Preview of the week (09Jun2025) - Should we add Adobe to our portfolio?
Public Holidays There are no public holidays in China, Singapore, Hong Kong and America. Economic Calendar (09Jun25) Notable Highlights (some are taken from Grok) The most watched economic data should be CPI, which serves as one of the references for inflation. Inflation Trends: The CPI forecasts (previous core at 0.2% MoM, YoY at 2.3%) suggest a cooling inflation environment, especially with the YoY rate dropping from 2.6%. If actual figures align or undershoot, it could reduce pressure on the Fed to tighten policy, potentially supporting equities and bonds. Labour Market: The previous “Initial Jobless Claims” at 247K shows a stable labour market. A significant increase could signal weakening conditions, while a decrease might bolster confidence in economic resilience. Energy and Producer
Can Adobe be a good addition? Earnings calendar for the week (09Jun25)
Earnings Calendar (09Jun25) I am interested in the earnings releases of Adobe, Oracle, and GameStop. Let us look into Adobe Systems in detail. Adobe has a “Strong Buy” technical analysis recommendation. The Analyst’s sentiment is “Buy”. The price target is $488.02, which represents an upside of 17.05%. 10-year performance of Adobe: Revenue grew from $4,796M in 2015 to $21,505M in 2024, over 4x over 10 years. Growth: Revenue grew from $4,796M to $21,505M, with a 10-year CAGR of 17.9%. Growth rates varied, peaking at 24.7% in 2017 and slowing to 10.8% in 2024, showing consistent expansion. Operating Margin grew from 18.8% (2015) to 36.0% (2024). Trend: Operating margin improved significantly from 18.8% to 36.0%, with a notable rise from 25.5% in 2016 to a peak of 34.6% in 2022, reflecting en
Market outlook for S&P500 (09Jun25) - using candlesticks and technical indicators
Market Outlook of S&P500 - 09Jun25 Technical observations: MACD - a top crossover is completed, and this suggests a downtrend is coming. Ranging sideways can be a possible scenario, too. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are showing an uptrend. However, the 3 lines are converging, and a trend reversal is expected. Both the 50 MA line and the 200 MA line are showing an uptrend. This speaks of a bullish outlook for both the short and long term. The CMF is positive at 0.25, indicating strong buying pressure over the past 20 periods. The daily interval is showing a “Strong Buy" for the S&P 500 index. 21 indicators are showing a “Buy” rating, and no indicator shows a “Sell” rating. Short-Term Outlook: The emerging Morning Doji Star and Morning Star patterns, combined with the pric
Nvidia Losing Steam? Time to Exit or Wait at $140?
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Nvidia’s back on top, reclaiming its crown as the world’s most valuable company with a jaw-dropping $3.45 trillion market cap, edging out Microsoft. But just as the chip titan hit this milestone, director Mark Stevens cashed out big—dumping over 1 million shares across two transactions on Monday and Tuesday, raking in nearly $150 million, per an SEC filing on Wednesday. With the stock idling at $140, the buzz is electric: Is Nvidia running out of gas, or is this just a speed bump on its way to new highs? Can it shrug off insider sell-offs and charge to $150—or beyond? Let’s dive into the sell-off, the growth engine, and what’s next. Stevens’ Sell-Off: Storm Warning or Cash Grab? A million-share dump sounds ominous, but context is ev
Lululemon’s Stock Tumble: Buy the Dip, the Products, or Both?
$Lululemon Athletica(LULU)$ Lululemon’s shares just took a nosedive, plummeting 23% after the company slashed its full-year earnings guidance, pointing to a “dynamic macroenvironment.” The apparel sector’s in a rough patch—GAP’s stock tanked 20% in a single day post-earnings, Skechers announced plans to delist, and Trump’s new tariff policies are threatening budget footwear brands with an “existential crisis.” With Lululemon’s stock at a precarious $277, is this a golden opportunity to buy the dip, invest in their premium yoga gear, or both? Let’s unpack the “Product+Stock” strategy and see what’s worth your money. The Apparel Sector’s Tariff Nightmare Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs are shaking up the apparel industry. A baseline 10% tariff on a
Weekly Buybacks: Bonvests, PropNex, CSLC, Wing Tai & DCRU Professional directors raise stake
The five trading sessions spanning May 30 through to June 6 saw more than 80 director interests and substantial shareholdings filed for more than 40 primary-listed stocks. Directors or CEOs again filed 13 acquisitions, and no disposals, while substantial shareholders filed 11 acquisitions and five disposals. 1. $Q&M Dental(QC7.SI)$ Between May 30 and June 3, Q & M Dental Group (Singapore) non-independent executive director and group chief executive officer Ng Chin Siau increased his total interest from 53.92% to 54.23%. The 2,812,300 shares were acquired by Quan Min Holdings Pte Ltd at an average price of S$0.355 apiece. Since the end of April, Dr Ng has increased his total interest from 53.02%. 2.
Record Revenue, Slowing AI: Still Worth Chasing AVGO After Earnings?
Broadcom (AVGO) reported strong results for its second fiscal quarter, setting a new record for revenue and exceeding earnings expectations. EPS rose over 40%, reflecting continued operational strength. AI-related revenue grew by 46%, which remains solid but marks a notable deceleration from the previous quarter’s 77% increase. Looking ahead, Broadcom expects AI chip revenue to rise again in Q3—to $5.1 billion—which would mark the 10th consecutive quarter of AI chip revenue growth. However, this projection came in about 3.7% below the more optimistic analyst estimates, contributing to a dip in investor sentiment. The stock closed at $246.93 last week, down 5% on the day. Why I’m Staying on the Sidelines Broadcom is a fundamentally sound company, but despite the impressive numbers, I’m not
Quick Action vs. Patience: Mastering the Stock Market Mind Game
The stock market is a battlefield where timing can make or break your portfolio. You’ve likely been there: eyeing a stock, hesitating, and watching it rocket up, only to kick yourself for not jumping in. Days later, it crashes, and you’re secretly relieved you stayed put. This emotional rollercoaster—regret, relief, repeat—feels like you’re trading even when you’re not. So, is being quick to act a strength that racks up profits, or a risk that burns your capital? Does decisiveness drive better returns, or is calculated patience the real key to success? Let’s dive deep into the psychology, strategies, and data to settle the score. The Thrill of the Quick Draw Acting fast in the stock market can feel like wielding a superpower. When a stock’s breaking out—like Palantir’s 330% surge in 2024—t
Option Movers | Nvidia-Back Applied Digital Sees 77% Call Options; Tesla Sees 53% Put Options
Market OverviewU.S. stocks closed higher on Friday (June 6) after a better-than-expected jobs report calmed worries about the economy, while Tesla bounced, clawing back some losses from a sharp plunge the previous session. The S&P 500 closed above 6,000 for the first time since Feb. 21, fueled by gains in technology shares.Regarding the options market, a total volume of 54,481,539 contracts was traded, down 5% from the previous trading day.Top 10 Option VolumesTop 10: $TSLA(TSLA)$, $NVDA(NVDA)$, $AAPL(AAPL)$, $PLTR(PLTR)$, $HOOD(HOOD)$,
Dividends in Distress: Why Boring Beats Brilliant When Markets Panic
Income ETFs like NOBL and SCHD aren’t flashy—but they quietly trounce growth plays when the going gets tough While everyone’s busy chasing the next AI moonshot or metaverse unicorn, I’ve been quietly sipping my tea and studying the numbers—and frankly, it’s time we all had a little chat about dividends. Yes, the unglamorous, slow-and-steady world of income-focused ETFs is where the real grown-up money is hiding during market storms. After analysing years of performance data across various economic tempests, I’ve come to a clear conclusion: income-focused dividend ETFs are unsung champions of both capital preservation and long-term growth. Let’s dissect the strategies of two standouts—ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF (NOBL) and Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD)—and explor
THE U.S. SPACE STACK IS BEING DE-MUSKIFIED -- RKLB IS THE TOP BENEFICIARY
$Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ The U.S. government didn’t set out to rely on Elon Musk. But over time, it happened -- and that concentration of risk became embedded in every layer of American space and defense infrastructure. SpaceX wasn’t just the leading launch provider. It became the only path for certain critical missions. Dragon emerged as the singular route for human transport to the ISS. Starlink became a default node in military communications. Falcon 9 controlled the cadence of national security payloads. And the system stopped diversifying -- because it didn’t have to.But the moment Musk weaponized his leverage -- the moment Dragon contracts became a chip on the table of a political feud -- that entire house of cards collapsed in real time
$Lemonade, Inc.(LMND)$ train is taking off.The market finally saw the investment case — declining loss ratio, cheaper prices, and accelerating growth.Here is my LMND investment thesis: 🧵1/ LMND is revolutionizing the property & casualty (P&C) insurance in the US.Their direct-to-consumer approach and AI-centric tech stack allow them to offer cheaper prices.How? They pass efficiencies to the customers.2/ Its business model is genius.It created the Lemonade app and centered all operations around it.Instead of working with agents, it does direct marketing and uses the Lemonade app to onboard clients and process claims.3/ It uses AI agents in operations.Currently, 98% of all onboarding and 55% of all claim processing is handled by its native AI
All That Glitters Still Isn’t Done: Why the Gold and Silver Bull Has Miles to Run
With gold flirting at $3,200 and silver shining at $33, this rally isn’t just alive—it’s evolving. We’re now halfway through 2025, and the precious metals market is putting on a show that would make even the most seasoned sceptic raise an eyebrow—and maybe an offer. Gold is up a glittering 29% year-to-date, brushing the $3,200 mark after having already kissed $3,500 back in April. Silver, never content to be a mere understudy, has leapt 21.6%, resting comfortably above $33/oz with forecasts hinting at $40 before the year bows out. Now, before anyone mutters the word “bubble,” allow me to assure you—this isn’t a speculative sugar rush. It’s a structural, fundamental, and dare I say, rather elegant repricing of reality. And I, for one, am still happily along for the ride. Old money, new worl
The Trade You Didn’t Make: Why Hesitation Can Cost You Just as Much as Action
You know the feeling. You stare at a stock chart—maybe it’s Nvidia, maybe it’s Tesla, maybe it’s just some no-name biotech that’s been quietly gaining traction. Your gut says, “Buy now.” But you hesitate. You wait. You overthink. Then the stock pops 7% in a day. Regret sets in. “I knew it. I should’ve bought.” A few days later, the same stock dips 5%. Relief washes over you. “Good thing I didn’t chase it.” And yet… you feel like you’ve been on the trade emotionally, even though your account balance hasn’t changed one cent. Welcome to the mental gymnastics of the modern trader. A place where inaction is just as emotionally charged as action—and the price you pay for indecision can be just as high. 🧠 Emotional Participation ≠ Financial Participation The truth is, every market participant
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Declan Fallon:Semiconductor & Russell 2000 Index See Weekly Breakout!
We are starting to see the strength triggered by Trumps tariff reversal feed into weekly timeframes and improve the long term forecasts for markets. Both the Semiconductor Index $Philadelphia Semiconductor Index(SOX)$ and $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ have cleared declining channel resistance on fresh breakouts as both the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ continue to shape V-reversal on weekly timeframes.$SOX$IWMSee the detailed technical charts reading from Declan Fallon at below:I like the action in Semiconductor Index. It was looking very indecisive during the second half of 2024, and when it broke south it lo