Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading analysis with you!1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ The number of FinX wiped out or severely damaged by an 8-10% decline in the broader market speaks to one thing— risk management matters.It is certainly not the most engaging form of content on this platform versus the rockets and doom narratives— but it’s what actually protects your portfolio.2.Every Sunday I write a longer format note sharing my market thoughts and charts. The first note for April goes out this Sunday ~8AM MSTIt is a high level overview of the current risk environment, along with context on navigating the near term. 🚨On Feb 23 the note signaled the risk-off alarm, the S&P 500 has declined as much as 8.5% since, and Nasdaq over 11% The

My Investing Muse (24 Mar 2025) Layoffs & Closure news Financial distress in the trucking and logistics sector over the last three years has forced thousands of shipping companies to cease operations in the Great Freight Recession. About 88,000 trucking companies and 8,000 freight brokerage firms went out of business in 2023, data from Freight Caviar revealed. The trucking sector reported a net loss of about 10,000 carriers in the first half of 2024. - The Street Home-grown electronics firm Creative Technology has retrenched about 40 staff, or 14 per cent of its workforce, as the tech layoff wave continues its rampage, The Straits Times has learnt. - Straits Times Volkswagen's Audi to cut 7,500 jobs in administration, development by 2029 - Reuters Amazon is set to cut around 14,000 man

Public Holidays Singapore, Hong Kong, China & the USA have no public holidays in the coming week. Economic Calendar (10 Mar 2025) Economic Calendar Notable Highlights JOLTs Job openings (Jan) will be shared. The previous number was 7.6 million. This coming update will help us understand the job market outlook and serve as a data reference for the Federal Reserve when making its next interest rate decision.  The Core CPI and CPI should be the most watched economic data. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is one of the references used for Inflation. The last CPI (YoY) was 3.0%. If inflation remains stubborn, it could affect the Federal Reserve’s upcoming interest rate decisions, likely causing some volatility in the market. The PPI data will also be released in the coming

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading analysis with you!1.WHY "RADIO SILENT"? $S&P 500(.SPX)$ (1) Many asked me why I went "off-line" last Fri, totally turning off the market. (2) because I want to guard against the trigger-happy MPW to "take profits earlier." (3) ask yourself: with a 130K profit last Fri of your put position, would you hold? I did!2."Buy the dips"--many bag-holder bulls are screaming for help. Who? With WHAT? [All those who are eager to buy the dips already fired out their bullets last time around; now, it is up for the previous dip-buyers to get desperate and become sellers. That would be a good bottom]3.No Capitulation, No Bottom: (1) one reliable indicator of a sustainable bottom [at least for a few weeks] req

My Investing Muse (17 Mar 2025) Layoffs & Closure news Indonesia’s layoff crisis deepens as factories shut; growth hangs in the balance Rising costs and cheap imports hit manufacturing sector hard; other industries are also bleeding jobs, though for different reasons - Business Times SG Alibaba's Tsai discusses AI's potential: 'Research analysts can be completely replaced' - CNBC Employees at PwC, Deloitte, EY, and KPMG are bracing for layoffs as the consulting sector deals with economic volatility, decreased demand, and client prioritization of core expenses. - Techgig These are just several of the many F&B establishments which have pulled the plug recently. Five of seven F&B tenants in the National Gallery Singapore will be ceasing operations. October last year also saw one-M

I wasn’t getting overly bullish after last week’s $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ rally, and I laid out my reasons in detail for subscribers. But I wanted to share some high-level takeaways on where I think the market stands right now.The rally felt more like positioning and short-covering than a true shift in fundamentals. We’ve seen this pattern before -- markets ripping higher on momentum, but without the structural support that signals sustained upside. The bigger issue for me is that uncertainty is still the dominant force, and April 2 is shaping up to be a critical moment that could dictate the next major move.The impact is already visible in earnings calls across multiple sectors. Executives in manufacturing, consumer goods, retail, and even tech have fl

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you!1.Lots of are starting to point towards $Alibaba(BABA)$ breaking out towards 175. Over a year ago this exact target was marked with wonderful entry opportunity. 175 and 75 for Alibaba and $TENCENT(00700)$ will be the time to conclude the trade— …. just when everyone is looking at them.2.I’ve caught the Longevity bug— courtesy of people like Bryan Johnson, Dr. Huberman & Gary Brecka. James Clear’s Atomic Habits helped stitch it all together. Feeling my absolute best in 2025. Mental clarity is incredible when the foundation is set in consistency.ImageImageImageImage

News and my thoughts from last week (10 Mar 2025) History of gold - from Bloomberg China continues DUMPING US Treasuries: China's holdings fell by $77 billion in 2024 to $759 billion, the lowest in 15 YEARS. China is the world's second-largest foreign holder of US public debt after Japan. Are Treasuries losing safe haven status?! - X user Global Markets Investor Bloomberg - falling behind on car payments Car Buyers: The % of borrowers at least 2 months late on their car payments jumps to an all-time high - BarChart Trump says tariffs on Mexico and Canada could go higher than a 25% rate imposed earlier this week, per Bloomberg. The top 10% of earners in the U.S. now account for 49.7% of all spending in the US, per WSJ. China’s exports in the January to February period rose 2.3% in U.S. doll

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you!1.“Money is made by sitting, not trading.”— Jesse L. LivermoreImage2.Tested & Held So Far: $S&P 500(.SPX)$ (1) as noted earlier, the test of support of 5750 level has been under-way for the last few hours. (2) so far, the support is held fairly firmly, indicating an unfinished upward move. (3) for a day like this, the main actions were completed in the 1st hour.Image3.Back-test 5750: (1) an upward blast has conquered the 5752 key resistance zone; Now, it is the back-test; (2) if held--which I believe so--then this zone will become a strong support for the next leg higher; (3) if fails, then a few days of digestion before more squeeze higher.Image4.WHEN & WHERE: (1) "Up u

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading analysis with you!1.MPW Mid-Week Update Posted: $S&P 500(.SPX)$ (1) catch a falling knife or piss toward a tornado, it is your choice to make. (2) in this update, I provide some of the most timely and important roadmap for the upcoming fallout. Image2.If you position right, then in a RED DAY, you still can see GREEN in your account [almost fully invested for my Schwab account; not the others, though, still have dry powder for the 3rd of 3rd wave, when the HAMMER WILL FALL, for real--almost there].Image3.Truncated before reaching the target zone of (5820-30)--mainly due to the external factor on the tariff front. The tape is super-weak; if not mistaken, this ongoing drop will take no prisoners

Public Holidays In the coming week, there will be no public holidays in China, Hong Kong, or Singapore. Washington's Birthday | Peterson Space Force Base America is celebrating Washington’s birthday on 17 Feb 2025 (Monday). Economic Calendar (17Feb2025) Notable Highlights The FOMC meeting minutes will be revealed. This lends insights into the Federal Reserve's considerations and outlook for the next interest rate decision. Philadelphia's Fed Manufacturing Index will also be released in the coming week. Previously, the index stood at 44.3 which implies a contraction in the manufacturing industry. S&P Global Manufacturing PMI and S&P Global Services PMI will also be released in the coming week. This will provide an important outlook concerning global manufacturing and services. Exist

$Gold - main 2504(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Monday (March 24) Asian morning trading, spot gold narrow oscillation, currently trading at 3025.54 U.S. dollars near. Gold prices fell 0.7% on Friday, due to a stronger U.S. dollar and profit-taking, the plate once touched the 3000 round number mark, but the lingering geopolitical and economic uncertainty, coupled with the Federal Reserve's expected interest rate cuts, the price of gold is still subject to the low buyers and safe-haven buyers to support, on Friday, the price of gold closed at $ 3023.04 near the weekly rise of 1.17% for the third consecutive weekly rise.Survey shows that most analysts and retail investors still tend to bullish

News and my thoughts from last week (03Mar2025) How can the legacy media survive their self-destruction? Image has now erased -$450 BILLION of market cap over the last 24 hours. This comes after the company crushed earnings expectations, posting record quarterly revenue of $39.3B. -X user The Kobeissi Letter January PCE inflation, the Fed's preferred inflation measure, falls to 2.5%, in-line with expectations of 2.5%. Core PCE inflation was 2.6%, in-line with expectations of 2.6%. This marks the first decline in PCE inflation since September 2024. Image Hedge funds are RUSHING to the exit at nearly a RECORD pace: Hedge funds have been selling US technology stocks in February at the fastest rate since the 2021 Meme Stocks Craziness. Over the last 5 days alone, they reduced their exposure at

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading analysis with you!1.MPW Bamboo Scroll #164 Posted: (1) yes, it is cooking--up until the bears have doubts of their short position--sometime next week. (2) I reviewed BTC & Mag-7 for its short- to long-term chart, and they confirm my take of broader market. Image2. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 5638--the mark for a Green or Red weekly candle. Now, it is a few points above this line, let's see how bulls and bears settle for this week. No position, 100% cash.Image3. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Quarantined by multiple POWERFUL trendlines--no breakthrough whatsoever, just chopping inside a tiny zone, like a trapped animal trying to find a way out. That breakout looks postpo