To The Moon

intel

🌟🌟🌟In a standard mature industry, pricing power is king.  But AI is not a mature industry.  It is a brutal, historic land grab for compute. Startups, tech giants don't have the luxury of browsing for the most elegantly priced GPU cluster.  They need massive raw scale data today to train their next generation models before they become obsolete. $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ aggressive multi billion dollar infrastructure expansion is backed by massive credit facilities & direct preferential access to Nvidia's rarest silicon.  This means Coreweave is building the actual highway system for the future of AI. While Nebius carefully optimises its mar

🌟🌟🌟Chasing $Intel(INTC)$ recent breakout this week is rather premature & a high risk gamble.  The story driving the market is just a rumour at this stage.  On paper, it is a marriage of convenience where $SK hynix(SKHY)$ leases Intel's empty factory space or signs a joint venture to build AI memory on US soil.  However Hynix said nothing has been finalised.  Even worse the South Korean trade ministry has thrown a wet blanket over the excitement, warning that because modern memory architectures are treated as national core technology, any final cross border deal will face a rigid, gruelling government security review. If the South Korean government stalls the deal, or lease negot

🌟When $Micron Technology(MU)$ jumps 5.5% on Thursday & another 3.9% on Friday, is it time to get on the bus before its September 30 earnings showdown? The Bull Case for Micron:  AI data centre demand triggers a blowout beat & raise cycle that justifies the premium.  Best suited for high conviction investors with long term horizon. The Cautious Investor: Taking early profits locks in a guaranteed win ahead of a volatile event.  Good for risked managed tactical investor protective of their current capital. The narrative is intoxicating.  AI models don't just need fast processors.  They require lots of high speed memory & storage to think.  Every server rack being built globally needs memory hardware. But his

🌟🌟🌟On Thursday, $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ pulled off a classic automotive magic trick- rising 2.27% just as it revealed its free cash flow has plummeted into the red by a cool USD 1.1 billion.  Under normal accounting rules, watching a billion dollars evaporate while the stock price goes up is like watching a car drive off a cliff & expecting it to fly.  Yet Wall Street remained calm. To understand why the market didn't panic, it helps to look at Tesla as not just a car company but as an AI robotics one.  USD 43.5 billion is a lot of money but the real question is how much money is its Robotaxi going to need to launch it? To make Robotaxis a reality, Elon Musk is buying tens of thousands of specialised AI chips, building massive da

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🌟🌟🌟Trading $Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares(SOXL)$ isn't like a regular investing.  Regular investing is like  taking a comfortable commuter train.  Trading SOXL is like trading with a rocket powered pogo stick on the edge of a cliff. If you chase this green candle, you are essentially leaping onto that pogo stick while it is mid air and praying the engine does not backfire. There are 2 kinds of traders: Those who see a glorious rocket ship leaving the station.  Then there are those who know that holding a daily leveraged ETF over the weekend can quickly turn into a horror movie. Which one are you?  I prefer to sleep well at night so I prefer to leave the trade to next Monday.

🌟🌟🌟The Big Friday Vibe Check: Trend Reversal or Ultimate Bull Trap?  It is amazing that Nasdaq100 & S&P500 have staged a spectacular comeback despite the Fed being hawkish and raised interest rate by 25bp yesterday. The Bullish Optimist: Look at the momentum.  It is a genuine trend reversal.  If I don't commit right now, I am going to miss out. The Friday Realist: Step away from the Buy button.  It is a textbook bull trap.  The moment you roll over for the weekend, you are going to wake up on Monday to a portfolio that is in the red. My Take:  There is no shame in taking some chips off the table on a Friday to guarantee a safe weekend.  After all, a profit is a profit.  Wall Street will be there next Monday, ready to break our hearts or make

🌟Is this the rainbow after the storm or the fake spring?  All the bad news have been exhausted: the interest rate hike,  escalation of Iran War, collapse of Clarity Act. Wall Street just pulled off a classic Sell the Rumour, Buy the News stunt.  The market shot up today instead of retreating. Investors are split up into 2 camps: The Optimists: Buying growth stocks today is like stepping out of the storm shelter the minute the rain stops.  The sky is still grey but you are convinced the worst of the storm has passed. The bad news machine has run out of ammunition.  From here, the only direction is up. The Realists: Chasing this rally is like running outside during a temporary pause in a Category 5 hurricane. You think the storm is over but the back half of the hurr

🌟Is the 5% $SpaceX(SPCX)$ pop a green light to chase the momentum OR is it merely a dead cat bounce - a quick sigh of relief after a sharp drop that you should avoid chasing? Camp A: The Trend Restart Chasers (The Adrenaline Junkies) Buying SpaceX right now is like leaping onto a moving bullet train.  If the train keeps accelerating, you would look like a financial superhero.  But if the brakes suddenly slam on, you maybe going straight through the windshield. SpaceX's fundamentals have not changed.  It still has that huge USD 1.11 billion a month AI compute hosting deal.  Institutional funds are still required to buy SpaceX ahead of the massive Nasdaq 100 weighting rebalance.  To this camp, 5% jump is proof that the bot

🌟🌟🌟The S&P500 has taken another painful tumble but the real horror show is the US 10 year Treasury yield shattering through the 5% ceiling. When Uncle Sam says that he will give a guaranteed risk free 5% return just to sit on your hands, it sent a violent shudder through every speculative asset on Earth. Are risky assets about to get brutally revalued? Camp A: Stay in the market or the roller coaster devotees Staying fully loaded in growth stocks right now is like riding a roller coaster without a seatbelt on because it is exciting. Camp A believes that AI revolution will eventually power through high borrowing costs.  If you exit now, you may miss the relief rallies that  happen after the tensions ease. Camp B: Cash the check & Chomp the Yield Park the cash in

🌟🌟🌟Crypto investors just got a harsh reminder that Washington & the Fed can crash a party faster than a noise complaint.  $Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$ was hit with another brutal blow, dropping another 6.82% today to hit USD 80.23.  This follows yesterday's agonising 11.41% plunge after the US Senate blocked the CLARITY Act. Then today Kevin Warsh delivered the knockout punch by raising interest rate.  Driven by an intensifying Iran War that has sent global energy shocks ripping through the economy, the Fed is tightening liquidity to stomp out rising inflation. Wrongful Selloff or Justified Panic? Buy the Rebound Camp says that higher interest rate actually acts as superpower for Circle as USDC boasts over USD 74 billion in a

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🌟🌟🌟In a standard mature industry, pricing power is king.  But AI is not a mature industry.  It is a brutal, historic land grab for compute. Startups, tech giants don't have the luxury of browsing for the most elegantly priced GPU cluster.  They need massive raw scale data today to train their next generation models before they become obsolete. $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ aggressive multi billion dollar infrastructure expansion is backed by massive credit facilities & direct preferential access to Nvidia's rarest silicon.  This means Coreweave is building the actual highway system for the future of AI. While Nebius carefully optimises its mar

🌟🌟🌟Chasing $Intel(INTC)$ recent breakout this week is rather premature & a high risk gamble.  The story driving the market is just a rumour at this stage.  On paper, it is a marriage of convenience where $SK hynix(SKHY)$ leases Intel's empty factory space or signs a joint venture to build AI memory on US soil.  However Hynix said nothing has been finalised.  Even worse the South Korean trade ministry has thrown a wet blanket over the excitement, warning that because modern memory architectures are treated as national core technology, any final cross border deal will face a rigid, gruelling government security review. If the South Korean government stalls the deal, or lease negot

🌟When $Micron Technology(MU)$ jumps 5.5% on Thursday & another 3.9% on Friday, is it time to get on the bus before its September 30 earnings showdown? The Bull Case for Micron:  AI data centre demand triggers a blowout beat & raise cycle that justifies the premium.  Best suited for high conviction investors with long term horizon. The Cautious Investor: Taking early profits locks in a guaranteed win ahead of a volatile event.  Good for risked managed tactical investor protective of their current capital. The narrative is intoxicating.  AI models don't just need fast processors.  They require lots of high speed memory & storage to think.  Every server rack being built globally needs memory hardware. But his

intel

🌟🌟🌟On Thursday, $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ pulled off a classic automotive magic trick- rising 2.27% just as it revealed its free cash flow has plummeted into the red by a cool USD 1.1 billion.  Under normal accounting rules, watching a billion dollars evaporate while the stock price goes up is like watching a car drive off a cliff & expecting it to fly.  Yet Wall Street remained calm. To understand why the market didn't panic, it helps to look at Tesla as not just a car company but as an AI robotics one.  USD 43.5 billion is a lot of money but the real question is how much money is its Robotaxi going to need to launch it? To make Robotaxis a reality, Elon Musk is buying tens of thousands of specialised AI chips, building massive da

rocket

sp500

orcale

sandisk

nvda up

tqqq

intl

tsla

🌟🌟🌟The Big Friday Vibe Check: Trend Reversal or Ultimate Bull Trap?  It is amazing that Nasdaq100 & S&P500 have staged a spectacular comeback despite the Fed being hawkish and raised interest rate by 25bp yesterday. The Bullish Optimist: Look at the momentum.  It is a genuine trend reversal.  If I don't commit right now, I am going to miss out. The Friday Realist: Step away from the Buy button.  It is a textbook bull trap.  The moment you roll over for the weekend, you are going to wake up on Monday to a portfolio that is in the red. My Take:  There is no shame in taking some chips off the table on a Friday to guarantee a safe weekend.  After all, a profit is a profit.  Wall Street will be there next Monday, ready to break our hearts or make

🌟🌟🌟Trading $Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares(SOXL)$ isn't like a regular investing.  Regular investing is like  taking a comfortable commuter train.  Trading SOXL is like trading with a rocket powered pogo stick on the edge of a cliff. If you chase this green candle, you are essentially leaping onto that pogo stick while it is mid air and praying the engine does not backfire. There are 2 kinds of traders: Those who see a glorious rocket ship leaving the station.  Then there are those who know that holding a daily leveraged ETF over the weekend can quickly turn into a horror movie. Which one are you?  I prefer to sleep well at night so I prefer to leave the trade to next Monday.

🌟Is this the rainbow after the storm or the fake spring?  All the bad news have been exhausted: the interest rate hike,  escalation of Iran War, collapse of Clarity Act. Wall Street just pulled off a classic Sell the Rumour, Buy the News stunt.  The market shot up today instead of retreating. Investors are split up into 2 camps: The Optimists: Buying growth stocks today is like stepping out of the storm shelter the minute the rain stops.  The sky is still grey but you are convinced the worst of the storm has passed. The bad news machine has run out of ammunition.  From here, the only direction is up. The Realists: Chasing this rally is like running outside during a temporary pause in a Category 5 hurricane. You think the storm is over but the back half of the hurr

🌟Is the 5% $SpaceX(SPCX)$ pop a green light to chase the momentum OR is it merely a dead cat bounce - a quick sigh of relief after a sharp drop that you should avoid chasing? Camp A: The Trend Restart Chasers (The Adrenaline Junkies) Buying SpaceX right now is like leaping onto a moving bullet train.  If the train keeps accelerating, you would look like a financial superhero.  But if the brakes suddenly slam on, you maybe going straight through the windshield. SpaceX's fundamentals have not changed.  It still has that huge USD 1.11 billion a month AI compute hosting deal.  Institutional funds are still required to buy SpaceX ahead of the massive Nasdaq 100 weighting rebalance.  To this camp, 5% jump is proof that the bot

🌟🌟🌟The S&P500 has taken another painful tumble but the real horror show is the US 10 year Treasury yield shattering through the 5% ceiling. When Uncle Sam says that he will give a guaranteed risk free 5% return just to sit on your hands, it sent a violent shudder through every speculative asset on Earth. Are risky assets about to get brutally revalued? Camp A: Stay in the market or the roller coaster devotees Staying fully loaded in growth stocks right now is like riding a roller coaster without a seatbelt on because it is exciting. Camp A believes that AI revolution will eventually power through high borrowing costs.  If you exit now, you may miss the relief rallies that  happen after the tensions ease. Camp B: Cash the check & Chomp the Yield Park the cash in

🌟🌟🌟Crypto investors just got a harsh reminder that Washington & the Fed can crash a party faster than a noise complaint.  $Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$ was hit with another brutal blow, dropping another 6.82% today to hit USD 80.23.  This follows yesterday's agonising 11.41% plunge after the US Senate blocked the CLARITY Act. Then today Kevin Warsh delivered the knockout punch by raising interest rate.  Driven by an intensifying Iran War that has sent global energy shocks ripping through the economy, the Fed is tightening liquidity to stomp out rising inflation. Wrongful Selloff or Justified Panic? Buy the Rebound Camp says that higher interest rate actually acts as superpower for Circle as USDC boasts over USD 74 billion in a

🌟🌟 $SpaceX(SPCX)$ vs $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ : Which is a better buy?  Choosing SpaceX right now is like buying a heavily discounted ticket to Mars because the crew hit some minor turbulence.  Yes SpaceX is bleeding due to short term insider lockup expirations & over hyped IPO.  But under the hood, the fundamentals are actually accelerating. SpaceX recently signed a jaw dropping USD 1.11 billion a month AI compute hosting contract. This marks SpaceX's 4th massive AI infrastructure deal, following its contract with Anthropic at USD 1.25 billion a month & Google's USD 920 million a month. SpaceX is like the Millennium Falcon.  It may experience a temporary hyperdrive failure but