Market outlook for S&P500 (09Jun25) - using candlesticks and technical indicators

user
KYHBKO
06-08

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 09Jun25

Technical observations:

  • MACD - a top crossover is completed, and this suggests a downtrend is coming. Ranging sideways can be a possible scenario, too.

  • Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are showing an uptrend. However, the 3 lines are converging, and a trend reversal is expected.

  • Both the 50 MA line and the 200 MA line are showing an uptrend. This speaks of a bullish outlook for both the short and long term.

  • The CMF is positive at 0.25, indicating strong buying pressure over the past 20 periods.

The daily interval is showing a “Strong Buy" for the S&P 500 index. 21 indicators are showing a “Buy” rating, and no indicator shows a “Sell” rating.

  • Short-Term Outlook: The emerging Morning Doji Star and Morning Star patterns, combined with the price breaking to a new high of 6,000.36, suggest that the S&P 500 is likely to continue its upward trajectory. The next target is 6,100, a psychological level, with potential to reach 6,200 if momentum persists.

  • Long-Term Outlook: The broader trend remains strongly bullish, with the S&P 500 establishing a new high above 6,000 and maintaining key support levels. The dominance of bullish candlestick patterns since April 2025 indicates potential for further gains, possibly retesting or exceeding the late 2024/early 2025 peak near 6,000.

  • Actionable Insight: The bullish candlestick patterns support a continuation of the uptrend. Traders should watch for a sustained break above 6,000 with increasing volume to confirm the move toward 6,100.

The candlestick patterns indicate a robust bullish outlook for the S&P 500, with the current price action suggesting a strong continuation of the uptrend, both in the short and long term, as it targets higher resistance levels.

(The above is compiled with Grok’s help.)

From the above, the S&P 500 is likely to continue its climb, and we should expect a reversal soon.

@TigerStars

$S&P 500(.SPX)$

$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$

Aug. Byebye! Sep. Buybuy! Could September Effect Bring Buy Point?
The latest data shows that hedge funds and large speculators are betting on calm continuing with unprecedented force—shorting VIX. However, in September, the VIX may fly as we may see September Effect hit again. Fed-Trump drama is also ongoing recently. ------- Is the market in danger with September approaching? Will you follow the market or be cautious about risks? How's your portfolio going in August?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • OgdenHerbert
    06-09
    OgdenHerbert
    Incredible analysis! Love the insights! [Heart]
    • KYHBKO
      thanks for your kind words. all the best
  • Xiia
    06-09
    Xiia
    Bullish outlook! 🚀
    • KYHBKO
      thanks. note the potential pullback
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