Macro Trend

Monetary policy, various types of price indices... Here is everything about the macro economy!

.SPX: What's Going on Next?

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading analysis with you!1.WHY "RADIO SILENT"? $S&P 500(.SPX)$ (1) Many asked me why I went "off-line" last Fri, totally turning off the market. (2) because I want to guard against the trigger-happy MPW to "take profits earlier." (3) ask yourself: with a 130K profit last Fri of your put position, would you hold? I did!2."Buy the dips"--many bag-holder bulls are screaming for help. Who? With WHAT? [All those who are eager to buy the dips already fired out their bullets last time around; now, it is up for the previous dip-buyers to get desperate and become sellers. That would be a good bottom]3.No Capitulation, No Bottom: (1) one reliable indicator of a sustainable bottom [at least for a few weeks] req
.SPX: What's Going on Next?

.SPX: What's Going on Next?

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading analysis with you!1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ The PANDA HAMMER dropped at 5732--check the time stamp of the tweet. Look at the damage now--wait a moment, if you think this is ugly, you ain't seen nothing yet. Like I noted, see you bulls at 5353, if you still hold your bags--let's see if SPX would close at LOW OF DAY.Image2.Three Predictions for 3/28: (1) SPX will gap down below 5666--and never fill the gap intra-day. In fact, not until mid-May. (2) at the peak decline, SPX will drop over 100+ pts. (3) it will close at the low of day--bonus point: SPX will gap down 3/31 too. Radio Silent tmrw.Image3.PANDA HAMMER: (1) For those who have followed me long enough, you know what I meant and how I positioned.
.SPX: What's Going on Next?
avatarKYHBKO
03-16

Is it market relief or should we play defensive like Buffett & Dalio - My investing Muse (17Mar2025)

My Investing Muse (17 Mar 2025) Layoffs & Closure news Indonesia’s layoff crisis deepens as factories shut; growth hangs in the balance Rising costs and cheap imports hit manufacturing sector hard; other industries are also bleeding jobs, though for different reasons - Business Times SG Alibaba's Tsai discusses AI's potential: 'Research analysts can be completely replaced' - CNBC Employees at PwC, Deloitte, EY, and KPMG are bracing for layoffs as the consulting sector deals with economic volatility, decreased demand, and client prioritization of core expenses. - Techgig These are just several of the many F&B establishments which have pulled the plug recently. Five of seven F&B tenants in the National Gallery Singapore will be ceasing operations. October last year also saw one-M
Is it market relief or should we play defensive like Buffett & Dalio - My investing Muse (17Mar2025)

.SPX: Will it Go Back to 5500?

1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Will it go Back to 5500? 🤔Read below 👇We saw a low of 5500 get pinned back on 3/13 and have been forming higher lows since. As it stands the market is still holding higher lows as long as 5670 holds. If 5670 gets taken out the story changes and we can see a flush back to 5500. As traders we want to keep an open mind and be able to react when different circumstances arise.Here are 3 Possible Scenarios BelowScenario #1: Bullish Market holds 5670 and starts basing above there. We then see a move back to 5800 to break to the 5820-5850 region. IF the market can consolidate between 5800-5850 (form higher lows) then we will likely see a move back to 6000.Scenario #2: NeutralMarket gets to 5670 and fails we see a test to 5600. We li
.SPX: Will it Go Back to 5500?

QQQ: MY BIGGEST TAKEAWAY FROM THIS MARKET & WHAT COMES NEXT

I wasn’t getting overly bullish after last week’s $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ rally, and I laid out my reasons in detail for subscribers. But I wanted to share some high-level takeaways on where I think the market stands right now.The rally felt more like positioning and short-covering than a true shift in fundamentals. We’ve seen this pattern before -- markets ripping higher on momentum, but without the structural support that signals sustained upside. The bigger issue for me is that uncertainty is still the dominant force, and April 2 is shaping up to be a critical moment that could dictate the next major move.The impact is already visible in earnings calls across multiple sectors. Executives in manufacturing, consumer goods, retail, and even tech have fl
QQQ: MY BIGGEST TAKEAWAY FROM THIS MARKET & WHAT COMES NEXT

BABA& .SPX: What's Going on Next?

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you!1.Lots of are starting to point towards $Alibaba(BABA)$ breaking out towards 175. Over a year ago this exact target was marked with wonderful entry opportunity. 175 and 75 for Alibaba and $TENCENT(00700)$ will be the time to conclude the trade— …. just when everyone is looking at them.2.I’ve caught the Longevity bug— courtesy of people like Bryan Johnson, Dr. Huberman & Gary Brecka. James Clear’s Atomic Habits helped stitch it all together. Feeling my absolute best in 2025. Mental clarity is incredible when the foundation is set in consistency.ImageImageImageImage
BABA& .SPX: What's Going on Next?

.SPX: What's Going on Next?

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you!1.“Money is made by sitting, not trading.”— Jesse L. LivermoreImage2.Tested & Held So Far: $S&P 500(.SPX)$ (1) as noted earlier, the test of support of 5750 level has been under-way for the last few hours. (2) so far, the support is held fairly firmly, indicating an unfinished upward move. (3) for a day like this, the main actions were completed in the 1st hour.Image3.Back-test 5750: (1) an upward blast has conquered the 5752 key resistance zone; Now, it is the back-test; (2) if held--which I believe so--then this zone will become a strong support for the next leg higher; (3) if fails, then a few days of digestion before more squeeze higher.Image4.WHEN & WHERE: (1) "Up u
.SPX: What's Going on Next?
avatarKYHBKO
03-10

Gold, China, Buffett's bubble? - News and my thoughts from last week (10 Mar 2025)

News and my thoughts from last week (10 Mar 2025) History of gold - from Bloomberg China continues DUMPING US Treasuries: China's holdings fell by $77 billion in 2024 to $759 billion, the lowest in 15 YEARS. China is the world's second-largest foreign holder of US public debt after Japan. Are Treasuries losing safe haven status?! - X user Global Markets Investor Bloomberg - falling behind on car payments Car Buyers: The % of borrowers at least 2 months late on their car payments jumps to an all-time high - BarChart Trump says tariffs on Mexico and Canada could go higher than a 25% rate imposed earlier this week, per Bloomberg. The top 10% of earners in the U.S. now account for 49.7% of all spending in the US, per WSJ. China’s exports in the January to February period rose 2.3% in U.S. doll
Gold, China, Buffett's bubble? - News and my thoughts from last week (10 Mar 2025)

GOLD: New Highs will Continue to be Created

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2504(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Gold is near the new high of 3004.9, and then falls back! In the New York market, the technical correction is maintained, which is in line with the expected trend. Remember: However, a short-term correction cannot stop the momentum of gold's rise, and new highs will continue to be created! Short-term selling of gold also made a good profit! ImageFollow me to learn more about analysis!!
GOLD: New Highs will Continue to be Created

.SPX: What's Going on Next?

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading analysis with you!1.MPW Mid-Week Update Posted: $S&P 500(.SPX)$ (1) catch a falling knife or piss toward a tornado, it is your choice to make. (2) in this update, I provide some of the most timely and important roadmap for the upcoming fallout. Image2.If you position right, then in a RED DAY, you still can see GREEN in your account [almost fully invested for my Schwab account; not the others, though, still have dry powder for the 3rd of 3rd wave, when the HAMMER WILL FALL, for real--almost there].Image3.Truncated before reaching the target zone of (5820-30)--mainly due to the external factor on the tariff front. The tape is super-weak; if not mistaken, this ongoing drop will take no prisoners
.SPX: What's Going on Next?

GOLD: Gold Maintained its Intraday Uptrend

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2504(GCmain)$ Technical: Gold prices continue to rise and face a resistance level near $3050, which must be broken to confirm further medium-term bullishness towards $3100-3200. Otherwise, if the resistance level remains intact, gold prices could fall towards $3000, or even $2950! Technical data on the daily chart suggests that the bullish trend will continue. Despite the Relative Strength Index (RSI) being at overbought levels, the technical indicators remain firmly to the upside with no signs of the upside drying up. Meanwhile, the gold price is well above all of its moving averages, with the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) resuming its upward move and curr
GOLD: Gold Maintained its Intraday Uptrend

GOLD: Safe-haven to Stay

$Gold - main 2504(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Monday (March 24) Asian morning trading, spot gold narrow oscillation, currently trading at 3025.54 U.S. dollars near. Gold prices fell 0.7% on Friday, due to a stronger U.S. dollar and profit-taking, the plate once touched the 3000 round number mark, but the lingering geopolitical and economic uncertainty, coupled with the Federal Reserve's expected interest rate cuts, the price of gold is still subject to the low buyers and safe-haven buyers to support, on Friday, the price of gold closed at $ 3023.04 near the weekly rise of 1.17% for the third consecutive weekly rise.Survey shows that most analysts and retail investors still tend to bullish
GOLD: Safe-haven to Stay
avatarKYHBKO
02-16

Is Rivian worthy of our shortlisting - Preview of the week starting 17Feb2025

Public Holidays In the coming week, there will be no public holidays in China, Hong Kong, or Singapore. Washington's Birthday | Peterson Space Force Base America is celebrating Washington’s birthday on 17 Feb 2025 (Monday). Economic Calendar (17Feb2025) Notable Highlights The FOMC meeting minutes will be revealed. This lends insights into the Federal Reserve's considerations and outlook for the next interest rate decision. Philadelphia's Fed Manufacturing Index will also be released in the coming week. Previously, the index stood at 44.3 which implies a contraction in the manufacturing industry. S&P Global Manufacturing PMI and S&P Global Services PMI will also be released in the coming week. This will provide an important outlook concerning global manufacturing and services. Exist
Is Rivian worthy of our shortlisting - Preview of the week starting 17Feb2025
avatarKYHBKO
03-02

PCE, Hedge Funds exit & Delinquencies - News and my thoughts (03 Mar 2025)

News and my thoughts from last week (03Mar2025) How can the legacy media survive their self-destruction? Image has now erased -$450 BILLION of market cap over the last 24 hours. This comes after the company crushed earnings expectations, posting record quarterly revenue of $39.3B. -X user The Kobeissi Letter January PCE inflation, the Fed's preferred inflation measure, falls to 2.5%, in-line with expectations of 2.5%. Core PCE inflation was 2.6%, in-line with expectations of 2.6%. This marks the first decline in PCE inflation since September 2024. Image Hedge funds are RUSHING to the exit at nearly a RECORD pace: Hedge funds have been selling US technology stocks in February at the fastest rate since the 2021 Meme Stocks Craziness. Over the last 5 days alone, they reduced their exposure at
PCE, Hedge Funds exit & Delinquencies - News and my thoughts (03 Mar 2025)

.SPX: What's the Next Direction?

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading analysis with you!1.MPW Bamboo Scroll #164 Posted: (1) yes, it is cooking--up until the bears have doubts of their short position--sometime next week. (2) I reviewed BTC & Mag-7 for its short- to long-term chart, and they confirm my take of broader market. Image2. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 5638--the mark for a Green or Red weekly candle. Now, it is a few points above this line, let's see how bulls and bears settle for this week. No position, 100% cash.Image3. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Quarantined by multiple POWERFUL trendlines--no breakthrough whatsoever, just chopping inside a tiny zone, like a trapped animal trying to find a way out. That breakout looks postpo
.SPX: What's the Next Direction?

GOLD: Trouble At This Time?

$Gold - main 2504(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ The financial market is like a never-ending wave, fluctuating up and down every day, and it seems that there are trading opportunities everywhere. But remember, the real opportunities are not those superficial and fleeting fluctuations, but the opportunities that you can truly understand and grasp with your own experience, knowledge and keen insight. Only such opportunities are truly your opportunities.Unfortunately, in the world of trading, 90% of traders seem to be troubled by an invisible obsessive-compulsive disorder. This obsessive-compulsive disorder drives them to feel that they must open an order today, as if it is an unshirkable task.
GOLD: Trouble At This Time?

GOLD: Gold's Near-term Outlook is Bullish

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1.TECHNICAL: Gold price breaks through $3,000 at another record high, ANZ raises gold price forecast to $3,100! Gold's near-term outlook is bullish.The 4-hour chart shows technical indicators resuming their uptrend, albeit with uneven strength, but still into positive territory. In addition, gold price is trading above its bullish moving averages and the 20-period SMA is currently providing dynamic support around $2,925.8. Expect today's trading range to be in the range of 3006-3040. Trade to keep buying trades! Strategy:Buy:3008-3010 TP:3028-3030 SL:2998 Image2.The situation in the Middle East is heating up again as spot gold stands at $3010, renewing its record high. So far this year, the cumulative increase of more than
GOLD: Gold's Near-term Outlook is Bullish

Here are My Top 5 International Stock Picks

As tariffs are scheduled to come into effect in April, global diversification is more important than ever.Here are my top 5 international stock picks:1. $Nu Holdings Ltd.(NU)$ Stock tanked following Q4 earnings as it suffered from FX headwinds. Brazilian Real dipped against USD in December and it’s been strengthening since then. As FX turned to tailwinds, it remains cheap at 22 times forward earnings.2. $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ Monopoly in extreme ultraviolet lithography machines that are indispensable for manufacturing cutting edge chips. Order intake is set to accelerate as TSMC plans 5 new facilities in the USA and it keeps expanding in Japan and Europe.3. $MercadoLi
Here are My Top 5 International Stock Picks

GOLD: Whether the Price can be Supported or not?

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1.Early Wednesday (26 March) Asian market, gold narrowly oscillated, currently trading near 3020.83 U.S. dollars. Gold prices rose slightly on Tuesday, closing at $3019.84, temporarily holding above the 3000 round number mark, on the one hand, tariff concerns still provide safe-haven support, on the other hand, the U.S. consumer confidence data performed poorly, dragging down the U.S. dollar and U.S. bond yields, to give support to the gold price. [Great][Great][Great] $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ $Gold - main 2504(GCmain)$
GOLD: Whether the Price can be Supported or not?

美股大漲, 反彈一觸即發

$E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2506(NQmain)$ 美股大漲,上周周末發佈周報提前預告:“NQ開始形成短期較高的周期低點,目前VIX曲綫回歸正常,MAG7中多數已經回到季度信號綫,反彈一觸即發。比特幣短期見周期低點,醖釀短期反彈,下個時間低點4月底,關注出現higher low則中期結構轉好。”Here we go! Let's have another wonderful week Traders!
美股大漲, 反彈一觸即發
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