To The Moon

The S&P 500 fell 10.5% over two days, the fifth worst 2-day crash since 1950.Nearly $10 trillion has been wiped out of the index since its February peak.By econovisualsThe only other two-day declines of more than 10% were in October 1987, March 2001, November 2008, and March 2020.By CARSONAfter the previous times (1987, 2008, 2020), policymakers stepped in for support, including the Fed, Congress, and the White House.Could this time be different ?Yes, small sample size and a different environment (it is always different), but very strong future returns are common after previous 10% drops in 2 days.by Ryan Detrick, CMT @RyanDetrickImageImage

🌟🌟🌟Historically April maybe the  2nd best month of the year, but not this April.  It will possibly go down in history as the worst April ever due to the  Trump's punitive Tariffs. The major US  indexes logged their biggest weekly declines since the start of the Covid Pandemic.  It is likely the market fallout will continue this week as the US tariffs will take effect on Wednesday, to be followed by China's 34% retaliatory tariffs on Thursday. However this Bearish market presents an unprecedented opportunity to buy great stocks at phenomenal prices.  I will deploy my warchest to uncover hidden treasures in this market. As Warren Buffett likes to say When there is Fear in the markets it is time to be greedy.

Stop listening to all the so called experts       

In a tariffs war, nobody wins. Consumers are obviously the biggest losers. Americans, whose President started it, have more to lose. Here's the winners for day 1. Potential winners for day 2 and more... There are obviously many along the same line of thought. Shorts the big techs that have lots of imports and exports out of US as part of their supply chain. It's no wonder Warren Buffett had been cutting Apple 🍎🍏! He is as sharp as ever if you ask me. What is your move? Would you go into shorting big techs too? With leverage and all? Or will you be just twiddling your fingers and hoping that the whole saga will just die down and markets would just shoot all the way back up? Or go on a holiday and pretend nothing has been? Or maybe sell everything and wait it out? There are so many different

April has historically been a strong month for equities. According to the Stock Trader’s Almanac, it’s the second-best month for the major U.S. indexes — the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq — since 1971. In post-election years, going back to 1950, April has continued to shine, typically ranking as the second-best month for the Dow and S&P 500, and third-best for the Nasdaq. But this April? It’s off to a rough start. Market Mood Despite the optimistic seasonality, recent action tells a very different story. Just yesterday, the markets saw a sharp selloff that rattled investors: Dow Jones: down 3.98% Nasdaq: down 5.97% S&P 500: down 4.84% S&P 500 (.SPX) These are not monthly corrections — they are major single-day losses, and they come amid rising fears around Trump’s tariff policie

🎉The three major US stock indexes did not waver under Trump’s tariff policy. They are presently on the rise. That shows the “April Effect” rally in full play. Load more on the antifragile portfolio with bonds, gold, Swiss franc and Japanese Yen. Do invest with care and due diligence. Good luck. 🍀

All the three U.S. stock indexes are down have been down. I expect them to continue their struggle in the sea of red today. But April has been historically the second-strongest month for the three major US stock indexes. And the month of April in post-election years has consistently been among the top-performing months. President Trump’s tariff pressures will lead to further declines in the first few days of April. Then the “April Effect” rally might kick in. With the extreme fear factor persisting in the market, one should invest carefully. Trying to profit from the unknown and carrying out antifragile trades is extremely dangerous. Do remember to do due diligence before each trade. Good luck to all Tiger investors. Thanks @Tiger_comment

I'm still a new-ish-bie investor. my strategies: In the US market: - Focus on defensive growth sectors like information technology and healthcare. - Avoid cyclical sectors that may be directly impacted by the tariffs. - Consider short-term hedging tools like gold and US Treasury bonds.

I think the ‘April effect’ will be eroded by trump’s tarring pressures. Afterall, the world hates trade wars and investors hate uncertainty. Trump threatens tariffs again and again as his negotiation wild card but does not commit to them or may u-turn once the country relents on their own tariffs for American goods. The fear will go on as long as uncertainty exists and the wars don’t end as trump promised. I wouldn’t consider antifragile trades as they may also reverse unexpectedly as long as the trump news subsides or both countries can real a new deal or lowered tariffs for both sides. I would prefer to watch and buy good stocks at a discount. @SPOT_ON @rL

Goldman Sachs Slashes S&P 500 Forecasts Again Amid Tariff TensionsAfter a flurry of soft economic data, US stocks closed out last week with a 2% drop as investors reevaluate their assumptions about the economy. Goldman Sachs officially slashed its  $S&P 500(.SPX)$ forecasts for the second time this month, citing higher tariffs and growing recession risks. The bank now expects the index to dip to 5,300 over the next three months, before rebounding to 5,700 by year-end and 5,900 in 12 months.The new year-end target marks a sharp downgrade from the earlier 6,200 and stands just 2% above where the index closed on Friday, putting it among the lowest forecasts on Wall Street, 

I. Performance and Valuation of Global Equity Indices Source: Bloomberg, Tiger Asset Management II. Key Market Themes i. PCE Commentary: Expected Data Triggers Predictable Market Sell-Off Last Friday, the U.S. February PCE inflation data unsurprisingly surged again. The core PCE rose by 0.4% month-on-month and 2.8% year-on-year, both exceeding market expectations. Consequently, the three-month and six-month annualized moving averages of core PCE reversed upward to 3.58% and 3.08% respectively, once again moving further away from the Federal Reserve's long-term 2% inflation target. Source: Bloomberg, Tiger Asset Management Meanwhile, U.S. household personal income rose by 0.8% month-on-month, significantly exceeding expectations; however, personal spending growth was only 0.4%, falling

To be honest, I hope the market will be rebound by April, but it seems like not that positive ( small rebound ?). I think it will be a bearish market for quite sometime....let's see...

April has historically been a strong month, and with extreme fear in the market, a rebound could be likely. Fear-driven sell-offs often create buying opportunities, but tariff uncertainties and inflation risks make it unclear if we’ve hit bottom. I’m cautiously optimistic while watching macro trends. The tariff situation is a major risk. If the worst-case scenario unfolds, volatility could intensify, dragging markets lower. However, if investors grow desensitized to tariff news, temporary recoveries may follow. The key is whether tariffs remain a persistent concern or fade into the background. An antifragile approach seems smart in this environment. Gold, Treasuries, and defensive currencies offer hedges against volatility, while Buffett’s strategy of holding strong companies is proving re

 @Universe宇宙 @GoodLife99 @SPACE ROCKET @TigerGPT @rL @HelenJanet @Shyon @Aqa @koolgal @LMSunshine Historically, since 1971, April has been the second-strongest month for the three major US stock indexes. Additionally, in post-election

It may be different this April as traders are "tariffied". Watch opportunity to buy the dip when market enter extreme fear.

Replying to @Barcode:🙏🏼🙏🏼🙏🏼Thanks for sharing your wonderful insights BC! 💜//@Barcode:🗓️📈📈📈📉📉📉📉 $SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust(DIA)$$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ Historically, April hands us a bounce, but don’t get too comfortable. By late April to early May, recession signals will hit with precision, following a well-worn pattern. That drop is not just a dip, it is a dive that will extend through to October. I’lll be selling into strength & flipping short as we shift into May. For more detail, , check out my $DIA post

Hi everyone! Disclaimer: The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended

Trump effect. Now all waiting Trump latest tariff news

Replying to @Barcode:Ooopppsss... didn't realise you had shared before me! I didn't notice it... had tagged you. ignore or indulge me, up to you I hear your msg... //@Barcode:🗓️📈📈📈📉📉📉📉 $SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust(DIA)$$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ Historically, April hands us a bounce, but don’t get too comfortable. By late April to early May, recession signals will hit with precision, following a well-worn pattern. That drop is not just a dip, it is a dive that will extend through to October. I

It depends on who you asked. For tariff , with all the media looking in and hyping up, that seems to suggest an affirmative. As for April effect, historical data seems to suggest so, since 72% of the time, it ends up higher on average. Why? It is normally related to tax day.  As end April is tax time in US, it has been speculated that more people put money into their IRA to reduce their tax bills. IRA cash often than not find their way into stock market, boosting the market. If you ask me, now that I am no longer a trader, I don't really pay much attention. For an investor, near term doesn't affect much unless an unrecoverable crash is coming in that particular time period. The question for me rather is how do I protect my 💰 while still have a foot in the market. As I m

April has historically been a strong month for equities. According to the Stock Trader’s Almanac, it’s the second-best month for the major U.S. indexes — the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq — since 1971. In post-election years, going back to 1950, April has continued to shine, typically ranking as the second-best month for the Dow and S&P 500, and third-best for the Nasdaq. But this April? It’s off to a rough start. Market Mood Despite the optimistic seasonality, recent action tells a very different story. Just yesterday, the markets saw a sharp selloff that rattled investors: Dow Jones: down 3.98% Nasdaq: down 5.97% S&P 500: down 4.84% S&P 500 (.SPX) These are not monthly corrections — they are major single-day losses, and they come amid rising fears around Trump’s tariff policie

Hi everyone! Disclaimer: The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended

I. Performance and Valuation of Global Equity Indices Source: Bloomberg, Tiger Asset Management II. Key Market Themes i. PCE Commentary: Expected Data Triggers Predictable Market Sell-Off Last Friday, the U.S. February PCE inflation data unsurprisingly surged again. The core PCE rose by 0.4% month-on-month and 2.8% year-on-year, both exceeding market expectations. Consequently, the three-month and six-month annualized moving averages of core PCE reversed upward to 3.58% and 3.08% respectively, once again moving further away from the Federal Reserve's long-term 2% inflation target. Source: Bloomberg, Tiger Asset Management Meanwhile, U.S. household personal income rose by 0.8% month-on-month, significantly exceeding expectations; however, personal spending growth was only 0.4%, falling

In a tariffs war, nobody wins. Consumers are obviously the biggest losers. Americans, whose President started it, have more to lose. Here's the winners for day 1. Potential winners for day 2 and more... There are obviously many along the same line of thought. Shorts the big techs that have lots of imports and exports out of US as part of their supply chain. It's no wonder Warren Buffett had been cutting Apple 🍎🍏! He is as sharp as ever if you ask me. What is your move? Would you go into shorting big techs too? With leverage and all? Or will you be just twiddling your fingers and hoping that the whole saga will just die down and markets would just shoot all the way back up? Or go on a holiday and pretend nothing has been? Or maybe sell everything and wait it out? There are so many different

On March 26, U.S. President Donald Trump signed an announcement at the White House declaring a 25% tariff on imported cars. The measure will take effect on April 2. Trump emphasized that the tariff would be permanent, adding that cars manufactured within the United States would be exempt from the tax.Trump's statement quickly triggered backlash from U.S. trade partners, including the European Union, Canada, and Japan. 1. Where is the Support Level for the Second Phase of the U.S. Stock Index Decline?Recent analyses suggest that the U.S. stock index rebound seen earlier was merely temporary and not indicative of a full recovery. In fact, the rebound was weaker than expected, reinforcing the likelihood that February's peak will remain the high point for the year. Given the renewed downward t

Historically, since 1971, April has been the second-strongest month for the three major US stock indexes. Additionally, in post-election years since 1950, April has consistently ranked among the top-performing months, maintaining its position as the second-best month on record.As we enter April, does March’s sell-off present a buying opportunity?The market fell into extreme fear on February 25, hitting a new low of 11 on March 4. After a brief rebound starting last Friday, investor sentiment has once again returned to extreme fear, with the current index at 21.Does extreme fear signal a buying opportunity, or should we wait for new lows?How will the tariff policy unfold: will volatility intensify?Citigroup has outlined three different tariff scenarios and their corresponding market impacts

It depends on who you asked. For tariff , with all the media looking in and hyping up, that seems to suggest an affirmative. As for April effect, historical data seems to suggest so, since 72% of the time, it ends up higher on average. Why? It is normally related to tax day.  As end April is tax time in US, it has been speculated that more people put money into their IRA to reduce their tax bills. IRA cash often than not find their way into stock market, boosting the market. If you ask me, now that I am no longer a trader, I don't really pay much attention. For an investor, near term doesn't affect much unless an unrecoverable crash is coming in that particular time period. The question for me rather is how do I protect my 💰 while still have a foot in the market. As I m

Q1 2025 Market Performance Recap: $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : -4.6% (worst quarter since 2022) Dow Jones: -1.3% (relative outperformance) $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ : -10.2% (tech rout) $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ Global Markets: +6.3% (benefiting from U.S. dollar weakness and policy shifts) Key Market Drivers: Tariffs, Trade Wars & Trump’s “Liberation Day” (April 2) Trump to announce new reciprocal tariffs against countries with high duties on U.S. goods. “Dirty 15” list of top U.S. trade partners in the crosshairs. Could trigger global retaliation and further market

🌟🌟🌟Warren Buffett  believes in Index ETFs.  He even had a USD 1 million bet with hedge funds that Index ETFs will beat hedge funds.  Ultimately Warren Buffett won the bet.   Warren Buffett has 2 ETFs in his portfolio - $Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$ and $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$. When the markets are volatile, just simply invest in them and in the long term, they will continue to gain in capital growth. Investing can be so simple with $Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$ and $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ No need to worry which stock to invest.  Just buy VOO and let it ride.

🌟🌟🌟Historically April maybe the  2nd best month of the year, but not this April.  It will possibly go down in history as the worst April ever due to the  Trump's punitive Tariffs. The major US  indexes logged their biggest weekly declines since the start of the Covid Pandemic.  It is likely the market fallout will continue this week as the US tariffs will take effect on Wednesday, to be followed by China's 34% retaliatory tariffs on Thursday. However this Bearish market presents an unprecedented opportunity to buy great stocks at phenomenal prices.  I will deploy my warchest to uncover hidden treasures in this market. As Warren Buffett likes to say When there is Fear in the markets it is time to be greedy.

The S&P 500 fell 10.5% over two days, the fifth worst 2-day crash since 1950.Nearly $10 trillion has been wiped out of the index since its February peak.By econovisualsThe only other two-day declines of more than 10% were in October 1987, March 2001, November 2008, and March 2020.By CARSONAfter the previous times (1987, 2008, 2020), policymakers stepped in for support, including the Fed, Congress, and the White House.Could this time be different ?Yes, small sample size and a different environment (it is always different), but very strong future returns are common after previous 10% drops in 2 days.by Ryan Detrick, CMT @RyanDetrickImageImage

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ March was an extremely challenging month for the broader market. Companies closely tied to major indices took the hardest hits. But not all suffered. Remember, the market always reverts to the mean, and that mean is constantly shifting. Right now, we are seeing clear rotation into healthcare, utilities, energy, and gold or silver. 🔄 I get asked this all the time, “If the market corrects, will every position decline?” No, and that is one of the most common misconceptions in trading. ❌ Think of the market like a giant set of weighing scales. ⚖️ Money rotates, sectors shift, and the balance adjusts. Historically, April sees a bounce, but it doesn’t la

🗓️📈📈📈📉📉📉📉 $SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust(DIA)$$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ Historically, April hands us a bounce, but don’t get too comfortable. By late April to early May, recession signals will hit with precision, following a well-worn pattern. That drop is not just a dip, it is a dive that will extend through to October. I’lll be selling into strength & flipping short as we shift into May. For more detail, , check out my $DIA post from earlier today. Wishing you precision entries, strong momentum & profits that trail higher. Happy positioning and trading ahead. Cheers, BC 🍀🍀🍀

April has historically been a strong month, and with extreme fear in the market, a rebound could be likely. Fear-driven sell-offs often create buying opportunities, but tariff uncertainties and inflation risks make it unclear if we’ve hit bottom. I’m cautiously optimistic while watching macro trends. The tariff situation is a major risk. If the worst-case scenario unfolds, volatility could intensify, dragging markets lower. However, if investors grow desensitized to tariff news, temporary recoveries may follow. The key is whether tariffs remain a persistent concern or fade into the background. An antifragile approach seems smart in this environment. Gold, Treasuries, and defensive currencies offer hedges against volatility, while Buffett’s strategy of holding strong companies is proving re

Goldman Sachs Slashes S&P 500 Forecasts Again Amid Tariff TensionsAfter a flurry of soft economic data, US stocks closed out last week with a 2% drop as investors reevaluate their assumptions about the economy. Goldman Sachs officially slashed its  $S&P 500(.SPX)$ forecasts for the second time this month, citing higher tariffs and growing recession risks. The bank now expects the index to dip to 5,300 over the next three months, before rebounding to 5,700 by year-end and 5,900 in 12 months.The new year-end target marks a sharp downgrade from the earlier 6,200 and stands just 2% above where the index closed on Friday, putting it among the lowest forecasts on Wall Street, 

Replying to @Barcode:Ooopppsss... didn't realise you had shared before me! I didn't notice it... had tagged you. ignore or indulge me, up to you I hear your msg... //@Barcode:🗓️📈📈📈📉📉📉📉 $SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust(DIA)$$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ Historically, April hands us a bounce, but don’t get too comfortable. By late April to early May, recession signals will hit with precision, following a well-worn pattern. That drop is not just a dip, it is a dive that will extend through to October. I

 @Universe宇宙 @GoodLife99 @SPACE ROCKET @TigerGPT @rL @HelenJanet @Shyon @Aqa @koolgal @LMSunshine Historically, since 1971, April has been the second-strongest month for the three major US stock indexes. Additionally, in post-election

All the three U.S. stock indexes are down have been down. I expect them to continue their struggle in the sea of red today. But April has been historically the second-strongest month for the three major US stock indexes. And the month of April in post-election years has consistently been among the top-performing months. President Trump’s tariff pressures will lead to further declines in the first few days of April. Then the “April Effect” rally might kick in. With the extreme fear factor persisting in the market, one should invest carefully. Trying to profit from the unknown and carrying out antifragile trades is extremely dangerous. Do remember to do due diligence before each trade. Good luck to all Tiger investors. Thanks @Tiger_comment

Replying to @Barcode:🙏🏼🙏🏼🙏🏼Thanks for sharing your wonderful insights BC! 💜//@Barcode:🗓️📈📈📈📉📉📉📉 $SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust(DIA)$$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ Historically, April hands us a bounce, but don’t get too comfortable. By late April to early May, recession signals will hit with precision, following a well-worn pattern. That drop is not just a dip, it is a dive that will extend through to October. I’lll be selling into strength & flipping short as we shift into May. For more detail, , check out my $DIA post

I think the ‘April effect’ will be eroded by trump’s tarring pressures. Afterall, the world hates trade wars and investors hate uncertainty. Trump threatens tariffs again and again as his negotiation wild card but does not commit to them or may u-turn once the country relents on their own tariffs for American goods. The fear will go on as long as uncertainty exists and the wars don’t end as trump promised. I wouldn’t consider antifragile trades as they may also reverse unexpectedly as long as the trump news subsides or both countries can real a new deal or lowered tariffs for both sides. I would prefer to watch and buy good stocks at a discount. @SPOT_ON @rL