• Tiger_commentsTiger_comments
      ·08-21 09:47

      "Classic" Dip and Rally on Jackson Hole — Opportunity Tonight?

      The Jackson Hole symposium is an annual meeting for central bankers.Market is awaiting Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole meeting on Friday. Since 2022, it has consistently triggered volatility in $S&P 500(.SPX)$ . Typically, the index drops around the event before bouncing back.Each year it dips, then rebound2022 Powell went full hawk → S&P dropped -3% in a day2023 Still tough on inflation → markets slipped2024 Even with a dovish tone → market still dippedUnlike the recent market pullback, investors are very optimistic about a rate cut in September.Although the July CPI report contained some concerning details, overall it was relatively mild, reinforcing traders’ belief that the Fed will lower interest rates in the coming months. Some have e
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      "Classic" Dip and Rally on Jackson Hole — Opportunity Tonight?
    • KienBoonKienBoon
      ·08-21 23:52
      Sentiment this week seems to be quite lousy for US markets. Depending on Powell's speech especially on the rate cut issue, I guess market might rebound slightly into the green. Probably less than 1% green. Nevertheless, it is good buying opportunity if market goes red since probability of rebounding on early next week should be high. I should be monitoring Telsa closely. Lol. Cheers. [Smile] [Smile]. Enjoy your trading tonight.
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    • LULU ROCKETLULU ROCKET
      ·08-21 23:17
      Buy the dip, generational wealth opportunity. Why buy when its high when you can buy during this once in a year discount sale? Don't sit on the sidelines, take action.
      1Comment
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    • Success88Success88
      ·08-21 23:16
      Is a Jackson hole trend I use the opportunity to get discount stock then running away. A few good stock is a good DCA opportunity too
      20Comment
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    • WeChatsWeChats
      ·08-21 15:33
      ⚡ Jackson Hole Tonight: Dip, Rally… or Trap This Time? Every August, the quiet town of Jackson Hole turns into Wall Street’s thunder dome. When Jerome Powell speaks, markets don’t just listen — they jerk, whiplash, and rebound. This Friday could be no different. With rate cuts on the horizon, inflation cooling but still sticky, and stocks already stretched, Powell’s words might decide whether we see another classic “dip-then-rip” play… or the first real crack in the bull run. --- 📉 The History: Why Traders Call It “Classic” 2022: Powell unleashed hawk mode → S&P -3% in a single day. 2023: Same tough inflation stance → markets slipped again. 2024: Even with a dovish tilt, stocks still dipped before bouncing. > Jackson Hole has become a ritual: sell first, rethink later, rally after.
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    • 1PC1PC
      ·08-21 15:21
      History will repeat itself [Chuckle] lets get ready for the Dip & Scoop 🪏😜 @JC888 @Barcode @Jes86188 @Shyon @koolgal @Shernice軒嬣 2000
      2302
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    • CloudTwoCloudTwo
      ·08-21 15:19
      Jackson Hole has become a key volatility event for the $SPX—each year, we see an initial dip around Powell’s speech, often followed by a rebound once the dust settles. Even a dovish tone in 2024 couldn’t stop the short-term drop, showing how sensitive sentiment remains. This year, optimism for a September Fed rate cut is high, with the July CPI report supporting that view, though caution lingers. Notably, we’re seeing sector rotation into areas like residential construction and small-caps that stand to gain from lower rates. If there’s another post-speech pullback on Friday, it may well present a classic buying opportunity, as history suggests. Will 2025 repeat the pattern? I’m watching closely to see if this “sell, then rebound” cycle continues!
      70Comment
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    • MHhMHh
      ·08-21 15:01
      I believe that the market should rise after Powell’s speech, especially if he gives the market what they want— a rate cut in September. I don’t think he will continue to hold back. However, market may still dip if there are many profit takers. However, if the market drops, I do not think it would be a good buying opportunity as many stocks are currently close to fair value or overvalued. I would prefer to just watch and keep my cash for days with bigger dips. @LuckyPiggie @DiAngel @Universe宇宙 @Fenger1188 @Kaixiang </
      60Comment
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    • MrzorroMrzorro
      ·08-21 14:08
      Jackson Hole Preview: Brace for a Potential Hawkish Surprise The Spotlight Shifts to Grand Teton This Friday, the global financial world will turn its attention to Jackson Hole, Wyoming, as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell delivers his highly anticipated speech at the annual central bank symposium. Historically a crucial platform for the Fed to signal its policy direction, this year's meeting carries extra weight. The market is on high alert for any clues that might greenlight a September rate cut. Currently, traders are betting on an 80% chance of a 25-basis-point reduction next month. From Inflation to Employment: A Key Policy Pivot The theme of this year's conference, "The Evolving Labor Market: Demographic, Productivity, and Macro Policy," might sound academic, but its message is
      53Comment
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    • vc888vc888
      ·08-21 13:17
      Market expectations for four Fed rate cuts in the next year seem overly optimistic given persistent inflation and aggressive fiscal policy. I'm adopting a more cautious stance on growth and tech stocks, preparing to reallocate some positions to cash if market signals warrant it. Valuations are elevated but not conclusively bearish; any reallocation is about prudent profit-taking and diversification, not pessimism.
      0Comment
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    • vc888vc888
      ·08-21 12:53
      Markets are correcting ahead of Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole speech, which could define his legacy and set the long-term direction for US interest rates. A bold scenario could see Powell raising the Fed’s inflation target to 3%, justifying it with American exceptionalism (in GDP growth terms, America is more akin to a developing nation). A new inflation rate target would appease Trump, but also serve him with a politically "hot potato": higher institutionalized inflation, and more expensive long-term financing for US Debt. Raising the inflation target could boost equities but hurt US dollar and debt credibility, while reaffirming 2% would allow only modest rate cuts. I see an increase in target inflation as the only technically and politically viable option for the Fed to cut rates in the
      15Comment
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    • vc888vc888
      ·08-21 12:53
      Markets are correcting ahead of Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole speech, which could define his legacy and set the long-term direction for US interest rates. A bold scenario could see Powell raising the Fed’s inflation target to 3%, justifying it with American exceptionalism (in GDP growth terms, America is more akin to a developing nation). A new inflation rate target would appease Trump, but also serve him with a politically "hot potato": higher institutionalized inflation, and more expensive long-term financing for US Debt. Raising the inflation target could boost equities but hurt US dollar and debt credibility, while reaffirming 2% would allow only modest rate cuts. I see an increase in target inflation as the only technically and politically viable option for the Fed to cut rates in the
      0Comment
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    • SunildhakalSunildhakal
      ·08-21 12:12
      Save your money to buy the dip.
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    • koolgalkoolgal
      ·08-21 12:07
      🌟🌟🌟All eyes will be on Jerome Powell on Friday. If his speech is hawkish, it may trigger a selloff.   To me it is not a signal to flee.  It is actually a chance to lean in and grab quality stocks such as $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ that could be oversold. If the market drops it is not long term doom.  Volatility around Jackson Hole summits is common.  Tech and growth stocks may take a hit while defensive stocks, dividend players and value plays may shine brighter. As Warren Buffett likes to say It is time in the market that counts, not timing the market. @Tiger_comments
      11.75K26
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    • AlubinAlubin
      ·08-21 12:02
      If market dip after Powell speech, I think it’s a good opportunity to scoop up stocks you think the fundamentals are solid. After all, I do still remain optimistic of the market in the long run
      13Comment
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    • ShyonShyon
      ·08-21 11:10
      I’ve been watching Jackson Hole closely every year, and history shows the same pattern — markets dip first, then recover. Whether Powell sounds hawkish or dovish, traders tend to overreact in the short term. Personally, I see it more as a market “ritual” than a true policy shift moment. This year feels slightly different because sentiment is already leaning toward a rate cut in September. Even though July CPI had some sticky parts, overall inflation looks manageable. With FedWatch showing over 80% odds of a 25-bps cut, I think Powell’s tone may just reinforce what the market is already expecting. If we do see another drop after Powell’s speech, I’d actually treat it as a buying opportunity. With sector rotation happening, small caps and housing-related names could benefit the most once ra
      139Comment
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    • TheStrategistTheStrategist
      ·08-21 10:32
      yes buy the dips man
      0Comment
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    • highhandhighhand
      ·08-21 10:07
      although last night closing was a hammer head candle and price recovered from its losses, I would be careful. price action of nasdaq not close above 20 sma yet. anything can happen, and pull back might go to 50 ma. spx never go down too much. mainly tech stocks which rallied so much are affected so far.
      40Comment
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    • BarcodeBarcode
      ·08-21 05:48
      $Trump Media & Technology(DJT)$ $Home Depot(HD)$ $Qualcomm(QCOM)$ 🚨📰🗞️ 🇺🇸 Trump is buying bonds like crazy.  1️⃣ 690 transactions. $104M in corporate & muni debt. 💵 2️⃣ Companies directly impacted by his policies: Qualcomm, Home Depot, T-Mobile, Meta. Unlike past presidents, he never divested. Conflict of interest or smart play?    Source: nbcnews
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    • LanceljxLanceljx
      ·08-21 03:20
      1. Will a September rate cut support markets? Equities: A 25–50 bps rate cut in September would likely be viewed as supportive, particularly for growth and tech stocks, since lower yields reduce discount rates on future cash flows. However, the market has already priced in substantial easing. If Powell only hints at a gradual pace, equity upside could be muted. Bonds: A cut would support Treasuries, especially at the short end of the curve, but investors may watch for how the Fed frames inflation risks. Dollar & Commodities: A dovish Fed stance could weaken the USD, lending support to gold and emerging market assets. Caution: If the cut is interpreted as the Fed responding to recession risks rather than disinflation progress, markets could turn risk-off. The narrative (growth support v
      884
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    • Mickey082024Mickey082024
      ·08-21 02:43

      V-Shape Rebound: Can Powell’s Jackson Hole Speech Pave the Way for Rate Cuts?

      $Trade Desk Inc.(TTD)$ Markets have staged a sharp rebound in August, powered by renewed hopes that the Federal Reserve is on the verge of pivoting toward monetary easing. The conversation shifted dramatically on August 13 when BlackRock’s Global Chief Investment Officer suggested that inflation had come in lower than many had expected, leaving the Fed room to begin cutting rates. He even floated the idea that a 50 basis-point cut in September could be justified. With equities climbing, bond yields retreating, and investors betting heavily on policy easing, all eyes now turn to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s upcoming speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium. Scheduled for Friday, the remarks may provide the clearest roadmap yet on wheth
      4083
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      V-Shape Rebound: Can Powell’s Jackson Hole Speech Pave the Way for Rate Cuts?
    • MrzorroMrzorro
      ·08-21 14:08
      Jackson Hole Preview: Brace for a Potential Hawkish Surprise The Spotlight Shifts to Grand Teton This Friday, the global financial world will turn its attention to Jackson Hole, Wyoming, as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell delivers his highly anticipated speech at the annual central bank symposium. Historically a crucial platform for the Fed to signal its policy direction, this year's meeting carries extra weight. The market is on high alert for any clues that might greenlight a September rate cut. Currently, traders are betting on an 80% chance of a 25-basis-point reduction next month. From Inflation to Employment: A Key Policy Pivot The theme of this year's conference, "The Evolving Labor Market: Demographic, Productivity, and Macro Policy," might sound academic, but its message is
      53Comment
      Report
    • KienBoonKienBoon
      ·08-21 23:52
      Sentiment this week seems to be quite lousy for US markets. Depending on Powell's speech especially on the rate cut issue, I guess market might rebound slightly into the green. Probably less than 1% green. Nevertheless, it is good buying opportunity if market goes red since probability of rebounding on early next week should be high. I should be monitoring Telsa closely. Lol. Cheers. [Smile] [Smile]. Enjoy your trading tonight.
      0Comment
      Report
    • WeChatsWeChats
      ·08-21 15:33
      ⚡ Jackson Hole Tonight: Dip, Rally… or Trap This Time? Every August, the quiet town of Jackson Hole turns into Wall Street’s thunder dome. When Jerome Powell speaks, markets don’t just listen — they jerk, whiplash, and rebound. This Friday could be no different. With rate cuts on the horizon, inflation cooling but still sticky, and stocks already stretched, Powell’s words might decide whether we see another classic “dip-then-rip” play… or the first real crack in the bull run. --- 📉 The History: Why Traders Call It “Classic” 2022: Powell unleashed hawk mode → S&P -3% in a single day. 2023: Same tough inflation stance → markets slipped again. 2024: Even with a dovish tilt, stocks still dipped before bouncing. > Jackson Hole has become a ritual: sell first, rethink later, rally after.
      37Comment
      Report
    • Mickey082024Mickey082024
      ·08-21 02:43

      V-Shape Rebound: Can Powell’s Jackson Hole Speech Pave the Way for Rate Cuts?

      $Trade Desk Inc.(TTD)$ Markets have staged a sharp rebound in August, powered by renewed hopes that the Federal Reserve is on the verge of pivoting toward monetary easing. The conversation shifted dramatically on August 13 when BlackRock’s Global Chief Investment Officer suggested that inflation had come in lower than many had expected, leaving the Fed room to begin cutting rates. He even floated the idea that a 50 basis-point cut in September could be justified. With equities climbing, bond yields retreating, and investors betting heavily on policy easing, all eyes now turn to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s upcoming speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium. Scheduled for Friday, the remarks may provide the clearest roadmap yet on wheth
      4083
      Report
      V-Shape Rebound: Can Powell’s Jackson Hole Speech Pave the Way for Rate Cuts?
    • LULU ROCKETLULU ROCKET
      ·08-21 23:17
      Buy the dip, generational wealth opportunity. Why buy when its high when you can buy during this once in a year discount sale? Don't sit on the sidelines, take action.
      1Comment
      Report
    • Success88Success88
      ·08-21 23:16
      Is a Jackson hole trend I use the opportunity to get discount stock then running away. A few good stock is a good DCA opportunity too
      20Comment
      Report
    • Tiger_commentsTiger_comments
      ·08-21 09:47

      "Classic" Dip and Rally on Jackson Hole — Opportunity Tonight?

      The Jackson Hole symposium is an annual meeting for central bankers.Market is awaiting Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole meeting on Friday. Since 2022, it has consistently triggered volatility in $S&P 500(.SPX)$ . Typically, the index drops around the event before bouncing back.Each year it dips, then rebound2022 Powell went full hawk → S&P dropped -3% in a day2023 Still tough on inflation → markets slipped2024 Even with a dovish tone → market still dippedUnlike the recent market pullback, investors are very optimistic about a rate cut in September.Although the July CPI report contained some concerning details, overall it was relatively mild, reinforcing traders’ belief that the Fed will lower interest rates in the coming months. Some have e
      19.89K33
      Report
      "Classic" Dip and Rally on Jackson Hole — Opportunity Tonight?
    • koolgalkoolgal
      ·08-21 12:07
      🌟🌟🌟All eyes will be on Jerome Powell on Friday. If his speech is hawkish, it may trigger a selloff.   To me it is not a signal to flee.  It is actually a chance to lean in and grab quality stocks such as $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ that could be oversold. If the market drops it is not long term doom.  Volatility around Jackson Hole summits is common.  Tech and growth stocks may take a hit while defensive stocks, dividend players and value plays may shine brighter. As Warren Buffett likes to say It is time in the market that counts, not timing the market. @Tiger_comments
      11.75K26
      Report
    • CloudTwoCloudTwo
      ·08-21 15:19
      Jackson Hole has become a key volatility event for the $SPX—each year, we see an initial dip around Powell’s speech, often followed by a rebound once the dust settles. Even a dovish tone in 2024 couldn’t stop the short-term drop, showing how sensitive sentiment remains. This year, optimism for a September Fed rate cut is high, with the July CPI report supporting that view, though caution lingers. Notably, we’re seeing sector rotation into areas like residential construction and small-caps that stand to gain from lower rates. If there’s another post-speech pullback on Friday, it may well present a classic buying opportunity, as history suggests. Will 2025 repeat the pattern? I’m watching closely to see if this “sell, then rebound” cycle continues!
      70Comment
      Report
    • LanceljxLanceljx
      ·08-21 03:20
      1. Will a September rate cut support markets? Equities: A 25–50 bps rate cut in September would likely be viewed as supportive, particularly for growth and tech stocks, since lower yields reduce discount rates on future cash flows. However, the market has already priced in substantial easing. If Powell only hints at a gradual pace, equity upside could be muted. Bonds: A cut would support Treasuries, especially at the short end of the curve, but investors may watch for how the Fed frames inflation risks. Dollar & Commodities: A dovish Fed stance could weaken the USD, lending support to gold and emerging market assets. Caution: If the cut is interpreted as the Fed responding to recession risks rather than disinflation progress, markets could turn risk-off. The narrative (growth support v
      884
      Report
    • vc888vc888
      ·08-21 12:53
      Markets are correcting ahead of Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole speech, which could define his legacy and set the long-term direction for US interest rates. A bold scenario could see Powell raising the Fed’s inflation target to 3%, justifying it with American exceptionalism (in GDP growth terms, America is more akin to a developing nation). A new inflation rate target would appease Trump, but also serve him with a politically "hot potato": higher institutionalized inflation, and more expensive long-term financing for US Debt. Raising the inflation target could boost equities but hurt US dollar and debt credibility, while reaffirming 2% would allow only modest rate cuts. I see an increase in target inflation as the only technically and politically viable option for the Fed to cut rates in the
      15Comment
      Report
    • vc888vc888
      ·08-21 12:53
      Markets are correcting ahead of Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole speech, which could define his legacy and set the long-term direction for US interest rates. A bold scenario could see Powell raising the Fed’s inflation target to 3%, justifying it with American exceptionalism (in GDP growth terms, America is more akin to a developing nation). A new inflation rate target would appease Trump, but also serve him with a politically "hot potato": higher institutionalized inflation, and more expensive long-term financing for US Debt. Raising the inflation target could boost equities but hurt US dollar and debt credibility, while reaffirming 2% would allow only modest rate cuts. I see an increase in target inflation as the only technically and politically viable option for the Fed to cut rates in the
      0Comment
      Report
    • ShyonShyon
      ·08-21 11:10
      I’ve been watching Jackson Hole closely every year, and history shows the same pattern — markets dip first, then recover. Whether Powell sounds hawkish or dovish, traders tend to overreact in the short term. Personally, I see it more as a market “ritual” than a true policy shift moment. This year feels slightly different because sentiment is already leaning toward a rate cut in September. Even though July CPI had some sticky parts, overall inflation looks manageable. With FedWatch showing over 80% odds of a 25-bps cut, I think Powell’s tone may just reinforce what the market is already expecting. If we do see another drop after Powell’s speech, I’d actually treat it as a buying opportunity. With sector rotation happening, small caps and housing-related names could benefit the most once ra
      139Comment
      Report
    • MHhMHh
      ·08-21 15:01
      I believe that the market should rise after Powell’s speech, especially if he gives the market what they want— a rate cut in September. I don’t think he will continue to hold back. However, market may still dip if there are many profit takers. However, if the market drops, I do not think it would be a good buying opportunity as many stocks are currently close to fair value or overvalued. I would prefer to just watch and keep my cash for days with bigger dips. @LuckyPiggie @DiAngel @Universe宇宙 @Fenger1188 @Kaixiang </
      60Comment
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    • nerdbull1669nerdbull1669
      ·08-20 03:02

      Market Undergoing Rotation Out Of Tech, Jackson Hole Meeting Could Determine If Trend Could Continue

      The heavy sell-off in tech stocks on Tuesday, August 19, 2025, is widely attributed to investor caution ahead of the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, which is scheduled for August 21-23. The market is currently undergoing a rotation out of tech, and the meeting's outcome could determine whether this trend continues. Here is a breakdown of the key factors: 1. Market Rotation and Tech Sell-off: The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500 saw significant declines on August 19, with major tech companies like Nvidia, Broadcom, and AMD experiencing notable drops. This is a continuation of a recent trend where investors are taking profits from the tech sector, which has seen a strong rally, particularly due to the AI boom. We can see that Communication Service and Technology sectors which con
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      Market Undergoing Rotation Out Of Tech, Jackson Hole Meeting Could Determine If Trend Could Continue
    • CSOP AMLCSOP AML
      ·08-20 10:37

      East Asia Equities Mixed Amid CautiousSentiment; China Equities Broadly Rallied; US Policy in Focus【CSOP APAC Mid-Week at a Glance】

      East Asia  LCU WTD return: +0.00% ·         Asian equities traded flat WTD amid cautious sentiment surrounding Trump’s talks with Ukraine and Russia and as traders assessed risks to regional stability and energy supply chains. ·         Within $CSOP LOW CARBON US$(LCU.SI)$ , consumer discretionary, industrials and consumer staples were top gainers by sector WTD while Toyota Motor, Daiichi Sankyo and Suzuki Motor were top gainers by individual firm WTD. ·         Daiichi Sankyo rose after receiving FDA’s breakthrough therapy designation for its drug for extensive-stage small cell lung cancer, which was seen as upside cataly
      20.47K1
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      East Asia Equities Mixed Amid CautiousSentiment; China Equities Broadly Rallied; US Policy in Focus【CSOP APAC Mid-Week at a Glance】
    • vc888vc888
      ·08-21 13:17
      Market expectations for four Fed rate cuts in the next year seem overly optimistic given persistent inflation and aggressive fiscal policy. I'm adopting a more cautious stance on growth and tech stocks, preparing to reallocate some positions to cash if market signals warrant it. Valuations are elevated but not conclusively bearish; any reallocation is about prudent profit-taking and diversification, not pessimism.
      0Comment
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    • 1PC1PC
      ·08-21 15:21
      History will repeat itself [Chuckle] lets get ready for the Dip & Scoop 🪏😜 @JC888 @Barcode @Jes86188 @Shyon @koolgal @Shernice軒嬣 2000
      2302
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    • MrzorroMrzorro
      ·08-20 03:27
      Jackson Hole Preview: Powell's Moment to Steer Markets Global investors are once again turning their attention to the mountain resort of Jackson Hole, Wyoming, where the Kansas City Fed's annual Economic Policy Symposium will convene later this week from August 21–23. At the center of the event will be Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who is scheduled to deliver his keynote address on Thursday, August 22 at 10:00 a.m. ET. For Wall Street, few gatherings outside of scheduled FOMC meetings carry as much weight as Jackson Hole. Over the years, the symposium has become a stage where central bankers float pivotal ideas, often signaling shifts in strategy that ripple across global markets. Why Jackson Hole Matters History shows that central bankers often use this platform to send decisive policy signals
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    • Mickey082024Mickey082024
      ·08-20 02:55

      Wall Street Awaits Direction: Jackson Hole and Retail Earnings Take Center Stage

      $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ U.S. stock index futures held steady Monday evening, reflecting investor caution as traders remained reluctant to take on new positions ahead of a potentially pivotal week. Market participants are looking to the upcoming Jackson Hole Symposium for fresh signals on the Federal Reserve’s policy path, while a slate of major retail earnings could provide further insight into consumer demand and the resilience of corporate margins. At the same time, geopolitical developments—particularly the Trump administration’s diplomatic maneuvering between Russia and Ukraine—are adding a layer of uncertainty to the broader investment backdrop. A Flat Start After a Quiet Session After
      104Comment
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      Wall Street Awaits Direction: Jackson Hole and Retail Earnings Take Center Stage