To The Moon

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ You could definitely put one bean in the "bear" jar with this chart. 2 $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ The similarities to the end of July selloff is somewhat remarkable. 3 $United States Oil Fund LP(USO)$ Oil Rolling over hard, but the market is with it... Not a great sign. Recession fears starting to creep in to the market? That is generally what this behavior would signal. 4 $Pepsi(PEP)$ Another "safe haven" name that is at a "line in the sand" here. Breakouts on thes

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 Amazon on a part-time schedule 👀 This $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ algo has you invested just 13% of the time, yet outperforms buy and hold with less than half the drawdown. 73% winning trades. 0.2 beta. 2 $Morgan Stanley(MS)$ below its 200-day SMA and analysts aren't flinching 👀 3 $Aehr Test(AEHR)$ Q1 EARNINGS DOUBLE BEAT Adj EPS: $0.28 vs $0.11 est ✅ Sales: $33M vs $27M est ✅ Raised FY2027 Sales Guidance 🟩 +10.50% in after-hours 4 Amazon and Intel fell from the tree Does Apple land any differently or same story? 🍎

📊 Market Recap As of the New York close on November 3, 2026, 'ServiceNow' (NOW) settled at $106.01, gaining +0.85% on the day. The stock is still recovering from a historic post-earnings plunge and now trades approximately 44% below its 52-week high of $189.53, with immediate resistance at $130.50 and near-term support at $98.88. 🚀 Key Drivers Q3 Earnings Shock: The company reported Q3 2026 results on October 29, with non-GAAP operating margin of 32.5% and net profit down nearly 45% year-over-year, triggering an after-hours drop of more than 18%. Bookings Slowdown: Despite raising its AI sales target for the second time this year, weaker bookings guidance drove the stock to its worst single-day decline since its 2012 listing, falling about 23%. Free Cash Flow Upgrade: ServiceNow raised its

📊 Market Recap As of November 3, 2026, 'BE' closed at $196.25, down -3.41% on the day, with intraday trading between $194.86 and $210.09. The stock remains roughly 44% below its 52-week high of $351.28, highlighting persistent downward pressure following the latest earnings cycle. Volume reached 14.97 million shares with a volume ratio of 0.97, suggesting orderly but defensive positioning rather than panic selling. 🚀 Key Drivers Post-Earnings Consolidation: Traders are digesting Q3 results released after Thursday's close, with profit-taking dominating as the stock retreats from the $210 area. Elevated Short Interest: Short volume ratio has hovered between 11% and 16% in recent sessions, keeping bearish bets active and capping intraday rebounds. Capital Outflow Pressure: Five-day capital fl

📊 Market Recap As of November 3, 2026 (ET), 'RKLB' closed at $52.07, down -4.86% with an intraday amplitude of 8.05%. The stock remains well below its 52-week high of $151.00 and is testing short-term support near $50.88, reflecting renewed selling pressure amid delayed Neutron rocket timelines and negative near-term capital flows. 🚀 Key Drivers Neutron Delay Impact: Reusable medium-lift Neutron rocket debut pushed to 2027, triggering the recent sharp sell-off and keeping sentiment defensive. Institutional Accumulation: ARK Investment Management bought shares after the delay announcement, signaling long-term conviction despite near-term weakness. Launch Contract Momentum: Multi-year 20-launch Synspective agreement continues to support the revenue pipeline and commercial credibility. 🎯 Pric

📊 Market Recap As of the latest close on November 3, 2026, 'SOFI' settled at $16.60, down -0.95% (-$0.16), with intraday range between $16.57 and $17.60. The stock remains well below its 52-week high of $32.73 but holds comfortably above its 52-week low of $13.86. Following the strong post-earnings surge, price action is now consolidating near the upper boundary of its recent breakout zone, with resistance at $17.57 acting as the immediate hurdle. 🚀 Key Drivers Q3 Earnings Beat: Adjusted EPS of $0.18 exceeded consensus of $0.17, while revenue of approximately $1.37 billion beat estimates of $1.256 billion, triggering a sharp post-earnings rally of over 14%. Upgraded Full-Year Guidance: Management raised 2026 adjusted net revenue guidance to $5.04 billion and adjusted EPS to $0.61, with 202

📊 Market Recap As of the November 3, 2026 close, 'SNDK' settled at $1,075.08, down -6.59% on the day. The stock is now trading approximately 54% below its 52-week high of $2,354.39, reflecting persistent selling pressure. The session saw an amplitude of 7.99% with a low of $1,067.40, signaling aggressive distribution after the prior session's close of $1,150.89. 🚀 Key Drivers AI Trade Cooling: The recent momentum in AI-related memory names stalled, with profit-taking accelerating ahead of key Big Tech earnings updates. Capital Outflows: Five-day capital flow data shows consistent net outflows, including -$19.58M on October 28 and -$74.61M on October 29, underscoring institutional caution. Valuation Reset: Despite strong trailing fundamentals, the sharp drop in Forward P/E from historical a

📊 Market Recap Intel closed at $59.97 on November 3, 2026, down -8.80%, after an intraday range of $59.40 to $65.72. The stock now sits roughly 58% below its 52-week high of $142.35 and just above its 52-week low of $32.89. The sharp decline follows disappointing Q4 guidance that triggered one of the worst selloffs in the company's history, with market capitalization shrinking toward $318 billion. 🚀 Key Drivers Disappointing Guidance: Q4 revenue guidance of $15.0–$16.0 billion and adjusted EPS of $0.25 came in well below consensus, fueling a violent post-earnings repricing. PC Segment Weakness: PC chip sales, roughly half of Q3 revenue, are projected to decline more than 20% sequentially in Q4, accelerating concerns about Intel's core franchise. Broader Chip Selloff: The Nasdaq Composite p

📊 Market Recap As of the latest session, 'SOXL' closed at $68.17, down -11.52% with a change of -$8.88. The ETF traded in a wide range of $67.50 to $81.07, reflecting intense selling pressure. The closing price is now about 77.4% below its 52-week high of $302.00, while remaining well above the 52-week low of $28.12. The breakdown below recent support at $69.85 signals a notable shift in short-term momentum for leveraged semiconductor exposure. 🚀 Key Drivers Semiconductor Selloff: Broad weakness across the semiconductor complex pressured 'SOXL', with the 3x leverage amplifying the drawdown to double-digit losses in a single session. Risk-Off Flows: Elevated trading value near $11.12 billion and a turnover rate of 62.72% indicate aggressive repositioning and de-risking by short-term traders

📊 Market Recap As of November 3, 2026, 'SKHY' closed at $147.71, down -1.01% from the previous session. The stock is consolidating after its post-earnings surge, sitting roughly -26.1% below its 52-week high of $199.87 and about +18.3% above its 52-week low of $124.80. Intraday range was $146.29 to $156.06, with volume of 20.80 million shares and a volume ratio of 0.69, indicating lighter-than-average participation. 🚀 Key Drivers Record Q3 earnings: Revenue reached 104.62 trillion KRW, up 328% YoY, with operating profit of 83.33 trillion KRW, up 632% YoY, far exceeding consensus of 77.5 trillion KRW. Massive shareholder return plan: The company plans at least 30 trillion KRW in cash dividends and at least 60 trillion KRW in share buybacks and cancellations for 2026. AI memory supercycle: M

Nov 2 – Nov 6 | US Market Watch 1. This Week's Market Overview Tech is shifting from chasing AI growth to testing profitability, and defensive sentiment is clearly rising. Last Friday, the Nasdaq fell 2.86% and the S&P 500 fell 1.82%. GOOGL and INTC were sold off after earnings, showing the market is no longer satisfied with AI revenue growth — it cares more about capex, cash flow, and forward guidance. Options are turning defensive too. QQQ and SPY saw big Put buying, and both are in negative Gamma territory, meaning swings could get bigger if the market falls. This week's three big variables: the US midterm elections, Apple and semiconductor earnings, and Friday's nonfarm payrolls. High oil prices could also add inflation pressure. The short-term focus isn't guessing the bottom — it'

1. Expected Move Pricing The options market is pricing Apple's expected move this week at ±4.74%, a range of about $328–361. Current IV is 31.47%, with an IV percentile of 88.45%, meaning options are relatively expensive before earnings. Key trading levels: $355–361 is major upside resistance. $342 is the short-term bull/bear line. $328–330 is key downside support. If the stock breaks outside the expected range after earnings, the actual move was bigger than options had priced. 2. Gamma Analysis AAPL is at $344, slightly above the Gamma flip point of $342.2. Net GEX is about +$17.9M / 1%, still in positive Gamma territory, which normally helps soften short-term swings, but it's very close to the flip point. On the upside, $350 is max pain, and $355 is the main Call wall. After a break abov

AI Spending Isn't Peaking. Its Growth Is. Yesterday we looked at AMD into its print. Here is the spending wave it rides on. $201.9B. That is what Amazon, Microsoft, Alphabet and Meta spent in cash on capex in one quarter, Q3 2026. The usual question is whether that number has peaked. I think it is the wrong question. Spending and the growth of spending peak at different times, and markets have tended to care about the second one. TWO PEAKS, NOT ONE A boom has a level (dollars spent) and a growth rate (how fast those dollars rise). The growth rate can top out years before the level does. Goldman Sachs (24 Sep) noted that consensus has the big US cloud spenders at about $800B of capex in 2026 and about $1.1T in 2027, with growth roughly halving each year. UBS lifted its own forecasts in late

NeoClouds Biz Model. Neoclouds like NBIS and CRWV buys AI chips and rents out to hyperscalers like OpenAI and Anthropic. Their claimed forward revenues seems positive.  But I see problems with this biz model. Firstly, they borrow huge amount of cash to buy the chips.  Secondly, cost of capital is rising.  Thirdly, the chips they are bought are current or even past models. And technology is fast evolving with faster and better chips being developed every day.  Fourthly, the forward revenue, or order books, are mostly not guaranteed. The customers may not go ahead with the purchases.  This Is a bit like buying a piece of land, engaging a contractor to build a shopping centre, based on the promise that the entertainment operator will come and open a complex at your pr

An environmental screen would matter to me, but only after I understand what it actually changes in the portfolio. The interesting part of this ETF is not simply the “low carbon” label. It cuts the heavy concentration in Singapore banks and introduces greater exposure to REITs, industrials, technology and companies such as Sea and Trip.com. That diversification comes with a trade-off. The STI’s huge bank exposure has been a major advantage recently, which helps explain why the Low Carbon ETF has lagged badly in 2026 YTD despite performing well in earlier years. I would therefore compare long-term risk-adjusted returns, sector concentration and the 0.53% TER before choosing it over a cheaper STI ETF. A lower carbon intensity is a positive feature, but I would not accept materially weaker d

$iShares Bitcoin Trust(IBIT)$   Prices to the US close on Fri 30 Oct 2026, the latest available. Over the last three months, Bitcoin rose 21.6%. Over the same three months, an equal-weight basket of nine AI-pivoting miners (IREN, Cipher, TeraWulf, Core Scientific, Hut 8, MARA, CleanSpark, Bitdeer, Applied Digital) fell 46.2%. If these were still Bitcoin stocks, that gap should not exist. So what are they now? Our answer, from the filings and from our own return data: they trade as AI-credit stocks. CoreWeave, not Bitcoin, sets their daily direction. 1) What the miners actually signed The seven miners we could check in filings have about 3.9 GW of AI and HPC capacity under contract. The chart lists each lease with its customer, value and

Coinbase’s biggest opportunity may no longer be simply riding Bitcoin’s next rally. Despite weaker industry trading activity, Q3 Adjusted EBITDA rose 60% QoQ to $333 million, while Subscription and Services contributed 49% of net revenue. Its crypto trading market share also climbed to 10.7%, marking four consecutive quarters of gains. More importantly, prediction markets have surpassed $200 million in annualized revenue. Stablecoins and derivatives could make Coinbase less dependent on retail trading cycles. However, investors should not confuse accounting profits with sustainable growth. Q3's $719 million net income included substantial crypto investment gains. My view: COIN deserves a bullish long-term outlook, but I would avoid chasing before recurring earnings confirm the recovery. T

$Alibaba(BABA)$  is attracting renewed attention after reports that Apple has selected Alibaba’s Qwen AI models to support Apple Intelligence features in China. Citi analysts view the partnership as a meaningful endorsement of Alibaba’s AI technology, with the potential to generate additional demand for Alibaba Cloud. Alibaba shares gained 3.23% in US trading, while its Hong Kong-listed shares also moved higher. I think this development is worth watching because the opportunity could extend well beyond a short-term share-price reaction. Alibaba has traditionally been associated with e-commerce, but its longer-term investment story is increasingly connected to cloud computing and artificial intelligence. The Apple partnership could help a