Macro Trend

Monetary policy, various types of price indices... Here is everything about the macro economy!

Here is What Jamie Dimon Sees Coming?

Jamie Dimon recently came out with an ominous prediction: "Bond market is going to crack."We have already started to see this play out.Bond yields are surging, job growth is slowing, and the deficit is about to explode.Here is what Jamie Dimon sees coming: 🧵 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Image1/ When Jamie Dimon speaks, we listen.He took JP Morgan Chase unscathed from the 2008 Financial Crisis and played a pivotal role in containing the 2023 Banking Crisis.Now he warns us all that the bond yields will explode.2/ It's not just Jamie Dimon.Two weeks before him, Ray Dalio also warned about basically the same thing.There will not be enough demand for the US bonds.This can potentially kick the US into stagflation.How?3/ Look at the yields.Since the Fed started c
Here is What Jamie Dimon Sees Coming?

Here is Why UNH is an Asymmetric Opportunity

1/ $UnitedHealth(UNH)$ was once a market darling, now everybody hates it.Yet, revenues keep growing, it still dominates the industry and margins are set to expand.Here is why UNH is an asymmetric opportunity now: 🧵2/ UNH is dominating the healthcare in the US.Its stock has appreciated 981x since 1985.How the hell UNH achieved this while other helthcare groups like $CVS Health(CVS)$ appreciated only 9x in the same period.The answer is its structure.It's vertically integrated.Image3/ It's a full-stack healthcare company.It has two main businesses: UnitedHealthcare and Optum.UnitedHealthcare provides health insurance while Optum provides the care services and pharmacy benefit management.This allows UNH to have
Here is Why UNH is an Asymmetric Opportunity

.SPX: Long Term Bull Now!

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you!1.Added back mid- to long-term puts that I exited in the first half hour of trading. If 5970 is lost today, then crash mode is on. Stop at 6000--it may lingers one day for the full moon to pass, but who knows what is going to happen overnight in the Gulf. Better keep some puts. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 2.ALL-GREEN SETUP: (you know what this inter-market disagreement means, one side is absolutely WRONG--let's see which side it is). Not necessarily get the answer today, but definitely near the Bingo point. No later than Wednesday in my calendar--the longer it stretches, the...ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:šŸ¦ Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 2
.SPX: Long Term Bull Now!

GOLD: The King of Hedge During the Middle East Tensions

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!Wednesday (June 18) Asian market, gold prices are currently trading at 3392 U.S. dollars near. $Gold - main 2508(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Gold as the global financial market ā€˜king of hedge’, in the recent geopolitical and economic uncertainty under the dual drive, showing the bottom of the resilience. On Tuesday, gold prices touched a low of 3366 U.S. dollars after a strong rebound, closed at 3388.40 U.S. dollars near the K line pattern close to the cross, showing that the market more than the short game intense. Meanwhile, the price of silver soared to $37.22 per ounce, the highest level since 2012, triggering a hot de
GOLD: The King of Hedge During the Middle East Tensions

.SPX: Long Term Run

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you!1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Gap & Go / Gap & Fill: (1) at this stage of the bullish run, a large gap up like this has two outcomes; (2) either it continues flying higher with sky is the limit; (3) or it would hit the ceiling soon, and tries to refill the gap later. With Powell & Consumer Data, gap-fill.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:šŸ¦ Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.
.SPX: Long Term Run

TRADE PLAN for Tuesday šŸ“ˆ

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ very resilient price action today. SPX tried to break lower under 5973 but held and closed above 6000. SPX to all time highs coming by early July.SPX June 25 6100C best above 6051 $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ to 700 in play tomorrow if META closes through 700 we can see 740+ in early JulyMETA 710C can work above 700 $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ 363 is a breakout level for a run to 400+. Let's see if TSLA can hold the gap above 350. TSLA June 27 360C is best above 350Every dip continues to be bought up in the market the past few weeks. A melt up rally to all time highs coming soon. Good luck tmrw everyone!! 🫔For whom haven't open CBA can know more from
TRADE PLAN for Tuesday šŸ“ˆ

The Upcoming Week's Important Events and Data Preview

1. $Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ Monday's Trend Asian Market Trend: Gold extended its gains and is on track to test the 3400 handle in the near term. Gold's bullish momentum remains strong, as depicted by the Relative Strength Index (RSI); the technical indicator has plenty of upside before turning overbought.On the upside, the first resistance level for gold is $3,400, followed by the swing high of $3,438 on 7 May and $3,450. A break above these levels would take gold prices to an all-time high of $3,500.On the bearish side,, if gold falls below $3,300, it is expected to fall to the May 20 low of $3,204, followed by the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) of $3,199. (but the odds are slim)! Monday's open will see gold rise sharply! A test of 3385
The Upcoming Week's Important Events and Data Preview

I’M BUYING THE EOSE PAIN

$Eos Energy Enterprises Inc.(EOSE)$ Eos is down 18%, and people are treating it like a collapse. But step back and look at what’s actually happening — this isn’t what decline looks like. This is what a capital-intensive infrastructure story entering its next phase.Eos is building hardware -- industrial-scale battery systems designed to store renewable power at grid level. If America’s going to meet its long-duration storage needs -- and that’s not a hypothetical, that’s policy -- then we’re going to need someone to actually build that hardware, at scale, with a domestic footprint. That’s what Eos is doing. And what we’re watching now is a transition: from survival mode to scaled execution. The debt refinancing with Cerberus wasn’t about buying tim
I’M BUYING THE EOSE PAIN

Trading Ideas| Investing Wisdom

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you!1.Wall Street: $S&P 500(.SPX)$ āœ…Access to management āœ…Better information āœ…Faster computers āœ…Trading priority āŒ Can't invest for the long-term Individual investors: āœ… Can invest for the long-term Don't waste your biggest advantage.2.Age when they founded their business:Image3.What is CapEx?Image4.Capital Allocation FrameworkImage5.→Rent vs. Buy →Big Emergency Fund vs. Small Emergency Fund →Pay Off Debt vs. Keep It And Invest More →Cash On The Sideline vs. Always Fully Invested There are no "right" answers to these debates. Personal finance is personal.For whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:šŸ¦ Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit wi
Trading Ideas| Investing Wisdom

GOLD: The Sell Signal Took Effect

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! $Gold - main 2508(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ The Federal Reserve kept the benchmark interest rate unchanged at 4.25%-4.50%, and remained unchanged for the fourth consecutive meeting, which is in line with market expectations! I emphasized yesterday that the interest rate will not change! After the data was released, gold rose first and then fell, reaching a low of 3362.5! The sell signal took effect! Technical aspect: At present, gold has come out of the box shock, and it is expected to continue to fall in the Asian market today! ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:šŸ¦ Open a CBA today and enjoy privile
GOLD: The Sell Signal Took Effect

.SPX: What's Going on Next?

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you!1. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Bought some 0dtx SPY puts, with tight stop. Also some 6/18 straddle to prepare for craziness on either side. After 6/18, all roads lead to sub-5900.Don't forget the 2-day VIX-Expiration pattern--that would cover 6/18 to 6/20, given the holiday in-between. $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ is ready.Image2.Wait for 2:30pm Wedn. (1) out of majority of SPY puts at the open; and only holding 500 UVXY calls that I entered with the Hammer. (2) it looks like VIX-Ex & FOMC combinedly delay the inevitable and prepare for another push higher. (3) the window is almost closed, tmrw due date.ImageFor whom haven't open C
.SPX: What's Going on Next?

Bond Yields are Rallying, What's Going on Next?

The US is going toward a debt crisis at full speed.Interest rates remain high, tariffs are still on the table, and the House has just passed a large tax cut.Result? Bond yields are rallying.This is going to be disastrous.Let me explain: 🧵1/ The bond market is cracking.US government debt is currently $36 trillion and it needs to refinance $9 trillion this year.This comes at a time when interest rates are already high and inflationary pressures are mounting.Result? Investors don't buy US debt without high coupon.This creates a demand shock for the US debt. $USD Index(USDindex.FOREX)$ 2/ The supply of bonds is currently way higher than the demand.It plays out exactly as Ray Dalio explains:- Gold at all time highs.- Bitcoin at all time highs
Bond Yields are Rallying, What's Going on Next?

.SPX: Resilience & Resolution

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you!1.Resilience & Resolution: $S&P 500(.SPX)$ (1) with the double-wedge formation, SPX is living on borrowed time--the huge divergence on daily & 2-hr level can ONLY be resolved with a sharp decline. (2) this Wedn. at 2:30pm, when Powell opens his mouth, watch out below. (3) 50% short positionImage2.Futures rebound from gap-down low at 5944: (1) the dip-buyers are strong enough to push for another LOWER HIGH. (2) ES futures opened with a modest 35 point gap-down, but then recovered most the decline, hit 6015. (3) great entry for short positions, esp. if trendline holds.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:šŸ¦ Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up
.SPX: Resilience & Resolution

MY UPDATED MARKET PLAYBOOK FOR 2025

There’s a fundamental misunderstanding taking root on fintwit -- the idea that we’re just navigating a rough patch. That the Fed can thread the needle. That tariffs are temporary. That volatility is an overreaction.But the institutions that once stabilized markets aren’t stabilizing anything right now -- not because they lack tools, but because they no longer control the narrative. And in 2025, narrative is EVERYTHING.This isn’t about whether Powell gets replaced. It’s about the fact that it’s even on the table. The perception that the U.S. might politicize monetary policy -- even in theory -- is enough to distort capital flows. And perception doesn’t need confirmation to become consequence.That’s where we are. Not in a collapse. Not in a rally. In a credibility void -- and the tape reflec
MY UPDATED MARKET PLAYBOOK FOR 2025

WHY I’M NOT TRIMMING NVTS AFTER A 140% MOVE UP

$Navitas Semiconductor Corp(NVTS)$ The market has spent the past year fixated on model size, parameter counts, and inference latency -- but under the surface, the real choke point is power. Not just the availability of energy, but the architecture that moves it. And that’s what makes $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ move so significant. When the most valuable compute company on the planet taps Navitas to co-develop its next-gen 800V HVDC power delivery systems, it’s not a footnote -- it’s a redirection of where the edge lies in AI infrastructure.This is bigger than silicon. This is about flow. About how electrons are delivered into the densest, fastest, hottest systems humanity has ever built. Blackwell isn’t just more pow
WHY I’M NOT TRIMMING NVTS AFTER A 140% MOVE UP

GOLD: Gold or Extended Oscillatory Game Pattern

This week, gold or extended oscillatory game pattern, short-term mixed short and long factors, need to pay attention to the following key points: 1. Drivers Favourable downside: the U.S. trade war eases and the Fed postponed interest rate cuts are still expected, the dollar index if the 101 mark, will suppress the space of the gold price rebound; the technical surface of the 3250 U.S. dollars near the existence of a strong resistance, if you can not break through may trigger profit-taking. Favourable to rise: geopolitical risks (the situation in the Middle East, Russia-Ukraine peace talks stalemate) and weak U.S. economic data (retail sales, PPI fall) or stimulate safe-haven demand rebound; global central bank gold purchases (244 tonnes of additional holdings in the first quarter) to provi
GOLD: Gold or Extended Oscillatory Game Pattern
avatarKYHBKO
04-05

Q1/2025 earnings start with BlackRock - Preview of the week starting 07Apr25

Public Holidays The USA, China, Hong Kong & Singapore have no public holidays in the coming week. Economic Calendar (07Apr25) Economic Calendar for the week starting 07Apr25 Notable Highlights Consumer Price Index (CPI) should be the most watched macro data of the coming week. The Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures month-over-month inflation (excluding volatile food and energy prices). It’s a key indicator of underlying inflation trends. This represents the cost of living and will influence the Fed’s monetary policy decisions. The Producer Price Index (PPI) measures month-over-month changes in prices at the producer level, often a precursor to consumer inflation trends. The inflation that hits the producers would be passed onto the consumers. This can also be seen as one of the p
Q1/2025 earnings start with BlackRock - Preview of the week starting 07Apr25

GOLD: Continue to Keep Sell Orders Trading!

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Yesterday I already said that the key support around 3270 will be broken, and has been successfully broken! Today, gold will continue to dip! 3100 will not be guaranteed! Continue to keep sell orders trading!Image2.Gold Trading Alert: Gold Price Plunges to New One-Month Low! Is it a good opportunity to bottom out or a precursor to a crisis? Concerned about the ā€˜horror data’Thursday (15 May) Asian morning trading, gold low hovering, currently trading at $3183.50 near. Gold prices fell more than 2% on Wednesday, the lowest $3,167.94, a new low since April 10, closed at $3,177.
GOLD: Continue to Keep Sell Orders Trading!

GOLD: Continue to GO UP!

$Gold - main 2508(GCmain)$ Tuesday (10 June) Asian session, gold narrow range shock, currently trading at 3320 U.S. dollars near. Monday gold price shock rebound 0.4%, closed at 3325.45 U.S. dollars near the gold price of this wave of rise is not only driven by the dollar's weakness, but also with the trade talks, global economic uncertainty and inflation is expected to warm up closely related.From a comprehensive perspective, the current rise in gold prices is driven by a combination of factors: the weakening of the US dollar, the uncertainty of trade negotiations, the warming of inflation expectations and the intensification of geopolitical risks. In the short term, progress in trade negotiations and US CPI data will be key variables in gold
GOLD: Continue to GO UP!

BTC Waking Up & Eying $130K Next šŸš€

$Bitcoin(BTC.USD.CC)$ Bitcoin has been consolidating under the key 109K level for the past 7 months but that consolidation phase may finally be over. We’re now seeing signs of strength that suggest $BTC is gearing up for a powerful breakout that could send it surging toward the 130K level.A breakout to 130K wouldn’t just be a win for crypto, it would signal risk-on sentiment across all markets, likely fueling a rally in equities and driving the $SPX to new all-time highs.The macro backdrop remains highly supportive with...āœ… Pro-Crypto Policy Shift: The Trump administration has shown a clear commitment to the digital asset space, with bipartisan momentum building behind stablecoin legislation and a comprehensive market structure bill. Regulat
BTC Waking Up & Eying $130K Next šŸš€
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