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2025-07-18
Daily Charts - Valuation Extreme Peaks
1.Valuation Extreme PeaksOn the topic of valuations and market cycles, I re-post this chart which shows how the stockmarket traveled on average into and after valuation-extreme market peaks.Probably the key point to make is that the ride up is deceptively and seductively smooth, but when it turns it turns suddenly and significantly. Again, it goes to reiterate that point from before — we are in a dangerous market moment for bulls and bears alike… $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Image2.Gold vs CommoditiesGold might yet have further to run, but at this point the best risk/reward is in other commodities... $Gold - main 2508(GCmain)$ Image3.I
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2025-07-18
US Tech Stock Valuations
Echoing those themes, I feel it’s important to highlight this chart. Tech sector valuations have reached a new post-dot com bubble high. In other words, you had to go all the way back to the heights of the dot com bubble to find a more expensive market and crazier valuations (not to mention market sentiment).Again, to give some balance to it, we do need to keep in mind that valuation indicators like this are ultimately measures of investor confidence. Sometimes that confidence is well-placed, other times it’s an over-extrapolation of the past and the result of excess greed and liquidity sloshing through the system.But the key truth here is that tech stocks are extremely expensive, and non-tech stocks are not exactly cheap either. As I noted before — we’re well progressed in this market cyc
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2025-07-18
Chart of the Week - Speculation Heights
It’s different this time…That’s what they say.And to be fair, they kind of have a point.The tech boom we are living through right now is extremely different from the dot com bubble on many counts.And yet —it seems for every difference there is a similarity, for every justification and cause for optimism there are rising risks and cause for concern.This week’s chart is a perfect illustration… It shows the path of US Semiconductors’ market cap weighting (which has just reached a new all-time high).Here’s some perspectives on this chart and possible next steps.Glass Half-Full: sectors rise and fall over time and new sectors get big and stay bigger for longer as their economic significance rises (e.g. General Motors was the biggest stock for decades during mass adoption of automobiles, the ene
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2025-07-18
High quality compounders you may not have heard of
High quality compounders you may not have heard of.🇺🇸 USAParker-Hannifin $Parker Hannifin(PH)$ Badger Meter $Badger Meter(BMI)$ Comfort Systems USA $Comfort Systems USA(FIX)$ 🇩🇪 GermanyATOSS SoftwareNemetschek $Nemetschek AG(NEMTF)$ 🇮🇹 ItalySOL Spa🇸🇪 SwedenMycronic $Mycronic AB(MYCRY)$ 🇨🇦 CanadaCelestica $Celestica(CLS)$ Namsys $Namsys, Inc.(NMYSF)$ 🇬🇧 UKAlfa Financial Software $Alfa Financial Software Holdings Ltd(AFLQF)$ Cerillion
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2025-07-18
SPX made a higher high
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ again closed above the 6210 FVG support and made a higher high. It is now favored that it is progressing in a modest 5th wave rally targeting 6380-6420 before the higher degree reversal.Only change is that the both the pullback and ultimate targets will be raised (calculated once 5th completes).A Daily close below 6210 would send the short signal. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2509(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2509(NQmain)$ ImageFor whom h
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2025-07-18
CTAs are set to double their equity exposure over the next 2 weeks. BIG systematic buying coming. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ ImageIt’s a Bull Market you knowImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here：Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to G
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2025-07-18
Will Coinbase Continue Rising as Crypto Legislation Nears?
The U.S. Congress is advancing three major cryptocurrency bills that could impact the $2.8 trillion global crypto market. This marks the beginning of comprehensive regulation for the industry.What Changes Do the Bills Bring?Stablecoin RegulationStablecoins like USDC must hold full reserves, similar to bank deposits, and provide monthly public ledgers. Compliant companies will benefit from this regulation.Token ClassificationTokens like Bitcoin are classified as "commodities" regulated by the CFTC, while some tokens are deemed "securities" under SEC oversight. This clarity helps exchanges know which tokens can be legally traded.Ban on Government Digital Currencies (CBDCs)To address concerns about government-issued digital currencies enabling surveillance of all spending records, the legisla
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2025-07-17
Common Issues in Q2 Earnings
$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ TSMC's (TSM) earnings report saw the stock price spike and then pull back. I believe the main issue is similar to what was mentioned yesterday: Q3 is expected to grow 4% quarter-over-quarter, but the numbers aren’t particularly enticing. Additionally, the stock had already hit new highs prior to the report. Even though management expressed strong optimism about AI prospects, the stock price gains remained within the forecast range.This quarter’s earnings reports may exhibit a similar pattern across the board: Q2 significantly overdraws full-year expectations, leading to high openings followed by sell-offs after the disclosure.It is worth paying attention to data center-related stocks. TSMC management indica
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2025-07-17
TSM: The Better-than-expected ER
DELIVERED 😏• Sales $30.1B vs Est. $30.0B• EPS $2.47 vs Est. $2.12• Net Income $13.5B vs Est. $12.1B• Gross Margins 59% vs. Est. 58%2025 Q3 Guidance • Sales $32.4B vs Est. $31.7B • Operating Margins 47% vs. Est. 47%FY25 Guidance • Sales 30% vs Est. 26%• CapEx $40B vs. Est. $38BCEO COMMENTARY• Management reaffirmed long-term GM ≥53%, but flagged 2H margin risk from tariff uncertainty & FX volatility.• N3 capacity remains tight, with supply-demand gaps narrowing at premium nodes -- N2 & advanced packaging (CoWoS/SoIC) ramping into 2H25.• $165B U.S./EU fab build-out supports customer diversification, but overseas production will structurally dilute margins.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limi
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2025-07-17
[Stock Prediction] Will Circle Keep Rising? Guess This Week’s Closing Price!
The crypto market is heating up:Bitcoin recently hit an all-time high of $122,000 before pulling back to around $118,000. On-chain data shows signs of profit-taking and a potential short-term cooldown.Meanwhile, stablecoin leader $Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$ jumped over 19% after U.S. lawmakers signaled progress on a new regulatory framework. Even Wall Street giants like JPMorgan and Citi are jumping into the game.So… what’s your take? 👉 Can Circle keep rising? Or is a pullback coming? Drop your prediction for Circle’s closing price this Friday (July 19) and let’s find out who has the sharpest crypto instincts!How to ParticipateDrop your bullish or bearish view on Circle’s stock performance this week in the comments. Include a short reason + your
TOPShyon: I'm cautiously bullish on $Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$ and predict a $240 closing price this Friday, July 19. The recent 19% surge was driven by progress on U.S. crypto regulation, which is a major catalyst for a stablecoin leader like Circle. Institutional interest from JPMorgan and Citi adds further credibility to the rally. While Bitcoin’s recent pullback suggests some profit-taking, Circle may hold up better due to its strong position in the regulatory conversation. Short-term volatility is possible, but I think sentiment remains favorable for now. A $240 close reflects healthy consolidation after the recent spike. It’s a balanced view that accounts for both momentum and potential cooling, while keeping the upside narrative intact. @TigerEvents @Tiger_comments @TigerStars
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2025-07-17
TSM: Earning Report Day
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you!1. $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ up in overnight session upon release of earnings results. Let's see what today brings in pre-market and regular trading hours.Ended up writing the Aug 15 $170P. Will look to close out tomorrow for profit and will let the Aug 15 $280CC ride.For whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here：Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.
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2025-07-17
Here is my Full ASML Investment Thesis
$ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ was once a market darling, but now it gets garbage treatment.Yet, its order book has reached all-time highs, the business is still growing fast, and it's heavily buying back stock.Here is my full ASML investment thesis: 🧵1/ASML is a pure blood monopoly.It's the single manufacturer of Extreme Ultraviolet Lithography (EUVL) machines essential to manufacturing cutting-edge chips.Foundries like $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ use these machines to embed microscopic circuits into silicon.2/ ASML controls %100 of the global EUVL market.ASML started in collaboration with Intel back in the 1990s.It took 20 years to make a working prototype.An EUVL machine takes: - Four months. - 1
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2025-07-17
Capland Ascendas (A17U), Mapletree Ind trust (ME8U), CapitaLand investment A17U :have total assets under management from S$18 billion to S$17.6 billion and increase its Singapore exposure to 67% of the portfolio. CLAR’s data centre exposure will grow from S$1.4 billion to S$1.9 billion, with 54% of this now based in Singapore. Dividend Yield: 5.5% ME8U: Data centers represent 56% of its portfolio, with significant assets in North America at 46.1%. Overall portfolio occupancy from stand at 92.1%, rooms to improve. Dividend Yield: 6.7% CapitaLand investment outlined its growth strategy, targeting a significant increase in funds under management (FUM) from $99 billion in 2023 to $200 billion by 2028. Dividend Yield:4.3%
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2025-07-17
PENTAGON ACCELERATES DRONE DEVELOPMENT
18 U.S. prototypes built in 18 months -- a major leap from the typical 6-year cycle.Names to watch:1. $Archer Aviation Inc.(ACHR)$ -- urban air mobility & defense logistics2. $Ondas Holdings Inc.(ONDS)$ -- secure networks for drone comms3. $Red Cat Holdings Inc.(RCAT)$ -- field drones for ISR & tactical ops4. $Enovix Corporation(ENVX)$ -- high-density batteries for next-gen drones5. $Kratos Defense & Security Solutions(KTOS)$ -- scaled unmanned defense systems6. $Unusual Machines Inc(UMAC)$ -- autonomous fleet command &
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2025-07-17
What Makes a Stock Worth Holding Long-Term?
Some investors aim to hold a stock for years — or even decades — but not every company deserves that level of commitment.👉 What kind of stock is truly worth a long-term, heavy position?One commonly used method is the PEG + PE approach, which helps assess both valuation and growth potential.PE (Price-to-Earnings) shows how expensive the stock is right now.PEG = PE ÷ Profit Growth Rate (%) helps judge if the price is fair based on how fast the company is growing.📊 PEG < 1 suggests the stock may be undervalued.📊 PEG > 1 could mean it’s priced too high for its growth rate.Example:PE 20 with 40% profit growth → PEG = 0.5 (potentially undervalued)PE 50 with 30% growth → PEG = 1.67 (potentially overvalued)This method encourages looking for companies with strong, steady growth at reasonable
TOP🌟🌟🌟I believe the key factors for my long term stock holdings would be strong financials, durable competitive advantage like brand power and exposure to megatrends like AI. Another key factor would be strong leadership. A good example would be Nvidia $NVIDIA(NVDA)$. It ticks all the boxes in the key factors for my holding the stock long term. CEO Jensen Huang exemplifies strong leadership as he has a visionary approach. That is how he has catapulted Nvidia as the most valuable company in the world with Assets Under Management of over USD 4 Trillion! What an amazing leader! That is why I have invested in Nvidia. @MillionaireTiger @Tiger_comments @Tiger_SG @TigerStars @CaptainTiger
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2025-07-17
Option Strategies: .SPX, TSLA& HOOD
TRADE PLAN for Thursday 📈 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ resilient all month, every dip bought up and SPX held 6200 again. SPX through 6279 can run to 6300 quicklySPX July 17 6300C can work above 6279 $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ 325 is a breakout level for a move to 334,343TSLA July 18 335C can work above 325 $Robinhood(HOOD)$ setting up for 115-120 by August. Price action bullish today after breaking out above 100.HOOD July 25 107C can work above 104Melt. Up. Rally.... Don't miss it... Good luck to everyone! 🫡For whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks a
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2025-07-17
SOL, RBLX, RGTI, BTC& TSLA Welcome Recovery Here!
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you!1. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Since MUSK backed off the American Party talk, TSLA has clawed back some ground.Still a 43% chance he files by year-end, but bulls have a window.Image2. $Bitcoin(BTC.USD.CC)$ Funny how that works, innit?Image3. $EMEREN GROUP(SOL)$ Polymarket pricing in a 27% chance Solana hits a new all-time high before 2026.ATH = $295That’s a +70% move from here.Do the SOL bulls have it in them?Image4. $Rigetti Computing(RGTI)$ Bingo! 🍋Image5. $Roblox Corporation(RBLX)$ Send it straight to ATHs a
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2025-07-17
$GOOG 20250718 180.0 CALL$ I thought I couldn't see profit because the time was very limited. Fortunately, the timing came on right time for me to gain some profit from Long Call option that I had for #Google Is Market going to keep going up for next two weeks in July? What do you guys think? Like this if anyone trade Google like myself. #tigers #optioncall #longbuy #buycall #teambull #teamlong
TOPVery fortunate! I’m bullish on the market in the next two weeks.
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2025-07-17
$BlackRock(BLK)$ $Morgan Stanley(MS)$ $JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$ 🔥🧠💸 BLACKROCK $12T DOMINANCE: WHEN WALL STREET BECOMES THE MARKET ITSELF 💸🧠🔥 When liquidity is power, $BLK just crowned itself emperor. BlackRock has officially become the first firm in history to cross $12 Trillion in assets under management. Fueled by record-high equity markets and a tidal wave of $68B in net client inflows, this isn’t just a milestone: it’s a macro-political moment. BlackRock no longer responds to capital cycles, it shapes them. 🧮 Scale That Shapes Markets Q2 revenue surged 13% to $5.42B. That’s not just organic growth; that’s asset gravity. While the world watched CPI and debated the Fed
TOPNice sharing! Do you think it’s a nice point to invest in BLK now?