Macro Trend

Monetary policy, various types of price indices... Here is everything about the macro economy!

.SPX: What's Going on Next?

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you!1.“Money is made by sitting, not trading.”— Jesse L. LivermoreImage2.Tested & Held So Far: $S&P 500(.SPX)$ (1) as noted earlier, the test of support of 5750 level has been under-way for the last few hours. (2) so far, the support is held fairly firmly, indicating an unfinished upward move. (3) for a day like this, the main actions were completed in the 1st hour.Image3.Back-test 5750: (1) an upward blast has conquered the 5752 key resistance zone; Now, it is the back-test; (2) if held--which I believe so--then this zone will become a strong support for the next leg higher; (3) if fails, then a few days of digestion before more squeeze higher.Image4.WHEN & WHERE: (1) "Up u
.SPX: What's Going on Next?

.SPX: What's Going on Next?

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading analysis with you!1.MPW Mid-Week Update Posted: $S&P 500(.SPX)$ (1) catch a falling knife or piss toward a tornado, it is your choice to make. (2) in this update, I provide some of the most timely and important roadmap for the upcoming fallout. Image2.If you position right, then in a RED DAY, you still can see GREEN in your account [almost fully invested for my Schwab account; not the others, though, still have dry powder for the 3rd of 3rd wave, when the HAMMER WILL FALL, for real--almost there].Image3.Truncated before reaching the target zone of (5820-30)--mainly due to the external factor on the tariff front. The tape is super-weak; if not mistaken, this ongoing drop will take no prisoners
.SPX: What's Going on Next?

GOLD: Gold Maintained its Intraday Uptrend

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2504(GCmain)$ Technical: Gold prices continue to rise and face a resistance level near $3050, which must be broken to confirm further medium-term bullishness towards $3100-3200. Otherwise, if the resistance level remains intact, gold prices could fall towards $3000, or even $2950! Technical data on the daily chart suggests that the bullish trend will continue. Despite the Relative Strength Index (RSI) being at overbought levels, the technical indicators remain firmly to the upside with no signs of the upside drying up. Meanwhile, the gold price is well above all of its moving averages, with the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) resuming its upward move and curr
GOLD: Gold Maintained its Intraday Uptrend

GOLD: Safe-haven to Stay

$Gold - main 2504(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Monday (March 24) Asian morning trading, spot gold narrow oscillation, currently trading at 3025.54 U.S. dollars near. Gold prices fell 0.7% on Friday, due to a stronger U.S. dollar and profit-taking, the plate once touched the 3000 round number mark, but the lingering geopolitical and economic uncertainty, coupled with the Federal Reserve's expected interest rate cuts, the price of gold is still subject to the low buyers and safe-haven buyers to support, on Friday, the price of gold closed at $ 3023.04 near the weekly rise of 1.17% for the third consecutive weekly rise.Survey shows that most analysts and retail investors still tend to bullish
GOLD: Safe-haven to Stay

.SPX: What's the Next Direction?

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading analysis with you!1.MPW Bamboo Scroll #164 Posted: (1) yes, it is cooking--up until the bears have doubts of their short position--sometime next week. (2) I reviewed BTC & Mag-7 for its short- to long-term chart, and they confirm my take of broader market. Image2. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 5638--the mark for a Green or Red weekly candle. Now, it is a few points above this line, let's see how bulls and bears settle for this week. No position, 100% cash.Image3. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Quarantined by multiple POWERFUL trendlines--no breakthrough whatsoever, just chopping inside a tiny zone, like a trapped animal trying to find a way out. That breakout looks postpo
.SPX: What's the Next Direction?

GOLD: Trouble At This Time?

$Gold - main 2504(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ The financial market is like a never-ending wave, fluctuating up and down every day, and it seems that there are trading opportunities everywhere. But remember, the real opportunities are not those superficial and fleeting fluctuations, but the opportunities that you can truly understand and grasp with your own experience, knowledge and keen insight. Only such opportunities are truly your opportunities.Unfortunately, in the world of trading, 90% of traders seem to be troubled by an invisible obsessive-compulsive disorder. This obsessive-compulsive disorder drives them to feel that they must open an order today, as if it is an unshirkable task.
GOLD: Trouble At This Time?
avatarKYHBKO
02-16

Is Rivian worthy of our shortlisting - Preview of the week starting 17Feb2025

Public Holidays In the coming week, there will be no public holidays in China, Hong Kong, or Singapore. Washington's Birthday | Peterson Space Force Base America is celebrating Washington’s birthday on 17 Feb 2025 (Monday). Economic Calendar (17Feb2025) Notable Highlights The FOMC meeting minutes will be revealed. This lends insights into the Federal Reserve's considerations and outlook for the next interest rate decision. Philadelphia's Fed Manufacturing Index will also be released in the coming week. Previously, the index stood at 44.3 which implies a contraction in the manufacturing industry. S&P Global Manufacturing PMI and S&P Global Services PMI will also be released in the coming week. This will provide an important outlook concerning global manufacturing and services. Exist
Is Rivian worthy of our shortlisting - Preview of the week starting 17Feb2025

GOLD: Gold's Near-term Outlook is Bullish

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1.TECHNICAL: Gold price breaks through $3,000 at another record high, ANZ raises gold price forecast to $3,100! Gold's near-term outlook is bullish.The 4-hour chart shows technical indicators resuming their uptrend, albeit with uneven strength, but still into positive territory. In addition, gold price is trading above its bullish moving averages and the 20-period SMA is currently providing dynamic support around $2,925.8. Expect today's trading range to be in the range of 3006-3040. Trade to keep buying trades! Strategy:Buy:3008-3010 TP:3028-3030 SL:2998 Image2.The situation in the Middle East is heating up again as spot gold stands at $3010, renewing its record high. So far this year, the cumulative increase of more than
GOLD: Gold's Near-term Outlook is Bullish
avatarKYHBKO
03-02

PCE, Hedge Funds exit & Delinquencies - News and my thoughts (03 Mar 2025)

News and my thoughts from last week (03Mar2025) How can the legacy media survive their self-destruction? Image has now erased -$450 BILLION of market cap over the last 24 hours. This comes after the company crushed earnings expectations, posting record quarterly revenue of $39.3B. -X user The Kobeissi Letter January PCE inflation, the Fed's preferred inflation measure, falls to 2.5%, in-line with expectations of 2.5%. Core PCE inflation was 2.6%, in-line with expectations of 2.6%. This marks the first decline in PCE inflation since September 2024. Image Hedge funds are RUSHING to the exit at nearly a RECORD pace: Hedge funds have been selling US technology stocks in February at the fastest rate since the 2021 Meme Stocks Craziness. Over the last 5 days alone, they reduced their exposure at
PCE, Hedge Funds exit & Delinquencies - News and my thoughts (03 Mar 2025)

Here are My Top 5 International Stock Picks

As tariffs are scheduled to come into effect in April, global diversification is more important than ever.Here are my top 5 international stock picks:1. $Nu Holdings Ltd.(NU)$ Stock tanked following Q4 earnings as it suffered from FX headwinds. Brazilian Real dipped against USD in December and it’s been strengthening since then. As FX turned to tailwinds, it remains cheap at 22 times forward earnings.2. $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ Monopoly in extreme ultraviolet lithography machines that are indispensable for manufacturing cutting edge chips. Order intake is set to accelerate as TSMC plans 5 new facilities in the USA and it keeps expanding in Japan and Europe.3. $MercadoLi
Here are My Top 5 International Stock Picks

GOLD: Whether the Price can be Supported or not?

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1.Early Wednesday (26 March) Asian market, gold narrowly oscillated, currently trading near 3020.83 U.S. dollars. Gold prices rose slightly on Tuesday, closing at $3019.84, temporarily holding above the 3000 round number mark, on the one hand, tariff concerns still provide safe-haven support, on the other hand, the U.S. consumer confidence data performed poorly, dragging down the U.S. dollar and U.S. bond yields, to give support to the gold price. [Great][Great][Great] $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ $Gold - main 2504(GCmain)$
GOLD: Whether the Price can be Supported or not?

美股大漲, 反彈一觸即發

$E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2506(NQmain)$ 美股大漲,上周周末發佈周報提前預告:“NQ開始形成短期較高的周期低點,目前VIX曲綫回歸正常,MAG7中多數已經回到季度信號綫,反彈一觸即發。比特幣短期見周期低點,醖釀短期反彈,下個時間低點4月底,關注出現higher low則中期結構轉好。”Here we go! Let's have another wonderful week Traders!
美股大漲, 反彈一觸即發

ES_F, GOOG, SPY& PLTR Suffered Continous Pressure!

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you!1. $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ Parabolic move, stretched valuation, insiders running for the door...All signs to proceed with caution. ⚠️ Image2. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Turn log scale on and we're already almost at the COVID low trendline on SPY. 👀Image3. $Alphabet(GOOG)$ RSI Divergence loading... Image4.Index futures looking shaky this AM... 🚩 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ -0.45% $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ -0.60%Image
ES_F, GOOG, SPY& PLTR Suffered Continous Pressure!

.SPX: The Remain Bounce

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ thoughts: The ingredients for a bounce remain there— in fairness the mild base and weak bounce are heading into a meaningful resistance block ahead in the 5750-5850 range. How price responds in this range will set the direction for the next move. The message is consistent— (1) rejection lends itself to thoughts of continued downside towards 5250-5400. (2) Holding price above the resistance block range eases bearishness and will suggest the corrective low of March 13 was the low of this decline. Simple.
.SPX: The Remain Bounce
avatarKYHBKO
02-16

Layoffs, closures, Singapore's mixed signals, Doge & Munger - my investing muse (17Feb2025)

My Investing Muse (17Feb2025) Layoffs & Closure news Denny’s, known for its signature breakfast skillets and specialty pancakes, told its investors that it will be shuttering 70-90 underperforming restaurants by the end of the year. - SF Gate Bay Area tech company once worth $1.2B shuts down service, lays off almost entire US staff Getaround will continue operating in Europe - SF Gate CEO Mark Zuckerberg said in an employee memo last month (as reported by Bloomberg) that he planned to cut around 3,600 positions—or about 5% of the workforce in said performance-based layoffs. But many of the employees affected by the move are speaking out on social media, stating that they have no prior history of not meeting company expectations. - Fortune Image TRUMP ORDERS MASS FIRING OF NEW FEDERAL H
Layoffs, closures, Singapore's mixed signals, Doge & Munger - my investing muse (17Feb2025)

.SPX: What's the Formation Next?

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading analysis with you!1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 5666 resistance conquered, next target is 5750; based on the rally momentum, by FOMC at 2:00pm on Wednesday, I think 5750 will be hit (not trading this week, as I am in New York to attend the Asia Week Auction, 3/13-3/21)Image2.5669 resistance: (1) I marked 5666 as a target for this current upward move, and it stopped the first attempt. (2) but given the strength of the rally & 60% bearish reading, this bounce has more legs to run up. (3) the next hurdle would be 5750 and SPX should get there by Wedn.Follow me to learn more about analysis!!
.SPX: What's the Formation Next?
avatarKYHBKO
02-02

Is Affirm turning things around? Preview of the week starting 03Feb2025

Public Holidays China is closed on 3rd Feb 2025 to celebrate Chinese New Year. There is no public holidays in America, Hong Kong and Singapore in the coming week. Economic Calendar (03Feb2025) China is closed on 3rd Feb 2025 as they celebrate Chinese Lunar New Year. Notable Highlights The S&P Global manufacturing PMI is expected to be 50.1. This represents a slight growth compared to the previous. ISM manufacturing PMI will also be released. This represents the growth or contraction of the manufacturing industry. ISM manufacturing prices will be released. A figure of above 50 implies an increase in manufacturing cost. This can lead to inflationary costs that are passed onto the consumers. S&P Global Services PMI is expected to hit 52.8. This implies a growth in the global services
Is Affirm turning things around? Preview of the week starting 03Feb2025
avatarKYHBKO
02-16

Killer Asteroid, HPE warns Cisco & Huawei, BlackRock - news and my thoughts from last week (17Feb2025)

News and my thoughts from last week (17Feb2025) SCIENTISTS IDENTIFY WHERE "CITY-KILLING" ASTEROID COULD STRIKE EARTH IN 2032 NASA warns asteroid 2024 YR4 has a 2.1% chance of colliding with Earth on December 22, 2032, with impact projections spanning South America, Africa, and Asia. With a diameter of up to 90 meters (300 feet), the asteroid could unleash an 8-megaton explosion—500 times the Hiroshima bomb—if it strikes a populated area. Scientists are using the James Webb Telescope to refine predictions, but for now, the risk remains. Source: Daily Mail Putin has invited Xi and Trump to the WW2 victory celebrations in Moscow. Xi has already accepted. Trump will accept too, according to my sources. What a blow to the EU! - X user Alernative NewsIs peace within sight? Hewlett Packard Enter
Killer Asteroid, HPE warns Cisco & Huawei, BlackRock - news and my thoughts from last week (17Feb2025)
avatarKYHBKO
03-09

What can happen with CPI & PPI in this week? Economic Calendar starting 10 Mar 2025

Public Holidays Singapore, Hong Kong, China & the USA have no public holidays in the coming week. Economic Calendar (10 Mar 2025) Economic Calendar Notable Highlights JOLTs Job openings (Jan) will be shared. The previous number was 7.6 million. This coming update will help us understand the job market outlook and serve as a data reference for the Federal Reserve when making its next interest rate decision.  The Core CPI and CPI should be the most watched economic data. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is one of the references used for Inflation. The last CPI (YoY) was 3.0%. If inflation remains stubborn, it could affect the Federal Reserve’s upcoming interest rate decisions, likely causing some volatility in the market. The PPI data will
What can happen with CPI & PPI in this week? Economic Calendar starting 10 Mar 2025
$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ AMZN + AMZY = $$$For all longs you don't simply reading shorties 🤡🤡🤡articles lolThey say whatever they want , they are broke at the end of the day, Consumer sentiment has plummeted over the last month and is now among the lowest levels in the last 70 years. The good news: it’s historically been a great contrarian indicator. The less confident people feel about the future, the better the stock market has performed.[What][What][What]
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