The Buffett Series: What Surprising Truths Have You Overlooked?

There is a classic probability puzzle known as the "Birthday Paradox". Warren Buffett once used this paradox to make a bet. This case is quite meaningful, as it serves as a reminder that: Probability is more counterintuitive than we imagine. There are many such examples in the stock market. Throughout his life, Buffett has shared numerous quotes and stories that serve as warnings to investors. Would you like more examples of counterintuitive investing principles or mental models? What other Buffett anecdotes do you know? What’s the best lesson Buffet ever teach to you?

avatarkoolgal
05-05

Warren Buffett's Counterintuitive Truths And Applying Them In Today's Market

🌟🌟🌟Warren Buffett is famous for his Counterintuitive Truths.  In fact his long and storied career is built on principles that often run against conventional market instincts.  Rather than chasing flashy high growth stories or trying to time the market moods, Warren Buffett's approach rests on a set of core Counterintuitive insights that have enabled him to build enduring wealth over decades. Definition of a Counterintuitive Truth  A Counterintuitive Truth is an idea or fact that runs against our natural instincts or commonly held beliefs.  However it turns out to be true when examined carefully.  In other words, it is a reality that surprises us by defying what we instinctively expect, often because our intuition is influenced by preconceived notions or oversimplif
Warren Buffett's Counterintuitive Truths And Applying Them In Today's Market
avatarkoolgal
05-05
🌟🌟🌟Warren Buffett 's Most Famous Counterintuitive Truth is "Be Greedy When Others Are Fearful".  While many investors may shy away from the markets in times of widespread panic,  Warren Buffett's famous adage urges the opposite. This means when the markets are bearish and stock prices plummet , the best opportunities arise for those who are calm enough to see value where others see disaster. Warren Buffett's strategy is built on the idea that market over reactions create substantial buying opportunities.  His success shows that a little fear can create a deep well of opportunity for disciplined long term investors. Thank you Warren Buffett for this pearl of wisdom which I believe in and try to practise.  It takes courage and patience to do so.
avatarBarcode
05-03
$Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.A)$ $Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$ 🚨🗞️👑 The Oracle’s Last Waltz: Buffett Steps Down as CEO 👑🗞️🚨 🧭 Warren Buffett has been my financial compass since I first stumbled into the world of markets. His annual letters were my masterclasses, his stock picks my puzzles, his restraint my mantra. He taught me that simplicity is strength, patience is power, and value is timeless, even in a world addicted to frenzy. Today, learning that Buffett has stepped down as CEO of Berkshire Hathaway feels like the markets have lost their polestar, a quiet, steady light in a sky full of noise. Buffett wasn’t just the Oracle of Omaha. He was the conviction behind my trades, the clarity in my chaos, the wis

Warren Buffett explains why Berkshire Hathaway price can go up if he passes away

Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B) Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.A) I expect the succession question to be asked again in the Berkshire Hathaway 2025 annual meeting. Buffett himself already explained (see the video below) why BRK stocks price can go up tomorrow if he passes away today. https://youtu.be/YP8VyvLfwYg Some of my additional thoughts are below: Removal of "Key Person Risk" Discount: Currently, a portion of BRK's stock valuation might be discounted due to the "key person risk" associated with Warren Buffett. His exceptional track record and influence are undeniable. Upon his passing, this specific risk factor would be removed. Some investors who were hesitant due to this concentration of influence might then
Warren Buffett explains why Berkshire Hathaway price can go up if he passes away
avatarMrzorro
05-03
This is an easy choice for me. I will choose Trump dinner as I have never been to White House before, I would like to have the "Golden Palace" version tour. Doing charity no doubt is good but a limited Trump NFT sounds more attractive to me [Thinking]
Interesting model witch first time I know. Thanks for sharing
avatarECLC
05-02
Amazed by wisdom of Buffett in investment but figured out how difficult it is to follow through his first rule.
avatarAqa
05-02
I have learned from Warren Buffett to invest only in what I understand, maintaining a long-term perspective, avoid debt, focus on quality and understanding the value of a business before investing. Always stay informed and maintain a competitive edge. Above all, buy Berkshire Hathaway stock. It has grown 22% in value over the past year! Thanks @Tiger_SG @icycrystal
@GoodLife99 @LMSunshine @koolgal @Shyon @Aqa @Universe宇宙 @rL @HelenJanet @SPACE ROCKET @TigerGPT People often misjudge probabilities in daily life, largely because we rely too heavily on intuition. In the stock market, such misjudgments ar
avatarMHh
05-02
This is indeed counterintuitive. Most of us would have dismissed it as close to zero chance. i am definitely looking forward to more examples to challenge my assumptions. I think the best lesson that buffet has taught us is not to lose money and the second rule is to always remember the first rule to not lose money. Definitely easier said than done! @HelenJanet @Wayneqq @LuckyPiggie @DiAngel @Universe宇宙 @rL @S
avatarWanEH
05-02
a stock that already drop 30% start to recover back to 15%. u think the condition is good and under improvement, the next few days the stock drop and break below the previous support and go to -50%.
if so easy, everyone is rich like him by now .. don't be naive.
Cheese burger and a coke?
avatarShyon
05-02
The Birthday Paradox has always intrigued me—especially how Warren Buffett used it to win a bet. At first, it seems unlikely that in a group of 25 people, two would share a birthday, but the math shows a 57% chance. It’s a great example of how our intuition often fails when dealing with probability. This kind of thinking error appears often in the stock market. Many believe a stock that has dropped 50% is unlikely to fall further, but if fundamentals worsen, another 20% drop is very possible. Markets respond to present conditions, not past price movements—just like a coin toss has no memory. One of the best lessons I’ve learned from Buffett is the power of independent thinking and patience. Like waiting for the right pitch in baseball, good investing means staying calm and avoiding emotio

Think Like Buffett: What Counterintuitive Truths Have You Overlooked?

At a party with 25 people, what is the probability that at least two of them share the same birthday?This is a classic probability puzzle known as the "Birthday Paradox". Warren Buffett once used this paradox to make a bet.At a gathering of Benjamin Graham followers, Buffett claimed that in a group of 25 attendees, at least two would share the same birthday. It turned out Buffett was right.“The simple (but surprising) explanation is that the probability of this happening is around 60%.”Probability sometimes is unintuitiveIn fact, a more accurate estimate of the probability is about 57%. That figure is still surprisingly high—so how is it calculated?Assume there are 25 people, and each birthday is uniformly distributed across 365 days in a year. Let's first calculate the easier scenario: th
Think Like Buffett: What Counterintuitive Truths Have You Overlooked?
avatar1PC
05-01
I would prefer Buffett lunch (As millions share for this luncheon is also for charity). Plus, I think 🤔 he is still wiser than Trump [Chuckle].
I would go for Buffett lunch. Cos I respect him and would like to meet him in person. Thanks Warren Buffett for his insight
avatarMHh
05-01
I would choose dinner with trump. Spending money with buffet has no additional value except the honour of eating with someone who has high yields from his investments. Dinning with trump has the honour of dining with the US president who is otherwise commonly known as the most powerful man on earth. On top of that, he might share valuable insider news that could help me make money. This is based on a big assumption that he keeps his word. He is known to be flippant and could change his mind quickly. I can only hope he will honour his words for that short moment for me to make a quick profit. If he doesn’t appear, getting a trump NFT might be a sufficient enough investment [Happy] @Success88
avatarSam1702
05-01
Buffet for buffet dinner
avatarJinHan
05-01

Power Dinners: Trump's Steak or Buffett's Wisdom – The Ultimate Investor's Dilemma

Imagine this: You have one golden ticket to dine with either Donald Trump or Warren Buffett. No media, no handlers – just you, your burning investment questions, and a legendary figure who's shaped modern finance. Who would you choose? This isn't just about food preferences – it's about fundamentally different approaches to wealth creation that could reshape your portfolio strategy. The Trump Experience: Deal-Making Over Dessert A dinner with the 45th President would be anything but ordinary. Here's what you'd likely take away: 1. The Art of the Deal (and the Rebrand) Trump's business empire thrived on licensing and branding (Trump Tower, hotels, golf courses) Key lesson: Creating perceived value can be as important as intrinsic value Modern parallel: Meme stocks and celebrity crypto endor
Power Dinners: Trump's Steak or Buffett's Wisdom – The Ultimate Investor's Dilemma
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