2025 Outlook: How Will Story Unfold?

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq eked out record closing highs recently, with tech-related shares extending recent gains. Major institutions have released research reports, with most optimistic about a rally in 2025. The highest target for the S&P 500 has been set at 7,000 points. What are your expectations for 2025? How do you plan to trade?

avatarTiger_James Ooi
2024-12-25

[Tiger Live Ⅳ] 2025 SPX Target & Pullbacks Forecast of Trump’s 1st Year

Let's talk about the US market outlook for 2025. Full live link replay >>1. $.SPX(.SPX)$ 2025 Year-end Forecasts:These are some of the 2025 year-end forecasts provided by various research houses for the $.SPX(.SPX)$As of 18 Dec 2024: SPX’s closing price: 5872On average, the year-end target is 6,658, representing a 13% upside compared to yesterday's closing price of 5,872.The most bullish research house is Oppen
[Tiger Live Ⅳ] 2025 SPX Target & Pullbacks Forecast of Trump’s 1st Year
avatarTiger_James Ooi
2024-12-25

[Tiger Live Ⅲ] 2025 Outlook: AI Value Chain & Stars Stocks of AI S-curve in 4 Phases

Here are my talk about AI Industry. Full live link replay >>I have shared a lot about AI trends in the past. Just bear in mind that the AI total addressable market is huge.The valuation for a lot of AI stocks is expensive, but still not as crazily expensive as during the dot-com bubble.For example, the P/E ratio for the Nasdaq 100 is now trading at 35x. At the peak of the dot-com bubble, it was trading at 175x.1995 marked the start of internet monetization. It also kickstarted the dot-com bubble.The entire dot-com bubble lasted for 5 years, from 1995 to 2000.At its peak, the $.SPX(.SPX)$ returned
[Tiger Live Ⅲ] 2025 Outlook: AI Value Chain & Stars Stocks of AI S-curve in 4 Phases
avatarTBI
01-11

#TBI2025[1]: On Holding AG [NYSE: ONON]

The stock market has gotten off to an interesting start this year. I took some time off studying charts the past 2-3 weeks or so, but have gotten back into it recently. I’ve decided to just rename the series as #TBI2025 because I think it sounds a lot cooler. Disclaimer: The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investmen
#TBI2025[1]: On Holding AG [NYSE: ONON]
avatarTiger_Academy
2024-12-25

Shaping the future:2025 outlook for key assets

2024 Review:US Stock Market: Technology stocks, particularly in the AI sector, drove the market higher. The S&P 500 has realised returns in excess of 25% for two consecutive years. Whilst rare, since the start of 2024, this trend indicates a shift from conceptual speculation to profit realisation in AI investments, with the market becoming more stringent in discerning the companies that truly benefit. Hong Kong and China-A (onshore) shares: Financial sectors and High-yielding dividend stocks performed well. Indices like MSCI China Financials Index and FTSE China 50 Index outperformed US benchmarks like the Nasdaq and S&P 500, reflecting the supportive role of policies in driving stable economic growth.2025 Outlook:US Stock Market: As AI technology advances into specialised vertical
Shaping the future:2025 outlook for key assets
avatarMickey082024
2024-12-10

Ultria Group (MMO) Highest-Yielding Dividend Stocks Heading Into 2025!

$Altria(MO)$ is currently trading at $57.38 per share. This stock is favored by dividend investors due to its significant 7.12% dividend yield. Earlier this year, it was considered a buy at $40, meaning it has gained about 37% year-to-date. Altria is facing a period of stagnation in terms of price movement, with its stock being highly influenced by external factors like government regulations and market shifts. While the company's dividend yield remains strong, its stock's technical setup suggests a more cautious approach, with limited growth in the short term. Watch for potential signs of a trend reversal or breakout, especially if the company continues to make progress in its shift to non-combustible products and adapts to market challenges. Earni
Ultria Group (MMO) Highest-Yielding Dividend Stocks Heading Into 2025!
avatarTiger_James Ooi
2024-12-25

[Tiger Live Ⅰ] 2025 US Market Outlook: Trump’s Policy & Beneficial Sectors

First, let’s spend some time on Trump’s policy. Full live link replay >>The most important thing you need to know is that Trump’s policies are pro-growth and pro-business, which should be constructive for the U.S. equity market in 2025.For example, he has said that he wants to extend the 2017 personal tax cuts and lower the corporate tax rate.The question here is:How likely is Congress to approve Trump’s tax cut plan?The answer is quite likely because Republicans have a majority in the House and Senate.Trump also pledges to lower the corporate tax rate from 21% to 15% for corporations that manufacture products in the U.S.The purpose is to
[Tiger Live Ⅰ] 2025 US Market Outlook: Trump’s Policy & Beneficial Sectors

AMD's Rollercoaster Year: Navigating Through 2024's Peaks and Valleys to a Promising 2025

2024 was a year of significant ups and downs for Advanced Micro Devices ( $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ ), marked by stellar growth in key sectors and unexpected downturns in others. As we stand at the threshold of 2025, let's delve into the year that was, the reasons behind AMD's market performance, and what the future might hold for investors. AMD SP's performance in 2024 Performance in 2024: A Tale of Two Halves Early 2024 - The Highs: Revenue Surge: AMD started 2024 with a bang, reporting an 18% year-over-year (Y/Y) increase in Q3 revenue to $6.8 billion, surpassing expectations by $110 million. This was largely driven by a 122% Y/Y growth in data centre revenue, amounting to $3.5 billion, thanks to the booming demand for AI GPUs. AI GPU Demand
AMD's Rollercoaster Year: Navigating Through 2024's Peaks and Valleys to a Promising 2025
avatarBullaroo
2024-12-31

2025: A Sea of Black Gold? Why Crude Oil Prices Could Sink

The global capital markets are currently experiencing a period of uncertainty, with many investors expressing concerns about a potential market crash. While these anxieties are understandable, focusing on areas of certainty can provide a more stable foundation for investment decisions. One such area of certainty, according to several Wall Street analysts, is a potential decline in crude oil prices in 2025. As we approach 2025, the global crude oil market is facing a bearish outlook. Various factors, including oversupply, geopolitical developments, and regulatory changes, are contributing to this sentiment. This article delves into the reasons behind the bearish predictions for crude oil prices, the potential impacts on the market, and strategies for shorting crude oil in the stock market.
2025: A Sea of Black Gold? Why Crude Oil Prices Could Sink
avatarBarcode
2024-12-31
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ $MicroStrategy(MSTR)$ $Apple(AAPL)$  🎉🎯 From Zero Coins to Hero Moves: The New Year’s Coin Stacking Playbook 🎯🎉 Morena/Kia ora Tiger traders! wishing you a very happy New Year from where it is 1 January 2025 🎆🎇🌞🌞🌞 As 2025 dawns across the globe, here in Aotearoa, 🇳🇿 New Zealand, the Land of the Long White Cloud and amongst the first to see the New Year, it is clear that time is our most precious currency! The market huge nosedive as I predicted, so take a couple of days off and wait for traders to come back in
@Tiger_comments:Happy New Year! Have You Set Your 2025 Goals?
avatarBonta
2024-12-24

Looking back at 2024, looking forward to 2025.

As 2024 draws to an end with Christmas bells ringing, I finished adjusting most of the positions for the year.  Looking back, I started 2024 with backlog from 2023.  I did 2 major mistakes then in 2023. 1. Overconcentrated positions in Alibaba, which resulted in big swings against my portfolio. Margin requirements went up significantly also, as at peak, up to 80% of my margin requirement was used up by Alibaba. I resolved to reduce my Alibaba sizes in 2024 and diversified away.  This is also the reason why many experienced investors advocated portfolio and risk management. Over concentration does bring fast money, but disproportionate risks as well.  2. Earnings play. During 2023, I dabbled in earnings play by selling short strangles. Most of the time, I made money, but
Looking back at 2024, looking forward to 2025.
avatarMrzorro
2024-12-24
Fed Outlook 2025: A More Hawkish Fed Committee May Spark More Dissent As we step into 2025, the recent Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting has sent ripples through global markets. Last Wednesday's meeting not only raised the inflation outlook but also signaled a restrained approach to rate cuts, leaving investors scrambling to evaluate its potential impacts on the financial landscape. Powell's Hawkish Tone Shakes Wall Street During the December FOMC meeting, Jerome Powell's hawkish stance directly led to a reevaluation of the projected interest rate path for 2025. These adjustments in market expectations have triggered significant turbulence in both equity and bond markets. Beyond the FOMC's decision to lower the target range for the federal funds rate by 25 basis points (bps), th
avatarTiger_Contra
2024-12-26

💰Dividend Picks | 3 Low-PE SGX Stocks to Watch: BN4, S56, and F9D

US stocks are on the ride of Santa Clause Rally and big techs are still favored by investors.With lower risks, SGX's low-PE stocks are worth taking a look at.Stay tuned and supercharge purchasing power with Cash Boost Account!Valuation and PE ratioAnybody can gift oneself with a multiyear supply of passive income by purchasing shares of a high-quality dividend-paying company. This time, consider the undervalued ones as real good deals.The Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio is a key metric used in stock investment to evaluate a company's valuation. It compares a company's current share price to its earnings per share (EPS).For example, if a company's stock is trading at $100 per share and its EPS is $5, the P/E ratio would be 20 ($100 / $5). This means investors are willing to pay $20 for every
💰Dividend Picks | 3 Low-PE SGX Stocks to Watch: BN4, S56, and F9D
avatarKYHBKO
02-09

Can S&P500 have a bullish run this week - S&P500 outlook for week of 10Feb2025

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 10Feb2025 Observations: The MACD indicator is showing an uptrend. A top crossover is expected soon. Moving Averages (MA). Both the MA50 line and the MA200 line are on an uptrend. The last candle is above both the MA50 line and the MA200 line. This implies a bullish outlook for both the mid- and long-term. The 3 Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are showing an uptrend. Chaikin’s Monetary flow (CMF) shows an uptrend. The S&P500 has risen 19.88% from a year ago. From the S&P500 Technical Analysis, Investing dot com recommends a “Buy” rating based on the technical indicators. From the 17 indicators, 13 of them are showing a “Buy” rating whereas 4 are showing a “Sell” rating. From the recent candlestick patterns, we noticed that there are “more” bear
Can S&P500 have a bullish run this week - S&P500 outlook for week of 10Feb2025
avatarDerivTiger
2024-12-25

Tiger Weekly Insights:2024/12/16—2024/12/22

I. Performance and Valuation of Global Equity Indices Data Source: Bloomberg, Complied by Tiger Brokers II. Key Market Themes i. Fed Cuts Rates as Expected, Powell’s Hawkish Comments Rattle Markets: Is the Stock Market Peaking Again? Last week, the Federal Reserve's FOMC announced a 25 basis point rate cut, lowering the benchmark rate to 4.25%-4.5%. However, the accompanying statements were notably hawkish, with the Cleveland Fed President voting against the decision. Powell also publicly stated, “The current rate policy is no longer as restrictive, and future adjustments will be more cautious.” This aligns with our earlier assessment that the Fed would pause further rate cuts after this one. The dot plot also reflects a more hawkish stance, with three officials suggesting that the Fe
Tiger Weekly Insights:2024/12/16—2024/12/22
avatarTiger_James Ooi
2024-12-25

[Tiger Live Ⅱ] 2025 US Market Outlook: US Tariff

Here are my talk about US tariff. Full live link replay >>About one month ago, Trump said he wanted to impose 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico,and an additional 10% on China.Basically, if the U.S. imposes tariffs on any country, that country will still want to export to the U.S. because it is difficult to find a replacement with the size and appetite of the U.S.The common way to make your goods still look affordable to U.S. companies is through currency depreciation.For example, in 2018-2019, the RMB depreciated as much as 13% when the U.S. imposed a 25% tariff on Chinese goods.Trump’s tariffs are a negotiating tactic to reach a deal.For i
[Tiger Live Ⅱ] 2025 US Market Outlook: US Tariff
avatarmster
02-13
Replying to @DeltaDrift:Your knowledge on these subjects are applaudable 👏//@DeltaDrift:AI and robotics leverage existing, rapidly advancing technologies, while quantum computing requires foundational breakthroughs that take longer to materialize. For now, robotic AI doesn’t need quantum computing to reach new heights, which is why the two fields are progressing at different rates. More to add, the breakthrough of $IBM(IBM)$ and $谷歌(GOOG)$ in quantum computing is only favored to enhancement of the quantum computer itself, and the application of quantum computing for now are: cryptography, optimiz
avatarSpiders
2024-12-27

Strategizing US Stock Investments Amid Strong USD: A Singaporean perspective

As a Singaporean investor focusing on the US stock and ETF markets, I often face the added complexity of currency exchange rates. Since the US dollar (USD) is strong right now, largely due to the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance, it has been trading at approximately 1 USD to 1.363 SGD. This makes converting my Singapore dollars (SGD) into USD less favorable at the moment. Current Strategy: Holding Off on Conversions To mitigate the impact of the strong USD, I’m currently investing only with the USD I already hold in money market funds rather than converting fresh SGD into USD. These funds not only preserve my USD capital but also provide a small return, allowing me to maintain liquidity for potential investment opportunities. Considerations Before Buying Stocks The strong USD presents a di
Strategizing US Stock Investments Amid Strong USD: A Singaporean perspective
avatarSpiders
2024-12-06

Why I Am Not Selling Occidental (OXY)

$Occidental(OXY)$ As an investor in Occidental Petroleum (OXY), I have chosen to maintain my position in the company despite the recent volatility in its stock price. Below, I outline the reasons why I am not selling my shares and believe that holding on to OXY is the right decision in the current market environment: 1. OXY Appears Oversold One of the primary reasons I am not selling my Occidental shares is that I believe the stock is oversold. An oversold condition typically suggests that the market has overreacted to short-term news or sentiment, pushing the stock price below its intrinsic value. This creates an opportunity for long-term investors to purchase at a discount. While market fluctuations are a normal part of investing, the fundamental
Why I Am Not Selling Occidental (OXY)
avatarKevinChenNYC
2024-12-10

KevinChen:Top 10 Global Financial Market Predictions for 2025

As the year 2024 draws to a close, the global financial market has faced significant challenges and considerable development. At this time of year-end review, I hope to reflect on last year's predictions and provide a framework for global investment in 2025 for discussion and criticism.I remember that more than twenty years ago, when I graduated from the University of Lausanne with a Ph.D. and joined Morgan Stanley on Wall Street, I would learn from the Chief US Economist, Byron Wien, about his top ten global economic predictions for the following year. The intellectual sparring between him and the then Chief Economist, Steven Roach, on macroeconomic issues was immensely beneficial to us.In recent years, major institutions in the United States have been promoting young people, including ma
KevinChen:Top 10 Global Financial Market Predictions for 2025
avatarJacob X
2024-12-28

Why the S&P 500 Could Keep Soaring: A Bull Market From 2025 to 2030

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$   As we end 2024, many investors are concerned about the stock market. High valuations, re-inflation risks, and the potential changes under a Trump administration have left some wondering whether it's time to exit. However, a closer look at history and the current economic landscape suggests a strong bull market may be ahead, similar to the 1982 recovery. The S&P 500 could keep climbing with annual returns of 15-20% from 2025 through 2030, potentially pushing its value to 12,000-15,000 by 2030. Concerns: High Valuations and Inflation Many are cautious about the current market. With high valuations and inflation showing signs of a potential resurgence, fears of re-inflati
Why the S&P 500 Could Keep Soaring: A Bull Market From 2025 to 2030
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