Tiger_James Ooi
Tiger_James OoiTiger Staff
Tiger Certification: Tiger Brokers Market Strategist in Singapore.
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Market Insights (May 26–30): All Eyes on Bond Yields and Nvidia Earnings

The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ fell by 2.58% and 2.38%, respectively, last week.Major movers included: $Intuit(INTU)$ (+7.4%), $Alphabet(GOOG)$ (+1.4%), $Philip Morris(PM)$ (+4.6%), $Procter & Gamble(PG)$ (+1.6%), $Apple(AAPL)$ (−7.6%), $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ (−3.0%), $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ (−2.2%), $Eli Lilly(LLY)$ (−5.8%), and
Market Insights (May 26–30): All Eyes on Bond Yields and Nvidia Earnings

S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 at Risk of Forming a Head and Shoulders Pattern

U.S. Market Insights (May 19–23): Rally Appears Overdone for NowThe $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ gained 5.33% and 6.87%, respectively, last week, driven by strong performance in mega-cap tech stocks.Key movers last week included strong gains from $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ (+16.1%), $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ (+17.3%), $Apple(AAPL)$ (+6.5%), $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ (+6.5%), and $Microsoft(MSFT)$ (+3.7%), while $UnitedHealth(UNH)$ (−23.3%),
S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 at Risk of Forming a Head and Shoulders Pattern

The U.S. Bond Sell-off may Signal a Further Sell-off in the Stock Market

$9.2 trillion of U.S. government debt will mature in 2025, with $6.5 trillion maturing in June alone.The U.S. government will need to roll over (refinance) a large portion of this debt, essentially borrowing new money to repay maturing bonds.Trump’s Pressure for Rate CutsTrump wants the Fed to cut interest rates, hoping this will lower government borrowing costs (bond yields).The aim is to minimize interest expenses on the newly issued debt in June 2025.But Fed Cuts Don’t Guarantee Lower Long-Term YieldsFed rate cuts help more on the short end of the yield curve; long-end yields may remain sticky or even rise if inflation expectations stay elevated or market confidence in U.S. fiscal credibility weakens.Investors in long-duration Treasuries demand a higher yield if they fear inflation or d
The U.S. Bond Sell-off may Signal a Further Sell-off in the Stock Market

6 Questions on Why High US Debt Isn't the Crisis Everyone Thinks It Is

High debt should not be ignored—but nor should it be exaggerated. For now, investors have little reason to panic. The US is far from a debt crisis, and has ample flexibility to manage risks ahead.In recent months, heightened attention has been paid to the United States’ growing debt burden.With a debt-to-GDP ratio reaching 124% in 2024, many investors and media commentators have raised concerns about fiscal sustainability, rising interest expenses, and the potential crowding-out of future government investment.These fears have intensified in an environment of elevated interest rates and persistent budget deficits.Debt-to-GDP Ratios in 2024:CountryDebt-to-GDP RatioUnited States124%Japan259%Singapore173%India87%1. Why a High Debt-to-GDP Ratio Is Not Necessarily a ProblemDebt-to-GDP is a rati
6 Questions on Why High US Debt Isn't the Crisis Everyone Thinks It Is

Alphabet has Risen After its 1Q 2025 Earnings Beat

Source: CNBC, 26 April 2025Here’s how the $Alphabet(GOOG)$ did in 1Q 2025:Year-on-year (YoY) growth in revenue and operating income has been uneven.In 1Q 2025, revenue grew 12% YoY, while operating income rose 20.16%. However, both figures reflect a slowdown compared to 1Q 2024, when revenue and operating income grew 15.41% and 46.26%, respectively.Operating income has maintained YoY growth of over 20% for seven consecutive quarters, though the 1Q 2025 figure marks the slowest increase during that period. However, Operating Margin reached 34% in the latest quarter — the highest level in five years.Both gross margin and operating margin improved in 1Q 2025, rising to 59.7% and 33.92%, up from 58.14% and 31.63% in 1Q 2024.That said, operating margi
Alphabet has Risen After its 1Q 2025 Earnings Beat

US Market Insights (28 Apr - 2 May): SPX Cautious Rebound Ahead

The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ rose by 4.6% and 6.43% respectively last week.Major market movers included $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ (+9.4%), $Apple(AAPL)$ (+6.2%), $Microsoft(MSFT)$ (+6.5%), $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ (+9.5%), $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ (+18.1%), $Broadcom(AVGO)$ (+12.5%), $UnitedHealth(UNH)$ (-7.8%), $Procter & Gamble(PG)$ (-5%),
US Market Insights (28 Apr - 2 May): SPX Cautious Rebound Ahead

US Market Insights (21–25 Apr): S&P 500 Is Not in a Bear Market—Just Yet

S&P 500 Remains Weak Amid Tariff Uncertainty and Earnings Growth Concerns The S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 declined by 1.49% and 2.31% respectively last week. Key market movers included: $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ (-8.5%), $Microsoft(MSFT)$ (-5.3%), $UnitedHealth(UNH)$ (-24.3%), $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ (-6.6%), $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ (-6%), $Eli Lilly(LLY)$ (+14.7%), $Netflix(NFLX)$ (+6%), Costco (+3.2%), and $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ (+5.9%). Notable ea
US Market Insights (21–25 Apr): S&P 500 Is Not in a Bear Market—Just Yet

US Market Insights (14–18 Apr): The Market Is Not Out of the Woods Yet

The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ rose by 5.73% and 7.43%, respectively, last week.Major movers included $AbbVie(ABBV)$ (-6.4%), $Chevron(CVX)$ (-5.3%), $Pfizer(PFE)$ (-4.6%), $Exxon Mobil(XOM)$ (-1.2%), $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ (+17.6%), and $Microsoft(MSFT)$ (+8%).Key economic events this week include Retail Sales on Wednesday, and Unemployment Claims along with Jerome Powell’s speech on Thursday.
US Market Insights (14–18 Apr): The Market Is Not Out of the Woods Yet

Market Insights (7–11 April): SPX. Tends to Rebound After Sharp Two-Day Sell-Offs

The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ plunged 9.05% and 9.75% respectively last week, due to the sweeping U.S. tariffs imposed.Major market movers included $Apple(AAPL)$ (-13.6%), $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ (-14%), $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ (-11%), $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ (-11.3%), $Microsoft(MSFT)$ (-5%), $Broadcom(AVGO)$ (-13.5%), UnitedHealth (+1.8%), $TJX Companies(TJX)$ (+3.3%),
Market Insights (7–11 April): SPX. Tends to Rebound After Sharp Two-Day Sell-Offs

What You Should Know About Trump’s Tariffs

The way the tariff rates are calculated is downright absurd U.S. appeared to have divided the trade deficit by imports from a given country to arrive at tariff rates for individual countries. For example, U.S. goods trade deficit with China / total US import from China = $295 billion / 439 billion = 67%  Trump may want trade negotiation The base 10 percent tariffs will take effect on April 5, while the higher reciprocal rates (above 10 percent) will come into effect on April 9. Trump opens door for trade negotiation by saying, ““Likewise to all of the foreign presidents, prime ministers, kings, queens, ambassadors and everyone else who will soon be calling to ask for exemptions from these tariffs, I say, terminate your own tariffs, drop your barriers. Don't manipulate your currencies
What You Should Know About Trump’s Tariffs

Quick Thoughts on Trump’s Tariffs

The steeper-than-expected sweeping tariffs imposed by the US may weigh on Asian equities in the short term, as they dampen the regional growth outlook and raise the risk of retaliatory tariffs from affected Asian countries. The Asia-Pacific region, characterized by its export-driven economies, is expected to face headwinds if global trade activity slows. Chinese-owned factories may also need to reconsider their relocation strategies, as Southeast Asian countries—including Vietnam (46%) and Cambodia (49%)—are also subject to higher US tariffs. China China now faces a hefty 34% reciprocal tariff on exports to the US, in addition to the existing 20% tariff. Although improving corporate earnings, rising investor sentiment, attractive valuations, AI-driven productivity gains, and government sti
Quick Thoughts on Trump’s Tariffs

US Market Insights (Mar 31 – Apr 4): A Potential Relief Rally If Softer Tariffs Are Announced

The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ declined by -1.52% and -2.39% last week, respectively.Key market movers included $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ (+6%), $Visa(V)$ (+2.1%), $Exxon Mobil(XOM)$ (+1.9%), $Costco(COST)$ (+2.2%), $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ (-6.8%), $Broadcom(AVGO)$ (-11.8%), $Microsoft(MSFT)$ (-3.2%), and $Alphabet(GOOG)$ (-6%).This week’s important economic data releases
US Market Insights (Mar 31 – Apr 4): A Potential Relief Rally If Softer Tariffs Are Announced

US Market Insights (March 24-28): The Sell-Off Looks Overdone

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 returned 0.53% and 0.27%, respectively, last week.Major market movers: Nvidia (-3.3%), Meta (-1.9%), Amazon (-0.9%), Broadcom (-1.7%), Micron (-6%), Lockheed Martin (-5.7%), Boeing (+10%), Uber (+6%), Apple (+2.2%), JPMorgan (+4%), and Eli Lilly (+3%).Key economic events this week:Monday: Manufacturing & Services PMIThursday: GDP & Unemployment ClaimsFriday: University of Michigan Consumer SentimentWhat You Should Know Before Starting Your Week1) Post-Election Year Seasonality Suggests the Sell-Off May Be Nearing Its EndHistorical data since 1960 shows that in the first year of a presidential term, the S&P 500 typically experiences two corrections: mid-February to late March and early August to late September.So far, the S&P 500 has closely fo
US Market Insights (March 24-28): The Sell-Off Looks Overdone

DeepSeek is an AI Sputnik Moment – What’s Next for Nvidia and Other AI Stocks?

DeepSeek is seen as AI’s Sputnik moment—just as the USSR's 1957 Sputnik launch caught the U.S. off guard, China's AI startup DeepSeek appears to have shaken U.S. AI dominance. DeepSeek has disrupted the U.S. AI sector by achieving comparable performance at a fraction of the cost of its American counterparts.  Does DeepSeek’s R1 Really Cost So Little? DeepSeek claims that training its R1 model required only $5.6 million and 2,048 Nvidia H800 GPUs—approximately 3% to 5% of OpenAI’s estimated cost for GPT. While DeepSeek attributes its cost efficiency to new techniques in reinforcement learning, some speculate it may have also leveraged unauthorized model distillation. DeepSeek's actual costs are likely much higher than its claims. Scale AI CEO Alexandr Wang stated in a CNBC interview t
DeepSeek is an AI Sputnik Moment – What’s Next for Nvidia and Other AI Stocks?

US Market Insights (Feb 3-7): Trump Tariffs and Retaliation May Unnerve the Stock Market

Last weekly recap>> The stock market may be hurt the most by Trump’s tariffs after January's rallyThe $.SPX(.SPX)$ and $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ declined by 0.99% and 1.35% last week as DeepSeek rattled the stock market.Major market movers included $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ (-15.8%), $Microsoft(MSFT)$ (-6.5%), $Broadcom(AVGO)$ (-9.6%), $Oracle(ORCL)$ (-7.4%), $Apple(AAPL)$ (+5.3%), $Meta Platforms, I
US Market Insights (Feb 3-7): Trump Tariffs and Retaliation May Unnerve the Stock Market

AI Stocks Drop Premarket Amid DeepSeek Hype: Why Investors Shouldn’t Overreact?

What is DeepSeek?DeepSeek is an open-source AI model developed by a Chinese AI startup.It reportedly outperforms industry-leading models, such as OpenAI’s GPT-4, on several key benchmarks at a significantly lower cost. DeepSeek claims to have spent only $5.6 million to develop its model.However, Scale AI CEO Alexandr Wang mentioned that DeepSeek has access to around 50,000 NVIDIA H100 AI GPUs (each costing $27,000 to $40,000 per unit).Due to export restrictions, DeepSeek has avoided discussing its use of these GPUs, suggesting that their true costs may be understated. The Impact of DeepSeek’s SuccessCost Efficiency Concerns:If a Chinese startup can develop an LLM (large language model) as good as OpenAI or Meta’s models with significantly fewer AI chips (lesser cost), why should compa
AI Stocks Drop Premarket Amid DeepSeek Hype: Why Investors Shouldn’t Overreact?

US Market Insights (6-10 Jan 2025): CES Expected to Lift Investor Sentiment

The $.SPX(.SPX)$ and $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ returned -0.45% and -0.67% last week as the Santa Claus rally took a pause.Major market movers include $Apple(AAPL)$ (-4.79%), $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ (-4.92%), $Microsoft(MSFT)$ (-1.67%), $Broadcom(AVGO)$ (-3.81%), $Netflix(NFLX)$ (-2.92%), Nvidia (+5.44%), Constellation Energy (+11.42%), Vistra (+16.24%), Uber (+5.66%), and Chevron (+2.67%).Major economic events include JOLTS Job Openings on Tuesday, Unemployment Claims and FOMC minutes on Wednesday, and Non
US Market Insights (6-10 Jan 2025): CES Expected to Lift Investor Sentiment

[In-person Seminar] Strategic Portfolio Positioning in 2025

Synopsis:The $.SPX(.SPX)$ has delivered consecutive returns of over 20% in the past two years. Is the U.S. equity market due for a correction in 2025, given lofty valuations, reflation risk, overhyped AI optimism, persistent high interest rates, and Trump’s policies risk? Could AI stocks once again be the key to safeguarding your portfolio in 2025? Our goal is to guide you in building an investment portfolio that helps grow your wealth.Join @Tiger_James Ooi from Tiger Brokers as he explores investment strategies for 2025.Key Takeaways:What are the key catalysts—both positive and negative—for U.S. stocks?Which stocks stand to benefit from the AI revolution?Understand the core building blocks of
[In-person Seminar] Strategic Portfolio Positioning in 2025
avatarTiger_James Ooi
2024-12-26
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@TBlive:James Ooi: Full Analysis on the 2025 Trump Presidency, SPX Outlook & AI Boom
avatarTiger_James Ooi
2024-12-26

[Tiger Live Ⅴ] Technical Analysis, Downside & Upside Catalysts on SPX

Here are quickly talk about technical analysis of $.SPX(.SPX)$ . Full live link replay >>Let’s take a look at the S&P 500. Here are the Fibonacci confluence zones for the $.SPX(.SPX)$ To me, the major resistance is 6,850. TA tells me that 2025 target price is 6850.If you are waiting for some support levels to accumulate, 5,900 or 5,500 may be good support levels.To me, the S&P 500 must hold above 5,900 to resume the bullish trend.Let me go through the downside and upside catalysts for the us equity marketWhat could potentially downset investors in
[Tiger Live Ⅴ] Technical Analysis, Downside & Upside Catalysts on SPX

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