Take Profit as S&P Hits 5800 or Hold Till 6000?

As the stock market hits record highs more than 40 times this year, there are concerns that history might repeat itself and another financial crisis could occur. ---------------- Will S&P 500 hit 6000 by year-end as institutions predict? Would you take profit and stay cautious ahead or hold till the year-end?

avatarpretiming
2024-10-20

S&P 500 Analysis: Capitalizing on Current Bullish Momentum

$.SPX(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ As of October 18, the S&P 500 closed at 5,864.7, reflecting a 0.40% increase. This indicates a positive market trend, suggesting favorable conditions for investors.Long-term Investment StrategyThe current trend for the S&P 500 is classified as Bullish, which means that the market is experiencing strong buying pressure. For investors, this is an excellent opportunity to adopt a Buy and Hold strategy.In a Bullish trend zone, the market typically displays two patterns:Uptrend: This is characterized by a strong upward movement in prices, although there may be occasional dips.Correction Trend: Here, the market may experience some temporary downward movement
S&P 500 Analysis: Capitalizing on Current Bullish Momentum

US Stocks, Bonds, and Gold investment Tips After Fed’s First Rate Cut in 2024

Hi, Tigers[Allin][Allin]The Fed's rate cut decision has been released. In today’s article, we highlighted the impact of the rate cut on the market, collect the future path of fed from big banks. And listed the potential investment opportunities that investors should pay attention to.1. The Fed's unexpected rate cut, market reaction and expert interpretationOn September 18, Eastern Time, the Fed opened a new round of easing cycle with a 50 bps rate cut and a dovish dot plot. Rate cuts are generally aimed at reducing borrowing costs and stimulating economic growth, especially when economic growth slows or there is a risk of recession. The Fed's 50 basis point rate cut is the largest single rate cut since the global financial crisis in 2008.However, Powell's colleague reminded that "the speed
US Stocks, Bonds, and Gold investment Tips After Fed’s First Rate Cut in 2024

BIG TECH WEEKLY | ETF Drama: Nvidia flips with Apple

Big-Tech’s PerformanceInterest rate cuts officially occurred, and to the surprise of investors. 50 basis points seems to be more than expected, in fact, also contains the July did not cut interest rates "compensation", but also indicates that it will focus on the shift from controlling inflation to promote full employment.Although the rate cut is regarded as the market's "cardiac needle", the market also opened the early "carnival mode", but Powell mentioned that the neutral interest rate may be higher than the pre-pandemic level, meaning that the future speed of interest rate cuts may be slower than the market expected.But can not be ignored is that the interest rate inversion is still with the recession between the existence of a positive correlation.Historical data show that since 1954,
BIG TECH WEEKLY | ETF Drama: Nvidia flips with Apple
avatarJacksNiffler
2024-09-19

YTD 203%+ But Still In "Buy List"!

There's a gaming software stock that's up 203% year-to-date, but the market thinks its growth story isn't over yet.Shares of the company fell to over $10 at the beginning of 2023 due to the high interest rate environment that has closed in on the suppressed advertising and gaming market, and have now risen to over $120.As the Federal Reserve has officially begun a rate-cutting cycle, this type of strong-performing growth stock could draw further coveted funding.It’s $AppLovin Corporation(APP)$.Advertising, gaming, and entertainment peers of tech giants like $Trade Desk Inc.(TTD)$ $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$
YTD 203%+ But Still In "Buy List"!
avatarBarcode
2024-10-05
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$  $SPX Fibonacci levels 🎯 $5718.30  ~ needs to hold $5721, $5725 above  $5716-5708 below 🌩️🌡️ Fear Gauge Frenzy Meets Bullish Optimism! VIX & S&P 500 on Diverging Paths 🌡️🌩️ Kia ora Tiger traders! 🐅💥 The VIX has been shaking things up, spiking over 20 last week, and now hovering at 19.21 📉, down 6.25% from its previous close of 20.49. Fear is still hanging in the air, but here comes the kicker: Goldman Sachs just raised their S&P 500 12-month price target to 6,300 🚀. That’s a whopping 9.5% above current levels! Talk about mixed signals—when your VIX is

What should investors care about after first 50bps rate cut?

The 50 basis point rate cut to start the cycle surprised at least half of investors.There are 25 basis points is the compensation for July.Many investors in the market point of view is that July can open the rate cut, and Powell in order to "stabilize" hard to see two more months of data off to September.The 50 basis points, in fact, is 25 basis points in September, plus 25 basis points in July compensation!Even 50 basis points, still behind the curve.According to the Fed's own point of view, this time is "calibrated policy stance" - do not want to fall behind the curve, but also do not want to signal the risk of recession, so the action to see at first glance seems to be very large, in fact, just behind the market too much to add.For the first time did not give the market "clear signal".P
What should investors care about after first 50bps rate cut?

How DOJ sues Visa's monopoly change your portfolio?

The U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) plans to file an antitrust lawsuit against VISA.The legal action, which will sue the payment technology company in federal court, is expected to start as soon as Tuesday. Antitrust regulators are poised to accuse $Visa(V)$ of engaging in behavior that prevents competitors from entering the debit card market.This includes entering into exclusivity contracts that impede the development of rival payment networks and preventing tech companies from entering the market, according to the report.What does the DOJ charge?The DOJ's statement says: We allege that VISA has illegally amassed power to charge fees far in excess of what it might charge in a competitive market.Raising transaction fees through monopolization.VISA p
How DOJ sues Visa's monopoly change your portfolio?
avatarTiger V
2024-09-25

Nvidia Surge Pushes S&P 500 to Record Highs

Overview of Markets: Strong Tech & AI Pushes U.S. Stocks Higher The stock market showed strength with the S&P 500 reaching new highs, buoyed by Nvidia’s sharp rise. The index climbed by 14.36 points, or 0.25%, to close at 5732.93. Meanwhile, the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 83.57 points, up 0.2%, to a new record of 42,208.22. The Nasdaq also surged, gaining 100.25 points, or 0.56%, to 18,074.52. Meanwhile, Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) ADRs $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$  gained 4.13% as the tech sector showed resilience. Nvidia’s $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$  CEO, Jensen Huang, ceased selling the company's stock, pushing shares of the AI giant up
Nvidia Surge Pushes S&P 500 to Record Highs

6400! UBS Ups Its Forecast for SPX in 2025

UBS now expects the U.S. stock market to hit new highs in 2025. Jonathan Golub, the bank's strategist, raised his target for the $.SPX(.SPX)$ from 6,000 to 6,400 points in a note to clients on Tuesday. This new forecast implies a 9.2% gain from Monday's close.Golub pointed to a favorable economic backdrop as the driving factor. "UBS economists forecast 3.7% growth in U.S. nominal GDP in 2025, roughly in line with long-term averages," he said. He added, "Rate cuts should reduce interest expenses and default risks, boosting earnings per share and valuations."Golub’s call came right after the S&P 500 hit an all-time high, with the index up nearly 23% year-to-date. Investors are banking on the Federal Reserve cutting rates in the coming months, fu
6400! UBS Ups Its Forecast for SPX in 2025
avatarDavidMarlin
2024-10-18

Bull Market Milestone: Two Years In, Aiming for Five?

We are now 2 years into the current Bull Market that began in October 2022. The average duration of the last 11 Bull Markets has been ~5 years, with 8/11 (73%) making it to the end of the year 3. $.SPX(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2412(ESmain)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2412(NQmain)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ $.DJI(.DJI)$ $GLOBAL
Bull Market Milestone: Two Years In, Aiming for Five?

All-Time-Highs Driven by Strong Demand! Which Companies to Follow?

$Netflix(NFLX)$ achieved an impressive 48% increase this year and recently hit a new high of $722. The performance and stock price surged following the launch of a new advertising plan.It is one of the few big tech companies that reached new highs in September. In the future, its advertising business is expected to benefit from AI applications. Strong demand from cruisers has lifted shares of $Royal Caribbean Cruises(RCL)$, reaching a new high of $179.75, marking a 38% year-to-date increase.On August 6, JPMorgan highlighted RCL as "best in class" among cruise operators, causing the stock to jump 7.5%. It has continued to rise over the past two months.JPMorgan noted that Royal Caribbean has indicated that p
All-Time-Highs Driven by Strong Demand! Which Companies to Follow?
avatarDoTrading
2024-09-19

Fed’s Half-Point Rate Cut Fuels Optimism for Soft Landing as Global Markets React

Global markets are responding to the Federal Reserve's decision to kick off its rate-cutting cycle with a half-percentage-point reduction, signaling the start of what many hope will be a controlled path toward stabilizing the US economy. Investors are closely watching the central bank’s approach, with Fed Chair Jerome Powell cautioning that future rate cuts may proceed at a slower pace than some anticipated. As the dust settles, the Treasury market, global equities, and major currencies have reacted in various ways to the Fed's move, while focus shifts to the upcoming decisions from the Bank of England (BOE) and Bank of Japan (BOJ). Fed’s Decision and Market Reaction Fed Kicks Off Rate Cuts with a Bang The Fed delivered a bold half-point cut to the federal-funds rate, bringing the new targ
Fed’s Half-Point Rate Cut Fuels Optimism for Soft Landing as Global Markets React

Dow & SPX Hit ATH, Tech Stocks Surge Post-Rate Cut

The Fed's significant rate cut boosted confidence that the central bank will keep the U.S. economy expanding. On Thursday, U.S. stocks rose sharply, with the $DJIA(.DJI)$ jumping over 500 points and the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ closing above 5,700 for the first time, both setting historical records. This marked the Fed's first rate cut in four years, leading the market to believe it can help the economy avoid a recession.Prevent Recession, Stocks ExplodingAdam Crisafulli, founder of Vital Knowledge, remarked, “As the market digests this major Fed cut, stocks are exploding. I foresee a strong market leading up to the presidential election.”This larger-than-expected cut surprised many investors. Jeremy Siegel, a
Dow & SPX Hit ATH, Tech Stocks Surge Post-Rate Cut
avatarTRIGGER TRADES
2024-10-13

We crushed $SPX Friday for 60 points using the WXY Model

We crushed $.SPX(.SPX)$ Friday for 60 points using the WXY Model.After years of deep study on Elliott Wave, the WXY model stands out as my favorite.It’s an extremely high-probability pattern that appears frequently in the market—and works even when the wave count isn't clear.Here's how to take advantage of it:ImageWXYs (double zigzags) are three ABC patterns, with two legs against the trend (W and Y) and one in favor (X).Structured as (3-3-3) or (ABC-X-ABC), this high-probability pattern signals the continuation of the larger trend.Each leg is either of equal length (90-100%) or follows Fibonacci ratios/extensions (50%, 61.8%, 127.2%), with Wave Y extending at least one tick below Wave W (no truncation)ImageEntry Models:1. Enter following the brea
We crushed $SPX Friday for 60 points using the WXY Model
avatarBullaroo
2024-09-18

Analyzing the Market Reaction to the Fed's 50 Basis Points Rate Cut

On September 18, 2024, the Federal Reserve took a decisive step by reducing the federal funds rate by 50 basis points, marking a significant shift in U.S. monetary policy. This move, aimed at supporting a softening labour market and controlling still-elevated inflation levels, led to a variety of immediate reactions in financial markets, reflecting the complex interplay of investor expectations, economic indicators, and monetary policy. Market Movements The stock market initially reacted positively, with major indices like the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average hitting the day’s highs shortly after the announcement. This rally was underpinned by the relief among investors who had been anticipating aggressive action from the Fed to counteract recent economic slowdowns. However
Analyzing the Market Reaction to the Fed's 50 Basis Points Rate Cut

FedEx missed Q1, lowered 25FY, reflection of recession?

$FedEx(FDX)$ A lackluster performance in the first quarter of fiscal 2025, which missed market expectations, and the company's downward revision of its full-year earnings guidance led to a sharp decline in shares in after-hours trading, ending the previous nine-day uptrend.Earnings OverviewFedEx reported total revenues of $21.6 billion in the first quarter, missing market expectations of $21.93 billion and falling slightly year-over-year.Earnings per share came in at $3.60, well below analysts' expectations of $4.82.Several of its major business units, including Express Services, Ground Transportation and Freight Services, suffered some margin compression.Courier ServicesRevenue grew by about 4% but margins were compressed due to higher operating c
FedEx missed Q1, lowered 25FY, reflection of recession?
avatarBullaroo
2024-10-11
Here’s my perspective on the CPI data and SPX hitting all-time highs. I believe it's crucial not to base long-term market decisions on one month’s data, particularly when it comes to CPI. While the September core CPI came in slightly higher than expected at 3.3%, and the headline CPI at 2.4%, these figures, though higher than estimates, still represent a general trend of cooling inflation. The broader picture is still one of deceleration from peak inflation levels seen last year, despite the fluctuations. When it comes to deciding whether to take profits or hold through year-end, it’s important to focus on the underlying investments in your portfolio rather than trying to time the market based on short-term indicators. While the SPX has hit record highs multiple times this year, chasing tr
Ok here's a thought. Since the 1920s the S&P has delivered an annualised return of around 9%. Some years it hasn't but on average it's 9% plus. So why would you sell it ever? Well I guess if you brought it cheap, and now it's expensive, one reason to sell some would be because it's overweight in your portfolio and maybe you have something that "mite" perform better.  But that's a big mite. $Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$ Is at record highs, and continues to bounce. My perspective is that I'm not overweight, so I have no compelling need to sell. If it drops significantly I would just buy more, funds permitting. If you have the luxury of time in the market then there is no need to sell anything that is good. Investing in stocks is a long ter

What to trade in the Rate Cut Cycle?

Last week, the Federal Reserve opened a new rate-cutting cycle with an "unconventional" 50 basis points, marking the official end of tightening since early 2022.The background and implications of this decision are worth exploring in depth. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Extent and path of the rate cutThe Federal Reserve's 50 basis point rate cut is intended to be a quick response to potential economic growth pressures. $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ Although the market is generally positive about the rate cut, but there are also concerns about recession.Powell emphasized in this context, there is no obvious signs of recession, and the future path of interest rate cuts will be more gentle.According to the Fed's "dot plo
What to trade in the Rate Cut Cycle?
avatarSmartReversals
2024-10-12

$SPX - Back and Forth between Greed and Extreme Greed

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ - Back and Forth between Greed and Extreme Greed, as it happened back in the first weeks of 2024.The outcome back then was bullish continuation.There are overheated components like: 1) the distance from the 125DMA, 2) the new highs in the $NYSE(NYSE)$ , 3) the volume summation is on the rise, and 4) bonds are not doing well.2 & 3 sound very well, that's why considering further upside is important, and the $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ , open for everyone in link in profile⤴️is suggesting further upside for the market.It's been a long time since I posted a $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ weekly char
$SPX - Back and Forth between Greed and Extreme Greed
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