Have you noticed ‘trendy’ news prints appearing rather frequent recently ? Below is one such posts. (see below) It piqued my interest because it concerns the US stock market that I am vested in. So, here’s what I have found and sharing. Updated market commentary A major correction in the US composite indexes remains a credible risk, but it is not a confirmed or inevitable outcome yet. Since 01 Sep 2026, the warning signals have become more numerous: Elevated valuations, Deteriorating market breadth. Rising Treasury yields. Oil above US$100 a barrel. A more hawkish Federal Reserve. Narrow AI-led leadership. However, strong earnings expectations and continued demand for large technology companies have (so far) prevented a broad market breakdown. The long-term backdrop is unusually strong: Th
Macro Strategy Weekly: US Stocks Hit New Highs. How to Navigate Pullback Risk and Volatile Oil?
Introduction 1. Further rate hikes remain firmly in play. CME FedWatch puts the chance of another October hike at 57.6%. The popular “dovish hike” narrative misreads the policy signal. If October payrolls remain strong, three hikes this year become a credible outcome. Volatility would rise accordingly. 2. The dollar may be entering a faster leg higher. September’s rate hike marked a turning point in the dollar cycle. Because rate differentials now drive the trend, commodity longs face a difficult backdrop. 3. US stocks remain strong, but beware the "last hurrah". Avoid excessive bullishness before the midterm elections. The Dow and Russell peaked in August, so October is the next window for a possible top in the Nasdaq and S&P 500. Limit exposure to tactical trades
Yield Narrative Takes a Back Seat: QQQ Hits New Highs
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! It really does seem like the yield narrative has taken a back seat now as the $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ hits a new high today. I've been saying for the past 2 months that: 1. The macro isn't as bad as doomers suggest. 2. The forecasts we're seeing in AI CapEx and the capital flowing to the supply chains from that CapEx will trump an elevated 10Y yield. And now here we are: -> $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ at ATHs -> Crypto breaking out with $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ and $Robinhood(HOOD)$ moving 22% and
I think $Grab Holdings(GRAB)$ has ~2x potential from here to FY29/FY30 but not much higher. Relative to the upside potential for other names...it's good but slightly less exciting. I forecast ~$8B in revenue in FY29 which at 19% net margins gives us $1.52B in net income and $0.37 in EPS (4.1B outstanding shares). ~20x EPS estimate which I think is fair given $Uber(UBER)$ ~18x, but with the potential of the financial services platform (combined with the SEA risk) 20x EPS on $0.37 gives you $7.40 (130% gain). Fwiw, I think a recovery play like $Snap Inc(SNAP)$ actually has more upside (but with more risk). Solid but p
September 23 Gold Technical Analysis: Sell Rallies at 4,345–4,348, Key Resistance 4,350–4,360
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! September 23 Gold Technical Analysis: $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Gold has shifted from its previous one-sided bull market (peaking near 4369.25) into a medium-term, wide-range consolidation phase, either forming a bottom or consolidating to build momentum. Short-term rallies on the hourly chart may at any time face strong resistance from the dense moving average zone at 4,347–4,353 on the 4-hour chart. Key resistance zone: 4,350–4,360! The current trading strategy should focus on “selling on rallies” after the European session opens, or patiently waiting for a pullback to
Last week I said everyone was bearish into FOMC. Now the Nasdaq- $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ is back near all time highs. QQQ is setting up for a run to 800 this year. If you missed the move from 700 to 748.. Please don't miss the one to 800. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ also on the verge of a breakout to 8000 as well.. The next FOMC is 5 weeks away. CPI is in 3 weeks. There are risk events over the next month but the runway looks pretty clear for now. $Micron Technology(MU)$ to 1250, $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ to 2300, $Advanced
Episode 2 | Elliot Tu, Why This 27-Year-Old Skips the Charts and Bets Big on AI Storage
The Road to Million Dollars is a deep-dive interview series by the Tiger Community, featuring outstanding investors recognized under the "$1 Million" Honors Program. The "Million Dollar" Honors Program is not about the size of an investor's assets. Instead, it recognizes the investment capabilities investors consistently demonstrate in real markets. Within a designated calendar year, every $100,000 in realized gains unlocks one Tiger Gold Brick or Tiger Gold Ingot, with up to nine rewards available. When an investor reaches $1 million in gains, they achieve the "Exclusive Edition" Million Dollar Milestone. Every investor on The Road to Million Dollars has their own approach and answers. Some are still exploring and refining their strategies in the market, while others have already built a
🐶📈 Options Puppy Beginner Guide: Scraping Premium by Selling Cash-Secured Puts During an NVDA Uptrend - Access China Opportunities via Futures during Holidays
🚀 My basic idea: I don’t chase NVDA — I get paid to wait 🐶 My Options Puppy strategy is simple: when NVDA is moving in an upswing, I do not necessarily want to chase the stock after it has already moved higher. Instead, I can use a cash-secured put to get paid while waiting for a lower entry price. 💰 The important part is that I am willing to buy 100 NVDA shares if I get assigned. That changes the entire mindset of the trade. I am not selling a naked put and hoping nothing happens. I am setting a price where I would be comfortable becoming a shareholder. 📌 In my latest example, I sold an NVDA $230 put and received roughly $19.50–$19.59 per share in premium. One options contract represents 100 shares, so approximately $1,950–$1,959 of premium was collected before fees. 🎯 My objective is eff
$Intel (INTC) Rose +1.71%: Chip Giant Reclaims $123 and Charges Toward $130 Resistance, Breakout ...
📊 Market Recap As of September 23, 2026, 'INTC' closed at $123.86, up +1.71% (+$2.08), with an intraday range of $120.08 - $124.09 and amplitude of 3.30%. The stock is now trading roughly 13% below its 52-week high of $142.35, while holding firmly above its 52-week low of $28.82. Pre-market strength and a positive after-hours print near $124.48 suggest sustained buying interest into the next session. 🚀 Key Drivers Momentum Follow-Through: The stock has climbed from a recent support zone near $97.32 and is now challenging the $130.34 resistance line, supported by four consecutive days of rising MACD and RSI readings. Capital Inflow: Latest five-day capital flow data shows a sharp positive turn, with net inflow reaching approximately 90.18 million on September 21, following -38.39 million on
Fed Hike Supports MMFs; RMB Strengthening (Trading Below 6.7) Supports China Government Bonds and China Equities 【 CSOP SG Weekly 】
【Money Market Fund】 US$ MMF Net 7-day Yield: +3.62%* During the week, the Fed raised rates by 25bp to 3.75%-4.00%, its first hike since July 2023, in line with market expectations. Policymakers signaled a hawkish outlook, with the median dot forecast pointing to one more hike this year and rates holding steady in 2027. Following the Fed’s rate hike, MMF balances may see modest support, though a significant jump in AUM is unlikely. Looking ahead, data calendar is relatively light, with market’s focus likely on geopolitical developments, oil prices, and further Fed commentary. * 7-day net yield is calculated based on calendar days and NAVs in 5-decimal. 【REITs】 S$ SRT YTD total return: -7.07% As of 18 Sep 2026, $CSOP iEdge SREIT ETF S$(SRT.SI)$ de
Wednesday This or That: AI Is Changing Everything — Are You Buying Chips or Buying the Dip?
Meta’s new AI agent, Muse, is getting a lot of attention.As more people talk about AI agents, chip and memory stocks are moving higher. Investors are betting that if AI tools become more popular, demand for chips, memory, and computing power will keep growing. $Intel(INTC)$$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$$NVIDIA(NVDA)$$Micron Technology(MU)$$SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ At the same time, some consumer and service stocks are falling. Charles Schwab dropped 6.1%. Airbnb fell about 3%. Uber and Lyft were also down. $Charles Schwab(SCHW)$
$MU Breaks Out as AI Memory Demand Sets Up a Bigger Move
$Micron Technology(MU)$ just broke out of its daily chart — and this time, the move has confirmation. 🚀 The setup is getting interesting for several reasons: 🧠 1️⃣ Memory is becoming a key AI bottleneck AI infrastructure isn't only about GPUs. As compute demand keeps expanding, high-performance memory is becoming an increasingly important constraint. That puts $MU in an interesting position as memory demand continues to tighten. 💰 2️⃣ The valuation still stands out $MU is trading at roughly 7x P/E, which looks remarkably low compared with some of the high-growth names across the AI trade. For a company benefiting from a tightening memory cycle, that valuation leaves plenty of room for the market to reassess expectations if earnings continue to acce
A Divergence Behind New Highs in U.S. Stocks: Why I’m Still Selling Puts and Running Small Straddles
English version: Last week, we put on a very small straddle position in QQQ: we simultaneously bought a September 25 call and put, both with a strike price of 704. The two legs cost $9.73 and $8.93, respectively. A few trading days later, the call has risen to $37.74, generating an unrealized gain of $2,800, while the put has fallen to just $0.26, producing a loss of $867. Netting the two together, this lightly sized position has already doubled. $纳指100ETF(QQQ)$$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$$NQ100指数主连 2609(NQmain)$$微型NQ100指数主连 2609(MNQmain)$
Two Mega Caps, One Warning: $META and $AAPL Flash Exhaustion
🐯 Hey Tigers! Two of the market’s biggest names are flashing remarkably similar warning signs today: $META and $AAPL. ⚠️ $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ Three exhaustion signals showed up at the same time: 1️⃣ Price breached the upper Bollinger Band, putting the stock in overbought territory. 2️⃣ A shooting star formed as buyers gave back part of the day’s gains. 3️⃣ The Stochastic oscillator crossed over in the overbought zone, adding another exhaustion signal. When all three appear together after a strong rally, a healthy pullback becomes worth watching. 🍎 $Apple(AAPL)$ The setup is also turning more defensive. A shooting star formed while price breached the upper Bollinger Band, with the oscillator alread
$SPX Momentum Fades as AAPL, META Flash New Exhaustion Signals
📉 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ is starting to lose momentum after moving too far, too fast. As noted yesterday, the recent move in $SPX stretched the level structure, so today’s muted session was largely in line with that caution. Meanwhile, $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ completed its unfinished move to 14.5, while the percentage of $SPX stocks above their 200-day moving average slipped to 51%. ⚠️ The bigger signal may be coming from $Apple(AAPL)$ . I’ve been tracking $AAPL closely in the daily note this week after flagging possible exhaustion last Saturday. Today’s shooting star adds another warning sign. It matters beyond AAPL itself. If the setup develops into a broader
$ONON +10% Turns Its Long Term Bull Case Up a Notch
🚀 $On Holding AG(ONON)$ jumped more than 10% today, and there are three big reasons behind the move. 1️⃣ High teens revenue growth through 2029 Management is now guiding for high teens revenue growth through 2029. That gives investors a much clearer view of the company's longer-term growth trajectory, rather than forcing the market to focus only on the next quarter. 📈 2️⃣ 65% gross margins through 2029 This may be the more important number. Management sees gross margins holding around 65% through 2029, which would leave plenty of room for operating leverage as revenue scales. For a consumer brand still expanding globally, that kind of margin profile is a major part of the long-term thesis. 💰 3️⃣ A $1 billion buyback Then there is the headline-gra
📈 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ is pushing into ATH territory, but I’m still not chasing this rally. The C-wave extended further than expected, and price has now reached the last Daily FVG resistance zone. That puts the market at an important inflection point. ⚠️ 🔍 The structure matters We now have: 5-wave decline → 3-wave rally → Daily FVG resistance That sequence is keeping me cautious. The rebound has been strong, but from a wave-structure perspective, I still view it as corrective rather than the beginning of a fresh impulsive advance. 🎯 What I’m watching next There are two main scenarios: 🟢 Shallow pullback If buyers keep control and the pullback stays shallow, $SPX could print new highs first before the larger decline develops. 🔴 Sharp selloff If we
Stormproof Your Portfolio with 3 Battle Tested ETFs To Defy 5% Treasury Yields
🌟🌟🌟The global financial ecosystem is feeling some serious heavy gravity right now. When the benchmark US 10 Year Treasury yield punched through the 5% intraday ceiling, it sent a massive shockwave across the markets globally. 5% isn't just a number. It is a financial super magnet. When "risk free" government debt pays that much, it rips capital right out of speculative assets. It is the ultimate showdown between the unstoppable force of the AI hype train and soaring bond yields. Can Equities Hold the Line? Think of the stock market like a house on stilts where interest rates are the termites. At 5% risk free yields, equity valuations begin to look incredibly fragile. Why should an investor risk his hard earned cash on high flying tech companies when Uncl
$RACE +2.32% Is Back Above $416 With $445 Now in Play
$Ferrari NV(RACE)$ $Ferrari NV (RACE) +2.32% Reclaims $416: Luxury Engine Revs Past Resistance, $458 Target in Sight 🏎️🔥 Latest Close Data Ferrari closed at $416.13 (+2.32%) on 2026-09-22, adding $9.44. The stock sits -17.5% below its 52-week high of $504.49 and +33.2% above its 52-week low of $312.51. Intraday range was tight: $414.43–$418.80. Core Market Drivers No company-specific catalysts today, but luxury auto sentiment firmed as broader equity risk appetite recovered. Ferrari's defensive brand pricing continues to insulate margins, while capital flow data shows heavy small-order buying (+$2,845万) offsetting institutional distribution. Technical Analysis Volume came in light at 319.1K shares (Volume Ratio 0.83), suggesting the breakout lacks
$ZM +2.40% Just Turned an Oversold Dip Into a $98 Setup
$Zoom(ZM)$ $Zoom(ZM) +2.40% Surges Past $90, Momentum Building Toward $98 Breakout Zone Latest Close Data: ZM closed at $90.90 (+2.40%) on 2026-09-22, gaining $2.13 with volume of 3.95M shares. The stock sits 20.8% below its 52-week high of $114.74 but has climbed 28.6% above its 52-week low of $70.70. Core Market Drivers: Zoom's AI narrative remains the primary catalyst. The company's Anthropic stake has surged to $31.3B, reinforcing its AI investment thesis. BofA maintains a Buy rating with a $130 target, while AI feature monthly actives grew 125% YoY. Recent Q3 guidance disappointment in late August has been largely absorbed, with bargain buyers stepping in on valuation. Technical Analysis: 📊 RSI(6) rebounded sharply from 19.14 (oversold) to 35.1