The S&P 500 and Nasdaq continue their impressive climb, with SPX eyeing the psychologically important 5,740 level. But here’s what you need to know: this rally is getting tired. Key Market Observations 1. The Exhaustion Signals Are Flashing - SPY and QQQ are showing their first meaningful upside exhaustion signals since this rally began - The VIX, which we correctly shared on our updates, had another 7-10% downside, has now reached our target in the low 20s and looks to consolidate and bounce - These converging signals suggest we’re due for at least a short-term consolidation 2. Why This Isn’t Bearish – Just Normal - After such a powerful rally, markets rarely collapse – they typically digest gains through time - The overall trend remains positive, but the easy money has been made for
Key Resistance Level: Will S&P 500 Break Out or Turn Lower?
The S&P 500 has rebounded to 5,650 points—its level before April’s sharp sell-off and a key technical resistance zone. Following strong earnings reports from the Magnificent 7, this week’s market focus shifts to the FOMC and its signals on interest rate cuts. The market is still pricing in three rate cuts this year. ------------- Can the S&P 500 successfully break above the 5,600 level, or will it turn lower? And more importantly, can it overcome the seasonal “Sell in May” pattern?
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