Netflix May Lose $90? Short NFLX & Long WBD?

Netflix lost near 15% in two weeks. While institutions upgrades Warner's price target. As the deal continues to develop, should we be bullish on WBD, bearish on NFLX, or look for an arbitrage opportunity?

avatarnomadic_m
12-14 07:20
$NFLX 20251212 96.0 PUT$ this put got assigned at $96. but will hold & sell covered call to earn premium income. no biggie
avatarzhingle
12-12 23:08
⚠️ Netflix May Lose Another $90? Short NFLX & Long WBD? Netflix has dropped nearly 15% in just two weeks, wiping out billions in market cap — while institutions are quietly turning bullish on Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) and raising price targets. 📉📈 So what’s actually happening beneath the surface? And is there a real arbitrage opportunity between these two streaming giants? Let’s break it down. 👇 ⸻ 🎬 1. Netflix: Great Business, Tough Setup — Why the Selloff Accelerated Netflix’s fundamentals remain solid — but the stock entered overpriced territory, trading at a premium multiple even as subscriber momentum slowed. The recent drop is driven by: • 📉 Slowing subscriber net adds • 💸 Growing content costs (AI-driven VFX, rising talent expenses) • 📺 Re-acceleration of competition from Disn
Someone educate me. I saw in news that Netflix bought Warner for few billions the reporting was shadowing it's a done thing. So how does this Paramount thingy happen. Did Netflix not buy Warner, and Paramount offer is higher means it is still undecided? 
avatarRagz
12-11
Interesting fight for WBD by both NFLX and PSKY, especially with its political overtones. This issue will drag on for a long way into 2026, so get the popcorn ready! @KSR  @J1000  @JoeSu  @Luciferpsycho  @teechunhui  @TMC  @Kcyap  @ST Joyful  @BeatriceChau  
I think previous precedent exists to suggest this is worth watching, I predict a rise in Netflix purely on the speculation that once trumps bluster is debunked market confidence will increase in typical bullish intuition.
WBD trades more like a deal-option now. The offer price caps upside, yet hostile bids keep a risk premium alive. If a higher offer appears, the stock can reprice quickly, but any regulatory setback may drag it back to pre-rumour levels. Between strategies, a call spread fits better. It keeps risk defined while giving exposure to a possible bid increase. An iron condor is harder to justify because takeover news can break any range overnight. For Netflix, the dip is tempting only if one believes the antitrust noise will fade. Fundamentals are solid, but political scrutiny can weigh on sentiment. A staggered entry or patience may offer safer risk-reward than buying immediately.
avatarECLC
12-10
Too risky to trade now
$Warner Bros. Discovery(WBD)$   Paramount Escalates Battle for WBD With Hostile $30 Cash Offer Paramount intensified its bid to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery, launching a hostile all-cash tender offer at $30 per share above Netflix’s previously accepted $27.75 cash-and-stock deal. Backed by $41 billion in equity financing and $54 billion in debt commitments, the offer sets up a high-stakes contest that could prompt a counter-move from Netflix. WBD’s board reaffirmed support for its agreement with Netflix but will review Paramount’s proposal, which some analysts say could gain shareholder traction. A prolonged fight may lead to legal challenges, while questions around regulatory approval and deal synergies add f
avatarJC888
12-10

WBD bid war begins : NFLX vs PSKY vs Trump (?)

I have a post on $Netflix(NFLX)$ after it was announced that they have won the bid to buy Warner Bros. Click here ! for the details and help to Repost so more people will know ok, tks! It was supposed to have been out on Mon, 08 Dec 2025 but review team was allegedly so busy, they did not do their job, it until Tuesday. Much have taken place since composing original post on Sunday. For a start, NFLX stock price continued to pullback as investors weren’t keen with the company buying Warner Bros; despite the extensive catalog of intellectual property (IPs) owned by the media giant. On Mon, 08 Dec 2025, NFLX fell (again) by -3.44% to close at $96.79 per share. (see below) In fac
WBD bid war begins : NFLX vs PSKY vs Trump (?)
Great buyout
avatarDeonc
12-09

Netflix Needs Some Time

Netflix Need A Few More Episodes Before The Plot Turns Bullish by Shivank Goswami Benzinga Contributor Follow Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX)  has been at the center of market attention ever since it announced plans to acquire Warner Bros for $72 billion in equity value. What followed has been no less than a roller coaster move: first, reports of possible Justice Department intervention, and now Paramount's counteroffer of $108 billion, which has introduced a new layer of uncertainty into the deal. With all this unfolding, let's examine how Netflix is positioned under the Adhishthana principles and what the framework suggests for the stock going forward. Analysing Netflix Stock's Weekly Charts On the weekly timeframe, Netflix is currently in Phase 15, which places it in the middle of its Guna T
Netflix Needs Some Time
$Warner Bros. Discovery(WBD)$   Paramount Escalates Battle for WBD With Hostile $30 Cash Offer Paramount intensified its bid to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery, launching a hostile all-cash tender offer at $30 per share above Netflix’s previously accepted $27.75 cash-and-stock deal. Backed by $41 billion in equity financing and $54 billion in debt commitments, the offer sets up a high-stakes contest that could prompt a counter-move from Netflix. WBD’s board reaffirmed support for its agreement with Netflix but will review Paramount’s proposal, which some analysts say could gain shareholder traction. A prolonged fight may lead to legal challenges, while questions around regulatory approval and deal synergies add f
I am new user if 6 months , deleted another Mxxmxx cause here easier and winning more. Dunno why just like it
avatarShyon
12-09
From my view, the $Paramount(PGRE)$ $Netflix(NFLX)$ battle for $Warner Bros. Discovery(WBD)$ is now driven as much by politics as valuation. Paramount’s USD 30 all-cash bid values the full WBD empire higher, while Netflix’s mixed cash-stock offer faces more regulatory pushback. With WBD trading above USD 27.75, the market is clearly expecting either a higher bid or a longer fight. For trading, Netflix feels like an event-driven name now. With slowing growth and a huge acquisition uncertaint
win
Disclaimer: Not a serious follower or ran of either counter.  I think, this suggests a potential bullish outlook for WBD due to competing takeover bids, a bearish to neutral stance on NFLX due to acquisition risks and short-term financial strain, and a ratger limited, risky arbitrage opportunity that is primarily a bet on the deal's completion and regulatory approval. High stakes gamble IMHO.
I would wait until NFLX stock gets beaten down until 70 bucks, then buy it. Paramount coming in for hostile takeover of Warner creates trouble for NFLX. just take out your popcorn 🍿 and watch netflix to see who wins!

WBD Deal Got Bigger! Why Netflix Bets on It? Which Stock Would You Trade?

$Paramount Skydance Corp(PSKY)$ launched an all-cash tender offer for $Warner Bros. Discovery(WBD)$ on Monday, proposing to buy all outstanding shares of WBD at USD 30 per share — disrupting the acquisition deal $Netflix(NFLX)$ announced last week.Last Friday, Netflix and WBD announced a binding agreement under which Netflix would acquire WBD’s studio business and HBO Max for USD 72 billion (enterprise value USD 82.7 billion).1. USD 30 vs. USD 27.75 — what’s the difference?Paramount’s proposal is to acquire the entire WBD, including all TV networks such as CNN, TBS, TNT, and others.Its all-cash offer gives WBD an enterprise value of USD 108.4 billion (including
WBD Deal Got Bigger! Why Netflix Bets on It? Which Stock Would You Trade?
$Warner Bros. Discovery(WBD)$   Key Points Of Global Stock Market News Paramount-WBD Battle: Paramount launched a hostile $30-per-share all-cash tender offer for Warner Bros. Discovery, challenging Netflix’s accepted bid and setting up a high-stakes fight that could prompt counteroffers and legal battles as shareholders weigh value, control, and regulatory risk. U.S.-China Chip Shift: President Trump approved Nvidia’s H200 AI chip sales to “approved” Chinese customers in exchange for a 25% revenue share with the U.S. government, marking a significant shift in tech-trade policy and lifting semiconductor sentiment despite lingering geopolitical tensions. Middle East AI Momentum:
avatarTAYACH
12-09
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$  ej@StableMaster gggdffgyt5ryyyhyyhhhg   x j h