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7.13K
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JC888
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10-14

BAC, a Buy amidst Selloff, Q3 & Fines ?

BRK.B’s Continued BAC Exit Under new $Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$ CEO Greg Abel, the continued reduction of $Bank of America(BAC)$ is the most conspicuous portfolio decision heading into BAC’s Q3 2026 earnings report. BRK.B’s Q2 2026 13F showed a sale of about 30.2 million BAC shares, equivalent to a -5.9% reduction and roughly $1.7 billion at quarter-end prices. It was BRK.B’s largest dollar reduction during the quarter. The sale continued the disciplined approach set by Warren Buffett. BRK.B owned just over 1.03 billion BAC shares in mid-2024 and has reduced its stake every quarter since. By the end of June 2026, it held 483.4 million shares, less than half of its earlier position. The Q2 filing marked t
BAC, a Buy amidst Selloff, Q3 & Fines ?
TOP1PC: Nice Sharing 😁 @koolgal @Barcode @Aqa @DiAngel @Shyon @Shernice軒嬣 2000
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6.44K
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Capital_Insights
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10-14

"Infinite Demand" vs. "Trillions Destroyed": Wall Street's Smartest Minds Just Split on AI

October 14, 2026 — Investor Education: The AI Debate, Mapped For the past two years, the AI trade had one voice. This week, it has two — and they're shouting past each other. On one side: Jensen Huang, who just repeated that global AI infrastructure capex will hit $3–4 trillion annually by 2030, insisting demand is "nowhere near" supply-constrained growth. On the other: Michael Burry, the man who called the housing bubble, arguing that AI will consume and destroy trillions in capital — and that markets may need to fall just to stop AI IPOs from vacuuming up the money. Between them sits the most important disagreement in markets right now: Is the AI supercycle a real productivity revolution — or a capex bubble priced for perfection? Here's the full map of who's saying what, so you can decid
"Infinite Demand" vs. "Trillions Destroyed": Wall Street's Smartest Minds Just Split on AI
TOP苏36: The AI Boom: Real Revolution, Dangerous Valuations The biggest mistake investors make is assuming revolutionary technology automatically makes every related stock a good investment. Jensen Huang may be right about AI transforming the economy, while Michael Burry may also be right that investors are overpaying. Both can be correct. The real issue is capital efficiency. Billions are flowing into chips, data centers and energy, but spending is not profitability. If AI revenues fail to justify investments, depreciation, debt costs and shrinking margins could expose weaknesses hidden by today's growth figures. My view:Don't bet against AI; question the price you pay.The next phase will reward companies that convert computing power into sustainable cash flow, not those selling the most exciting AI narrative. @Capital_Insights [暗中观察]
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Mathematical Money
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10-13

Korea's Memory Stocks Fell 8% Today. Western Digital Doesn't Make Memory

$Western Digital(WDC)$   Mathematical Money | October 13, 2026 The KOSPI broke below 6,000 today, down more than 7% intraday and triggering a sell-side trading curb for the first time in two months. SK Hynix fell over 9%. Samsung Electronics over 8%. $WDC$ is down about 6% as I write, at roughly $362 against Monday's close of $387. I own the shares, I own long-dated calls, and I wrote about this sector eight days ago. So I went and read what actually happened rather than assuming the move told me something about my position. It mostly doesn't, but the part that does is uncomfortable, and I would rather set out both than pick the half that suits the position. What actually happened in Korea The trigger was CXMT, a Chinese memory maker, whi
Korea's Memory Stocks Fell 8% Today. Western Digital Doesn't Make Memory
TOPWayneEvans: The HDD moat still looks intact to me. If those customer agreements really run into 2029, this feels more like sentiment spillover than thesis damage
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苏36
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10-13
I would choose B, but the real question is whether AI can turn massive investment into sustainable profits. Revenue growth alone cannot justify every valuation. Investors must examine cash flow, margins, and whether AI spending generates sufficient returns. Strong demand means little if companies cannot monetize it effectively. Rising Treasury yields also pressure valuations. Even great companies can see their stocks fall when expectations become excessive. My view: AI remains a powerful growth engine, but earnings must catch up with expectations. Otherwise, today's winners could become tomorrow's valuation risks. The next earnings season will reveal which companies have real pricing power and which are simply riding market enthusiasm. @
I would choose B, but the real question is whether AI can turn massive investment into sustainable profits. Revenue growth alone cannot justify eve...
TOPstomachooo: CapEx efficiency matters more than hype here. If recurring revenue stays thin, margins can look good for a quarter and still not hold up
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1.25K
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Shyon
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10-13
I think option ④ is the most reasonable for now. AI memory demand remains strong, and $Cxmt Corporation(688825)$ CXMT’s technological progress does not automatically mean it can achieve mass production at competitive costs or quickly challenge established players. I believe the memory supercycle is still intact for now, but today’s selloff reminds me that no growth story moves in a straight line. I will be watching DRAM pricing, production capacity and customer demand to see whether the supply-demand balance is genuinely changing. For $Micron Technology(MU)$ , I prefer to stay patient rather than panic over short-term volatility. Competition is worth monitoring, but I would not assume the memory upcycle
I think option ④ is the most reasonable for now. AI memory demand remains strong, and $Cxmt Corporation(688825)$ CXMT’s technological progress does...
TOPBertScott: Contract pricing matters more here than spot. HBM can stay tight while commodity DRAM gets noisy, so I would wait for earnings and capacity data first
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koolgal
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10-14
🌟🌟🌟I believe that $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ is likely to close Green, 5% to 10% post earnings.  Why?  TSMC has officially posted a record shattering Q3 revenue of NTD 1.49 trillion (USD 46.71 billion) on October 8.  This represents a mind boggling 50% year on year increase.  It also completely cleared the upper ceiling of TSMC's own Q3 guidance bracket of USD 44.6 billion to USD 45.8 billion. Net profit is projected to expand by 65%.  This sheer financial dominance provides a rock solid floor that prevents the stock from turning flat or red. Morgan Stanley is predicting that TSMC's management will lift its full year 2026 revenue guidance up to the low to mid 40% range.  This sends a clear message that
🌟🌟🌟I believe that $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ is likely to close Green, 5% to 10% post earnings. Why? TSMC has officially posted a re...
TOPblinkix: Great quarter, but earnings beats do not automatically mean plus 5 to 10. Capex is still massive and free cash flow matters more to me here.
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Lanceljx
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10-14
My conviction is lower, but not broken. CXMT changes the long-term risk premium for memory. If it can turn 4F² into competitive, high-yield mass production, Chinese supply could eventually pressure conventional DRAM pricing and challenge the industry's current structure. But announcing an architecture is very different from producing server-grade DRAM economically at scale. Yield, reliability, customer qualification and volume are the real tests. Until CXMT demonstrates those, I see the sell-off as the market pricing in a credible new risk rather than proof that the memory cycle has fundamentally changed. Hock Tan's warning matters too. If capital becomes the constraint on AI build-outs, demand expectations could cool even before new Chinese supply arrives. So I would still hold quality me
My conviction is lower, but not broken. CXMT changes the long-term risk premium for memory. If it can turn 4F² into competitive, high-yield mass pr...
TOPbubblyo: Capex pressure is the part people still underprice. Even before CXMT scales, tighter financing can slow the whole memory buildout and reset demand assumptions fast.
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1.42K
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Sporeshare
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10-14
$SGX(S68.SI)$    SGX - TA wise, bearish mode. She may go down to test 20.55. If unable to hold we may see further weakness ahead. Next, She may test 20 than 18.70. Pls dyodd. 2nd October 2026: SGX - It looks like the market doesn't like the latest development, price tank this morning to touch 21.50, looks like more weakness ahead! She had broken down below 20,50,100 Days Moving Average likely to go down to revisit 21.00 , 200 days Moving Average. If unable to reclaim 21.00, she may go further downward to 20.00 and below. Yield is low about 2%. Must well get something else better like SSB or other dividend counter like SingTel, Sembcorp Ind, Venture etc. Not a call to buy or sell. Pls dyodd. 
$SGX(S68.SI)$ SGX - TA wise, bearish mode. She may go down to test 20.55. If unable to hold we may see further weakness ahead. Next, She may test 2...
TOPAmyMacaulay: 2% yield is the bigger problem here. SGX was never really a yield play, so once the chart rolls over it gets hard to defend
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943
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koolgal
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10-14
🌟Will $Microsoft(MSFT)$ latest move to cut Azure costs by 20% unleash profits or confirm AI bubble?  There are 2 sides of the coin: The Bull Case: The Efficiency Unleased Play Azure is shifting focus toward infrastructure economics.  By deploying internal custom chips like the new Maia 300 next year, Microsoft is trying to break free from NVIDIA's margin crushing monopoly.  By cutting back 20% of its costs, it allows Microsoft to use the money saved on this new transition.  When these huge hardware investments finally begin to scale & monetise through enterprise Copilot, it will unleash a tidal wave of pure operating profit. The Bear Case: The ROI Nightmare The truth could be that the return on AI investment fail to matc
🌟Will $Microsoft(MSFT)$ latest move to cut Azure costs by 20% unleash profits or confirm AI bubble? There are 2 sides of the coin: The Bull Case: T...
TOPAmyMacaulay: That 20% cut barely dents a USD115B capex bill. I care more about when AI ROI actually turns positive
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1.12K
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Shyon
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10-14
I think option ① matters most: whether EUV orders remain strong. $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ supplies essential equipment for advanced logic and memory chips, so strong bookings would suggest chipmakers remain confident in long-term AI demand despite concerns about memory oversupply. For me, the key is not just whether ASML beats Q3 estimates, but whether management maintains its 2027 expansion plans and provides a confident outlook. Strong bookings would support the AI growth story, while weaker orders or delayed deliveries would raise concerns about future spending. I remain bullish on AI infrastructure long term, but I do not expect every semiconductor stock to rise together. I will focus on sustainable demand, competitive advantages and valuati
I think option ① matters most: whether EUV orders remain strong. $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ supplies essential equipment for advanced logic and memory...
TOPjazzyxx: EUV orders are not a clean AI readthrough though. Some of that can just be legacy server and memory capex getting pulled forward, and 2027 optimism can still be management selling the dream lol
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1.23K
Selection
Isleigh
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10-14

Big Banks Just Reported. The Numbers Were Better Than the Stock Reactions. My Pick Is JPM, But Not at Any Price.

The first major bank results are in, and the market reaction is surprisingly useful. JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup and Wells Fargo collectively showed that high rates are still producing substantial earnings power. Net interest income remains strong, loan growth has not collapsed, and broad credit deterioration is not yet evident. Yet bank stocks sold off after the results. That tells me the market is no longer asking whether banks can make money at high rates. It is asking: How much of today's profitability is sustainable if rates stay high long enough to hurt borrowers, dealmaking and credit quality? That distinction determines what I would buy. NIM Is Strong, But Credit Is the Real Test Higher rates initially help banks because assets reprice and lending yields rise. JPMorgan gener
Big Banks Just Reported. The Numbers Were Better Than the Stock Reactions. My Pick Is JPM, But Not at Any Price.
TOPblinxz: CRE is still the real stress test here. NII looks great, but 22.91% ROE won't save the multiple if charge-offs start creeping.
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1.01K
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D1ane
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10-14

Microsoft - Why Morgan Stanley Sees $600

What if $Microsoft(MSFT)$  doesn’t need to win the AI model race to win the AI business? Morgan Stanley has reiterated its Overweight rating on Microsoft, maintaining a $600 price target. The investment thesis goes beyond Azure’s cloud growth or Copilot’s popularity. It centres on Microsoft’s ability to orchestrate different AI models, data and applications within one enterprise ecosystem. Here’s why that matters. 🔹 1. AI Models Are Becoming More Interchangeable Businesses don’t necessarily want to depend on a single AI provider. They want to choose models based on cost, performance, security and the task involved. As open-weight models improve and competition intensifies, the companies building AI models could face pricing pressure. Mic
Microsoft - Why Morgan Stanley Sees $600
TOPcheezzy: The moat is still platform integration, not the model alone. Azure plus Office plus Teams is what makes enterprise budgets sticky, and 544 premarket barely changes that
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29.98K
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SG DLC News
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10-14

HSTECH Rebounds +1.6% with 7x Long DLC up +11%; Xiaomi, Meituan, Alibaba Lead Gains

The Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH) edged higher in early trading on Wednesday (14 Oct), rising around 1.6% as of the lunch close. This lifted the HSTECH 7x Long DLC (XQ4W) by more than 11%, while the HSTECH 7x Short DLC(9B2W) declined by a similar magnitude. $HSTECH(HSTECH)$ has declined around 25% year-to-date and recently touched 4,065, returning close to levels last seen before Beijing’s September 2024 stimulus-driven rally. In the past three weeks, HSTECH has fallen 6.8%. Over the same period, the HSTECH 7x Short DLC(9B2W) gained around 48%, while the HSTECH 7x Long DLC (XQ4W) fell around 45%. Among the today's top gainers were $XIAOMI-W(01810)$ , $MEITUAN-W(0
HSTECH Rebounds +1.6% with 7x Long DLC up +11%; Xiaomi, Meituan, Alibaba Lead Gains
Comment
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1.55K
Selection
Tiger_Earnings
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10-14

[Earnings Recap] Goldman Beats, JPMorgan Misses— What’s Going On?

Wall Street earnings season opened with a surprisingly wide gap between the big banks.Goldman Sachs delivered a blowout quarter as volatile markets drove a surge in equity trading. JPMorgan posted a rare earnings miss, while Wells Fargo topped profit expectations but fell short on revenue and net interest income. Citi beat on both the top and bottom lines, yet its shares still sold off sharply. $Goldman Sachs(GS)$ -0.23% Goldman Sachs is a leading Wall Street investment bank focused on trading, dealmaking and asset management. Third-quarter net revenue rose 23% to $18.68 billion, while EPS came in at $17.01, far above the $13.02 analysts expected. Equities trading was the standout. Revenue from the business jumped 72% to $6.44 billion as clients rep
[Earnings Recap] Goldman Beats, JPMorgan Misses— What’s Going On?
TOPKentzw: I think consumers are becoming more selective rather than stopping spending altogether. Everyday essentials still get priority, but higher prices and borrowing costs are making people think twice about discretionary purchases. The key question is whether consumer resilience can continue into Q4.
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D1ane
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10-13
$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$  is back in the spotlight after launching two new AI models, Muse Wonder and Muse Wonder Full. Shares rose more than 3% following the announcement as investors gained fresh evidence that Meta’s huge AI investment may be starting to deliver results.  🧠 What’s different this time? Meta says its new models can compete with leading offerings from OpenAI and Anthropic. The standout features are: 🔹 Active Memory — remembers important details across conversations, reducing the need for users to repeat themselves. 🔹 Active Focus — works through complex tasks, tries alternative approaches and recovers from errors. 🔹 Real-world applications — from coding and analysing documents to handling more complicated professional tas
$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ is back in the spotlight after launching two new AI models, Muse Wonder and Muse Wonder Full. Shares rose more than 3%...
TOPIreneWells: The real payoff is ad pricing, not just model bragging rights. Active Memory plus Meta's distribution can monetize way faster than the capex narrative implies
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947
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Option_Movers
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10-14

Option Movers | SpaceX Drops 4%, Oracle Gains 4%; $13.77M SpaceX Synthetic Short and Bearish Oracle Options Flow in Focus

Market Overview The Nasdaq ended lower on Tuesday (Oct 13 ) ​as chip stocks added to recent losses and investors parsed mixed quarterly results from Citigroup and other ‌big US banks. Regarding the options market, a total volume of 54,455,358 contracts was traded, of which 57% were call options. Top 10 Option Volumes Top 10: $NVDA(NVDA)$, $AAPL(AAPL)$, $MU(MU)$, $SPCX(SPCX)$, $TSLA(TSLA)$, $INTC(INTC)$, $AMZN(AMZN)$, $GME(GME)$,
Option Movers | SpaceX Drops 4%, Oracle Gains 4%; $13.77M SpaceX Synthetic Short and Bearish Oracle Options Flow in Focus
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536
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D1ane
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10-14

Progressive— Can Insurance Deliver When Markets Get Volatile?

When investors focus on inflation, interest rates and technology valuations, one industry deserves attention for a different reason: insurance. What does $Progressive(PGR)$  do? Progressive is one of America’s largest auto insurers. It sells personal and commercial auto insurance, along with property insurance, and earns revenue primarily from premiums and investment income. 🔍 Why watch PGR? 🚗 1. A business built around everyday needs Drivers need insurance regardless of whether the stock market is rising or falling. That gives Progressive exposure to an essential service rather than relying on discretionary consumer spending. 💰 2. Underwriting is the key Insurance companies don’t automatically profit from collecting premiums. Claims, rep
Progressive— Can Insurance Deliver When Markets Get Volatile?
TOPjazzyxx: Combined ratio is the whole story here. If PGR keeps printing sub-100 for a few quarters, underwriting can matter more than the investment lift.
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D1ane
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10-14

ASML Earnings: The Signal That Could Move More Than Semiconductors

The real question isn’t how many chips the world needs today. It’s how much money chipmakers are willing to spend to meet tomorrow’s demand. ASML reports today, followed by TSMC on October 15. Together, their results could offer important clues about the next phase of the semiconductor cycle. Here’s what I’m watching. 🔍 1. ASML’s Order Book: Is the Spending Still There? ASML supplies the advanced lithography equipment needed to manufacture the world’s most sophisticated chips. New orders and management’s outlook will help show whether chipmakers remain confident enough to invest in additional production capacity. Strong demand for AI chips is encouraging, but equipment orders will reveal whether that demand is translating into actual spending commitments. 📦 2. TSMC’s Advanced Packaging: A
ASML Earnings: The Signal That Could Move More Than Semiconductors
TOPcheeryx: Capex confidence is the real read here. If ASML orders soften, that says more about post-AI demand conviction than today’s chip demand.
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975
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D1ane
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10-14

CPI Tonight: The Market Is Calm, But for How Long?

Wall Street isn’t necessarily waiting for good news. It’s waiting to find out whether inflation will change the Fed’s next move. US stocks barely moved on Tuesday as investors positioned themselves ahead of September’s CPI report. With the S&P 500 down just 0.02% and the Nasdaq-100 slipping 0.33%, the market appears reluctant to make a big move before the numbers arrive. Here’s what matters tonight. 📊 1. Headline CPI: The Energy Problem Forecast: 3.6% year-on-year, up from 3.4%. Rising gasoline prices are expected to drive much of the increase. If headline inflation rises as expected but core inflation remains contained, markets may look through the energy-driven spike. The bigger concern is whether higher energy costs eventually feed into transport, food and other everyday expenses. 📉
CPI Tonight: The Market Is Calm, But for How Long?
TOPChristKitto: Core worries me more. If monthly core prints 0.3% or higher, the market probably reprices fast. I’d watch the 2Y yield before the indexes.
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5.06K
Selection
AI_FocusedTrader
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10-14

Rate-Hike Ghosts, an AI Credit Squeeze: The Macro Tape Behind Today's Split Market

Global Macro & Market-Moving News, Decoded I. The Fed Put Is Dead. Meet the Fed Hike. Goolsbee: AI inflation is "spilling out of the lane." Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee delivered the clearest hawkish signal of this entire cycle: AI-related inflation has begun pushing up prices beyond data centers into the broader economy, inflation remains too high, and — asked directly whether the FOMC should hike this month — his answer boiled down to: if inflation stays elevated, what the Fed must do "is very clear." He added that if the AI bubble deflates, leverage means it could "get ugly." Markets now price roughly 64% odds of an October hike. That single number is the gravitational force pulling Nasdaq futures down 0.55% this morning. Waller: Let the bond market do the work. Governor Wa
Rate-Hike Ghosts, an AI Credit Squeeze: The Macro Tape Behind Today's Split Market
TOP苏36: AI's Biggest Risk Is No Longer Valuation — It's the Cost of Money The market may be underestimating the biggest threat to the AI boom: financing costs. As inflation concerns strengthen and Treasury yields remain elevated, the Federal Reserve has less room to support expensive valuations. Goolsbee's warning that AI-driven inflation is spreading beyond data centers adds another layer of risk. The deeper concern is that AI infrastructure spending increasingly depends on debt, while productivity gains have yet to justify the investment. If borrowing costs rise faster than revenues, even promising companies could face painful repricing. My view:AI is not necessarily a bubble, but its financing model deserves scrutiny. The next winners may not be companies spending the most on AI, but those converting that spending into sustainable cash flow. Revenue growth attracts attention; profitable growth determines survival. @AI_FocusedTrader [贱笑]
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