/$14.0 diagonal debit spread allows me to maintain a tight bullish posture closer to the current price action at a very manageable net cost ($1.60 debit). It's always darkest before dawn in high-beta tech plays. While short sellers are coming from every angle, the underlying thesis—that power availability is the bottleneck for AI and CIFR owns prime Texas power capacity—rem
CIFR Diagonal
10-14 23:32
US16.0/14.0
| Side | Price | Filled | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Debit Close | 1.60 5 | -- Closed |
TOPfluffik: That power bottleneck thesis sounds early. If utilization is still around 65% and ramp keeps lagging, the squeeze case is doing a lot of work here.
3.39K
·
10-15
$COIN CALENDAR 261023/261016 PUT 180.0/PUT 180.0$ 1️⃣ Why am I making this trade now? Crypto equities like Coinbase ($COIN) have been caught in the crossfire of broader market risk-off sentiment, macro uncertainty, and liquidity contraction. However, $180 remains a major psychological and structural anchor for COIN. Instead of exiting or taking a directional gamble during a high-volatility period, I opened/rolled a $180.0 strike calendar spread for a $2.55 net credit. This trade capitalizes on high near-term implied volatility and time decay (theta) while keeping my strike centered right on COIN's key battleground level. 2️⃣ What’s my plan from here? What I'm watching: Bitcoin spot
COIN Calendar
10-14 23:25
US180.0/180.0
| Side | Price | Filled | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Credit Close | -2.55 1 | -- Closed |
TOP190 works too, but 180 is where COIN options stay the cleanest. Best liquidity usually makes the calendar behave way better
4.48K
·
10-15
$SS SPDR STI ETF(ES3.SI)$ Buying the dip for today, Market selling pressure. Holding for a month. Let's see if we can make some profit [Cool]
TOP5.48 is near a decent accumulation zone, and the dividend support matters more if you can sit through the pressure 👀
2.31K
·
10-15
$BABA 20261030 106.0 PUT$ Naked put - hope it expires worthless Be water, my friend—stay calm, adapt, and let the market do its thing. Watch me pocket $15K in premiums in Oct. Jun/Jul/Aug/Sep: $1,721/$26,431/$34,103/$26,671 Oct 2026: $13,617
BABA PUT
10-15 22:08
US20261030 106.0
| Side | Price | Filled | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Sell Open | 1.75 1Lot(s) | +3.43% Holding |
TOPThat 106 put is pretty clean — theta doing the heavy lifting here lol
4.63K
·
10-15
$UNH 20261016 430.0 CALL$ Took profit Be water, my friend—stay calm, adapt, and let the market do its thing. Watch me pocket $15K in premiums in Oct. Jun/Jul/Aug/Sep: $1,721/$26,431/$34,103/$26,671 Oct 2026: $13,611
UNH CALL
10-15 22:10
US20261016 430.0
| Side | Price | Filled | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Buy Close | 0.06 1Lot(s) | +96.47% Closed |
TOPThat $13K in October is clean, but far-dated UNH options can get ugly on liquidity and slippage fast
8.01K
·
10-15
$PLTR 20271217 280.0 CALL$ Buy back with some profit $PLTR 20271217 280.0 CALL$ took first
PLTR CALL
10-15 22:38
US20271217 280.0
| Side | Price | Filled | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Buy Close | 25.10 1Lot(s) | +5.59% Closed |
TOPNice first take. That 25.1 buyback is clean if momentum stays intact, but the 280 strike still needs PLTR to keep squeezing
922
·
10-14
ASML Earnings Review: Profits Doubled, but Will Wall Street Wait Until 2027? $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$
TOP57.5% gross margin is the part I care about more than the wait. If demand is already pressing into 2028 capacity, eight months for a fuller roadmap does not feel that long
1.05K
·
10-14
I agree most with @D1ane ’s view that headline profits alone do not tell the whole story. For me, credit quality, loan-loss provisions, funding costs, and net interest margins all matter when evaluating whether a bank can sustain its earnings. I also find @nerdbull1669 ’s point about tangible book value important, especially when Treasury yields remain elevated. A bank may report solid profits, but hidden balance-sheet pressure and unrealised losses can still affect its long-term valuation. As for Berkshire trimming $Bank of America
TOPCapital ratios probably deserve equal weight here. In rate volatility, management risk appetite can matter just as much as NIM or tangible book.
4.59K
·
10-15
$CIFR DIAGONAL 261120/261016 PUT 14.0/PUT 18.0$ 1️⃣ Why am I making this trade now? The data center and neocloud space is currently facing a "perfect storm" of negative sentiment—rising Treasury yields, Gartner's headline-grabbing report predicting AI CapEx doom, and CIFR's $850M convertible note offering triggering heavy institutional arbitrage shorting. However, I believe the market is mispricing CIFR by lumping it in with GPU-heavy speculators. CIFR is a power/infrastructure landlord with long-term hyperscaler backstops (AWS, Google-backed contracts). This current multi-week dump feels like a classic flush-out driven by convertible arbitrage hedging and short-seller fear-monge
CIFR Diagonal
10-14 23:34
US18.0/14.0
| Side | Price | Filled | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Debit Close | 3.63 10 | -- Closed |
TOPThat $850M convert is the bigger problem here, not just sentiment. If AI demand softens, those long-term power leases can turn ugly fast.
1.07K
·
10-15
I would lean towards $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ for the long term. AI demand is still driving the need for advanced chips, and the fact that customers are already discussing orders for 2029 & 2030 gives me confidence in its long-term growth potential. However, strong demand does not automatically mean the stock is cheap, especially after a strong rally. For Morgan Stanley, I like its diversified business model & wealth management segment, but trading income can fluctuate with market conditions. I would rather invest in a business with a strong competitive advantage & a clear long-term growth driver than rely too heavily on short-term market activity. Personally, I would not rush to buy either just because they have pulled back. I would k
TOPPatience makes sense here. ASML's long term case is real, but 2029 to 2030 order talk alone does not justify any premium if capacity ramp and customer prepayment timing do not track cleanly.
4.47K
·
10-15
🌟🌟🌟Barclays analyst Dan Levy dropped a bombshell note predicting that a monumental $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ & $SpaceX(SPCX)$ merger announcement could land before Tesla's December AGM. SpaceX would acquire Tesla in an all stock transaction at an expected ratio of 0.7 SpaceX shares per Tesla shares. Suddenly we are evaluating a complex multi trillion dollar hybrid. This merger is a stroke of genius. It combines the 2 companies into a single unstoppable vertical monopoly. It is also a seamless integration of AI & physical hardware. By putting rockets, satellites, EVs & Tesla bots under 1 roof, the synergy would be amazing. Elon Musk's combined stake of Tesla and SpaceX may result in h
TOPbut SpaceX is in the red. so why would tesla want to merge with a failing business? this could become a burden for tesla. plus SpaceX is quite overpriced. if I was tesla id stay away from SpaceX.
1.23K
·
10-15
For me, the Roadster reveal is exciting, but execution matters more than hype. After years of waiting, I hope $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ provides a credible production timeline and delivery details rather than just an impressive demonstration. 🚀 I am also watching Terafab and energy growth. TSMC confirming discussions is encouraging, but without a formal agreement, tangible benefits remain uncertain. The battery milestone is promising, though profitability is what matters. Ultimately, October 21 earnings matter most to me. I remain bullish on Tesla’s long-term AI, robotics and energy opportunities, but I prefer patience, disciplined risk management and real business
TOPOctober 21 earnings matter most here too, but free cash flow turning positive is the real separator. Roadster hype is fun, execution and margins are what can actually re-rate Tesla
1.94K
·
10-15
The Great Neocloud Meltdown 📉 AI Infrastructure Stocks Crushed
The AI infrastructure trade is taking a beating. From neocloud providers and data center operators to Bitcoin miners pivoting toward AI compute, drawdowns have reached 50%–86% from highs across much of the sector. 🔻 Down More Than 70% $Soluna Holdings, Inc.(SLNH)$ : -85.99%$BOOST RUN INC(BRUN)$ : -77.02%$Bit Digital, Inc.(BTBT)$ : -76.26%$Bitzero Holdings Inc.(AIBZ)$ : -73.76%$WhiteFiber, Inc.(WYFI)$ : -72.84%$Bitdeer Technologies Group(BTDR)$ : -70.58%$Digi Power X Inc.(DGXX)$ : -70.54% 📉 Down
1.09K
·
10-15
$GOOG Faces Downside Risk as $SMH Enters Correction Territory
Three charts to watch as tomorrow’s PPI data approaches. Oversold conditions could trigger tactical bounces, but the broader technical picture remains cautious. 🔹 $Alphabet(GOOG)$ — A higher low today adds another point to the uptrend, but bearish momentum suggests downside continuation could follow tomorrow. A break below the 20-DMA would weaken the structure and open the way toward the lower Bollinger Band at $333. That level also aligns with a key monthly level and an ascending diagonal. 🔻 $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ — Semiconductors have entered correction territory, falling 12% in just six trading sessions. The rapid decline is pushing prices toward oversold conditions. A gap down tomorrow could t
392
·
10-15
5 of Wednesday's best charts and insights
1. CPI. "This is the diffusion of CPI inflation, measured similarly to Kevin Warsh's preferred PCE inflation diffusion metric. It's down." 2. Buybacks. "We are currently in peak earnings blackout, with just 24% of S&P 500 index weight outside repurchase blackout windows. That figure rises to ~55% by month-end, ~75% by November 3 (Midterm Election Day), and ~85% by November 9, as companies report earnings and trading windows reopen." 3. SPX streak. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 's streak of consecutive days without a decline of at least 1% ends at 53. It was the longest since 2020. See full dashboard here. 4. Semis corrections cluster. "The semis are now in their 4th 10%+ correction since early June. That's the most corrections inside
1.08K
·
10-15
Memory Is Crashing While AI Compute Chips Rally. I Think the Semiconductor Trade Is Splitting Into Two Different Markets.
Something very interesting is happening inside semiconductors. Memory stocks are being crushed. Yet Nvidia, AMD and Intel have shown relative strength. At first glance, that looks contradictory. If investors are worried about AI spending, should the entire semiconductor complex not be falling together? I do not think so. The market is beginning to separate AI compute scarcity from memory scarcity. And that distinction could determine where I put my next dollar. 🔥 WHY MONEY IS ROTATING FROM MEMORY INTO COMPUTE For much of 2026, the semiconductor trade was beautifully simple: AI demand rises → chips become scarce → memory becomes scarce → pricing rises → margins explode → almost everything semiconductor goes up. That simplicity is disappearing. Memory now faces a new question from China's CX
TOPAMD still looks more underpriced to me. MI300X share gains in data center GPUs are getting brushed off, while memory still needs HBM execution to matter.
1.56K
·
10-15
Micron (MU) And Other Chip Stock Face Competition Fears From Bears
$Micron Technology(MU)$
TOPUBS is probably right, this panic looks overdone. Dec. 9 buyback limits coming off and that $35B authorization matter more than the CXMT headline lol
2.74K
·
10-15
Weekly Futures Options Watch: Bulls Beware! Massive Deep OTMNasdaq Put Trade Emerges
Futures options are options on futures contracts. Trading volume and open interest reveal how capital is positioned across expiries and strike prices. They can help gauge market expectations, risk appetite, and potential support and resistance levels. However, they do not directly indicate a bullish or bearish view. Today, we examine the day-on-day changes in large futures options trades on October 14 versus October 13. These are the latest reported block trade flows and offer valuable market signals. The latest open interest distribution by strike shows no clear directional consensus on October 14. Crude oil positions remain defensive, while new flows are pricing tail risks in both directions. Nasdaq put options continue to lead in open interest, volume, and net additions, sending the str
1.17K
·
10-15
🐶📈 OPTIONS PUPPY DAILY MARKET UPDATE — 15 OCTOBER 2026
$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ 🔥 Hot CPI, TSMC Earnings, AI Stocks, Interest Rates, TLT, SPY & QQQ 🐶 1️⃣ My Market View: Wall Street Has an Inflation Problem Again! Good morning, fellow investors! 🐾 Today, my Options Puppy market notebook is watching two major forces fighting for control of Wall Street: inflation and the AI investment boom. Yesterday’s US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report came in hotter than expected. Headline inflation increased by 3.7% year over year in September, while core CPI, which excludes food and energy, climbed to 2.6%. Headline CPI rose 0.6% month over month, and core CPI increased 0.3%. Rising gasoline prices were a major contributor, but inflationary pressure was not limited to energy. Shelter, use
TOPTSM matters, but I care more about how TLT reprices the terminal-rate path here. If long duration keeps leaking, QQQ multiples probably stay capped
1.04K
·
10-15
CXMT Just Wiped Another Chunk Off Memory Stocks. I Think the Market Is Pricing the Threat Before CXMT Has Proven It.
This memory correction has gone from uncomfortable to brutal. Micron has fallen from above $1,000 to roughly $874 in the screenshot. SanDisk is around $1,336. SK Hynix has been hammered, and leveraged memory products have suffered even more. The immediate culprit is China's CXMT. Its new 4F² DRAM architecture potentially allows more memory cells to fit into the same area, and CXMT says it intends to launch server-grade DDR5 products using the technology before year-end. That matters. But there is one enormous distinction investors should not overlook: CXMT has demonstrated technological progress. It has not yet demonstrated high-volume, high-yield, economically competitive production. The market is currently pricing those two things almost as if they were the same. I think that is prematur
TOPHBM is the part I care about here. If HBM3E customer ramps stay on track, 874 already looks closer to repricing than breakdown