Macro Trend

Monetary policy, various types of price indices... Here is everything about the macro economy!

GOLD: Will Gold Maintain Upward Momentum?

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ Due to the impact of the U.S. Independence Day holiday, trading in precious metals, crude oil, foreign exchange, and stock indices will conclude early, ending at 13:00 Eastern Time on the 5th! The gold market saw limited volatility, as I already mentioned during the Asian market session! The buy orders near the 3,330 level mentioned in the European market have now entered a small profit-taking phase! For safety reasons, you may choose to close your positions to lock in profits Wishing everyone a pleasant weekend! To better understand the market, it is essential to closely monitor weekend market news!ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏩 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading lim
GOLD: Will Gold Maintain Upward Momentum?

GOLD:It Will Continue to Maintain its Status as a Safe-haven Asset

$Gold - main 2508(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Technical Analysis: D1 Chart, Gold prices are currently consolidating above the 20-day moving average (3,300 USD), with the overall trend still leaning towards an uptrend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering above 60 and has not entered the overbought zone, indicating that prices have further room to rise.If the gold price holds above the 3,300 support level, it may test the 3,355 resistance level; a break above this level would strengthen the medium-term upward momentum. The key support level is near the 50-day moving average, around the 3,260 USD area.Although the gold market has experienced a technical correction in the short term
GOLD:It Will Continue to Maintain its Status as a Safe-haven Asset

.SPX: Can We Get a Continuation Higher Leading into Earnings Season?

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ The last time we saw July post a negative return was in 2014. That doesn't mean every trader is going to end the month green this year.It still requires you to respect your trading rules, trading plan, and have the highest forms of patience and discipline. I've seen many traders lose everything in the most bullish environments because of greed, lack of discipline, and emotional decision making.If you want to end the month in the green, Make sure you study the important levels in $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ . These two are your compass. It will help you determine which direction to trade and when to stay bullish or switch bearish
.SPX: Can We Get a Continuation Higher Leading into Earnings Season?

.SPX: July is Seasonally Strong

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you!1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ thoughts: Following a review of my weekend market analysis, I cannot yet become bearish and remain in a kind of 'autopilot' bull mode. I will likely share cautious analysis as the market gets frothy to keep my own thoughts in check.The sentiment and equity positioning are stretching to the upside, however the market can operate in extreme greed for much longer than a single week. July is seasonally strong. There is plenty of space to carve out a healthy corrective structure towards 6080, this is ~3%. Sentiment and positioning would likely cool in this scenario. Until trend, breadth and momentum breakdown corrective moves towards 6080 earn the benefit of the do
.SPX: July is Seasonally Strong

GOLD: The Short-term Adjustment

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2508(GCmain)$ Gold hit a low of around 3255, and I predict it will reach 3250! The decline is inevitable, and the sell orders of gold continue to make a big profit. I have already prompted my partners to enter the sell order transaction in the Asian market... Obviously, the sell orders have made a biThg profit! Remember that the short-term decline and adjustment of gold has not ended yet, and it will definitely fall below 3200 next week. This post is a proof! ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏩 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Fi
GOLD: The Short-term Adjustment
avatar8899Nar
06-12

MY TOP 10 STOCKS FOR 2025 (UPDATE)đŸ§”

These stocks are up +32.4% on average YTD vs +3.0% of S&P500 đŸ€Ż1) $Alibaba(BABA)$ The biggest ecommerce in the world with >$1T GMV and the biggest cloud services provider in China at 12x Fwd PE. Natan's fair value: ~$162 (+34%)Image2) $TransMedics Group, Inc.(TMDX)$ Stock is up 2X YTD after the unjustified hard sell-off.The company is innovating the transplants market and they plan to achieve 10k transplants in 2028.Natan's fair value: ~$162 (+13%)Image3) $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ Meta is my favorite big tech at current prices trading at 27X Fwd PE.The social networks giant is spending billion of $ in Capex to build their AI data centers.In my opinion Me
MY TOP 10 STOCKS FOR 2025 (UPDATE)đŸ§”

.SPX: Momentum is Up but Still Need Time

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you!1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Through Tuesday the market risk-off signals remain absent. Trend is up until prices close below 6100 (this level will climb as the 20 day moves up)More stocks are making new highs than new lows. Breadth is good in this measure.Momentum is up, but arguably neutral over the last two months0/3 risk off criteria. Everybody knows I enjoy trading the bear scenario. It’s not there yet for me.For whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏩 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more hereTrade on a
.SPX: Momentum is Up but Still Need Time

GOLD: Upward Channel Has Opened!

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2508(GCmain)$ As the US dollar index continues to pull back! There is no sign of rebound, causing gold to break through the important resistance of 3352! This wave of rise will reach 3380! It will break through $3400 this week! (The US dollar index and gold move in opposite directions) Image2.Gold reached a high of around 3342.5 and is currently in a phase of volatile growth! However, it is important to note that there is strong resistance in the 3345-50 range! Today's gold purchases also yielded significant profits! With a maximum profit of over 230 points, it is recommended to close profits around 3345! Protect your profits!
GOLD: Upward Channel Has Opened!

.SPX: The "Chaotic" July has Just Begun

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you!1.MPW Bamboo Scroll #179 Posted: $S&P 500(.SPX)$ (1) well, nothing happened on July 5th, the rumored Mega-quake date, but, the "chaotic" July has just begun. (2) many factors point to a fast and sharp resolution, mimicking the elevator and stairs. ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏩 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more hereTrade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.💰Join the TB Contra Telegram
.SPX: The "Chaotic" July has Just Begun

Is Starbucks about to Rise again?

$Starbucks(SBUX)$ “I will have a pumpkin spice latter, double pump of sugar, no foam please”“Sir, this is a Wendy’s. Starbucks is next door”Starbucks could be back. This week, I am looking at why the company had 5 consecutive quarters of declining profits, and how it’s trying to get back to the old Starbucks of before.It’s no secret that Starbucks has been struggling. I still remember I used to chill at a Starbucks to talk with friends and colleagues, sipping on hot latte.But that’s not the Starbucks that you know now.In recent years, Starbucks shifted to having less seats and made things minimalistic. They don’t want you to sit down and enjoy because space and rent are expensive.Instead, they want you to buy a coffee to go and leave.It doesn’t he
Is Starbucks about to Rise again?

Here is What Jamie Dimon Sees Coming?

Jamie Dimon recently came out with an ominous prediction: "Bond market is going to crack."We have already started to see this play out.Bond yields are surging, job growth is slowing, and the deficit is about to explode.Here is what Jamie Dimon sees coming: đŸ§” $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Image1/ When Jamie Dimon speaks, we listen.He took JP Morgan Chase unscathed from the 2008 Financial Crisis and played a pivotal role in containing the 2023 Banking Crisis.Now he warns us all that the bond yields will explode.2/ It's not just Jamie Dimon.Two weeks before him, Ray Dalio also warned about basically the same thing.There will not be enough demand for the US bonds.This can potentially kick the US into stagflation.How?3/ Look at the yields.Since the Fed started c
Here is What Jamie Dimon Sees Coming?

Here is Why UNH is an Asymmetric Opportunity

1/ $UnitedHealth(UNH)$ was once a market darling, now everybody hates it.Yet, revenues keep growing, it still dominates the industry and margins are set to expand.Here is why UNH is an asymmetric opportunity now: đŸ§”2/ UNH is dominating the healthcare in the US.Its stock has appreciated 981x since 1985.How the hell UNH achieved this while other helthcare groups like $CVS Health(CVS)$ appreciated only 9x in the same period.The answer is its structure.It's vertically integrated.Image3/ It's a full-stack healthcare company.It has two main businesses: UnitedHealthcare and Optum.UnitedHealthcare provides health insurance while Optum provides the care services and pharmacy benefit management.This allows UNH to have
Here is Why UNH is an Asymmetric Opportunity

Is China's EV Industry in Trouble?

It’s good to be back.I had an awesome holiday in South Korea, getting my annual dose of Kpop and Korean food (I am all Kimchi-ed out now).This week, I am looking into the troubles in the Chinese electric vehicle (EV) industry as EV players have once again cut prices.Could $BYD Co., Ltd.(BYDDY)$ actually be building a nightmare?“Right this way, Mrs Chin. This is the newest EV model by Great Wall Motor. We have recently cut the price by 10%”Mrs Chin, like many Chinese consumers, just glances over. She then folds her arm and say, “Can you go cheaper? BYD’s one is 20% lower. If not, I will just go next door”The salesman holds his tongue, smiles and takes out a a list of prices, “Just for you, Madam, we are willing to cut by 25% for you.”China’s elect
Is China's EV Industry in Trouble?

.SPX: The Important Week Next Week!

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you!1.MPW Scroll 178 Posted: $S&P 500(.SPX)$ (1) that is a gigantic volcanic eruption--I am talking about the stock market; no, I am also talking about sth going to hit the stock market. (2) next week will be the most important week this year, or even this decade.Image2.Parabolic Move: (1) after breaking the purple trendline, SPX rose in an accelerating pace to hit 6184 ATH. (2) From 5934's Iran Single Missile Low, SPX rocked 250 points without break--this type of dash, at the current stage, most likely leads to one outcome. (3) THE BLACK EYE.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏩 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with
.SPX: The Important Week Next Week!

The Upcoming Week's Important Events and Data Preview

1. $Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ Monday's Trend Asian Market Trend: Gold extended its gains and is on track to test the 3400 handle in the near term. Gold's bullish momentum remains strong, as depicted by the Relative Strength Index (RSI); the technical indicator has plenty of upside before turning overbought.On the upside, the first resistance level for gold is $3,400, followed by the swing high of $3,438 on 7 May and $3,450. A break above these levels would take gold prices to an all-time high of $3,500.On the bearish side,, if gold falls below $3,300, it is expected to fall to the May 20 low of $3,204, followed by the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) of $3,199. (but the odds are slim)! Monday's open will see gold rise sharply! A test of 3385
The Upcoming Week's Important Events and Data Preview

BTC Breaking Out? All Eyes on $130K 👀🚀

$Bitcoin(BTC.USD.HKCC)$ Bitcoin is showing serious signs of life. After spending over 7 months coiled under the massive 109K resistance zone, today’s price action could be the spark that ignites the next leg higher. We’re finally seeing BTC wake up with dips under 100k being bought up fast. A clean hold above 109K opens the door for a swift push toward 130K and it’s not just a crypto story. A move like that would be a broader signal of risk-on appetite returning to markets, potentially dragging $SPX and other equities into new all-time highs.Macro Tailwinds:Pro-Crypto Policy Shift: With election momentum building, the Trump campaign continues voicing clear pro-crypto policies. The market structure bill and bipartisan support for stablecoin
BTC Breaking Out? All Eyes on $130K 👀🚀

GOLD: Ceasefire Contributes to Plunge!

1. $Gold - main 2508(GCmain)$ Gold opened sharply lower, hitting a low near 3333! Reasons for the plunge: first of all, Israel Iran announced a ceasefire, risk aversion downgrade, and secondly, 3400 is the key resistance that gold can not overcome in the near future! Yesterday I gave the 3388 sell-single signal, a substantial profit, successfully reached the 3368 target position, the highest profit of 200 points. You follow the signal to enter the sell order market? Image2.Gold prices fluctuated widely repeatedly, and there seemed to be no clear direction! At the beginning of the New York market, the highest reached around 3388! Then it continued to adjust and adjust! It shows that buyers and sellers around the world have no clear confidence!
GOLD: Ceasefire Contributes to Plunge!

I’M BUYING THE EOSE PAIN

$Eos Energy Enterprises Inc.(EOSE)$ Eos is down 18%, and people are treating it like a collapse. But step back and look at what’s actually happening — this isn’t what decline looks like. This is what a capital-intensive infrastructure story entering its next phase.Eos is building hardware -- industrial-scale battery systems designed to store renewable power at grid level. If America’s going to meet its long-duration storage needs -- and that’s not a hypothetical, that’s policy -- then we’re going to need someone to actually build that hardware, at scale, with a domestic footprint. That’s what Eos is doing. And what we’re watching now is a transition: from survival mode to scaled execution. The debt refinancing with Cerberus wasn’t about buying tim
I’M BUYING THE EOSE PAIN

Bond Yields are Rallying, What's Going on Next?

The US is going toward a debt crisis at full speed.Interest rates remain high, tariffs are still on the table, and the House has just passed a large tax cut.Result? Bond yields are rallying.This is going to be disastrous.Let me explain: đŸ§”1/ The bond market is cracking.US government debt is currently $36 trillion and it needs to refinance $9 trillion this year.This comes at a time when interest rates are already high and inflationary pressures are mounting.Result? Investors don't buy US debt without high coupon.This creates a demand shock for the US debt. $USD Index(USDindex.FOREX)$ 2/ The supply of bonds is currently way higher than the demand.It plays out exactly as Ray Dalio explains:- Gold at all time highs.- Bitcoin at all time highs
Bond Yields are Rallying, What's Going on Next?

GOLD: The King of Hedge During the Middle East Tensions

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!Wednesday (June 18) Asian market, gold prices are currently trading at 3392 U.S. dollars near. $Gold - main 2508(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Gold as the global financial market ‘king of hedge’, in the recent geopolitical and economic uncertainty under the dual drive, showing the bottom of the resilience. On Tuesday, gold prices touched a low of 3366 U.S. dollars after a strong rebound, closed at 3388.40 U.S. dollars near the K line pattern close to the cross, showing that the market more than the short game intense. Meanwhile, the price of silver soared to $37.22 per ounce, the highest level since 2012, triggering a hot de
GOLD: The King of Hedge During the Middle East Tensions
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