Big Tech Weekly

Big tech companies, including Apple, Amazon, Google's parent Alphabet, Meta Platforms, and Microsoft, hold immense significance in the stock market. Their size, market influence, and role in technological innovation make them bellwethers for investor sentiment and key drivers of market performance. This topic will keep following the key events and trend of big tech!

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03-31

Time to get some BlackBerry? Earnings calendar for the week (31Mar25)

Earnings Calendar (31 Mar 2025) Image I am interested in BlackBerry's and RGP's upcoming earnings. Let us look at BlackBerry in detail. The stock price rose by 42% from a year ago. Technical Analysis has a “Strong Sell” recommendation for the stock. Here is an analysis of Blackberry with the help of GROK: Revenue Growth Trend: BlackBerry's revenue has significantly declined over the decade, dropping from $3.335 billion in 2015 to $853 million in 2024. The 10-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for revenue is a negative 18.8%, reflecting a steep contraction. Key Milestones: Revenue saw sharp declines, particularly in 2015 (-51.0%), 2016 (-35.2%), and 2017 (-39.4%). There were brief periods of growth, such as 15.0% in 2020, but the overall trend is downward, with an 8.6% drop in 2023 and
Time to get some BlackBerry? Earnings calendar for the week (31Mar25)

BIG TECH WEEKLY | AI Data Crash Due To Oversupply? NVDA's Strong Support At 110

Big-Tech’s PerformanceWeekly macro storyline: Divergence on US stock marketQ1 of the US stock market experienced rain, so "whether it is a medium-term intervention point" has become a hot topic of discussion.Policies favor the real economy over capital markets, while "soft data" continues to weaken.The core differences and market focus on the direction of the market are: foreign capital flows (Goldman Sachs believes that foreign capital, especially European funds, will continue to inflow, UBS warned that the funds may return to the local market), sustainability of the rebound (Morgan based on the technical aspects of the short-term bullish, but medium-term by the impact of the policy, the Mo emphasized that the fundamentals of the rebound of the limitation of the space of the weak), positi
BIG TECH WEEKLY | AI Data Crash Due To Oversupply? NVDA's Strong Support At 110

BIG TECH WEEKLY | How Market React After Mar FOMC? Why Google Are Traded by 18x PE?

Big-Tech’s PerformanceWeekly macro storyline: March FOMC: optimistic or pessimistic?The core of the March FOMC meeting was to ease market pressures through technical tapering adjustments, while keeping interest rates high to curb inflation.Despite the rising risk of economic stagflation, the Fed is still trying to find a balance between "premature easing" and "excessive tightening".The most over-expected move was a dramatic slowdown in tapering from April 1st.The Fed reduced the monthly redemption limit on Treasuries from $25 billion to $5 billion (an 80% reduction).The Fed stressed that the slowdown in tapering is not a shift in monetary policy, mainly in response to changes in the balance of the Treasury's cash account (TGA) and the debt ceiling, while optimizing the structure of the pos
BIG TECH WEEKLY | How Market React After Mar FOMC? Why Google Are Traded by 18x PE?

BIG TECH WEEKLY | NVDA GTC Preview; Powell work with Trump? Big Tech Panic Crash or Rotation?

Big-Tech’s PerformanceWeekly macro storyline: Powell work with Trump?Although Powell did not pay much attention to Trump, but Trump is repeatedly shouted Powell to cut interest rates.This week's CPI data was unexpectedly lower than expected, the super core services CPI is back to the mid-23 year level, and housing data is generally delayed, and from the industry data in the previous months, the probability of future downward movement is greater.Although the Fed mainly looks at PCE, overall inflation is trending downward, and inflation is currently an important bridge between Powell and Trump (both want to drop).But inflation now has tariffs as a variable, and Powell is not willing to take "depends on the data" this kind of rhetoric to deal with the market (because the tariffs are going to
BIG TECH WEEKLY | NVDA GTC Preview; Powell work with Trump? Big Tech Panic Crash or Rotation?

BIG TECH WEEKLY | How Much Room to Play the Big Tech Pullback? Valuation Correction?

Big-Tech’s PerformanceWeekly macro storyline: Exodus of "US Exceptionalism" trade. In the last two weeks, market risk appetite has taken an extreme turn, with AI-narrative chipmakers tumbling, pulling the Nasdaq back as a whole, and risk aversion rising, while the Trump administration's tariffs have continued to make waves and even become a primary focus of the market.Investors lowered their dollar longs and flocked to Europe and Asia to diversify into the U.S. market.Unlike the 2018 period, U.S. stock valuations are now at elevated levels, the market (institutional investor behavior with consistency such as CTAs) is cautious, and growth expectations are weakening (retail data from Walmart/Target/Bestbuy, etc.), overlaying not Price-in too much Trump policy uncertainty previously the marke
BIG TECH WEEKLY | How Much Room to Play the Big Tech Pullback? Valuation Correction?

BIG TECH WEEKLY | NVDA Ruins the market? TSLA testing election day?

Big-Tech’s PerformanceWeekly macro storyline:U.S. stocks risk sentiment rose sharply, the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ recorded the largest one-day decline since DeepSeek.Tariffs again, USD strengthened , but the Yen began to return to the "safe-haven" propertyConcerns about jobless claims data are starting to escalate, which could be a sign of economic problems or a consequence of the recent widespread layoffs in the DOGE sector, and it is suspected that the market is taking its anger out on the TSLA.Big techs, Nvidia's earnings report is naturally the focus, but the impact has declined, even if the data is still great, but "beautiful enough" will allow investors to take profits to step on.Since the beginning of the year, only META in the big technology reco
BIG TECH WEEKLY | NVDA Ruins the market? TSLA testing election day?

BIG TECH WEEKLY | Comparing Giants: Alibaba vs. Amazon | Nvidia Pre-Earning Volatility

Big-Tech’s PerformanceWeekly macro storyline:U.S. stocks are relatively flat: Trump continues to point fingers on the "Russia-Ukraine" issue while further utilizing tariffs to scare the world, but the market is not surprised; the U.S. dollar continues to fall, U.S. stocks are hovering at new highs, and U.S. bonds are instead ushering in incremental volume due to the Fed's minutes message.Changes in non-U.S. regions gradually become the main line: China's AI main line caused by stock trading congestion; Japan's CPI exceeded expectations caused by the yen appreciation; and Europe will usher in the German election, the market is confusing; gold continues to new highs, Goldman Sachs target price raised to 3100U.S. stocks big technology, in addition to Apple's painless remedy for Greater China
BIG TECH WEEKLY | Comparing Giants: Alibaba vs. Amazon | Nvidia Pre-Earning Volatility

BIG TECH WEEKLY | China Techs Are NVDA's Bonus?

Big-Tech’s PerformanceWeekly macro storyline:CPI beat: USD rallied for a while, but the overall downtrend of CPI remained unchanged, and Powell downplayed its impact (mainly looking at PCE), and the USD index then retreated (risk assets rallied)Trump's tariff policy: economic and trade advocacy, including the promotion of reciprocal tariffs on some countries (can also be a uniform tariff), the new " consider the use of the value-added tax system (VAT) countries to impose tariffs ", taking into account a variety of factors to set up barriers to trade, emphasising fair competition, commenting on the chip manufacturing and so on.U.S. bond yields after the peak, as inflation down expectations, the market began to get used to Trump "uncertainty, but also slowly downward.The "East Rising" has be
BIG TECH WEEKLY | China Techs Are NVDA's Bonus?

BIG TECH WEEKLY | Details in BIG-TECHs' CapEx Surge!

Big-Tech’s PerformanceDeepSeek - Trump tariffs - tech company earnings reports, this is the main theme of trading in the U.S. stock market in the past few weeks.Market volatility has been significantly elevated so far this year, with macro-level concerns about the Fed's "rate cuts" and the strong dollar under the Trump tariffs.U.S. bond yields were unsurprisingly pulled back, even before the Fed's rate meeting, as the impact of DeepSeek unexpectedly triggered a safe-haven pullback early;Trump's tariffs are not new, in the 1.0 period, the market although mind, but more understand its significance more in the negotiation (Bargain), so also with easy to be digested;Rather, it's the earnings reports of big tech companies that have a greater guiding influence on the market.Technology companies,
BIG TECH WEEKLY | Details in BIG-TECHs' CapEx Surge!

BIG TECH WEEKLY | Gains On Stargate, Microsoft Tops Apple After Earnings?

Big-Tech’s PerformanceTrump's inauguration this week captured the world's attention and entered the 2.0 era, with a considerable number of policy announcements made as soon as he took office, but so far there has been no major surprises in relation to his previous announcements, and the market has come to expect them.In addition to the obvious changes to sectors such as immigration, energy, and digital currencies, there was also a call for the Federal Reserve to "lower interest rates" (although this is unlikely to be successful, as the Fed is an independent private institution).But the point is, through the president's influence shouting, will be a certain degree of distortion of the market on the current expectations of rate cuts, and even some members of the Federal Reserve will also hav
BIG TECH WEEKLY | Gains On Stargate, Microsoft Tops Apple After Earnings?

BIG TECH WEEKLY | Apple Lost Control of Its Future?

Big-Tech’s PerformanceThis week's CPI release directly rewrote market risk sentiment.The dollar hit new highs since 2022 and 30 year US bond yields broke through to 5% again as a result of the previous extreme pessimism on rate cut expectations, even while considering that the reflation brought about by Trump's inauguration could cause the Fed to raise rates.The good news is that the fall in core CPI has reduced some of the tightness and all three indices have bounced back from overshooting.More importantly next week is when Trump takes office, and with those policies likely to be the first to be released, there are a lot of unknowns for the market. While the U.S. bond market is now more fully priced into the uncertainty $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond
BIG TECH WEEKLY | Apple Lost Control of Its Future?

BIG TECH WEEKLY | Microsoft's 2025: Capex Dilemma and OpenAI Divorce?

Big-Tech’s PerformanceU.S. stocks were closed this Thursday, and it was an unplanned one at that, so the trading day was a little shorter, and even somewhat impacted the pricing of important options.The most important macro data is the December nonfarm payrolls released on Friday, which may have more impact than the FOMC meeting that follows as the Fed is much more concerned about the job market than inflation.However, the current market consensus is that the probability of a rate cut this month is essentially zero.As a result the dollar is very strong and the US bond curve continues to STEEPEN.Valuations of US stocks are also currently at historically high levels, and increased market uncertainty in 2025 is bound to bring greater volatility. trump's policies could be a significant source
BIG TECH WEEKLY | Microsoft's 2025: Capex Dilemma and OpenAI Divorce?

BIG TECH WEEKLY | Nvidia's Glory 2024, and exciting 2025

Big-Tech’s PerformanceThis week spanned the first trading day of 2025 at the year-end level of 2024, and the overall market sentiment also showed a rhythm of ups and downs, on the one hand, it is the closing of 2024 after a big rise, on the other hand, there is also a risk aversion to the next oscillating trend, and a lot of investors are also grabbing the opportunity to run away.The market also began to diverge in the opening two days of 2025, and the performance among big tech companies presented market expectations.By the close of trading on January 2, Big Tech companies as a whole closed lower over the past week.Among them were $Apple(AAPL)$ -5.56%, $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ -1.36%,
BIG TECH WEEKLY | Nvidia's Glory 2024, and exciting 2025

BIG TECH WEEKLY | The Year of Elon Musk, And Tesla's Year of 2025

Big-Tech’s PerformanceThis week was not very choppy for the Christmas holiday.The broader U.S. stock market is slowly recovering from last week's selloff and the Dow is on a 5-gain streak.As the vote on the government's debt ceiling was also finalized, there were no bigger surprises.But while we can't talk about risk sentiment at the moment, there's an overall sense that money doesn't want to fold, and is piling up where there's more certainty.Big tech, many investors chose to stack in the most secure AAPL, the expectation of next month's presidential transition may have to wait until after the new year to perform.Through the close of trading on Dec. 26, Big Tech as a whole has surged over the past week.Among them $Apple(AAPL)$ +4.42%,
BIG TECH WEEKLY | The Year of Elon Musk, And Tesla's Year of 2025

BIG TECH WEEKLY | Will ASIC Take Nvidia's Market Share?

Big-Tech’s PerformanceMarket volatility rose this week, the $.IXIC(.IXIC)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ hit new highs at the same time, the $.DJI(.DJI)$ recorded the first time since 1974, "ten consecutive losses", while the Federal Reserve's "ultra-hawkish interest rate cuts" to the broader market recorded the largest decline since August.At the same time, the dollar strengthened again, 30-year and 10-year U.S. bond yields exceeded the Federal Reserve's federal funds rate target ceiling of 4.5%.Individual stock level performance is also more differentiated, meme stocks across the board but volatility is also larger, the overall performance of large technology companies sli
BIG TECH WEEKLY | Will ASIC Take Nvidia's Market Share?

BIG TECH WEEKLY | Google's still cheapest of Mag7?

Big-Tech’s PerformanceThe Christmas rally intensified in December, with Big Tech hitting new highs this week, from Tesla, which has been languishing for six months and is starting to hit new all-time highs, to Google, which has been treated with caution by investors.In addition, the cryptocurrency market pushed up related risk sentiment, with the Christmas market often being a yearly earnings sprint.However, risk events have not diminished, due to concerns about the Fed's "hawkish rate cuts", the dollar rose, U.S. bonds under pressure, gold also began to recover.To close on December 13, the past week, the big technology companies as a whole rose. $Apple(AAPL)$ +2.02%, $NVDA-5.32%, $Microsoft(MSFT)$ +1.57%
BIG TECH WEEKLY | Google's still cheapest of Mag7?

BIG TECH WEEKLY | AAPL's status is the reflection of 2025 estimates

Big-Tech’s PerformanceEntering December, investors began to sprint for yearly gains, and the annual Christmas market seems to be previewed in advance.On the one hand, the U.S. dollar remains at the high end of the rally, the international macro events increased, the risk aversion attribute of the U.S. dollar funds once again reflected; on the other hand, risky assets are extremely active, BTC broke through the $100,000 mark, U.S. growth stocks are active, and big tech is also leading the broader market to new highs.To the close of December 5, the past week, the big technology companies as a whole soared. $Apple(AAPL)$ +3.45%, $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ +7.18%, $Microsoft(MS
BIG TECH WEEKLY | AAPL's status is the reflection of 2025 estimates

BIG TECH WEEKLY | No one but Nvidia? How's semiconductor cycle?

Big-Tech’s PerformanceThere was no more macro guidance for the market this week, with two major events influencing market action: 1. BTC made new highs and hit the $100,000 high, and 2. NVIDIA earnings.Risk sentiment was relatively high, but at the same time, U.S. stocks continued to trade in a divergent manner as the U.S. dollar continued to strengthen and concerns about Trump's policies persisted.Through the close of trading on November 21, Big Tech was mixed over the past week with $Apple(AAPL)$ +0.13%, $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ -0.06%, $Microsoft(MSFT)$ -3.28%, $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ -6.19%,
BIG TECH WEEKLY | No one but Nvidia? How's semiconductor cycle?

BIG TECH WEEKLY | All Eyes On NVDA Earnings' Surprise?

Big-Tech’s PerformanceThis week, the U.S. stock market saw-sawed against the "Trump 2.0" era, with digital currency concepts in particular, fluctuating wildly up and down.Technology companies also began to experience a lot of early expectations, including Tesla once surged to $340, once again among the U.S. stock "Top 6", and Nvidia is also hovering in the former high.At the same time, the U.S. dollar $Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund(UUP)$ again extreme strength, non-U.S. currencies fell across the board, but also responded to the rise of risk aversion, the current market on the re-emergence of inflation, the suspension of interest rate cuts, the growing concern.By the close of trading on November 15, the big tech companies were mixed over
BIG TECH WEEKLY | All Eyes On NVDA Earnings' Surprise?

BIG TECH WEEKLY | What does Trump 2.0 means to Big-Techs?

Big-Tech’s PerformanceWith the dust settling from the election and Trump's strong return, coupled with the Republican sweep of the House and Senate, the next 4 years of policy can be implemented with great clarity.U.S. stocks did not "Sell the news", but rather the $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ fell because of the uncertainty, the leading stocks in each sector are at new highs, and risky assets (e.g., digital currencies) surged because of policy expectations.and risk assets (e.g., digital currency-related) are surging on policy expectations.Among the big tech companies, Tesla gained a lot because of Musk's All-In style, breaking above the previous high, while Nvidia also defied the election volatility and made new highs to reach the top of the marke
BIG TECH WEEKLY | What does Trump 2.0 means to Big-Techs?
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