The S&P 500 has recently broken the 6,000-point barrier, sparking debate among investors about whether the index can continue its ascent to levels projected by major institutions. Morgan Stanley’s base-case target of 6,350 points by the end of 2025, and their bullish scenario target of 7,400, paints a picture of sustained optimism for U.S. equities. However, with valuations soaring and the risk premium narrowing, many are asking: Is it still safe to invest in U.S. stocks at these elevated levels? Let’s dive into the dynamics shaping the market outlook and discuss how I would approach positioning in this environment. The Case for Optimism Easing Monetary Policy: Recent rate cuts by the Federal Reserve have breathed new life into equity markets. Lower interest rates reduce the discount r

Here comes WassUp, aka TINA - Tiger Introducing New Alpha, our tips for investing.Bet on memes? Mind your steps. This security strategy gets your back.Stay tuned and supercharge purchasing power with CashBoost!Market recapStocks rose at the end of their best week in 2024 amid solid consumer sentiment data and bets that Donald Trump’s promises of tax cuts will further benefit corporations. However, After the rate cut last Friday, market is reckoning that the likelihood of further reductions has diminished, and the extent of any future cuts may fall short of expectations. Following the election, Trump trade has made a comeback, prompting a risk-on sentiment in the market. However, if the market starts to factor in policy uncertainties and the Fed's potential adjustments to its rate-cutting s

By US Tiger Research$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ U.S. stocks, $Gold - main 2412(GCmain)$ , and $Bitcoin(BTC.USD.CC)$ all surged before pulling back, while the U.S. Treasury yield curve continues to normalize.On Wednesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics released the October CPI data, and as shown below, both headline and core CPI met expectations. The impact of a high base effect has mostly faded, meaning the toughest part of fighting inflation may be here. However, we remain optimistic that the downward trend in inflation will continue in the short term. More sensitive indicators like the New Tenant Rent Index (NTRI, which leads CPI by about two quarters) and A

$Sea Ltd(SE)$ released its Q2 2024 earnings before the bell on November 12, 2024 and jumped 10% on the dayOverall it was an excellent quarter of performance, with financial and operational metrics above expectations across the board, especially in the e-commerce and financial businesses.Shopee is at a critical point in its turnaround, Seamoney is making rapid progress in its BNPL business, and Garena's gaming business, while still going through a cycle, has been anticipated by the market for some time.Based on the current trend of margins (5% operating profit), the company is expected to achieve to reach a stable level of profitability sooner than expected, and with the PE expected to be under 30x in 2026, it has to be said that investor optimism is

On November 14, $Walt Disney(DIS)$ reported its fiscal 2024 fourth quarter financial results, which exceeded market expectations overall and is gradually regaining growth momentum after a challenging period.Financial performance vs. expectationsSpecific financials are as follows:Total revenue: $22.57 billion, up 6% year-over-year, beating estimates of $22.35 billion;Adjusted EPS: $1.14, beating estimates of $1.10;Streaming business: revenue up 15 percent to $5.78 billion, operating profit of $321 millionMotion Picture: Earnings of $316 million, a turnaround from a year ago.Guidance: Adjusted EPS is expected to grow in the "high single digits" in 2025, beating market expectations of 4%, and earnings growth should reach double digits in 2026 and cont

Introduction: The Fed’s December Decision   U.S. stocks took a hit last Thursday following Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s remarks that there is no immediate need for rate cuts. This statement suggests that a rate cut in December, which many investors had hoped for, is unlikely. In the same breath, Powell's comments reinforced a cautious outlook for the economy, with the market bracing for potential volatility. What’s the Impact of No Rate Cut? Investors  had been anticipating a rate cut as a cushion against economic slowdowns. The idea of lowering interest rates is often seen as a method to stimulate the economy by making borrowing cheaper. With Powell signaling that there’s no rush to cut rates, market sentiment shifted, and stocks fell in response. Bu

My Investing Muse (11Nov24) Layoffs & Closure news Stellantis to lay off 400 workers at Detroit parts facility - Reuters Boeing to repay furloughed staff, proceed with job cuts - Reuters THE head of HSBC Holdings’s new global wholesale banking division said the lender will seek to wrap up an ongoing restructuring “very quickly” and could announce the first round of job cuts within weeks. - Business Times Sharan Hegde, the influential financial content creator with over 2.7 million Instagram followers, has announced the layoff of 15 per cent of his workforce. - LiveMint KPMG to Lay Off 4% of U.S. Audit Workforce to Counter Fewer Voluntary Exits - WSJ $5B petrochemical complex ceases operation in southern Vietnam - VN Express SPH Media cuts 10% of tech employees in restructuring move in

The Market’s Reaction and Performance Index Following Donald Trump’s re-election, U.S. markets experienced a substantial rally as major indices climbed to unprecedented highs. The $.SPX(.SPX)$ ended the week up 4.7%, the $.DJI(.DJI)$ rose 4.6%, and the $.IXIC(.IXIC)$ ncreased 5.7%… $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ … , making it the best week of 2023 for all three indices. This surge reflects optimism surrounding Trump’s anticipated pro-business policies, which include tax cuts and reduced regulation that could drive corporate growth. The clarity provided by a decisive e

$Destiny Tech100 Inc(DXYZ)$ rose 223.5% last week and rose another 17.21% on Monday.The rise of DXYZ is mainly attributed to the continued benefit of SPACE X & OPEN AI, the fund's main holdings, after Trump was elected the 47th President of the United States.The reason is that people expect Elon Musk, as Trump's biggest supporter, and his startup SPACE X may receive more orders in the future.1. Many tiger friends may not know much about $Destiny Tech100 Inc(DXYZ)$ Destiny Tech100, stock code DXYZ, which was listed in March 2024, is somewhat different from ordinary US stock companies and ETFs. DXYZ is neither an ordinary enterprise nor an ETF, but a closed-end fund management company registered under t

$Cisco(CSCO)$ reported FY25 Q1 results after the U.S. stock market closed on Nov. 13, and while overall revenue was down year-over-year, it was still better than the market's expectations, driven primarily by AI demand.However, optimism about order growth was less than market expectations, so the company's 2025 guidance was revised up in time, still slightly below market expectations.CSCO was down 3% at one point after hours.Earnings Overview.Revenue of $13.84 billion in Q1 of FY25 ended October 26 was down about 6% year-over-year, slightly above market expectations of $13.77 billion, but an improvement from the 10% decline in the previous quarter.Excluding Splunk orders, product orders grew only 9% year-over-year.Earnings per share (EPS) came in

The Federal Reserve’s potential 25-basis-point rate cut has markets buzzing, and three pressing questions arise: Is it a good time to buy the dip in U.S. Treasuries? Will the Fed's rate cut push the S&P 500 higher? And is there reason to be bullish on a year-end rally? Is It a Good Time to Buy U.S. Treasuries? The Fed’s policy shift might signal that inflation concerns are easing, potentially creating value in long-term U.S. Treasuries. With yields having risen sharply over recent months, buying on the dip could be appealing for investors expecting stabilization or even a reversal in bond yields. Rate cuts traditionally boost bond prices, and if the economy cools in line with Fed expectations, Treasuries could offer strong returns. However, with ongoing inflationary pressures, investor

The milestone has arrived: the S&P 500 has breached the 6000 level, reaching 6012 following a closely watched Federal Reserve move. Thursday’s 0.25 percentage point rate cut has captured the market’s attention, marking the second cut this season after September’s 0.5-point reduction. As investors and analysts assess the latest developments, questions are emerging about the possibility of a year-end rally and, more importantly, how long it may last. Let's dive deeper into the factors contributing to this rally, evaluate potential scenarios, and discuss positioning strategies for navigating the remainder of the year. What’s Driving This Surge? The current rally is the product of several contributing factors, with monetary policy taking centre stage. The Fed’s back-to-back rate cuts repre

Let’s discuss the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, its implications for the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting in December, and what I believe this could mean for our trading strategies and portfolios. As of October, the U.S. CPI data showed an increase to 2.6% year-over-year from the previous 2.4%, suggesting an uptick in inflationary pressures. Notably, the core CPI—which excludes volatile food and energy prices—remained steady at 3.3%. Given these developments, interest rate traders have revised their expectations for the December 18 Fed meeting, raising the likelihood of a 25 basis point (bps) rate cut to 80%, a marked shift from 58% earlier in the week. So, is another 25 bps cut on the horizon? And what might this mean for traders and investors as we close out the year? The Fed’s

Trump must focus on a few key issues moving forward. First, although global assets are hitting new highs, domestic purchasing power has not kept pace.  This article is written by Shernice, if you like my article please hit the like button.  The challenge lies in how to expand purchasing power while simultaneously controlling inflation. Trump's approach centers on significantly boosting American wages, which he believes can be achieved by removing illegal immigrants. Currently, there are nearly 11 million undocumented immigrants in the U.S. If they were all removed, a severe labour shortage in service sectors would likely trigger wage increases. However, concerns may arise that wage hikes could fuel inflation. Yet, as previously discussed with investment products, the real inflati

Overall Market Overview In October 2024, the U.S. annual inflation rate saw a slight uptick, rising to 2.6% from 2.4% in September, marking the first increase after seven months of either steady or declining inflation rates. Despite this, the core CPI, which excludes food and energy, remained steady at 3.3%, indicating that underlying inflation pressures remain consistent. The market largely anticipated this uptick, and the overall market response may indicate a cautious optimism heading into the final quarter of 2024. The effects on different asset classes, particularly stocks and bonds, should be considered by investors looking to benefit from this development. Inflation Impact on S&P 500 The rise in inflation may influence the broader equity markets, particularly the S&P 500

In October 2024, the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 2.6% year-over-year, up slightly from September’s rate of 2.4%. This uptick reflects rising inflation, marking the first increase since early 2024, largely due to shelter costs, which rose by 4.9% and contributed significantly to the monthly CPI. Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, held steady at 3.3% annually. Monthly inflation rose by 0.2%, in line with recent trends. Food prices saw a 2.1% increase year-over-year, with food away from home climbing 3.8%. Energy prices, however, declined by 4.9% year-over-year, largely due to drops in fuel oil and gasoline prices, which fell by 20.8% and 12.2%, respectively. This deceleration in energy costs helped moderate the overall inflation rate despite the rising shel