To The Moon

Buy buy buy  $TSLY 20250815 10.0 CALL$  

With CPI expected at 2.8% higher than previous 2.7%, are businesses adjusting the prices in preparation to higher tariffs, how can investors position their portfolio in preparation? The expectation of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rising from 2.7% to 2.8% is a clear signal of ongoing inflationary pressures in the economy. This is particularly concerning as it comes at a time when businesses are already grappling with the effects of new and sweeping tariffs. Businesses and Pricing Adjustments Businesses are indeed adjusting prices, and the link between tariffs and inflation is becoming increasingly visible. Passing on Costs: The primary way tariffs affect consumers is by increasing the cost of imported goods. While the importer pays the tariff, these costs are often passed down the supply

        

Last week’s U.S. non-farm payroll report once again pointed toward an economic slowdown, reinforcing the belief that the Federal Reserve could soon pivot toward interest rate cuts. In today’s strange market psychology, weak economic data no longer just waves a caution flag, it can also light a rallying torch. We’re back in the familiar “bad news is good news” phase, where soft numbers spark optimism that monetary policy will loosen. S&P 500 (.SPX) This dynamic isn’t new. We’ve seen this kind of “bad news is good news” market psychology before. A clear example was during 2020 and 2021, when pandemic lockdowns triggered sharp economic slowdowns. Instead of collapsing, equity markets surged as the Federal Reserve slashed interest rates to near zero, launched large-scale asset purchases, a

Every will be a news and beneficial for them

To trade with caution as anytime the market will turns down without any signal. Do keep to minimum holdings unless you intend to hold long term for the shares you have. Short term gain will not last. 

The Paradox of Weakness: How Economic Slowdown Could Ignite a Semiconductor Supercharge The financial world is abuzz with a counterintuitive narrative: weak U.S. non-farm payroll data signaling an economic slowdown has sparked a “bad news is good news” market rally. With the VIX dropping after a 20% surge last Friday, and expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts looming, the stage is set for an unexpected twist in the semiconductor industry. Far from a harbinger of doom, this economic softness could be the catalyst that propels chip stocks—and the broader tech sector—into a new growth orbit. Here’s why this paradox could redefine the market landscape. The Hidden Fuel in Economic Weakness Traditionally, economic slowdowns dampen industrial demand, but the current scenario flips the script.

(Click to review the live)Key Insights for August 2025 from Stocki_ai ‘s Live on August 1stRead full report High Volatility in August? Analysis of COIN & HOOD and Q3 Hedging Strategies from @Stocki_ai 7 Key Takeaways1.Earnings Paradox = Late-cycle tell• 96 % of tech companies beat on EPS, but the “best” reports ( $Robinhood(HOOD)$ +45 % revenue, $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ +3 861 % net) were sold – textbook signal that the market i

View the full link of LIVEExecutive SummaryThis research report examines concerning market signals emerging from Q2 2025 earnings season, particularly the paradoxical negative reactions to strong earnings from $Robinhood(HOOD)$ and $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ . Combined with technical indicators showing extreme $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ compression, unusual dark pool activity, and unfavorable seasonal patterns, we identify multiple convergent factors suggesting elevated volatility risk for August-September 2025.The

$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ When Weakness Looks Like Strength In a year where economic headlines often veer negative—disappointing job growth, declining consumer sentiment, and mounting geopolitical concerns—it would be reasonable to expect markets to struggle. Yet the reality unfolding in 2025 is anything but conventional. U.S. equity markets are not just shrugging off bad news—they’re rallying on it. As of early August 2025, the S&P 500 is trading within 2% of all-time highs, and the Nasdaq has already eclipsed its previous peak. Meanwhile, the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX)—often referred to as Wall Street’s “fear gauge”—has plummeted below 12, signaling the return of extreme complacency. This is occurring even as the economy shows signs of fa

The Nasdaq and S&P 500 have shown continued strength, and while August is historically more volatile, it often ends on a positive note. However, this does not preclude the possibility of a short-term pullback—especially after four consecutive months of gains. Could August Bring a Major Pullback? Yes, it is possible. Key reasons include: Seasonality: August is known for lower trading volumes due to summer holidays, which can amplify volatility. Macro Events: Earnings season, inflation data, interest rate expectations, and geopolitical developments may act as catalysts. Technical Overextension: After a strong rally, markets may need to consolidate or correct to digest gains. If a Pullback Occurs, Are You Ready to Buy the Dip? This depends on your: Investment horizon: Long-term investors

July has been a strong month for the markets, with Nasdaq $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$  and S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$   posting impressive gains. I am encouraged to see the Nasdaq rise by 3.73% and the S&P 500 by 2.55% this month, marking a four-month winning streak. It feels good to witness this upward trend, and I am optimistic about the potential it holds. Historically, August has not been a month known for significant declines, which gives me some reassurance. However, I am aware that it tends to be more volatile, and the market often ends higher despite the fluctuations. Last August's sharp drop that still closed up 2% reminds

I think so. Friday is just a prelude. Warning signs are flashing everywhere. Will we get a dead cat's bounce or black crows? You be the judge. @JiaDeName  @BABY SPACEROCK  @Aqa  @FINE  @Mkoh  

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $E-mini Dow Jones - main 2509(YMmain)$ $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ Who remembers April 9, 2025? What a day❣️ Fast forward...The S&P 500 had its worst trading day yesterday since May 21st. We just closed the week with 103 public companies in the United States 🇺🇸 worth $100+ Billion down from 107 last week! We start the week with 103 U.S. companies valued above $100B, down from 107 last week. While macro prints like Tuesday’s PMI and trade balance, Thursday’s jobless claims, and Friday’s rig count will frame sentiment, the real action lies in capex, cloud, and compute. 📢 Don’t miss out! Like, Repost and Follow me for exclusive setups, cutting-edge

My Investing Muse (04Aug25) Layoffs & Closure news US small farmers are facing a CRISIS: US small farm bankruptcies hit 173 in the H1 2025, the highest since the 2020 CRISIS. Up ~150% in 2 years. High interest rates, trade tensions, and collapsing Chinese demand are crushing farm margins. X user Global Markets Investor SINGAPORE: A growing number of businesses are going belly up in Singapore, with more companies being liquidated in the first half of 2025 than in the same period in the last five years. From January to June this year, 187 firms were forced by the courts to wind up. This is up from 146 in the same period last year and 95 the year before, according to the latest statistics from the Ministry of Law. - CNA San Francisco tech company Wag, once worth $650 million, files for ba

News and my thoughts from the past week (04Aug25) Days like today make it clear that Bitcoin is not digital gold. We got bad economic news that sent gold and the Japanese yen up 2.2% and the euro up 1.5%. The NASDAQ went the other way, falling 2.2%. Bitcoin tanked 3%, tracking high-risk assets lower, not safe havens higher. - X user Peter Schiff Wheat falls to its lowest price since May US stock ownership is hyper-concentrated: The top 1% own 51% of household equities. The top 10% control 87%. The poorest 50% own only 1%. The wealth gap keeps widening, a built-in feature of the financial system that favors asset holders. - X user Global Markets Investor President Trump gives an ULTIMATUM to big pharma companies, DEMANDING drug prices in America match the LOWEST cost anywhere else in the wo

Typical August September woes. Was actually hoping for a positive August and a huge correction September but I guess the sell off party has already started, fueled by Trump's crazed tariffs. @JiaDeName  @LULU ROCKET  @BABY SPACEROCK  

July’s streak was sweet 🍭 Nasdaq up 4 months straight, S&P riding high 📈 August? Volatile, moody, but rarely a disaster 😬 Last year dipped hard, still closed green ✅ This year? I’m ready. 💰 Got my levels 💸 Got my cash 📉 I Can afford the swing 📊 I Will buy the dip 🧠 I Might take profits too Let August do its worst. I’ve got a plan. 😎

With CPI expected at 2.8% higher than previous 2.7%, are businesses adjusting the prices in preparation to higher tariffs, how can investors position their portfolio in preparation? The expectation of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rising from 2.7% to 2.8% is a clear signal of ongoing inflationary pressures in the economy. This is particularly concerning as it comes at a time when businesses are already grappling with the effects of new and sweeping tariffs. Businesses and Pricing Adjustments Businesses are indeed adjusting prices, and the link between tariffs and inflation is becoming increasingly visible. Passing on Costs: The primary way tariffs affect consumers is by increasing the cost of imported goods. While the importer pays the tariff, these costs are often passed down the supply

Buy buy buy  $TSLY 20250815 10.0 CALL$  

        

Last week’s U.S. non-farm payroll report once again pointed toward an economic slowdown, reinforcing the belief that the Federal Reserve could soon pivot toward interest rate cuts. In today’s strange market psychology, weak economic data no longer just waves a caution flag, it can also light a rallying torch. We’re back in the familiar “bad news is good news” phase, where soft numbers spark optimism that monetary policy will loosen. S&P 500 (.SPX) This dynamic isn’t new. We’ve seen this kind of “bad news is good news” market psychology before. A clear example was during 2020 and 2021, when pandemic lockdowns triggered sharp economic slowdowns. Instead of collapsing, equity markets surged as the Federal Reserve slashed interest rates to near zero, launched large-scale asset purchases, a

The Paradox of Weakness: How Economic Slowdown Could Ignite a Semiconductor Supercharge The financial world is abuzz with a counterintuitive narrative: weak U.S. non-farm payroll data signaling an economic slowdown has sparked a “bad news is good news” market rally. With the VIX dropping after a 20% surge last Friday, and expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts looming, the stage is set for an unexpected twist in the semiconductor industry. Far from a harbinger of doom, this economic softness could be the catalyst that propels chip stocks—and the broader tech sector—into a new growth orbit. Here’s why this paradox could redefine the market landscape. The Hidden Fuel in Economic Weakness Traditionally, economic slowdowns dampen industrial demand, but the current scenario flips the script.

Every will be a news and beneficial for them

To trade with caution as anytime the market will turns down without any signal. Do keep to minimum holdings unless you intend to hold long term for the shares you have. Short term gain will not last. 

View the full link of LIVEExecutive SummaryThis research report examines concerning market signals emerging from Q2 2025 earnings season, particularly the paradoxical negative reactions to strong earnings from $Robinhood(HOOD)$ and $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ . Combined with technical indicators showing extreme $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ compression, unusual dark pool activity, and unfavorable seasonal patterns, we identify multiple convergent factors suggesting elevated volatility risk for August-September 2025.The

(Click to review the live)Key Insights for August 2025 from Stocki_ai ‘s Live on August 1stRead full report High Volatility in August? Analysis of COIN & HOOD and Q3 Hedging Strategies from @Stocki_ai 7 Key Takeaways1.Earnings Paradox = Late-cycle tell• 96 % of tech companies beat on EPS, but the “best” reports ( $Robinhood(HOOD)$ +45 % revenue, $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ +3 861 % net) were sold – textbook signal that the market i

🌟🌟🌟July has just wrapped up a 4 month winning streak and our portfolio maybe basking in the glow of steady gains.  But August has a reputation for shaking things up.  This can be due to seasonal volatility, macro surprises and valuation fatigue which could all conspire to test our conviction.  And now, Trump's new global tariff regime is adding fresh uncertainty to the mix.  Before the next wave hits, it is worth asking - Should we take profits, stay the course or lean into the dip with fresh capital? Why August Could Bring a Pullback  Even strong markets need to catch their breath.  Here are the possible reasons why August might bring a pullback : Valuations are stretched : High multiples across sectors leave little room for error. Seasonal volatility :

My Investing Muse (04Aug25) Layoffs & Closure news US small farmers are facing a CRISIS: US small farm bankruptcies hit 173 in the H1 2025, the highest since the 2020 CRISIS. Up ~150% in 2 years. High interest rates, trade tensions, and collapsing Chinese demand are crushing farm margins. X user Global Markets Investor SINGAPORE: A growing number of businesses are going belly up in Singapore, with more companies being liquidated in the first half of 2025 than in the same period in the last five years. From January to June this year, 187 firms were forced by the courts to wind up. This is up from 146 in the same period last year and 95 the year before, according to the latest statistics from the Ministry of Law. - CNA San Francisco tech company Wag, once worth $650 million, files for ba

$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ When Weakness Looks Like Strength In a year where economic headlines often veer negative—disappointing job growth, declining consumer sentiment, and mounting geopolitical concerns—it would be reasonable to expect markets to struggle. Yet the reality unfolding in 2025 is anything but conventional. U.S. equity markets are not just shrugging off bad news—they’re rallying on it. As of early August 2025, the S&P 500 is trading within 2% of all-time highs, and the Nasdaq has already eclipsed its previous peak. Meanwhile, the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX)—often referred to as Wall Street’s “fear gauge”—has plummeted below 12, signaling the return of extreme complacency. This is occurring even as the economy shows signs of fa

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ The market closed July 2025 with a flourish, as Nasdaq notched a 4-month winning streak and the S&P 500 hit a record 6,297.36, up 2.55% for the month, while Nasdaq soared 3.73% to 20,884.27. This rally, fueled by tech strength and AI optimism, marks a robust year-to-date gain of 20% for Nasdaq and 16.27% for the S&P 500. Yet, August’s historical volatility—often a season of sharp swings—raises the specter of a pullback. Last year’s 8.5% mid-month drop, triggered by tariff fears and weak data, still ended with a 2% gain, a pattern that hints at resilience but also risk. With new tariffs (30% on EU/Mexico, 35% on Canada) effective today and geopolitical tensions

$APPLIED DIGITAL CORP(APLD)$   Applied Digital (NASDAQ:APLD), a provider of data center and high-performance computing infrastructure, released its fiscal fourth quarter 2025 earnings on July 30, 2025. The results showed a large headline revenue miss, with GAAP revenue of $38.0 million, far short of the $79.4 million expected by analysts. However, it reported a much narrower non-GAAP net loss per share of $(0.03), compared to the anticipated $(0.09). The period was marked by a significant shift in business model and major new lease agreements aimed at long-term growth in the artificial intelligence (AI) data center sector. While management made clear strategic progress with major contract wins, cost increases an

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ The S&P 500 and Nasdaq have been on a tear, climbing for four consecutive months to record highs of 6,297.36 and 20,884.27, respectively, as of July 31, 2025. But as August looms, investors are on edge: will this hot streak end in a crash, or is it just another volatile month with upside potential? Historically, August has been a rollercoaster, often ending higher despite sharp mid-month dips—last year, the S&P 500 gained 2% after a notable drop. With the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision on July 30, 2025, and a packed earnings season, the market’s next move is anyone’s guess. This report dives into August’s historical trends, current market dynamics, potential catalysts, and strategic approaches to navigate vola

$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ Q2 results highlight the theme of "long term logic intact, but short term growth momentum switching".Core valuation repricing triggers are Q3 subscription revenue rebound (validating AOP conversion) and derivatives debut performance (determining 2025H2 revenue resilience).Market expectation boundary has shifted from "beat/miss" to strategy execution, we suggest focusing on the layout opportunities during the pullback period, upside catalysts include institutional cooperation volume and AI-driven efficiency improvement.In terms of industry impact, if Coinbase succeeds in platformization, it may accelerate the integration of cryptocurrency and traditional finance, and reshape the competitive quadrant of exchanges.Perfor

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ The S&P 500 and Nasdaq are soaring to record highs, closing at 6,297.36 and 20,884.27, respectively, on July 25, 2025, fueled by tech giants and economic optimism. Yet, beneath this bullish facade, many individual stocks are stumbling post-earnings, with names like Tesla (-4%), UnitedHealth (-5%), and ASML (-14%) taking hits despite the broader market’s strength. With seasonal trends pointing to a potential 7-10% pullback in late summer, investors face a critical decision: take profits, hedge, or pivot to defensive sectors? This report dives into the market’s divergence, seasonal risks, and strategic trading approaches to navigate this volatile landscape while seizing opportunities. Market Dynamics: A Tale of Two Markets Th

At its July 31st meeting, the Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged at 4.25%–4.5%, but something unusual happened: two Fed governors—Christopher Waller and Michelle Bowman, both Trump appointees—broke ranks and voted for an immediate rate cut. It’s the first time in over 30 years that two FOMC members have simultaneously dissented in favor of easing. In its statement, the Fed acknowledged that economic growth has "moderated," though it continued to describe the labor market as “strong” and inflation as “slightly above target.” The central bank also warned that the economic outlook remains “highly uncertain.” This mixed messaging reflects a growing dilemma for policymakers: on one hand, tariffs could keep inflation elevated, arguing for staying higher for longer; on the other, job m