Vote Now: Will TSLA Pop or Drop After Earnings?
Click to vote! Guess how $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ will close on Thursday, July 24, after it reports Q2 2025 earnings. If you're right, you'll split 500 Tiger Coins with other Tigers!
Tesla will release its Q2 earnings after market close on Wednesday, July 23 (ET). The stock has been on a strong rally, fueled by optimism around autonomy, energy storage, and Musk’s renewed focus. But with political controversies, regulatory heat, and softening EV demand, can this momentum hold?
💼 Here’s what Wall Street is expecting:
Revenue is forecast to reach $22.869 billion, with adjusted net income of $1.549 billion and adjusted EPS of $0.435. Despite year-over-year declines, Tesla bulls are betting on upside surprises from Robotaxi and the energy business.
Analyst opinions are sharply divided. UBS says Tesla stock is still overvalued, citing distracted leadership and deteriorating fundamentals. But ARK’s Cathie Wood remains confident, noting that Musk is now personally running sales in both the U.S. and Europe — and when he’s focused, “he usually gets the job done.” Tesla Q2 Preview: Robotaxi Updates Crucial For Tesla's Future
Will Tesla’s Q2 earnings push the stock even higher — or is the good news already priced in?
Tesla's earnings call will be held on 24July 2025 at approximately at 05:30 SGT. To set a reminder, please click here
💰 Event Rules
Click to vote. Guess where $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ will move following their earnings? If you get the correct answer, you may divide 500 Tiger Coins with other Tigers.
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⏰ Event Duration
From July 22 to July 24at 04:00 SGT
Will TSLA Pop or Drop After Earnings?(Single choice)Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ I'm voting yes, it will pop after earnings. Because even if the quarterly numbers are soft, the underlying story is accelerating. Tesla is no longer just about vehicles; it’s executing across autonomy, robotics, energy, and AI infrastructure in parallel. Robotaxis are already being validated in Texas, and the Model Y L in China is testing autonomy-ready hardware. This is not theoretical, Tesla is operationalising the future of mobility. Optimus is now in public demonstrations, not concept drawings. It’s being introduced deliberately to condition mainstream adoption, and behind it is Dojo, Tesla’s vertically integrated AI training engine enabling real-time autonomy, inference, and scalability. Services revenue is expanding, reflecting a clear shift toward recurring margin from software and ecosystem integration. Tesla Energy continues to grow globally despite macro and tariff pressures, with long-term infrastructure bets in storage, load balancing, and grid intelligence. The company continues to attract top engineering talent in AI, robotics, and energy systems. Even with leadership changes, Tesla remains focused, fast, and mission-driven. Unlike competitors retreating or delaying plans, Tesla is still building, deploying, and iterating in public view. The roadmap is active, execution is visible, and conviction is rising. That’s why I’m voting yes. Because what Tesla is building across autonomy, energy, and AI is gaining altitude, and markets eventually move to reflect momentum that can’t be ignored.
📈🚗⚡ Tesla’s Fibonacci Reversal May Be the Market’s Hidden Code ⚡🚗📈
I’m extremely confident that what we’re seeing right now in Tesla isn’t just another technical rebound. It’s a rare Fibonacci convergence that, when combined with improving fundamentals and Q3-forward demand catalysts, could trigger a powerful multi-leg rally. Most traders are watching the headlines. I’m watching the structure.
The weekly chart is flashing a textbook ascending triangle just under the critical $345–350 breakout zone. Price is compressing into a multi-quarter coil, and the lower bound has been defended multiple times since April. We’ve now got overlapping bullish triggers across timeframes: a weekly triangle, a 4H trend continuation on the back of bullish earnings expectations, and a fresh higher low on the intraday algo-tracking chart at $317.17. That’s not just coincidence. That’s institutional choreography.
I’m unequivocally optimistic about the roadmap from here. On the 5-minute chart, we saw a clean reaction from the $312.76 zone last week, followed by a second confirmation buy off a higher low. That bounce aligns precisely with 0.618 Fib extension levels and completes a harmonic leg into $338.03, which has already seen rejection. The next retest is the make-or-break moment for bulls.
Zooming out, the weekly chart shows a structural triangle breakout underway, targeting $410 and $480 on multi-month timeframes. That implies a 20–40% upside if momentum sustains and the broader tech tape supports the move. These levels also correspond with high-volume nodes and previous liquidity vacuum zones from late 2021 and early 2022.
Now overlay the macro. Tesla’s Q2 earnings on 24Jul25 are expected to confirm 384,000 deliveries, a 14% quarter-over-quarter surge that blew past consensus expectations. Nearly half of those came in June alone, driven by an aggressive push ahead of the September 30 tax credit phaseout in the US. This isn’t just an earnings beat setup; it’s a demand pull-forward mechanism. I’m fully convinced Q3 will reflect that urgency as customers rush to lock in the rebate.
But I’m also aware of the potential catch. Borrowed demand in Q3 could soften Q4 unless the new low-cost vehicle launches on time. That’s the wildcard. If it does, and if Robotaxi fleet expansion begins hitting scale (target: 1,000+ vehicles by early 2026), we’ll be looking at an entirely new TAM narrative for Tesla. In that case, $480 may no longer be a stretch; it may be the new floor.
On the options front, the smart money is already moving. Premium flow shows heavy action in $TSLA 370C 25Jul25 contracts with a 91% historical win rate. Simultaneously, $295P is seeing defensive writing, suggesting firm conviction in the $310–$320 demand base. There’s no heavy bearish flow, and that aligns with a base-case scenario where Tesla gaps up on earnings, then possibly fades if guidance doesn’t blow the doors off.
For holders, I’d seriously consider generating yield by selling OTM calls at $370. For those looking to enter, put selling at $295 makes tactical sense, especially in a post-earnings vol crush.
Valuation-wise, Tesla’s current EV/EBITDA multiple sits in the mid-30s, which is elevated but arguably justified given its expanding verticals: energy storage, Dojo inference, Robotaxi fleet monetisation, and full-stack AI. The market still values it like an auto company, but Tesla’s execution cadence is pivoting toward services and software. That’s the asymmetry.
From a thematic angle, Tesla remains deeply embedded in AI and EV ETFs including $QQQ, $SMH, and $ARKK. As macro sentiment rotates toward high-beta tech and inflation cools, these funds could increase their Tesla weighting further—especially as Robotaxi monetisation begins generating real-world proof points.
I’m watching the $330–$338 range very closely and with great interest. A strong close above $338 with volume would confirm a breakout and initiate a long trade setup toward $350, then $410. If earnings underwhelm, I’ll reassess post-gap. But for now, the risk-reward favours the bulls.
This isn’t just a bounce; it’s the potential ignition of a multi-quarter trend shift. One that begins with technical compression, accelerates with AI-driven optionality, and solidifies with vehicle autonomy at scale. I'm really exciting for the earnings conference call and have a Tiger reminder set to watch the live broadcast and a chance to WIN stock vouchers! Are you joing me and are you voting yes like myself? @icycrystal @1PC
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- *Overvaluation*: $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ high P/E and P/S ratios indicate overvaluation, combined with slowing growth.
- *Declining Profit Margins*: Tesla's profit margin lags behind competitors, and rising costs are eating into margins.
- *Slowing Demand*: Electric vehicle sales are slowing down, particularly in key markets like China.
- *Technical Indicators*: Tesla's stock has formed a "death cross," and the RSI suggests a potential pullback.
*Long-Term Outlook:*
- *Strong Balance Sheet*: Tesla has a low debt-to-equity ratio, providing flexibility for growth investments
- *Growth Potential*: Investments in AI infrastructure, robotics, and battery technology could drive long-term growth
- *Innovation*: Advancements in FSD technology and potential breakthroughs in autonomous driving could enhance stock valuation
- *New Product Launches*: Plans to launch an affordable EV under $30,000 in mid-2025 could drive mass adoption and boost sales
I expect Tesla's shares to pop as it normally does when Elon Musk weaves his magic. I believe it would rise to USD 345.
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