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897
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ykhoo
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09-28
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HappyFamilyMan
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09-28
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Elliottwave_Forecast
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09-25

SPX Elliott Wave: Rally From the Blue Box Buying Zone

Hello fellow traders. Our Elliott Wave analysis has identified several high-quality trading setups recently, including the SPX setup discussed below. The analysis identified a clear three-wave correction from the recent peak, with price eventually reaching the Equal Legs area highlighted as our Blue Box buying zone. This is the type of setup we closely monitor within our trading service. The Blue Box defines a specific area where we look for a potential long entry, while the Elliott Wave structure helps us manage risk and identify potential targets.In the following sections, we will break down the SPX setup and show how the opportunity developed. SPX Elliott Wave 1-Hour Chart – 09.09.2026 SPX is forming a three-wave pullback from the recent high, and the correction still appears incom
SPX Elliott Wave: Rally From the Blue Box Buying Zone
TOPBirdieO: RSI divergence on the 1h is already showing up, so one more clean leg down feels a bit too linear. I care more about how price reacts into that zone than the wave count itself
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orsiri
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09-27

Palantir: The $456 Billion Argument

At roughly 74 times sales and 100 times forward earnings, Palantir has become less a conventional software valuation exercise than a referendum on how valuable the operating layer of enterprise AI could eventually become. Wall Street rarely agrees on anything, but Palantir Technologies has achieved something special: it has given analysts an unusually large number of ways to disagree. At $189.67, $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ carries a market capitalisation of approximately $456 billion. Analyst targets stretch from $80 to $255, while the average sits at $195.57. That is not ordinary forecasting noise. Investors are effectively valuing two different companies wearing the same ticker. One is an extraordinarily profitable AI platform entering a
Palantir: The $456 Billion Argument
TOPAnnaMaria: 74x sales only works if NRR stays elite and dilution stays tame. Otherwise that DCF gets ugly fast
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Isleigh
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09-27

High-Beta Stocks Are Soaring: Chase the Rally or Wait for the Shakeout?

$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$   $Micron Technology(MU)$   $Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$   $NVIDIA(NVDA)$   High-beta stocks are doing exactly what they are designed to do when risk appetite returns: move faster than the market. But that creates a dangerous psychological trap. The stronger the rally becomes, the easier it is to believe that waiting means missing out. I see it differently. Beta tells me how fast a stock may move. It does not tell me whether the price is worth paying. So I am not asking which hig
High-Beta Stocks Are Soaring: Chase the Rally or Wait for the Shakeout?
TOPwavyloo: For NVDA, waiting for a full 10-15% pullback might just leave people watching it run. If the business stays this strong, the dip may be way shallower than that.
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Mathematical Money
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09-28

My Broadcom Calls Are Down 13%. The Stock Is Down 3%.

Mathematical Money | September 27, 2026 Let me give you the quarter first, without the ticker attached, and you tell me what you'd expect the stock to do. Revenue of $29.6 billion, up 86% year on year. AI revenue alone at $16.7 billion, up 221%, which makes AI more than half the entire company now. Management guiding next quarter to $34.8 billion and saying $350 billion of shipments are already locked in across FY27 and FY28. That's Broadcom's September quarter. By almost any measure it's one of the better quarters a large company has printed this year. The stock closed Friday at $352.81. Over the past month it has gone essentially nowhere — down less than one percent. It's also about 27% below where it traded at the start of June, so the damage was done earlier and it has been grinding si
My Broadcom Calls Are Down 13%. The Stock Is Down 3%.
TOPjazzyco: 55% from five customers reads more like moat than risk to me. That kind of concentration usually means the product is buried deep in their stack, not easily swapped out
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Lanceljx
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09-28
Markets are heading into a catalyst-heavy week. AI remains the strongest theme, with Wall Street ending Friday higher as Microsoft rallied 3.7% and the major indices all gained. At the same time, I am watching the other side of the equation: oil and Treasury yields. Brent is rising again today as US-Iran tensions remain unresolved, which could revive inflation and rate concerns. My main stock to watch is $Micron Technology (MU)$. Its earnings on 30 September could be an important test for the entire AI memory trade. I will be watching HBM demand, pricing, margins and especially forward guidance rather than simply whether MU beats headline estimates. $Microsoft (MSFT)$ and $Akamai (AKAM)$ are also on my watchlist after renewed AI enthusiasm. Akamai's US$11.6 billion, seven-year Anthropic cl
Markets are heading into a catalyst-heavy week. AI remains the strongest theme, with Wall Street ending Friday higher as Microsoft rallied 3.7% and...
TOPAdamDavis: For MU, I care more about how management frames next year's HBM allocation and pricing power than the headline beat. Forward gross margin is probably the cleaner read for the whole AI memory trade 👀
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OptionsBB
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09-28

9/28–10/2 Weekly Options | OpenAI's Big Catalyst

① Weekly Market Overview Last week, the core tension in U.S. equities shifted from "can AI keep rallying" to "can AI growth + high rates + energy risk be digested simultaneously." On the AI front, Meta's Muse topped the U.S. App Store free chart, with Meta surging 12.9% for the week. AMD, Intel, and Arm also strengthened in tandem, as the market began trading the new CPU, inference, and consumer entry-point demand that AI Agents are expected to drive. On the other hand, Middle East tensions escalated again. On 9/26, U.S. President Trump rejected Iran's proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, making energy supply risk a key variable for oil prices and inflation expectations this week. This week's core focus: AI looks to earnings and event catalysts, while the market must simultaneously wat
9/28–10/2 Weekly Options | OpenAI's Big Catalyst
TOPEricVaughan: If PCE breaks the key gamma line, vol can expand fast — first move probably 1.5 to 2x the usual intraday range, especially with MU earnings IV still hanging over tape
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天天是周末
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09-28

Stock Watch 2026-09-28: Geo Energy Resources

On 2026-09-28, $Geo Energy Res(RE4.SI)$ shows a strong gap up, with increased volume. SO, what is behind? Company Background in Brief Founded in 2008, Geo Energy Resources Ltd. is an investment holding company that serves major Asian energy and industrial markets through three core segments: Coal Mining (selling coal from its own operations), Coal Trading (reselling third-party coal), and Mining Services (providing mining contracting and project management). Why It's on the Watchlist (Key Growth Catalysts) Surging Sales Volume: 3Q2026, coal sales reached approximately 3.3 million tonnes, nearly matching the combined output of 3.6 million tonnes from the first two quarters. Favorable Pricing: Average Indonesian Coal Index (ICI4) prices for 4,200
Stock Watch 2026-09-28: Geo Energy Resources
TOPnizzmo: That $11 per tonne cost cut is doing real work here. On 3.3 million tonnes, the quarterly profit uplift can get pretty meaningful if execution stays clean
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靖润
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09-28
$老虎证券(TIGR)$ I Stopped Trying to Outsmart the Fed, and It Saved My Portfolio I used to think I could predict the Fed. I’d read every dot plot, hang on every word from Powell, and convince myself I knew when the pivot was coming. Then August happened. The 10-year yield punched through 5%, and suddenly every stock I owned was trading on macro, not fundamentals. Good earnings? Didn’t matter. Strong guidance? Ignored. If you were a long-duration growth name, you got sold. I watched solid companies drop 10–15% in a week for no other reason than “rates are higher.” That’s when I finally accepted something simple: I can’t control rates. I can only control my exposure. So I changed my approach. I cut my position sizes. I stopped averaging down on broken c
$老虎证券(TIGR)$ I Stopped Trying to Outsmart the Fed, and It Saved My Portfolio I used to think I could predict the Fed. I’d read every dot plot, hang...
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Shyon
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09-28
For me, the most interesting call is definitely $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ . Rothschild & Co Redburn at $54 versus JPMorgan at $125 shows how divided Wall Street is on AI infrastructure. I am bullish long term, but I also see the risks from high capital requirements, valuation and execution. I would rather build gradually than chase a rally. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ is another upgrade I find interesting. Azure, enterprise AI adoption and its broader ecosystem give Microsoft multiple ways to monetize AI. Still, I would watch valuation closely because even strong companies can pull back when expectations get too high. For my
For me, the most interesting call is definitely $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ . Rothschild & Co Redburn at $54 versus JPMorgan at $125 shows how divided ...
TOPFabianGracie: That 125 versus 54 spread is the whole story. Market is paying up for certainty, and CoreWeave's GPU capacity plus those tie-ups are exactly why the premium sticks
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koolgal
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09-28
🌟🌟🌟Wall Street just gave a masterclass in market psychology.  One minute $Intel(INTC)$ is ripping higher.  It is up a huge 33% that makes you feel like a genius holding it.  The next minute it drops 3.45% last Friday afternoon.  Anxiety is creeping back and you wonder if the party is over. Let's be honest.  The market loves to whisper scary things into an investor's ear.  It tells us that massive, legendary years are almost impossible to duplicate back to back.  It reminds us of the ghosts of dot.com failures. But this time, history did not anticipate a world where the US government becomes a core stakeholder of Intel, a world where tech titans like NVIDIA inject billions into joint fab partnerships.  This
🌟🌟🌟Wall Street just gave a masterclass in market psychology. One minute $Intel(INTC)$ is ripping higher. It is up a huge 33% that makes you feel li...
TOPblimpy: Government backing and fab headlines sound good, but do they fix the process gap or the share loss? I care way more about gross margin and capex discipline here.
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koolgal
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09-28
🌟🌟🌟For the past 2 years, the investing world acted like the AI revolution began and ended with high powered microchips.  We fell all over ourselves to buy the shovels - the silicon, the fabricators, the packaging plants. But nobody stopped to ask a basic question: How are we going to plug these monsters in? Enter $Bloom Energy Corp(BE)$ with its huge 8.27% surge.  Selling the electricity has officially become sexier than selling the hardware. There is no denying that Bloom's eye watering vertical climb has priced in a lot of perfection.  But don't lose sight of the reality.  This isn't a speculative software.  Bloom's immediate onsite power generation is being deployed by hyper scalers like Oracle & Intel who cannot af
🌟🌟🌟For the past 2 years, the investing world acted like the AI revolution began and ended with high powered microchips. We fell all over ourselves ...
TOPOwenBess: Onsite power is the bottleneck now, not the chip story. Oracle and Intel using Bloom matters way more than the 8% pop — deployments showing up in the next few quarters are the real proof
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Hakunayourtatas
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09-28
Replying to @dong123:Fair on SGA, but look at the Barber Lake extension: 20-yr lease locked in with a top AI lab taking contracted revenue to $9B+. Securing elevated rates 10 yrs in advance isn't something competitors are doing. If execution hits through 2027, top-line growth easily absorbs that overhead.//@dong123:Execution quality can be modeled though. If SG&A has been growing faster than revenue, the “right people” story may already be showing up as cost before occupancy does
@Hakunayourtatas:
$CIFR CALENDAR 260925/261009 PUT 19.0/PUT 19.0$ $CIFR CALENDAR 260925/261009 PUT 19.0/PUT 19.0$ 1️⃣ Why am I making this trade now? Rolled puts again, always forgetting to close these orders. Prices should be backtesting support levels here at around 18.2. Im firmly bullish here on CIFR, given the data centre rollout is still in it's early stages and skepticism about CIFR still being high is where the edge / surprise lies. Believe that they have the execution strength and having the right people in the right place is something that cannot be put into numbers/ or any valuation metr
$CIFR CALENDAR 260925/261009 PUT 19.0/PUT 19.0$ $CIFR CALENDAR 260925/261009 PUT 19.0/PUT 19.0$ 1️⃣ Why am I making this trade now? Rolled puts again, always forgetting to close these orders. Prices should be backtesting support levels here at around 18.2. Im firmly bullish here on CIFR, given the data centre rollout is still in it's early stages and skepticism about CIFR still being high is where the edge / surprise lies. Believe that they have the execution strength and having the right people in the right place is something that cannot be put into numbers/ or any valuation metr
Replying to @dong123:Fair on SGA, but look at the Barber Lake extension: 20-yr lease locked in with a top AI lab taking contracted revenue to $9B+....
TOPdimpy: The 20-year lease matters more than the headline $9B for me. Locking in a top AI tenant that far out says the demand curve is real, not just management optimism.
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Capital_Insights
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09-28

💻 McKinsey Sees a $2.3 Trillion Semiconductor Market by 2030: Where Will AI Create the Most Value?

Hey Tigers 🐯! The AI semiconductor story may be much bigger than previously expected. In its latest outlook, McKinsey raised its 2030 base-case forecast for the global semiconductor market to $2.3 trillion. Its previous estimate, published in late 2025, was: $1.6T → $2.3T by 2030 📈 That is a 44% upward revision in less than a year. But for investors, the bigger question is not simply: “How large can the semiconductor market become?” The more important question is: Where is that additional value being created — and which parts of the semiconductor supply chain are benefiting most from the AI infrastructure boom? 🚀 AI Is Changing the Semiconductor Growth Curve The semiconductor industry has always been cyclical. But the current AI cycle looks different. According to McKinsey, semiconductor s
💻 McKinsey Sees a $2.3 Trillion Semiconductor Market by 2030: Where Will AI Create the Most Value?
TOP苏36: For me, the biggest opportunity isn't simply the $2.3T semiconductor forecast—it's identifying where AI infrastructure hits its next bottleneck. GPUs capture attention, but HBM, advanced packaging, and networking determine how efficiently that computing power translates into real performance. As models grow larger, memory bandwidth and packaging capacity could become increasingly valuable. The critical question is whether supply can keep pace without destroying pricing power. Today's shortage creates attractive margins, but tomorrow's aggressive capacity expansion could trigger another semiconductor downcycle. I'm watching HBM and advanced packaging most closely. The winners may not always be the companies building the most powerful chips, but those controlling the components the entire ecosystem cannot operate without. @Capital_Insights [你懂的]
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Option_Movers
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09-28

Option Movers | Microsoft's Call Buys Reveal Bullish Sentiment; Intel's Put Sale Signal Accumulation

Market Overview Wall Street ended higher on Friday (Sept 25), lifted by Microsoft ​and other AI-related technology stocks, while high oil prices and a recent surge in US Treasury yields kept investors on ‌edge. Regarding the options market, a total volume of 63,018,177 contracts was traded, of which 60% were call options. Top 10 Option Volumes Top 10: $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$, $NVIDIA(NVDA)$, $Microsoft(MSFT)$, $Apple(AAPL)$, $Meta Platforms(META)$, $M
Option Movers | Microsoft's Call Buys Reveal Bullish Sentiment; Intel's Put Sale Signal Accumulation
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Ivan_Gan
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09-28

From Macro Cycles to Trading Strategies:What’s Behind My 102.5% Historical Cumulative Return?💵💰

Recently, movements in the U.S. dollar, interest rates, and commodities have drawn considerable attention from investors. In response to investor requests, Tiger organized an in-person discussion this month with traders who had shared strong historical returns, and invited me to take part. On September 19, I gave users in Hong Kong an in-person presentation on trading techniques titled “From Macro Cycles to Trading Strategies: A Discussion of a 102.5% Historical Cumulative Return.” It was a substantive session. The presentation focused on methods and case studies, not specific investment advice. In this in-person session, I shared some of the ways I observe markets and use trading tools, centered on the theme “Finding Trends Through Macro Analysis, Managing Risk Through Trade-Level Decisio
From Macro Cycles to Trading Strategies:What’s Behind My 102.5% Historical Cumulative Return?💵💰
TOPhappiness000: Direction matters, but execution matters more here. The liquidity gap between NQ and MNQ can change the whole PnL path, especially when volatility picks up
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Tiger_SG
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09-28

AI Giants Are Moving Into Singapore — Is an AI Hiring Boom Coming Next?

Singapore's AI race is getting crowded. On September 16, Databricks announced plans to invest more than US$350 million in Singapore over the next three years, more than doubling its local workforce from around 250 to over 500 employees. But Databricks isn't arriving alone. OpenAI, $Alphabet(GOOG)$ and Anthropic are also expanding their presence in Singapore, turning the city-state into an increasingly important base for the global AI industry. The bigger question is no longer simply how much these companies are investing. Could their arrival trigger the next wave of AI jobs in Singapore? 🚀 Databricks Is Betting US$350M on Singapore Databricks' expansion is substantial. Alongside its US$350 million-plus investment, the data and AI c
AI Giants Are Moving Into Singapore — Is an AI Hiring Boom Coming Next?
TOP吉3186: I think Singapore has a strong opportunity to become an important AI hub in Asia, but competition will be intense. The most interesting part for me is job creation. AI companies may create more jobs in software, data, cybersecurity, cloud services, sales and finance. At the same time, some repetitive jobs may become automated. I also think AI skills will become more important than having a traditional job title. People who can use AI to improve their work may have better opportunities. Singapore's location, skilled workforce and strong business environment are important advantages. However, other Asian cities are also investing heavily in AI. So, I would say it is too early to know who will become the leading AI hub, but Singapore is clearly positioning itself strongly.
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TigerObserver
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09-28

Tiger Weekly (Sep 28–Oct 2): Record Tech Meets 5% Yields— PCE, Payrolls & the NKE/MU Doubleheader

Last Week's Recap 1.Weekly Market Digest: NASDAQ Hits Record, Yields at 20-Year Highs, Fed Hikes, Oil Eases Mixed results — Borrowing costs escalated as yields reached two-decade highs. 10-year Treasury finished at 5.16% (from 5.01%), 30-year at 5.49%, 2-year at 4.85%. NASDAQ's breakout week — $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ climbed to a record high Tuesday (eclipsing early June peak), finishing +2.1% for the week. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ +1.2%, $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ +0.3%. Oil prices ease — U.S. crude $WTI Crude Oil - main 2611(CLmain)$ fell to ~$92 Friday on easing Middle East tensions, down from $106 on September 15 and well below the Y
Tiger Weekly (Sep 28–Oct 2): Record Tech Meets 5% Yields— PCE, Payrolls & the NKE/MU Doubleheader
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TBlive
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09-28

[Live With Kenny Loh] Tax Optimization Framework & Investment Logic for Your SRS

Singapore's Supplementary Retirement Scheme has quietly become one of the largest pools of under-worked capital in the country. Cumulative contributions have climbed from S$5.97bn in 2015 to S$23.88bn in 2025 — a fourfold expansion in a decade. But the more telling number sits inside that total: roughly a fifth of all SRS monies is still parked as idle cash, earning 0.05% a year while food inflation runs at 2.2%. That gap isn't a rounding error. It's a slow, compounding transfer of purchasing power away from the very people the scheme was designed to protect. A dollar contributed for tax relief and then left uninvested buys less at 65 than it did the day it went in. The arithmetic is unforgiving in both directions. S$100,000 sitting in an SRS account earns S$501 over ten years. The same S$
[Live With Kenny Loh] Tax Optimization Framework & Investment Logic for Your SRS
TOPwavyix: S$100,000 at 6.2% inside SRS compounds to roughly S$182,000 in ten years if distributions stay reinvested. The tax deferral is nice, but reinvestment discipline is doing most of the work here
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